Helmut, List,

Helmut, your post has several intriguing ideas which I hope some List
members will explore. For example, your interesting comments on how strong
and weak negation differ in belief statements (and your example that
atheism and agnosticism are logically distinct even though ordinary
language often conflates them).

Also you remarks on how belief systems, hierarchies, and
contemporary culture are responses to the 'loss of certainty' in our
complex societies (John Dewey's analysis in *The Quest for Certainty* is
relevant here; following Peirce, he arrives at the conclusion that the
search for immutable foundations is itself misguided), and your speculative
conclusion that the outsourcing of intelligence to AI may result in a
devolution into a simpler form of humanity is provocative (I agree that
there is the possibility of devolution but doubt that it would lead to a
simpler humanity). I'm glad you added that Peirce's evolutionary 'openness'
suggests that before any such end state occurs that humanity might transform
again in wholly unforeseen ways.

All these are interesting topics that could most certainly be further
developed. But for now I'd like to take up only your comments on *belief*. You
wrote: "Possibility, probability, and knowledge are a Peircean categorial
trichotomy, and belief is something illogical, non-Peircean, something
rogue.".

Belief is certainly not a formal logical operation (like abduction,
deduction, and induction as you noted) which are, of course, kinds of
inference within logic proper. However, rather than seeing belief as a
'rogue' operation, it seems to me that it is in fact *integral to Peirce's
logic of inquiry* since in science it functions towards the  resolution of
doubt. For example, it is not just an intellectual assent to a proposition
but, as you suggest, a settled habit. As the mind-set of an inquirer,
coming to a genuine belief ought to change his conduct.

In “The Fixation of Belief” Peirce defines doubt as an uneasy, dissatisfied
state that actually stimulates inquiry, belief as a calm, settled state
that terminates inquiry -- at least temporarily. Since, as every student of
Peirce knows, the pragmatic meaning of a conception lies in its conceivable
practical effects, then belief can't really be separated from conduct
since, if nothing in action would differ upon arriving at a 'new' belief,
then there is no real difference in holding that belief.

So, belief is not logically 'rogue' but the relatively stable outcome of
inquiry. Contrasting it to abduction, for example, one can form a
hypothesis without believing it. Authentic belief occurs in inquiry only
when it becomes a habit. And because habits are central to Peirce’s
metaphysics, one might say that belief participates in the growth of  law,
mediation, meaning, and other essential forms of 3ns. Of course scientific
belief -- unlike, say, religious belief -- is always *fallible*; so,
Peircean inquiry doesn't aim at certainty but only to an increasingly
stable scientific communal opinion which can, of course, be refined or even
overturned by further inquiry.

So, in my view, belief has an important, even essential role to play in the
context of inquiry even broadly speaking as it contributes to the guidance
of thought toward truth.

Best,

Gary R

On Fri, May 8, 2026 at 8:14 PM Helmut Raulien <[email protected]> wrote:

> List,
>
> I wonder, can we symbolize the difference between strong and weak negation
> in a way not using language? "I don´t believe in God" is agnostic, "I
> believe that there is no God" is atheistic. I must admit, that "belief" is
> a concept, I have both not understood yet (logically), and understand
> (linguistically). Btw, "A believes", as part of an EG, is not a
> symbolization not using language. "Belief" is a term for not a logical
> concept, but for a hardened state of mind. Knowledge is due to deduction.
> To estimate a probability is due to induction, and to take something for
> possible is due to abduction. But to believe in something doesn´t have a
> logical background, only its fixation can be analysed to four kinds. "I
> know, that not" is a knowledge, "I don´t know, that" too. "It is
> possible, that not" is a possibility, "It is not possible, that" is not a
> possibility anymore. "It is probable, that not" and "It is not probable,
> that" are both probabilities. "I believe, that not" is a belief, but "I
> don´t believe, that" is not a belief anymore. So, belief logically works
> like possibility, and knowledge like probability. But, while the difference
> between strong and weak negation in the case of possibility is clear, in
> the case of belief it is not so: Both agnostics and atheists are regarded
> for heretics by believers. Ok, a term is not syntax, but a rogue term leads
> to a rogue syntax: Strong and weak negation easily confused with each
> other. Possibility, probability, and knowledge are a Peircean categorial
> trichotomy, and belief is something illogical, non-Peircean, something
> rogue. Jungle hunter/gatherer folks, who live in a paradise without
> hierarchies, don´t even have to use hierarchical phrases. City folks, who
> have lost their entanglement with former basic certainties, have to create
> illogical terms and syntaxes, unconsciously trying to get some certainty
> back. This leads to culture. So, culture is a deficiency symptom. But a
> progress too, though to unknown direction. However, intelligence is being
> outsourced to the AI, so de-evolution starts, and when we will be unable to
> maintain the computers anymore, when the last LED will have stopped
> flashing, we will all be in a dull paradise without hierarchies or beliefs.
> But before that happens, something else, quite Peircean, will happen, and
> everything will be completely different again, I believe.
>
> Best, Helmut
>
>
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