http://www.geostrategy-direct.com/
Top Al Qaida strategist claims credit for oil price hike, seeks partnership with Iran Al Adel has been working with Bin Laden's son on a long-term strategy. Seif Al Adel � Age: 44 � Organization: Al Qaida � Whereabouts: Seif Al Adel has apparently returned to Iran, and this concerns the United States. Al Adel left Iran for Afghanistan in 2003 and apparently has returned to organize Al Qaida activities in that country. Al Adel, the Al Qaida operations chief, has rejoined Saad Bin Laden, the son of the movement's chief Osama Bin Laden. U.S. officials said Al Qaida's leadership had left Iran on the eve of the organization's suicide strikes in Riyad in May 2003. "They're working on strategy for the next year," an official said. Bin Laden, Al Adel and the Iranian-based Al Qaida leadership have begun drafting a long-term strategy. Although some of these leaders might not be around for long, the Al Qaida leadership envisions a long-term strategy against the West, particularly the United States. They believe Iran would be a major ally of the Islamic insurgency. The organization's strategist, Al Adel, has drafted the plan and Al Qaida has already published some elements of the strategy on Muslim websites. Jordanian analyst Bassam Baddarin said Al Qaida's strategy could be constructed from an assortment of writings by Al Adel, a former colonel who had served in the Egyptian Special Forces before joining the Islamic insurgency against the Soviet Union in Afghanistan in the 1980s. Al Adel has become the head of Al Qaida's military wing, succeeding Abu Hafs al-Misri to become number three in Al Qaida after Bin Laden and Ayman Zawahiri. In 2003, Iran offered to extradite Al Adel for leaders of the opposition Mujahadeen Khalq. The United States refused. Al Qaida's strategy until 2020 seeks to form an arc of Islamic resistance that runs from Afghanistan in the east to Lebanon in the west. Al Adel believes a key goal of drawing the United States into a war of attrition in this region has been achieved, with American troops heavily engaged in Afghanistan and Iraq. Baddarin said the 9/11 suicide strikes were part of the movement's long-term strategy. Al Adel didn't see these attacks as hurting the United States, but as the beginning of a massive war of attrition with Islam, in which devout Muslims everywhere would take sides. "It sacrificed the Taliban Movement and transferred a large number of its fighting strength outside Afghanistan to Iran and Iraq," Baddarin wrote in a long analysis in the London-based Al Quds Al Arabi daily, which has close ties with Islamic movements. "It can be said that al-Qaida's strategy until the year 2020 turned its second page." Al Adel wants to drain U.S. economic and military resources. Al Qaida believes it has caused a significant increase in the price of oil, hovering at $60 per barrel, which would hurt the U.S. economy. Al Qaida has also demonstrated its ability to strike at U.S. forces in Iraq and the oil sector in Saudi Arabia. "Al Qaida leaders say that the U.S. administration has defined five objectives: ending the Palestinian intifada; controlling Lebanon's Hizbullah; effecting the Syrian withdrawal from Lebanon; promoting the success of the Iraqi election process; and securing the oil fields in the Arabian Gulf region and maritime crossing points," Baddarin said. Al Qaida believes the U.S. military plans to expand its targets in the Middle East. Al Adel believes that Washington's next targets will be Lebanon, Syria and finally Iran. For Al Qaida, this is an opportunity. The organization wants to win Iranian sponsorship so that it can operate with Teheran's help throughout the Middle East and beyond. Al Qaida wants to convince Iran that the organization can be a vital force in confronting the United States. "Convincing Iran of the benefit in the end would be on two tracks: getting rid of Saddam and controlling Iraq, and then moving on to confronting the Americans," Baddarin said. Al Qaida's strategy was also published in a book, "The Management of Barbarism," posted on the Al Ikhlas jihadi forum � http://ekhlas.com/forum. The 113-page Arabic-language work, published by the Al Qaida-affiliated Center of Islamic Studies and Research, seeks to define the "phase of transition to the Islamic state from Pakistan to North Africa." Authored by Abu Bakr Naji, the work reviews an effort to establish an Islamic state in the Arabian Peninsula, Jordan, Yemen and North Africa. Naji sees the first phase of Al Qaida as exhausting the enemy through dispersal of targets while recruiting for a counter-strike against the United States. "The holy warriors would establish internal security, ensure food and medical supplies, defend the zone from external attack, establish Islamic justice, an armed force, an intelligence service, provide economic sufficiency, defend against [public] hypocrisy and deviant opinions and ensure obedience, and the establishment of alliances with neighboring elements that are yet to give total conformity to the management, and improve management structures," stated the book, which also appears to reflect Al Adel's thinking. Al Qaida would organize strikes against Westerners everywhere, particularly tourist sites and energy resources. These targets could include banks in Turkey or oil facilities in Yemen. A key part of Al Qaida's strategy would be media. Naji said a media campaign must target officers in Muslim militaries to join war against the West. "It should aim at every stage to justify operations to the populous legally and intellectually, given that, assuming that our long struggle will require half a million holy warriors, getting such a number from a nation of millions is easier than from the ranks of the Islamic movement," the book said. But Al Adel knows there will be major difficulties in Al Qaida's strategy. One is a shortfall in recruitment as Muslims become scared to join Al Qaida. Others include difficulties in communicating with the rank and file as well as splits within the movement. In short, Al Adel has encountered U.S. power and is worried for the future. ------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor --------------------~--> DonorsChoose. A simple way to provide underprivileged children resources often lacking in public schools. 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