Wouldn't it be fair to say that the driver is the expectations of
profits rather than profits, although current profits obviously do
have an effect on expectations.

On Tue, Jun 26, 2012 at 7:11 AM, robert mckee <[email protected]> wrote:
> http://thenextrecession.wordpress.com/2012/06/26/profits-call-the-tune/
>
> Empirical work done on the causes of ‘business cycles’ or booms and slumps
> in capitalist economies by all the mainstream economics researchers
> (Matthews, Wesley Mitchell, Tinbergen) conclude that the movement in
> investment is driven by movements in profitability.  But Keynes and the
> Keynesians ignored the evidence and continued with the mantra that “it is
> investment that calls the tune” , to use the phrase of Hyman Minsky.  This
> is the direct opposite of Marx’s view that ‘profits call the tune’.
>
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Michael Perelman
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California State University
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