>>  If photofinishing becomes regulated as you say, I
>> could see this being the thing that turns the masses to
>> digital.
>
>If photofinishing becomes regulated as I think it will be, there
>will be no choice but to turn to digital.
>William Robb

I expect this will happen too.

The scenario as I envision it is this:

Using environmental laws to legislate film out of existence can't happen
now because it's use is too widespread and to many businesses have an interest
in its survival.

Digital photography will continue to increase and film use will decline,
albeit not as much as the digital die-hards might think.

At *some point* film use will decline to the point at which it will become
feasible to enact some tougher controls on its manufacture and processing.


This will drive up the costs of chemical film production and processing.
Which will accelerate the public's transition to digital. Which will make
it possible to enact even more restrictive anti-pollution laws. At which
point we'll be in a self-stoking cycle which won't end until film is such
a small niche market that ther will be little benefit from reducing its
pollution output.

I see just a gradual decline in film use and affordability until we reach
this "event horizon". It'll be like travelling down a very gentle slope
and then reaching a cliff. When this will take place is something I won't
guess at.



-- 
Mark Roberts
www.robertstech.com
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