OK, we'll agree to disagree then. I suspect your alternate option is what will occur.
-Adam Tom C wrote: > We can agree to disagree then. > > I think two years from now (or sooner) there will not be a single 6MP DSLR > in production. > > I don't know this. To me it's just common sense. If it turns out to be > untrue, then they'll be selling 6MP DSLR bodies for $300 and 10Mp bodies for > $500. > > Canon's 8MP has sold quite a few copies. They are not stuck. We agree that > they'll eventually phase it out. > > It's not me that's doing the concentrating on MP's, it's for the most part, > the regular consumer, the camera companies, and the salesmen at the store. > The idea that bigger is better is deeply entrenched. > > > > > Tom C. > >> From: Adam Maas <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> >> Reply-To: Pentax-Discuss Mail List <[email protected]> >> To: Pentax-Discuss Mail List <[email protected]> >> Subject: Re: Another interview articles >> Date: Tue, 05 Dec 2006 16:44:22 -0500 >> >> I disagree. The K100D/K110D are a distinct improvement over their >> predecessors and are real price leaders, being the first DSLR's to retail >> in the same price range as amateur film bodies on launch. The DSLR market >> is not nearly as MP-driven as the P&S market, but it is price driven. The >> XT is the sales leader, but Pentax has been selling all it can make in the >> low-end market and Nikon has also moved in there aggressively, looking to >> repeat what Canon did to Nikon with the film Rebels. Canon simply isn't a >> player in the low-end DSLR market at this point and they haven't been since >> the original Digital Rebel was discontinued and Oly's base model (the >> E-500) is unimpressive and overpriced. >> >> And base models are the volume sellers in this market. The K10D is almost >> twice the price of a K110D. It shouldn't be selling as well as it is, >> except the mid-range Pentax market has been starved for a real option in >> Digital, and it's better-specified than the competition which is making a >> real splash outside of Pentax's usual audience. >> >> You're paying far too much attention to MP count. The 6MP models are here >> to stay, they're just going to get cheaper as time goes on. The sensors are >> proven designs and cheap to produce, the 10MP sensors are noisier and more >> complex (driving up manufacturing costs). Canon's 8MP model has left them >> in limbo and I think that will tell sales-wise in the long-term. The XT is >> stuck between the 6MP and 10MP models in price and specs, leaving it in an >> awkward position in the current market (But in a stronger position than the >> equally awkward position of the less impressive E-500). I suspect that the >> XT will be discontinued late next year or possibly in early 2008 when its >> sales peter out leaving Canon to try and drive the XTi's production costs >> down. >> >> -Adam >> >> >> Tom C wrote: >>> I think Nikon may have done it because anything with the Nikon name >> brand on >>> it sells well, regardless of how good a camera it is or whether it has >> value >>> for the dollar. They can sop up a huge portion of the bottom end of the >>> market with probably 2 - 3 times the sales Pentax will generate with >> their 6 >>> MP models. >>> >>> I thought it foolish for Pentax to waste their efforts on two more 6MP >>> bodies when it's clear where the market is heading. >>> >>> Since Canon's low-end 8MP body has been out for quite sometime now, in >> the >>> life of things digital, I expect we will see it go out of production >>> shortly, making the 10MP model their bottom rung. >>> >>> Not trying to argue, I'm just saying (not in hindsight), all things >>> considered, I would have expected the K10D to be the big seller >> (especially >>> at it's price), not their 6MP bodies which aside from SR in one, are not >>> considerably different from the prior *ist D derivative. >>> >>> Tom C. -- PDML Pentax-Discuss Mail List [email protected] http://pdml.net/mailman/listinfo/pdml_pdml.net
