> On Dec 6, 2016, at 11:56 AM, [email protected] wrote: > > The real, for CSP, revealed itself only 'in the long run'.
I’m not sure that’s quite right. It’s true that the meaning of the real is found in the long run. the opinion which is fated to be ultimately agreed to by all who investigate, is what we mean by truth, and the object represented in this opinion is the real But the real can easily reveal itself in the short run as well. It’s just that we will be fallible in our beliefs regarding it. But that’s always true. The point about the long run is simply a way to avoid that fallibilism in terms of what truth means. I think a case can be made that Peirce’s long run arises out of his frequentist (as opposed to bayesian) approach to probabilities. I think the point is much more about stability. If our beliefs about the real are stable through inquiry then if those beliefs are true then we can say the real has revealed itself.
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