Of course I use data.  I just keep it in context.  The context is that
it is an indicator of what was and can give you a feeling about the
future, but it is not an absolute predictor of what will be.

 

________________________________

From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Ray Salemi
Sent: Sunday, June 06, 2010 6:20 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: Highest scoring

 

John, I have to ask.

 

What did you base your feelings about the Red Sox on?  

 

I suspect you looked at the players on the team, considered their
ability, and came to a conclusion.

 

Unless you're telling me you based your feelings on no data whatsoever.

On Sun, Jun 6, 2010 at 6:09 PM, Beaudoin, John
<[email protected]> wrote:

Huh?
I don't get it.
People have feelings.
Data is stored in computers.

 

________________________________

From: [email protected] <[email protected]> 
To: [email protected] <[email protected]> 
Sent: Sun Jun 06 14:34:39 2010
Subject: Re: Highest scoring 

John, what you don't seem to get is that your feelings, or anyone's
feelings for that matter, are irrelevant when it comes to each
individual's take on the team.

 

People aren't going to say, "Well I've looked at this team, and I think
it's a 91 game team.  But wait, let me check out how John B. is feeling
because I can't come to any personal conclusions without that critical
information."

 

I prefer to come to my own conclusions.  I'm not a big one for listening
to pundits.

 

On Sun, Jun 6, 2010 at 3:26 PM, Beaudoin, John
<[email protected]> wrote:

Strength of remaining schedule plays into it I'm sure.  I'm not
surprised.

 

However, I am surprised that the BS of numbers still weighs heavy in the
minds of supposed baseball soothsayers.  Doesn't anyone just have a good
feeling about a team?

 

This is a good team.  It's not a rebuilding year.

They had one bad month and then an above average month.

Now they need to play one or two games above their current pace to make
the play-offs and that's 4 or 5 games above Ray's estimate of 91 games.

 

I'm confident and I'm happy.

 

This is an enjoyable season already regardless of what happens.  I don't
understand all the misery.  One thing I do take back whole-heartedly is
my statement that Ortiz is done without steroids.

 

________________________________

From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Steve Gendron
Sent: Sunday, June 06, 2010 12:05 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: RE: Highest scoring

 

I find it odd that the Yankee odds are lower than the Red Sox?

 

         

        
________________________________


        From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Steve Ouellette
        Sent: Sunday, June 06, 2010 9:18 AM
        To: [email protected]
        Subject: Re: Highest scoring

        Baseball Prospectus current odds to make the playoffs. These are
their Pecota odds, which figures in the quality of the team, strength of
schedule, etc. -- not just their current mathematical numbers (thus the
small chance for the over-their-head Blue Jays):
        
        Rays  79%
        Yankees  50%
        Blue Jays  13%
        Red Sox  55%
        Wild-Card from out-of-division: 2%

        On Sun, Jun 6, 2010 at 8:57 AM, Tom Salemi <[email protected]>
wrote:

        BTW, how much better would the Jays be if they still had
Halladay.

        On Sun, Jun 6, 2010 at 8:15 AM, Steve Ouellette
<[email protected]> wrote:

                The Red Sox are now the highest scoring team in
baseball. Amazingly, the top four run scoring teams are all in the AL
East.
                
                Steve O

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