Re: [Marxism] 44 percent of workers in Brandenburg voted AfD yesterday

2019-09-03 Thread Angelus Novus via Marxism
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 The data is self-reported, so take that for what it's worth.  The available 
categories being "workers", "salaried employees", "self-employed", and 
"retirees/pensioners".

I'm curious what the breakdown for Saxony looks like.


Am Montag, 2. September 2019, 23:31:59 MESZ hat Mark Lause 
 Folgendes geschrieben:  
 
 This doesn't tell us anything about how they're defining the category?  Or 
what was going on in other places? 
I rethink things continually, but haven't had much reason to reconsider my 
sense that these terms have little practical meaning the way most people use 
them.

On Mon, Sep 2, 2019, 11:39 AM Angelus Novus via Marxism 
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Interesting breakdown by social class:
https://twitter.com/formelfriedrich/status/1168402855880994816
In confronting the rise of authoritarian far-right populism, Marxists should 
really re-think the old Trotskyist shibboleths about fascism being a primarily 
petit-bourgeois or "Bonapartist" phenomenon.  It's pretty clear that the new 
far-right has a substantial proletarian base.






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Re: [Marxism] 44 percent of workers in Brandenburg voted AfD yesterday

2019-09-02 Thread RKOB via Marxism

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The following information might be of interest for readers as it 
concerns a wide-spread mistake which can lead to a certain confusion (or 
at least lack of precise data):


In German language (and I am sure statistical data concerning an 
election in Germany rely on German sources) the word "worker" means 
"Arbeiter". This is however not identical with the Marxist category of 
the working class.


"Arbeiter" usually means blue-collar or manual worker. Other sectors of 
the working class are a large part of the "Angestellte" (which basically 
means white-collar worker in the private sector) and "Beamte" or 
"Öffentlich Bedienstete" (which means workers in the public sector).


It is a wide-spread phenomena that some sectors of the blue-collar 
worker who suffer strongly from de-industrialization and who have been 
"forgotten" by the reformist parties (which themselves become more and 
more dominated by middle class people) follow the reactionary racists on 
an electoral level.


Am 02.09.2019 um 17:38 schrieb Angelus Novus via Marxism:

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Interesting breakdown by social class:
https://twitter.com/formelfriedrich/status/1168402855880994816
In confronting the rise of authoritarian far-right populism, Marxists should really 
re-think the old Trotskyist shibboleths about fascism being a primarily petit-bourgeois 
or "Bonapartist" phenomenon.  It's pretty clear that the new far-right has a 
substantial proletarian base.






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Re: [Marxism] 44 percent of workers in Brandenburg voted AfD yesterday

2019-09-02 Thread Nick Fredman via Marxism
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I agree with the substantive point that working class support for the far
right is real and a big concern, and also that for Marxists class is a
socio-political process rather than a static sociological category. On the
latter however, if we’re going to take any notice of voting (or voter or
social attitude survey) data at all, as at least surface-level empirical
indicators of underlying class processes, we might as well try to have the
best possible indicators.

There’s a lot of confusion in leftist commentary on voting and attitudes
around the fact that mainstream commentary often uses an
occupational/educational definitions of class rather than a Marxist
definition, notwithstanding the limitations of any fixed categories for
Marxist analysis. Self-employed or even employing tradespeople are often
categorized as “working class”, while non-managerial white-collar workers
who have zero autonomy at work and are union members can be categorized as
“middle class”.

The categories in the tweet in question seem to be, if google is
translating accurately for me, respectively “manual workers”, “white collar
employees”, “self-employed” and pensioners”, and the employer/employee
relationship at least doesn’t seem mixed up. Knowing the “class”
composition of each party (rather than as here the voting composition of
each “class”), and any change over time, would both be good to know.

With aggregate data like this we’re stuck with the categories given, and
should be particularly wary of reifying them as indicating class as such.
But if we’re able to get person-level survey data we might have some
control over categorising respondents in a more Marxist framework. In my
view the best way to do that within the limitations of most social
attitudes or voter surveys is use categories of non-managerial workers (of
whatever collar-colour), salaried managers, and business owners.

For those interested in these issues I published an article in Capitalism,
Nature, Socialism in 2012 relaying this class categorisation to attitudes
and voting in the Australian Election Study, as part of an analysis of the
Australian Greens (non-paywall and extended version here
http://links.org.au/node/3180).

More recently I’ve been noodling with the openly available 2016 Australian
Election Study and have posted some notes and plots on the class
composition of voting blocs here
https://m.facebook.com/story/graphql_permalink/?graphql_id=UzpfSTU5NDQyMzM3NDoxMDE1Njc0MDY3OTMyODM3NQ%3D%3D
and scored on an attitude to immigration scale by party vote here
https://m.facebook.com/story/graphql_permalink/?graphql_id=UzpfSTU5NDQyMzM3NDoxMDE1Njc2NDE3NzQ0MzM3NQ%3D%3D

The latter are steps towards regression modeling of the probability of
voting for different parties, in which I expect class to have an effects on
voting that’s partly direct, and partly indirect, mediated by attitudes to
unions, business and immigrants (and maybe activity as participation in
strikes and protests are asked about in this survey).


On Tue, 3 Sep 2019 at 10:13 am, ioannis aposperites via Marxism <
marxism@lists.csbs.utah.edu> wrote:

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>
> > Interesting breakdown by social class:
> > https://twitter.com/formelfriedrich/status/1168402855880994816
> > In confronting the rise of authoritarian far-right populism, Marxists
> should really re-think the old Trotskyist shibboleths about fascism being a
> primarily petit-bourgeois or "Bonapartist" phenomenon.  It's pretty clear
> that the new far-right has a substantial proletarian base.
> >
> >
> >Well, I think fascism is a movement not a "authoritarian far-right
> populist" party and certainly not just some pieces of paper in a ballot
> box in Brandenburg.
> Marxian social class is not a sociological category:  "the proletariat"
> is not just 'the workers" who as individuals are not immune to fascism,
> let alone to "authoritarian far-right populism".
>
> JA
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Re: [Marxism] 44 percent of workers in Brandenburg voted AfD yesterday

2019-09-02 Thread ioannis aposperites via Marxism

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Interesting breakdown by social class:
https://twitter.com/formelfriedrich/status/1168402855880994816
In confronting the rise of authoritarian far-right populism, Marxists should really 
re-think the old Trotskyist shibboleths about fascism being a primarily petit-bourgeois 
or "Bonapartist" phenomenon.  It's pretty clear that the new far-right has a 
substantial proletarian base.


Well, I think fascism is a movement not a "authoritarian far-right 
populist" party and certainly not just some pieces of paper in a ballot 
box in Brandenburg.
Marxian social class is not a sociological category:  "the proletariat" 
is not just 'the workers" who as individuals are not immune to fascism, 
let alone to "authoritarian far-right populism".


JA
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Re: [Marxism] 44 percent of workers in Brandenburg voted AfD yesterday

2019-09-02 Thread Ralph Johansen via Marxism

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Angelus Novus wrote

Interesting breakdown by social class:
https://twitter.com/formelfriedrich/status/1168402855880994816
In confronting the rise of authoritarian far-right populism, Marxists 
should really re-think the old Trotskyist shibboleths about fascism 
being a primarily petit-bourgeois or "Bonapartist" phenomenon.  It's 
pretty clear that the new far-right has a substantial proletarian base.


Oh wow. So many questions. How far do we have to reach to understand a 
trend such as this, which becomes general and undeniable in the west, no 
matter how you parse class, it seems. Why is the left so weak? Are we in 
abject denial about that? There is nothing in the recent history of the 
left, as presently perceived, to give the working class any real hope in 
a socialist direction. Social democracy, top-down authoritarianism in 
left history and experience, euro-communism and the communism of the 
USSR and eastern Europe, the experience of Cambodia, Vietnam, Indonesia, 
Chile, Portugal, and failed left-Bonapartism in Venezuela, the general 
failure of socialism in one country, now approaching in Cuba, as in 
North Korea in the face of China's trajectory, China's turn toward 
capitalist authoritarian government, and its success for some and for 
how long, as AI proceeds and resource wars and chaos kick in. The 
absence of a viable vision for the working class among Marxists. And the 
effects of nationalism-chauvinism-racism-immigrant-bashing-patriarchy in 
a fractured capitalist society and culture. Where the existing shallow 
version of capitalist governance is no longer serving the interests of 
the majority of workers and supporting their hopes for their life 
chances, as that burgeoning, dynamic system has in the recent past, and 
the vaguest promise on the right is the only alternative left to so many 
- for now. We know we're in deep doodoo, and we can see only faint, 
flickering embers in movements of protest around the world right now. We 
aren't really reaching effectively for underlying conditions producing 
that turn to the authoritarian right. And what we can do once we 
understand that. Where there is no vision the people perish., and yet 
never more needed, in a time of powerful waning-systemic centrifugal 
forces moving us closer to annihilation, and the irreversible effects of 
the past 200 years of capitalist surge on climate.


The surprise remaining may be due to the shallow nature of working class 
support for capitalism and its very evident lack of direction or 
program, and the coming economic (and environmental) collapse, which on 
the basis of past periodic recurrence of panic is overdue. Can we 
somehow come through the gathering storm without nuclear holocaust? Have 
contradictions in the system reached the point of impasse? Can 
capitalism find its way through, overcome yet another set of barriers 
and find its legs again? If not, socialism has an opening - if theory, 
from the working class itself, informs practice with a credible program 
and an awakened leadership. The working class appears to have come a 
long way on that path so far, in many vital respects, and has much 
experience to build on and lessons to be
well-learned from. As communication, coordination and combination have 
become global for capitalist production, that is also true, potentially, 
for its adversary as well, renewing hope for solidarity. The challenge 
and the trend in the wrong direction seem insuperable, if we lose sight 
of our already amply demonstrated, potential collective genius and 
power, and build on it.

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Re: [Marxism] 44 percent of workers in Brandenburg voted AfD yesterday

2019-09-02 Thread Mark Lause via Marxism
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This doesn't tell us anything about how they're defining the category?  Or
what was going on in other places?

I rethink things continually, but haven't had much reason to reconsider my
sense that these terms have little practical meaning the way most people
use them.


On Mon, Sep 2, 2019, 11:39 AM Angelus Novus via Marxism <
marxism@lists.csbs.utah.edu> wrote:

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>
>
> Interesting breakdown by social class:
> https://twitter.com/formelfriedrich/status/1168402855880994816
> In confronting the rise of authoritarian far-right populism, Marxists
> should really re-think the old Trotskyist shibboleths about fascism being a
> primarily petit-bourgeois or "Bonapartist" phenomenon.  It's pretty clear
> that the new far-right has a substantial proletarian base.
>
>
>
>
>
>
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Re: [Marxism] 44 percent of workers in Brandenburg voted AfD yesterday

2019-09-02 Thread Michael Meeropol via Marxism
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I wonder if the very concept of the "petit bourgeois" is valuable --- the
"labor aristocracy" seems to be very prone to racism, xenophobic
nationalism, and support for authoritarianism --- Since so many small
businesses fail on a regular basis, how "permanent" is membership in the
petit bourgeoisie under late capitalism?



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