What are you saying? That if the Japanese think China will overtake them economically, Japan will go to war? I suppose anything is possible, but I rather doubt they'd do that. There has been no war in Western Europe for sixty years (the longest period of peace in European history). Coexistence is possible, as the American North and South have proved since 1865.

John


On Sun, 06 Nov 2005 20:11:41 -0000, P. J. Alling <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

The game of national survival is played for high stakes, and it's not a chess game. Very few nations have simply given up because they were going to lose. The Soviets tried to match US moves and defense spending because they thought they had to. I never said Japan would win or could win, just that they would have very unpalatable choices. Based on history I know what they'll probably do. John Forbes wrote:

Since Japan has approximately one tenth the population of China, it's hard to see how they can hope to remain more powerful.

It was trying to compete in an arms race with a larger competitor that brought down the Soviets. I can't see the Japanese being similarly self-deluding.

John

On Sun, 06 Nov 2005 19:22:27 -0000, P. J. Alling <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

Nope, they just have an arms race to look forward to, or abdicate their place as the most powerful country in Asia to China. It's interesting but the Japanese have been arming Taiwan, (with US help),. quietly for the last few years, and with the Chinese stepchild of North Korea rattling it's nuclear saber periodically the Japanese government will see itself left with few other options, and none they will find palatable. I don't good will has much to do with national survival. Even Venezuela , who's current president sees himself as the heir to Castro, will sell Oil to the US. He needs the money to fund his own ambitions, good will has nothing to do with it.

William Robb wrote:


----- Original Message ----- From: "P. J. Alling"
Subject: Re: The sky is...


The US economy has it's problems but they are fundamentally fewer than Japans.



Both economies are now dependent on the goodwill of foreign countries for survival. The peril of an oil based economy when you haven't enough of it yourself. Japan isn't beeing bled to death by an expensive to maintain, and probably soon to escalate, war.

William Robb













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