>>Doyle;Did this reaction to the election seem possible six months before the 
>>election to you?<<

As far as I know, no one was able to predict such fraud. Many analysts were 
well aware that An' mafia has many problems with election institution  if its 
results  are against. Also there were analysts who try to see if AN's mafia  
accept so easily to  give up the office after landslide victory of their rival. 
We wrongly thought that their capability for making fraud is at most about 6 
millions votes but, considering that we were waiting for a landslide victory of 
Mousavi, these 6 millions votes had no substantial impact on the final result. 
As far as I know, no one could imagine such big fraud.

>>Who organizes demonstrations?  Are they mostly spontaneous?<<

Many activists who were active in Mousavi's and Karoubi's campaign are in 
prison. Many connections between  the rest of  activists  have been  
disappeared.  As far as I know, there is no central organizer for deciding on 
how this or that event or movement must be implemented. As an active citizen 
who is permanently following every thing, I cannot understand the dynamics of  
demonstrations.

>>Do you think this has a long term implication?<<

There is no doubt that it is a turning point. Lots of long term implication. 
One of the most important implications: when the periodic vote has no impact on 
the structure of political power, radical actions will return and other forms 
of political participation will be rediscovered.

M. M.




From: [email protected]
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: [Pen-l] Habib Ahmadzadeh: Mousavi Must Say Which Ballot Boxes      
He      Disputes
Date: Wed, 1 Jul 2009 07:22:01 -0700

Greetings Economists,From my point of view I have some questions.
On Jul 1, 2009, at 5:26 AM, Mohammad Maljoo wrote:What  has  happened  is  
against the election institution itself. 
Doyle;Did this reaction to the election seem possible six months before the 
election to you?
Who organizes demonstrations?  Are they mostly spontaneous?
Do you think this has a long term implication?thanks,Doyle Saylor
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