Did you establish that the dates were being interpreted as dates?  I saw 
someone ask that earlier but didn't see a response?

Sent from my iPhone

On May 26, 2014, at 8:13 AM, "Daniel Cohen" 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

I asked a while ago - when I responded to further questions I didn't get a 
further response, so here I am asking again.

This is a data set taken from google analytics - it is almost 2 years of
web traffic data by date hour - that's about 4000 data points.



I ran through the same process I used for the sine wave prediction tutorial
except I added more prediction steps. The attached .png is an extract of the
plot. Even the 1 step prediction is disappointing and I'd expect better
after 4000 data points. The 10 step prediction is almost wholly unreliable
and anything beyond that is useless. Sure the predictions are within the
right range of points but you couldn't base anything useful off them. They
don't even seem to have picked up on the hourly modulation throughout a day.

Is there any way to improve the prediction quality without simply using
more data points?

search_def.json 
<http://justpaste.it/fhwk<https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v1/url?u=http://justpaste.it/fhwk&k=Pp%2FSl3rIPA%2F83aqCYpPAqA%3D%3D%0A&r=Z92E%2BswlNA7x7bkZHcAPaXKX21fLZm2KJ2RXreubY7M%3D%0A&m=IZe0G3816OhkBX4mi%2BXMMP1NkMM5rQQVR2hH9ChPbIA%3D%0A&s=07e59a5e184f58a3e4d77faf1462d160a904af5e37d421189c3b9ade9cbe06cb>>

visits.csv<https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B8imHXOv0rGcSXVmREV6QTVlTjA/edit?usp=sharing<https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v1/url?u=https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B8imHXOv0rGcSXVmREV6QTVlTjA/edit?usp%3Dsharing&k=Pp%2FSl3rIPA%2F83aqCYpPAqA%3D%3D%0A&r=Z92E%2BswlNA7x7bkZHcAPaXKX21fLZm2KJ2RXreubY7M%3D%0A&m=IZe0G3816OhkBX4mi%2BXMMP1NkMM5rQQVR2hH9ChPbIA%3D%0A&s=4465bb9e611fd1bbaf7eaec6e20ce167977eaccca1b5ed54a67500155dfb3706>>

The visits are by datehour to increase the number of data points. I wasn't
expecting great things from the 1000 step prediction but I did want to test
it. The 10 step and 100 step I did expect much more from though.
<attachment.png>
<ATT00001.secure>

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