Dear Steve, 

On roads, metal fenders, reasonable clearance, and slicks? Lightning will 
strike first. Knobbies, rocky single-track, plastic fenders, tight trails in 
the woods? Buy spares. 

My Wednesday Night Lights bike goes through two Honjos a year because I set my 
650b machine up for gravel road travel/commuting and take it Hucking/ mountain 
biking at night after work. If I were better at manualing a bike over 
unexpected drops it would be no problem.

No trouble with sticks etc., but I kill front fenders on drop-offs. My rear 
light wiring got sheared off last week. It is time to pound out the fenders and 
run a new wire.

As a point of comparison, my RH, with 40k plus miles on the road, is on its 
original front fender....

When I still used SKS fenders, I blew through a couple of fronts a year just 
knocking around on the road, and got knocked down a couple of times. Metal 
fenders, properly mounted, are a vig step up in both reliability and 
efficiency. They are also ordinarily about 200g lighter than the same width 
chromoplaatics. Honjos or Berthoud are both pretty challenging to mount to 
Rivendells with horizontal dropouts, as Grant didn't set his bridges carefully..

Best,

Will
William M deRosset
Fort Collins CO

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