Yeah, but the young pitchers are going to come back to earth (at least Ricky Romero will), and Jose Bautista and Alex Gonzalez are due for a steep, steep fall. If the Jays top 85 wins, I'll be surprised. Honestly, they're not much more talented than the Orioles.
Steve O On Sun, Jun 6, 2010 at 10:34 AM, Tom Salemi <[email protected]> wrote: > No, I'm fine with the slightly better than 50% chance actually, but I just > don't put much value in rankings established back in February. The Blue Jays > pitchers young pitchers are developing, and I think that's been a great > contributor to their success, more so than A-Gone's crazy April. > > I just wonder what the Rays' chances of making it to the playoffs in 08, > prior to the emergence of Garza & Co. > > > > > On Sun, Jun 6, 2010 at 10:24 AM, Steve Ouellette > <[email protected]>wrote: > >> No reason to be obstinate. If you think the fact that the Blue Jays have >> been as good as the Red Sox thus far means that they will be just as good >> for the next four months, go ahead and keep your head in the sand :-) >> >> Is this somehow controversial that the Sox would have a slightly better >> than 50 percent chance at the playoffs now that they're 1 1/2 games out? >> >> PECOTA predicts the Sox for 94 wins at this point, the Yankees for 93. >> >> Steve O >> >> >> On Sun, Jun 6, 2010 at 10:07 AM, Tom Salemi <[email protected]> wrote: >> >>> So we should go by these numbers and not by the performance on the field. >>> >>> Gotcha. >>> >>> On Sun, Jun 6, 2010 at 9:18 AM, Steve Ouellette < >>> [email protected]> wrote: >>> >>>> Baseball Prospectus current odds to make the playoffs. These are their >>>> Pecota odds, which figures in the quality of the team, strength of >>>> schedule, >>>> etc. -- not just their current mathematical numbers (thus the small chance >>>> for the over-their-head Blue Jays): >>>> >>>> Rays 79% >>>> Yankees 50% >>>> Blue Jays 13% >>>> Red Sox 55% >>>> Wild-Card from out-of-division: 2% >>>> >>>> >>>> On Sun, Jun 6, 2010 at 8:57 AM, Tom Salemi <[email protected]> wrote: >>>> >>>>> BTW, how much better would the Jays be if they still had Halladay. >>>>> >>>>> On Sun, Jun 6, 2010 at 8:15 AM, Steve Ouellette < >>>>> [email protected]> wrote: >>>>> >>>>>> The Red Sox are now the highest scoring team in baseball. Amazingly, >>>>>> the top four run scoring teams are all in the AL East. >>>>>> >>>>>> Steve O >>>>>> >>>>>> -- >>>>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google >>>>>> Groups "Red Sox Citizens" group. >>>>>> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >>>>>> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >>>>>> [email protected]<redsoxcitizens%[email protected]> >>>>>> . >>>>>> For more options, visit this group at >>>>>> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >>>>>> >>>>> >>>>> -- >>>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google >>>>> Groups "Red Sox Citizens" group. >>>>> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >>>>> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >>>>> [email protected]<redsoxcitizens%[email protected]> >>>>> . >>>>> For more options, visit this group at >>>>> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >>>>> >>>> >>>> -- >>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google >>>> Groups "Red Sox Citizens" group. >>>> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >>>> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >>>> [email protected]<redsoxcitizens%[email protected]> >>>> . >>>> For more options, visit this group at >>>> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >>>> >>> >>> -- >>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >>> "Red Sox Citizens" group. >>> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >>> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >>> [email protected]<redsoxcitizens%[email protected]> >>> . >>> For more options, visit this group at >>> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >>> >> >> -- >> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >> "Red Sox Citizens" group. >> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >> [email protected]<redsoxcitizens%[email protected]> >> . >> For more options, visit this group at >> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >> > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "Red Sox Citizens" group. > To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. > To unsubscribe from this group, send email to > [email protected]<redsoxcitizens%[email protected]> > . > For more options, visit this group at > http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Red Sox Citizens" group. To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [email protected]. For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en.
