Brook, You're right. A very good article about the value of immigrants. Being in Japan, I'm passed official retirement age but am one of the babies in the neighborhood. There are more immigrants coming in, but it is nowhere where it needs to be. One way or another Japan's old people will be supported by immigrants or robots.
Thanks, Ron On Fri, Mar 24, 2017 at 12:01 AM, Brook Manville <[email protected]> wrote: > Dear Open enthusiasts....recent opinion piece in WSJ by columnist Bret > Stephens caught my eye (below)--talking about immigration, open borders, > greater diversity and innovation; and imply such things should be more part > of today's policy debates (but aren't). There are some "meta" themes about > "open" at the national level that might deserve more attention among us. At > a minimum, it makes for some interesting compare and contrast discussion, > e.g. how much of the culture-building implied by best open organizations > should be/could be applied to a nation's public policy? What is the data > about innovation and other measures of "good" between companies that are > more open versus those that are less? etc...Regards > > Other People’s Babies’If the U.S. slipped into demographic decline like > Japan, it would tear itself apart. > [image: Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe with President Trump in West > Palm Beach, Fla., Feb. 10.] > Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe with President Trump in West Palm > Beach, Fla., Feb. 10. PHOTO: ASSOCIATED PRESS > <https://www.wsj.com/articles/other-peoples-babies-1490050955> > By > BRET STEPHENS > March 20, 2017 7:02 p.m. ET > 786 COMMENTS > <https://www.wsj.com/articles/other-peoples-babies-1490050955#livefyre-toggle-SB10780801779306074119304583034393448048174> > > *Tokyo* > > Japan is an excellent place to test the proposition that countries do > better with low levels of immigration. In a land of 127 million people, > there are just over two million foreign residents, and only a third of them > are here for the long term. The number of illegal immigrants, which peaked > at a modest 300,000 in the early 1990s, is down by 80%. > > As for refugees, in 2016, Tokyo entertained 10,000 requests > <http://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20170211/p2g/00m/0dm/008000c> for > asylum. It accepted a grand total of 28. Steve Bannon would smile. > > The result, say immigration restrictionists, is plain to see. Japan’s > crime and drug-use rates are famously low. Life expectancy is famously > high. Japanese students put their American peers to shame on international > tests. The unemployment rate clocks in at 3.1%. All this is supposed to be > a function of a homogenous society with a high degree of cultural > cohesion—the antithesis of cacophonous, multiethnic America. > > Just one problem: The Japanese have lost their appetite for reproduction. > To steal a line from Steve King, the GOP congressman from Iowa, the only > way they can save their civilization is with “somebody else’s babies.” > > Japan’s population shrank by nearly a million between 2010 and 2015, the > first absolute decline since census-taking began in the 1920s. On current > trend <http://www.ipss.go.jp/site-ad/index_english/esuikei/gh2401e.asp> the > population will fall to 97 million by the middle of the century. Barely 10% > of Japanese will be children. The rest of the population will divide almost > evenly between working-age adults and the elderly. > > Imagine yourself as a 35-year-old Japanese salary man. You can expect that > an ever-larger share of your paycheck will go to the government to fund the > pensions and health care of your parents—who, at 70, can reasonably expect > to live another 10 or 15 years, and who aren’t likely to vote for > politicians promising to strip their entitlements. > > Being Japanese, you were raised to make financial sacrifices for your > elders, even if it means not having children of your own. Besides, it’s > hard to want children with the economy in such bad shape. As Morgan > Stanley <http://quotes.wsj.com/MS>’s Ruchir Sharma has noted > <https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/world/2016-02-15/demographics-stagnation>, > lousy demographics mean a lousy economy: The average rate of GDP growth in > countries with shrinking working-age populations is only 1.5%. In 2016, > Japan’s growth rate was 1%—and that was a relatively good year by recent > standards. > > What if the government paid you to have babies? Alas, along with millions > of your countrymen, you suffer from what the Japanese call > <https://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/oct/20/young-people-japan-stopped-having-sex> > “celibacy > syndrome” and aren’t interested in sex, never mind procreation. You’re also > unhappy: In 2016, Japan ranked 53rd on the U.N.’s World Happiness Report, a > notch above Kazakhstan but below El Salvador and Uzbekistan. > > So Japan is in trouble, and the government knows it. Prime Minister Shinzo > Abe has tinkered with formulas to bring in lower-skilled temporary workers > for housecleaning and farm jobs, and he has promoted various tax breaks and > subsidies to ease the burden of raising children and caring for aging > parents. > > But whatever their other benefits, “pro-family” policies won’t reverse the > demographic trend. Only large-scale immigration can do that, and the > Japanese won’t countenance it. The flip side of cohesion is exclusion. The > consequence of exclusion is decline. > > Which brings us back to Mr. King and the U.S. immigration debates. A > decade ago, America’s fertility rate, at 2.12 children for every woman, was > just above the replacement rate. That meant there could be modest > population growth without immigration. But the fertility rate has since > fallen: It’s now below replacement and at an all-time low > <http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2016/06/07/behind-the-ongoing-u-s-baby-bust-in-5-charts/> > . > > Without immigration, our demographic destiny would become Japanese. But > our culture wouldn’t, leaving us with the worst of both worlds: economic > stagnation without social stability. Multiethnic America would tear itself > to pieces fighting over redistribution rights to the shrinking national pie. > > This doesn’t have to be our fate. Though it may be news to Mr. King, > immigrants aren’t a threat to American civilization. They are our > civilization—bearers of a forward-looking notion of identity based on what > people wish to become, not who they once were. Among those immigrants are > 30% of all American Nobel Prize winners and the founders of 90 of our > Fortune 500 companies—a figure that more than doubles when you include > companies founded by the children of immigrants. If immigration means > change, it forces dynamism. America is literally unimaginable without it. > > Every virtue has its defect and vice versa. The Japanese are in the > process of discovering that the social values that once helped launch their > development—loyalty, self-sacrifice, harmony—now inhibit it. Americans may > need reminding that the culture of openness about which conservatives so > often complain is our abiding strength. Openness to different ideas, > foreign goods and new people. And their babies—who, whatever else Mr. King > might think, are also made in God’s image. > > *Write [email protected] <[email protected]>.* > > On Thu, Mar 23, 2017 at 8:10 AM, Bryan Behrenshausen <[email protected]> > wrote: > >> ### Editor's Note ### >> >> Hi, friends! It's been another exciting, whirlwind week here in OpenOrg >> Land. Yesterday, we announced the next book in the Open Organization >> book series—this one devoted to open principles in the IT organization. >> We're building it the open source way, and (if you missed the >> announcement) you can see the links below for more details about getting >> involved. >> >> Today we're publishing the second half of Ajinkya Pawar's two-part >> series on open agencies. In this article, Ajinkya lays out a concrete >> and specific plan for creating the agency of the future. >> >> –B >> >> ### New Today ### >> >> Ajinkya Pawar: What does an ad agency's source code look like? >> >> https://opensource.com/open-organization/17/3/how-build-open-ad-agency >> >> red.ht/2o855Xy >> >> Sample social media: >> >> If an ad agency is to go open source, then what's its source code? >> @thejinxedone red.ht/2o855Xy #TheOpenOrg >> >> .@thejinxedone explains exactly how to build an open ad agency. What are >> you waiting for? red.ht/2o855Xy #TheOpenOrg >> >> .@thejinxedone with five benefits to turning your ad agency into >> #TheOpenOrg: red.ht/2o855Xy >> >> >> ### Previously Published ### >> >> Bryan Behrenshausen: "Help us write the next IT culture book" >> >> https://opensource.com/open-organization/17/3/announcing-it-culture-book >> >> red.ht/2nmnfYB >> >> First day page views: 157 >> >> Sample social media: >> >> Help us write the next great book on IT culture—in the open: >> red.ht/2nmnfYB #TheOpenOrg >> >> We're writing a book at the intersection of #TheOpenOrg and #IT culture. >> You can help: red.ht/2nmnfYB >> >> The next book in #TheOpenOrg book series is under active development. >> Pull requests welcome: red.ht/2nmnfYB >> >> =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= >> >> Simon Phipps: "7 ways to discuss legal matters with an open community" >> >> https://opensource.com/open-organization/17/3/legal-matters-community >> >> First day page views: 131 >> >> ### Site Stats ### >> >> Page views yesterday: 753 >> Total page views for the month: 12,213 >> Page views from newsletter: 106 >> >> Leaders Manual downloads: 5 >> Leaders Manual downloads for the month: 71 >> >> Catalyst-In-Chief downloads: 4 >> Total Catalyst-In-Chief downloads for the month: 30 >> >> Field Guide downloads: 2 >> Total Field Guide downloads for the month: 37 >> >> ### Social Media Stats ### >> >> @TheOpenOrg Twitter followers: 3,918 (+1) >> @JWhitehurst Twitter followers: 15,204 (+2) >> Facebook likes: 526 (+0) >> >> ### Full Daily Stats ### >> >> https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/196RzNrhAiHRBcZHtrDYY >> Ky0I9m8Bqa67K9OOPbDxuME/edit?pli=1#gid=46325027 >> >> _______________________________________________ >> Openorg-list mailing list >> [email protected] >> https://www.redhat.com/mailman/listinfo/openorg-list >> > > > > -- > *Brook Manville* > *Principal, Brook Manville LLC* > > *http://www.brookmanville.com/ <http://www.brookmanville.com/>* > *Twitter* <https://twitter.com/> > *@brookmanville* > *blogging at: http://www.forbes.com/sites/brookmanville/ > <http://www.forbes.com/sites/brookmanville/>* > > > > > _______________________________________________ > Openorg-list mailing list > [email protected] > https://www.redhat.com/mailman/listinfo/openorg-list > >
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