On Fri, Oct 15, 2004 at 03:47:41PM -0700, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
> > the reasons stated above.... in the end.. hopefully this tragic
> > business of 50% margins and higher will go away... and a
> > healthier, longer-term business will replace it..
> 
> That's a fallacy.  There is no way the US software industry is generating
> 50% margins as a whole (unless Microsoft's huge margins and market share
> are throwing skewing the numbers).  I mean looking at the number of
> companies loosing money.

At best, it'd be called an exaggeration, except that considering the number
of private proprietary software companies out there, anybody would have a
difficult time proving anything... but since we're not proving anything
here and I'm just trying to get my point across, the point is margins 
are very high in software... which is why in the past ten years we software
developers have been able to demand such high salaraies...so it's no surprise 
that market forces are popping up which would reduce this.

One of those market forces is free software... another one is offshoring
development.... and yet another is the already pretty well known force of
advancing software development tools.

I hope my point is coming across.  Whether it's agreed with or not isn't
really as important to me.

The one force that is an unknown quantity to me, is my observation that
every time someone predicts doom and gloom for the software market, it
explodes into a huge new and better market.... precisely defying the
predictions that people like I might make.  My own theory on this is
that commodotization of certain software will lead to an exponentially
larger set of new software that needs development.

When I finish writing my database or object generation tools, does my
work get any easier?  Yes... Do I find that I have less work to do?
No... because all of the sudden I can do ten times the number of things
that I was originally planning to do... so now my work load has increased
by say... a factor of two...

>From this perspective.. chance we may all benefit greatly by having 
everybody adopt open source as soon and often as is reasonable.

These are just idle musings.. I prove nor deny nothing, anything, and
everything.. :-)

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