You write: "I have no doubt that the votes were not counted at all at that night."
You also write: "Based on the results received from several provinces in which the counting process had finished, Mousavi realized that he is most probably the great winner." These two statements are contradictory, aren't they? Either the votes were counted or they weren't. The government's central count is an aggregation of the local counts. The government has published the ballot box tallies on the web. If according to Mousavi the results in several provinces showed that Mousavi was probably the winner, we should be able to compare those numbers to the government's tally and say where the discrepancy is. You write: "Such sense, as I well remember, was undoubtedly confirmed by those several friends of mine who were counting the votes in several provinces." Were your friends observers for Mousavi's or Karroubi's campaign? If so, can you ask them where they were observers and what their numbers were? If they were not observers for Mousavi's or Karroubi's campaign, what were their numbers based on? Do their numbers not match the official tallies from the areas where they were observers? Where is the discrepancy? You write: "Anyway, there are enough evidences for the hypothesis on a great fraud in the election. The lengthy report delivered by Mousavi to the Guardian Council has left no doubt.! " By "lengthy report" do you mean his letter to the Guardian Council that has been published on the web and translated to English by Teharan Bureau? http://tehranbureau.com/mousavis-letter/ This letter leaves a lot of doubt. One Iranian-American academic - not a supporter of the government - told me he thought Mousavi's letter was outrageous in its lack of detail, as well as in its claims that government policies to help poor people were evidence of "fraud." The crux of the matter is in this text at the link: "Lack of confidence in the ballot boxes being empty before they were sealed [before voting], disappearance of the voting forms and ballot boxes after voting, due to the fact that [our] monitors had been barred from being present at the voting places, as well as based on reports that have been received." I have been told that Mousavi had 41,000 observers, and that there were 45,000 ballot boxes. Which ballot boxes weren't empty before voting? Which monitors were barred from which polling places? Which ballot boxes were Mousavi's observers prevented from observing? 2009/7/1 Mohammad Maljoo <[email protected]>: > Robert Naiman wrote: > >>> And, they had a plausible motivation for the Friday announcement: the >>> opposition had already declared victory - before any votes were > counted at all - and was already mobilizing protests against a "stolen >> election" based on their own expectations -...<< > > Not at all. > > Fars news ( a pro-AN agancy) was the first press who announced the final > result (landslide victory of AN) at about 8 pm (in Tehran's horizon), > that is, two houres before finishing the voting time, immediately after > which IRNA ( another pro-AN agency) confirmed the news. Keyhan ( a > fundamentalist newspaper) seemed to provide its tomorrow headline (again, > landslide victory of AN) at about 9 pm. After all these, Mousavi announced > his victory and was congratulated by Khatami for such victory, at about 12 > pm or so. Why Mosavi did so? We didn't sleep that night, even for one > moment, trying to cover all events as far as possible. Based on the results > received from several provinces in which the counting process had finished, > Mousavi realized that he is most probably the great winner. Such sense, as I > well remember, was undoubtedly confirmed by those several friends of mine > who were counting the votes in several provinces. After these moments, we > suddenly become unable to call our friends: their all connections > instruments become useless (telephone, mobile, sms which had already > disconnected,...). After this, the state TV and several state agencies > were bit by bit announcing AN's landslide victory, with a more or less > fixed ratio of voting results from the beginning to the end. As an Iranian > active citizen who has lived these events, I have no doubt that the votes > were not counted at all at that night. > > Anyway, there are enough evidences for the hypothesis on a great fraud > in the election. The lengthy report delivered by Mousavi to the Guardian > Council has left no doubt.! But wha t is important here is that the struggle > is not legal but political. As it has very recently revealed from GC' > informal sessions, even a few members of GC well aware of this. The question > is not legal. > > M. M. > > > > > ________________________________ > Invite your mail contacts to join your friends list with Windows Live > Spaces. It's easy! Try it! > _______________________________________________ > pen-l mailing list > [email protected] > https://lists.csuchico.edu/mailman/listinfo/pen-l > > -- Robert Naiman Just Foreign Policy www.justforeignpolicy.org [email protected] _______________________________________________ pen-l mailing list [email protected] https://lists.csuchico.edu/mailman/listinfo/pen-l
