|> I think I read that one. It was right before dram bandwidth took a
|> sharp upward turn from something like 400mhz to I think 
|1600mhz today.
|> Prior to that, it exhibited less than half the rate of change,
|> increasing from 100 mhz in 1998 to 400 mhz in 2005.
|>
|
|ah, then... perhaps tony can weigh in with a: "Yea, all good now" or
|"well, it's not quite as simple as that... + explanation?" ?? I was
|under the impression that DRAM wasn't the issue, but I'm fuzzy now as
|to the details.


DRAM is a clear case in point where our growth exceeds what technology has
delivered.  Thus we simply can't "throw hardware at the problem".

Now I have to confess that I'm certainly not the world's expert on DRAM
technology, but nothing that I've seen so far truly changes the equation.
First, recall that the focus is on commodity DRAM, as that is the segment
that drives volumes and thus prices.  Yes, we can always go off of the
commodity cost curve, but if we're willing to do that we can also just throw
gobs of SRAM at the problem.  Again the point is what we will be able to do
for constant cost.

So far, what I'm seeing is that faster memories are not going to be the
mainstream.  Yes, that may change, but we have yet to see how that is going
to play out.

>From the technology front, my understanding is that these higher bandwidths
are being achieved through more channels (i.e., replication) and by
migrating from DDR2 to DDR3.  This improves the bandwidth to memory, but
does not improve the latency of the underlying memory cells.  (Ref:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DDR3_SDRAM).  

Unfortunately, BGP has an annoying tendency to do fairly random access (tree
walks) through large data sets and then perform read-modify-write operations
(e.g., adding a path to an existing route and then performing the best-path
computation), certain operations such as caching and pre-fetching have
limited benefits and latency remains the key concern.

In short, unless there's a significant change in the underlying technology
of the single DRAM cell, things aren't going to change significantly.

Regards,
Tony



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