Re: OT: How things change so quickly

[Shaun Canning]

Yes Bruce, Moore's Law does specifically relate to CPU performance, so 
it is perhaps not the best analogy to use here. However, I still 
maintain that we WILL be using Gigapixel digital cameras in 10 years 
time. Wherever there has been a problem with electronics in the past 
engineers and designers have eventually figured out a cost effective 
solution. Take batteries as an example of where things are headed. In 10 
years time devices like laptops and digital cameras will be using 
miniture methanol or hydrogen fuel cells instead of what we have now. 
These will be major technological achievements in their own right, but 
also pave the way for other development. Who knows what type of imaging 
devices will be available in a decade, and what sort of technology 
drives the imaging sensor?

A sort of Moore's Law thingy is emerging with digital camera advances as 
well...major updates or releases are about every 18 months. As for the 
'size' of the imaging device, we have gone from very small sub-1 mp 
devices to 11mp production DSLR's in only a couple of years. Not bad 
really.

It won't happen overnight, but it will happen.

Cheers

Shaun

Bruce Rubenstein wrote:
Moore's Law depends on shrinking the geometries of the lines, traces and 
devices in the IC's. There are limits to this. Digital cameras are 
starting towards the end of where it is getting hard to shrink things. 
It should also be noted that Moore's Law applies to CPU's. It's much 
harder to improve the performance of a system than just a part.
I also think that the original comment was made tongue in cheek.

BR

[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

Now there is a brave prediction. Absolutely can't happen! Wilbur and 
Orville's critics probably said the same thing. Give me one good 
reason why digital cameras won't technologically advance at the same 
rate as other electronics?




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Shaun Canning                                                           
Cultural Heritage Services                                              
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Victoria, 3658.
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Phone: 0414-967644
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