RE: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-17 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dan Minette <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
Nick wrote:
>  Is there
> some reason I'm not
> > aware of that you and your network of highly
> placed acquaintances
> > would need to be notified if we were planning an
> act of high treason?

In his rush to play the man instead of the ball, Nick
completely misses the point of my posts.  The whole
thrust of my argument is precisely that, for there to
be a conspiracy of the type alleged, thousands of
_perfectly ordinary_ people would have to be involved.
 Not nefarious actors with malevolent links to Saudi
financiers.  Just engineers, scientists, civil
servants, businessmen, and even students.  If Nick
were to plot high treason, we'd never know - well,
until he was caught, of course.  But for this type of
conspiracy to have occurred - one in which the towers
were destroyed by explosives inside the building, and
then the evidence of this suppressed after the attacks
- then literally thousands of people would have to be
involved in the coverup, because that's how many
people were involved in the investigation and/or have
the skills to identify flaws in the published reports
about the investigation.  The number of people
involved is so large that even a graduste student
without wealth or political connections would have to
know many, many people involved - so many that for me
not to have noticed _something_ strange going on would
take either heroic stupidity or active connivance. 
Either of those is possible, of course.  Jonathan had
the courtesy to disclaim any such beliefs, but Nick
does not need to, of course.

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com

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RE: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-17 Thread Dan Minette


> -Original Message-
> From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
> Behalf Of Nick Arnett
> Sent: Sunday, September 17, 2006 9:17 PM
> To: Killer Bs Discussion
> Subject: Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there
> is no reliable information?)
> 
> On 9/15/06, Gautam Mukunda <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> 
> > So either my entire immediate family and a surprising
> > proportion of my friends, and I, were all in on the
> > conspiracy
> 
> I'm sorry, but I don't quite see why it would be necessary for you and
> your various acquaintances to have been part or or even aware of any
> of various conspiracy scenarios that are floated around.
> 
> I'm not saying that the conspiracy theories are more credible as a
> result... just that I don't quite grok your reasoning.
> 
> It seems to me that the "need to know" theory idea --
> compartmentalization of sensitive operations -- would assure that you
> and your various pals would be in the dark, since I really can't
> imagine why any of the people you describe would need to know about
> such an operation if there were one.  Is there some reason I'm not
> aware of that you and your network of highly placed acquaintances
> would need to be notified if we were planning an act of high treason?

I think the argument is not that these folks would have to know it
beforehand, but would have had to see telltale signs afterwards if they were
as obvious as the various conspiracy theories argue.  The conspiracy theory
that is given by the loose change video clearly would require thousands of
conspirators.  "Scholars for 9-11 truth" argues that the official
explanation is impossible.  If they could see it, then why did the McKensey
study miss it?  Why did all the structural engineering departments who
studied this miss it?  They either all had to be blind or in on the plan.

Now, if someone were to come up with a plausible theory that involved only a
handful of key players being in on it, and being so perfect that the results
are identical to those that would result if it were AQ attacking with
planes, then that theory would no longer suffer from that problem that
thousands of Americans had to either be in on the coverup or unbelievably
stupid. 

These types of conspiracy theories, as I've seen them, involve a very weak
link with the President just downplaying terrorism vs.  N. Korea as a
security threat.  In short, no-one has come up with a mechanism by which a
few folks could have faked a terrorist attack without leaving clues that
people like Gautam's friends should have picked up.  

For that matter, if the arguments on these sites were true, _I'm_ an idiot
for not being able to do simple physicsOK, I know I gave you a straight
line there. :-)

Dan M. 


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Re: 9/11 conspiracies or why the Red Sox collapsed

2006-09-17 Thread Doug Pensinger

Bob wrote:



Good to here from you. So even though you are clearly wrong about 9/11
(everyone knows that it was a mutant energizer buddy sent by the Bush 
daughters because they could not count up to 103 and were therefore 
insulted by the
towers) I hope you have some more insight into the collapse of your 
beloved sox.  I think George talked to George who told Manny David that 
they had to lose. The  future of the free world depends on Yankee 
victory. Seriously who do you

like  for MVP


Big Hurt. 8^)

--
Doug
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Re: Jobs, not trees! (Collapse, Chapter 2)

2006-09-17 Thread Doug Pensinger

 Dan wrote:
 Popular science programs (especially on places like the Discovery
channel) often/usually overstate the scientific certainty in such 
matters.


We're discussing Diamond's book Collapse, as is indicated in the subject 
header, and while I have no objection whatsoever to your participation in 
the discussion, I'm not sure that you're qualified to draw conclusions 
about the material if you haven't read it.


--
Doug
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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-17 Thread Nick Arnett

On 9/15/06, Gautam Mukunda <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:


So either my entire immediate family and a surprising
proportion of my friends, and I, were all in on the
conspiracy


I'm sorry, but I don't quite see why it would be necessary for you and
your various acquaintances to have been part or or even aware of any
of various conspiracy scenarios that are floated around.

I'm not saying that the conspiracy theories are more credible as a
result... just that I don't quite grok your reasoning.

It seems to me that the "need to know" theory idea --
compartmentalization of sensitive operations -- would assure that you
and your various pals would be in the dark, since I really can't
imagine why any of the people you describe would need to know about
such an operation if there were one.  Is there some reason I'm not
aware of that you and your network of highly placed acquaintances
would need to be notified if we were planning an act of high treason?

Nick
Not On the List, Either, I'm Pretty Sure

--
Nick Arnett
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Messages: 408-904-7198
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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-17 Thread William T Goodall


On 18 Sep 2006, at 12:43AM, Dave Land wrote:


On Sep 16, 2006, at 4:24 PM, William T Goodall wrote:


On 16 Sep 2006, at 9:12PM, Dave Land wrote:


After watching the "Pyroclastic" video that WTG pointed to,


Not me.

Just to clear that up Maru


Of course not. It was Jonathan Gibson.

Gibson ... Goodall ... I think there's more to the similarity
of these names than meets the eye. ;-)



We're obviously part of the world-wide secret conspiracy of people  
whose surnames begin with G.


Not so secret now Maru

--
William T Goodall
Mail : [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Web  : http://www.wtgab.demon.co.uk
Blog : http://radio.weblogs.com/0111221/

"It is our belief, however, that serious professional users will run  
out of things they can do with UNIX." - Ken Olsen, President of DEC,  
1984.



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Re: Jobs, not trees! (Collapse, Chapter 2)

2006-09-17 Thread Bemmzim
In a message dated 9/17/2006 3:29:42 P.M. Eastern Standard Time,  
[EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

I think  a key point in the moral tale is the assumption that the population
lived  on the island for hundreds of years before the deforestation took
place.  This fits well with people who are in touch with the land and know
how to  live wisely.  The moral tale then has them fall from grace, and  using
up resources on trivial things (the statues being the best  example).  If,
however, the problems start with the rats gnawing seeds  from the very
beginning, as well as human cultivation from the very  beginning, a different
picture emerges.
I did not take Diamond to be saying that religious fanaticism was the sole  
cause of the collapse. Although I have not read the book in awhile I think he  
meant to show that the isolated population could not sustain itself for  a 
variety of reasons including lack of  accessible fish etc. A civilization may 
last for  centuries before its actions sufficiently degrade the environment.  
Think of Mesopotamia. When it was the cradle of civilization it was the  
fertile 
crescent. Now it is mostly desert (that is it is Iraq). How  did this happen? 
Over time the people living in the region degraded  the environment (cut down 
the trees - always a bad idea). But  it took quite a long time.  In the Easter 
Islands it is  possible that the civilization that was already in decline 
when the  practice of making the statues began in earnest in response to that  
decline. 



This leads to my argument.  It is dangerous to make  general conclusions from
limited data about prehistoric civilizations   (prehistoric in the sense that
we do not have a history of the civilization  to study.)




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Re: 9/11 conspiracies or why the Red Sox collapsed

2006-09-17 Thread Bemmzim
 
Good to here from you. So even though you are clearly wrong about 9/11  
(everyone knows that it was a mutant energizer buddy sent by the Bush daughters 
 
because they could not count up to 103 and were therefore insulted by the  
towers) I hope you have some more insight into the collapse of your beloved 
sox.  I 
think George talked to George who told Manny David that they had to lose. The 
 future of the free world depends on Yankee victory. Seriously who do you 
like  for MVP

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RE: Week 2 NFL Picks

2006-09-17 Thread Jim Sharkey

John D. Giorgis wrote:
>NY Giants at Philadelphia - Pick: EAGLES

How about them Giants??  I can't believe they turned that around, as 
they were being soundly whupped for the first 40 minutes of the game.
Though I have to wonder if it's a sign of their resiliency or the 
Eagles' inability to close out games.

Jim

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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-17 Thread Dave Land

On Sep 16, 2006, at 4:24 PM, William T Goodall wrote:


On 16 Sep 2006, at 9:12PM, Dave Land wrote:


After watching the "Pyroclastic" video that WTG pointed to,


Not me.

Just to clear that up Maru


Of course not. It was Jonathan Gibson.

Gibson ... Goodall ... I think there's more to the similarity
of these names than meets the eye. ;-)

Dave

Deeper Hidden Meanings Maru

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RE: Jobs, not trees! (Collapse, Chapter 2)

2006-09-17 Thread Dan Minette


> -Original Message-
> From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
> Behalf Of Doug Pensinger
> Sent: Wednesday, September 13, 2006 11:54 PM
> To: Killer Bs Discussion
> Subject: Re: Jobs, not trees! (Collapse, Chapter 2)
> 
> Dan wrote:
> 
> >> -Original Message-
> >> From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> >> On
> >> Behalf Of Gary Denton
> >> Sent: Tuesday, September 12, 2006 1:33 AM
> >> To: Killer Bs Discussion
> >> Subject: Re: Jobs, not trees! (Collapse, Chapter 2)
> >>
> >> I'll just make a brief interjection that a new study suggests that
> >> Diamond got it wrong.  Easter Island forest deprivation was more
> >> likely caused by rats brought by the colonists, who also arrived much
> >> later then previously thought.  The human depopulation was caused by
> >> slave traders and diseases introduced by Europeans..
> >
> > This is a good find, Gary.  I had read about this a while ago, but
> didn't
> > have website reference available.
> >
> > It reinforces one of the criticisms of using tentative archeological
> > finds
> > as the foundation for analysis of present day problems.  Many times,
> > these
> > finds are a virtual tabula rossa, which allows an author with
> > convictions to
> > see his point well proven by a history that is conveniently veiled.
> 
> Actually I have a number of problems with the article.  First, he blames
> the deforestation on the rats, but offers only evidence that the giant
> palms were endangered by the rodents.  There were several other species of
> large trees, what became of them?  Remember, when first contacted, the
> islanders were in small, leaky canoes.  Second, the actual population of
> the island at its height is still in question.  Diamond had a good deal
> more substantiation for his estimate than I saw in this article.  Third
> the conclusion that the population collapse occurred after contact with
> European explorers is not well substantiated.  Has he established that the
> cannibalism that occurred was after contact?  Finally, I think that the
> author's objectivity is questionable.  He admits that one of the reasons
> he took on the project was that a student of his from the island peaked
> his interest.  It is more than likely that a native of the island would be
> anxious to disprove the idea that his ancestors were so irresponsible.

I'm not sure that you see the same basic arguments that I do. I see his two
main points as:

1) The conventional dating of human artifacts in lakes is conventionally
early because it was taken from lakes.  We have established that old
sediment in lakes does get mixed up with newer human artifacts in other
lakes, thus it is possible that this is seen on Easter Island.  Further,
since we found a wonderful spot to excavate on the one good beach on the
island, and have established an earliest date of 800 AD there, this is the
most probable time of landing.  Therefore, the deforestation started at the
beginning of the period.

2) Investigation of deforestation in other Polynesian islands has given us a
model for a likely scenario.  Both humans and rats have been tied to
deforestation.  However, we do not have a case of massive deforestation with
humans alone, while we do have a case of minimal human artifacts and
evidence of a substantial rat population tied to deforestation.  Thus, there
is at least some evidence that rats have a stronger impact than humans.

That seems reasonable to me on an offhand basis, but it will take a while
for this work to take its place in the forming consensus.  My point is not
really that all of Diamonds assertions have been proven wrong by new
research.  My point is that we know fairly little about cultures such as
these.  Popular science programs (especially on places like the Discovery
channel) often/usually overstate the scientific certainty in such matters.
Reports of cannibalism are not sufficient to show a very large population
(15k or so) that dwindled due to deforestation. 

I think a key point in the moral tale is the assumption that the population
lived on the island for hundreds of years before the deforestation took
place. This fits well with people who are in touch with the land and know
how to live wisely.  The moral tale then has them fall from grace, and using
up resources on trivial things (the statues being the best example).  If,
however, the problems start with the rats gnawing seeds from the very
beginning, as well as human cultivation from the very beginning, a different
picture emerges.

This leads to my argument.  It is dangerous to make general conclusions from
limited data about prehistoric civilizations  (prehistoric in the sense that
we do not have a history of the civilization to study.)

Dan M.


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Re: 9-11 conspiricy theories

2006-09-17 Thread Charlie Bell


On 17/09/2006, at 9:12 AM, Dan Minette wrote:



The first thing I want to address is the idea that folks who have the
knowledge needed to demonstrate something is clearly wrong with an  
official
report fail to do so out of fear of losing work because they are  
lumped with
the "tinfoil hat" people.  This is a standard argument that I've  
heard from

folks who argue against the validity of quantum mechanics, special
relativity, evolution, etc.  That folks would not dare to point out  
that the

emperor has no clothes.


...and failing to realise that Einstein, Darwin, Newton, Galileo and  
others did *exactly* this in their day. Pointing out a glaring flaw  
in a current body of theory and doing the work that ushers in a new  
way of thinking is the Holy Grail to researchers. If it was so easy  
to turn over evolution or relativity with a few criticisms, it would  
have been done already (and in fact has been to large parts of the  
original versions of those theories...)


Charlie
Just Got Off A 17 Hour Plane Ride, Will Respond More Tomorrow Maru
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Re: 9/11 conspiracies

2006-09-17 Thread Gibson Jonathan


I bow to all of your greater intellects & training.

I recognize the need to split the political from the physical on this 
topic.  My training is insufficient to explore many of the arcane 
directions of science this leads and clearly my brain has gelled into 
some kind of tapioca over the years.  I still get random misfirings 
originating from up in there somewhere enough that certain aspects 
remain hard to accept, but I am willing to let this go.  I'm opening my 
mouth wide here for a heaping helping of crow and wonder who wants to 
use the spoon & who gets the fork.



On Sep 16, 2006, at 4:19 PM, Gautam Mukunda wrote:


--- Gibson Jonathan <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

I have no idea if your accomplished friend is in on
anything.  If I had
I would have directly said so.  I wasn't trying to
besmirch her, I was
pointing out many people accept a
go-along-to-get-along mentality and
yet others find this quite handy for climbing the
ladders of power.


Greetings John.  That _may_ be true.  But think about
whta that means in this case.  It means that she (and
I, and many other people I know) are so committed to
"climing the ladders of power" that we're willing to
countenance - and in fact, actively cover for - high
treason.  Do you really think that's plausible?



No, I didn't.  I really thought I stated that clearer.
I was speaking of people's willingness to look the other way when 
confronted with something that may shake their world view.



Personally, I had never considered massive {in
repurcussion} internal
conspiracies from within until I read Tom Clancy's
"Red Storm Rising"
many years ago: facing an internal crisis a central
soviet cabal
orchestrates an attack on the schoolchildren by
terrorists as pretext
to hide other systemic failures by launching WWIII.


Yeah, but, that's a _novel_.  I'm not saying
conspiracices never happen - they do - but it's a
novel.  It's also a novel about the Soviet Union, and
most people would say the old Soviet Union operated a
little differently than the US does.



Of course, it was just to illustrate.  It was my intro to a notion I'd 
seen before through my love of history, but brought into a modern 
context.  I will say that human history is ripe with examples of 
immense nastiness across cultures and mankind has proven remarkably 
resilient to change.  Unfortunately.



Webster Tarply's
role in uncovering NATO intelligence behind the
multiple false-flag
machine-gun terror attacks by "Reds" in Italy - and
one such kidnapping
which killed a government minister is part of the
Italian public
record.  General Smedley "war is a racket" Butler
was approached by a
cabal of wealthy industrialists who sought to
overthrow Roosevelt in
the 1930's, but he refused and exposed them - with
no action taken to
imprison them: this ought to inform your opinion of
some timeless facts
about American power structures.  Operation
Northwoods was concocted by
American generals in the early 1960's to hijack
planes and kill
Americans as pretext to inciting a Cuban invasion -
Kennedy nixed it
and fired the perps.


I'm not going to comment on any of these in particular
- except to point out that even if they occurred, they
all involve a handful of people, and they were all
_discovered_.  Any 9/11 conspiracy would involve
thousands of people - it would have to be so large,
remember, that it would probably include someone as
insignificant as me - and _none of them_ would have
ever said a word about it.  Don't you think that's an
entirely different kettle of fish?



I'd say it's not beyond the realm to conceal a great deal when 
assumptions are accepted and people WANT to move on.  As Robert 
Heinlein said, "Man is not a rational creature, it is a rationalizing 
one."  I'll just say their are many things I've heard that the {MIT?  
Sorry to be vague!} studies overstate the temperature and even 
empirical duration of the heat - but without access to this, and 
someone with some training to look into this I will stand aside.



I'm reminded of a saying Gore Vidal once said
describing how things
have long worked in D.C., "I won't rat out your
scheme, if you don't
rat out mine."  Much mischief gets done all the time
by our so-called
protector class.  Why insist black hearted and
aristo-minded people
could not possibly treat us as expendable chattel?


Well, I met Gore Vidal in June and let's just say, I'm
not impressed by his insight into how the government
works.  I'm sure he likes to think that's how it
works, but that doesn't mean that it does.



Perhaps, but I have found a lot of correlation with my own experiences, 
observations of humanity at political play, and his parables.  This was 
but one small anecdote he was told by his grandfather walking the 
capital as the Stalin-like buildings of the Supreme Court and other 
buildings were under construction.  Perhaps he lacks a tactical 
up-to-date savvy to swim in those waters with any purpose as he is out 
of the sausage making machinery.  I 

Week 2 NFL Picks

2006-09-17 Thread John D. Giorgis
After one week, I am 11-5.  
 
Buffalo at Miami - The Bills return to the "scene of the crime", where
they blew a 21 point lead last season.   Unfortunately, the Fish have
had a long week to prepare, will benefit from 90 degree heat, and Bills
QB JP Losman has yet to show that he can play a complete game.   PicK:
DOLPHINS


Oakland at Baltimore - After last Monday, I'm looking pretty silly for
picking the Raiders to make a wild-card playoff run.  After that
debacle, winning the Brady Quinn sweepstakes seems more likely.  Pick:
RAVENS
 
New Orleans at Green Bay - After getting shut out at home by the arch
rival Bears, I fully expect Green Bay to bounce back against a team they
rang up 50+ points on last year.   Pick: PACKERS
 
Houston at Indianapolis - Yawn!  Pick: COLTS
 
Carolina at Minnesota - Carolina is supposed to be a Super Bowl
contender - but going 0-2 would put a huge dent in that.  Pick: PANTHERS


Tampa Bay at Atlanta - Atlanta looked good last week, and the Bucs got
whitewashed, but for whatever reason Tampa has always had Michael Vick's
number.  Pick: BUCS
 
NY Giants at Philadelphia - The schedule just doesn't get any easier for
Eli Manning and the Giants.   This could be a great game, but I see the
Eagles pulling it out.  Pick: EAGLES
 
Detroit at Chicago - I smell a possible upset here - especially if the
Lions defense that held Seattle to 9 points last week shows up again,
but I just can't pull the trigger. Pick: BEARS
 
Cleveland at Cincinnati - At this rate, I expect the Browns to field a
good football team shortly after my first born child enters college -
and I'm not married.  Pick: BENGALS
 
St. Louis at San Francisco - The 49ers gave the Cardinals all they could
handle last week, and the Rams won a fluky game against a
turnover-plagued Broncos team without even scoring a touchdown.   Smells
like an UPSET SPECIAL   Pick: 49ERS
 
Arizona at Seattle - The Seahawks escaped with a win from Detroit, and
should get another one in their noisy home stadium.  Pick: SEAHAWKS
 
Kansas City at Denver - Speaking of picks of mine that look silly, its
hard to see Kansas City going anywhere with Trent Green hurt.  Pick:
BRONCOS
 
New England at NY Jets - Yes, the Jets won last week, and the Patriots
nearly did not.   But somebody had to win the Jets-Titans game - its in
the rules.  Pick: PATRIOTS  (but if Eric Mangini took some of
Belichick's secrets to New York, I could regret this one!)
 
Tennessee at San Diego - I'll be curious to see if the Chargers again
look like the machine they appeared to be against Oakland.  Pick:
CHARGERS
 
Washington at Dallas - The Redskins always seem to find ways to lose to
the Cowboys.   Pick: COWBOYS
 
Pittsburgh at Jacksonville - The Steelers appear to have survived the
Charlie Batch era, and Big Ben should pick up where he left off.  Pick:
STEELERS
 
 
 
 
 
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