On 13 November 2013 11:14, Ken Schaefer <[email protected]> wrote:

>  Even over 20+ years? I don’t think, 20+ years ago we had any real idea
> how compute, storage, network and other infrastructure technologies were
> specifically going to fall in cost per unit, but they have been rather
> relentlessly.
>

I think using the progress made in IT in general over the past two decades
as a yard stick for a government monopoly removing a tax on Ethernet
switching is pretty wishful thinking. Especially when their business plan
has no intention or timeline for sunsetting the charges.

The worst outcome from their review, I think, could be some sort of token
reduction in CVC (say $20 down to $10) so the government can pretend it has
been dealt with and move on. Even then moving data across the CBD would be
1000% more expensive than moving it to Japan.

There is a bunch of other structural stuff in NBN which is bizarre (121
POIs, for example) ... dunno if any of that will get dealt with. I like
Hackett's suggestion of going back to 7 POIs with full redundancy rather
than 121 POIs with no redundancy. It is going to be a party when one of
those 121 POIs burn down.

As Hackett (I think it was him - might have been Malone) - the NBN's
pricing model is constructed on the principle of scarcity, which the
opposite is true.

David.

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