----- Original Message ----- From: "neil_franklyn" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: <[email protected]> Sent: Friday, December 24, 2004 8:23 PM Subject: [racebase] Auckland weather update : Part 2
> > > > Merry Xmas RaceBasers, > > The weather forecast for Boxing Day now looks reasonable following a > disastrous-looking map last night. A few showers for Xmas Day and > Boxing Day is the latest from the Met Service. > > The Ellerslie track is around the 3.2 [easy] mark currently. I'll > stick my neck out and say we'll see a track on the firm side of easy > when racing starts on Sunday. This should suit all runners. > > Bring it on! I'll be one of the mad buggers scrambling for a seat in > the one public grandstand now left at the ARC. > > I don't see much action, though, occurring on the betting front. > I'll keep a close eye on DEVOTED & FIGURINIT in the Newmarket. D is > on trial for the Railway following recovery from a deep-seated stone > bruise, while F is being readied for the Telegraph. > > VAALU is an interest too although I'm expecting him to be scratched. > The Newmarket looks like a trap betting-wise. > > LASHED rounds up my interest as she's a member of my 'pregnant mare' > betting stable, and is likely to be my sole investment for the day. > > Happy punting to all . . . > > Regards > > Neil > #### Thanks for the updates, Neil. We seem to have been getting Auckland-type weather up here (showers, fine spells, strong winds, more showers and the pattern repeated endlessly), which shouldn't do the track too much harm . . . not much different from an intensive watering programme. As long as today's showers weren't too heavy and there's a bit of sun and the wind blows tomorrow, the track should come up quite well — around the 2.6-3.0 mark. And I'd rather have natural watering of the track than the club's sprinklers . . . which tend to put some parts of the track over 4.0 and leave other parts 2.0 — then they tell you they've got a 3.0 track. I'll be leaving the handicaps alone tomorrow. La Sizeranne looks a put and take in the fillies race . . . I'm picking the big field will ensure a genuine pace and she'll outfinish these. My take on Basra is that if she was any good, she'd be staying at home to chase the really big money over there. Coming to NZ, looking for easier races, will provide Waterhouse with an appreciation of the strength of Kiwi three-year-olds. The Derby looks the best in years and my inclination is to attack the trifecta. Cheval De Troy, Jonathan Josh, Mandela and Xcellent are the win chances and also look to have the quinella sewn up. Impressive as he's been, I don't rate CDT that far ahead of the other three, if at all. Since the ARC introduced the Derby Trials, the Avondale Guineas has remained the better guide to Boxing Day and Mandela beat what I'd rate as the better field on Dec 12. Jonathan Josh's run when second to CDT was the better effort and Xcellent could be one of those freakish horses which turn up every 10 or so years. Good punting everyone. Gil ------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor --------------------~--> $4.98 domain names from Yahoo!. Register anything. http://us.click.yahoo.com/Q7_YsB/neXJAA/yQLSAA/9cOolB/TM --------------------------------------------------------------------~-> Yahoo! Groups Links <*> To visit your group on the web, go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/racebase/ <*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to: http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
