neither a game theoretic nor ir person, i nevertheless have some
familiarity with both...

given that force & economic instruments are major techniques states
have to translate potential power into actual power, economic & military
strategists point to ostensible advantages that game theory provides
them in systematically analyzing choices states make and probable
outcomes: game theory simplifies complex choices states make, it forces
systematic examine assumptions, helping to clarify choices and offering
possibilities that may have been ignored, it helps people see other
positions...

of course, game theory make some critical assumptions: it assumes
unitary state in which internal factors play little role in determining
preferences, it assumes unitary state act rationally (that states choose
best option available), it gives arbitrary payoff structures in advance
(in reality, of course, states do not know relative values attached to
various choices or those of other side), it assumes that games occurs
one time
(actual international relations is extended set of games between same
actors, thus, outcome of multiple iterations - in which knowing choice
at one point in time helps each side to predict other's choice in
subsequent period - may be quite different that one time encounter)...
michael hoover

Reply via email to