No, I'm fine with the slightly better than 50% chance actually, but I just don't put much value in rankings established back in February. The Blue Jays pitchers young pitchers are developing, and I think that's been a great contributor to their success, more so than A-Gone's crazy April.
I just wonder what the Rays' chances of making it to the playoffs in 08, prior to the emergence of Garza & Co. On Sun, Jun 6, 2010 at 10:24 AM, Steve Ouellette <[email protected]>wrote: > No reason to be obstinate. If you think the fact that the Blue Jays have > been as good as the Red Sox thus far means that they will be just as good > for the next four months, go ahead and keep your head in the sand :-) > > Is this somehow controversial that the Sox would have a slightly better > than 50 percent chance at the playoffs now that they're 1 1/2 games out? > > PECOTA predicts the Sox for 94 wins at this point, the Yankees for 93. > > Steve O > > > On Sun, Jun 6, 2010 at 10:07 AM, Tom Salemi <[email protected]> wrote: > >> So we should go by these numbers and not by the performance on the field. >> >> Gotcha. >> >> On Sun, Jun 6, 2010 at 9:18 AM, Steve Ouellette < >> [email protected]> wrote: >> >>> Baseball Prospectus current odds to make the playoffs. These are their >>> Pecota odds, which figures in the quality of the team, strength of schedule, >>> etc. -- not just their current mathematical numbers (thus the small chance >>> for the over-their-head Blue Jays): >>> >>> Rays 79% >>> Yankees 50% >>> Blue Jays 13% >>> Red Sox 55% >>> Wild-Card from out-of-division: 2% >>> >>> >>> On Sun, Jun 6, 2010 at 8:57 AM, Tom Salemi <[email protected]> wrote: >>> >>>> BTW, how much better would the Jays be if they still had Halladay. >>>> >>>> On Sun, Jun 6, 2010 at 8:15 AM, Steve Ouellette < >>>> [email protected]> wrote: >>>> >>>>> The Red Sox are now the highest scoring team in baseball. Amazingly, >>>>> the top four run scoring teams are all in the AL East. >>>>> >>>>> Steve O >>>>> >>>>> -- >>>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google >>>>> Groups "Red Sox Citizens" group. >>>>> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >>>>> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >>>>> [email protected]<redsoxcitizens%[email protected]> >>>>> . >>>>> For more options, visit this group at >>>>> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >>>>> >>>> >>>> -- >>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google >>>> Groups "Red Sox Citizens" group. >>>> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >>>> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >>>> [email protected]<redsoxcitizens%[email protected]> >>>> . >>>> For more options, visit this group at >>>> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >>>> >>> >>> -- >>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >>> "Red Sox Citizens" group. >>> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >>> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >>> [email protected]<redsoxcitizens%[email protected]> >>> . >>> For more options, visit this group at >>> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >>> >> >> -- >> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >> "Red Sox Citizens" group. >> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >> [email protected]<redsoxcitizens%[email protected]> >> . >> For more options, visit this group at >> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >> > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "Red Sox Citizens" group. > To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. > To unsubscribe from this group, send email to > [email protected]<redsoxcitizens%[email protected]> > . > For more options, visit this group at > http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Red Sox Citizens" group. To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [email protected]. For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en.
