On 3/26/06, Anand Buddhdev <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Hi people,
>
> I am trying to simulate this position, which came up in a live game I
> played this afternoon:
>
> Players: Anand (score 380), Seena (score 305)
>
> A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O
> ------------------------------
> 1|= ' A V O ' H O I|
> 2| - " B A N D I E S|
> 3| - N I D I O P |
> 4|' - ' J U T '|
> 5| - A T |
> 6| " O H U B C E " |
> 7| W O P ' A I L E D ' |
> 8|E R A ' L A D Y A ' =|
> 9| U E M ' ' N R ' |
> 10| " L Y A M G R I T " |
> 11| T O G - V |
> 12|' Q i I F E X '|
> 13| Z I N ' I ' N U |
> 14|E W E G " N " - |
> 15|R O L E E ' =|
> ------------------------------
>
> Unseen: AEFORST? (8) Anand to play with CREKSST
>
> When I generate a list of moves, and simulate them, they all come up
> with negative equity. After 200 iterations of a 2-ply sim, the top move
> is TURDS at G5, equity -10.86. So how do I work out my equity loss when
> the equity of all words is negative. This situation is further
> complicated by the fact that I actually tried NECKS/RIVENS* at 14H, and
> it was challenged off. So what would my equity loss in this case be?
Anand,
Sim a pass and use it as a surrogate for your phony. Your real equity
loss is slighty more than you'd figure this way, since Seena knows
half of your rack and that the last tile is one of some four, but
Quackle can't penalize you for that yet.
John
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