Interesting development

1999-01-04 Thread Cordell, Arthur: DPP

January 4/99

Japan's Justice Minister blasts U.S. economic practices


  TOKYO (AP) - Japan's outspoken justice minister today accused the
United States of relying on
  military threats to protect its economic market, Kyodo news agency
reported.

  ``America's free-market economy, is not free,'' Justice Minister
Shozaburo Nakamura was quoted
  as saying in a New Year's greeting to ministry officials and
prosecutors.

  ``It is the kind of freedom that can let loose atomic bombs and
missiles when another country looks
  to be winning.''

  Ministry officials were not available for comment late today.

  Nakamura, 64, also criticized the United States for
``threatening'' countries with trade laws that
  allow Washington to impose sanctions on trading partners whose
practices it deems unfair.

  Tokyo has long been under pressure from Washington to open up its
markets and trim its trade
  surplus with the United States.

  For October 1998, the U.S. trade deficit with Japan shot up by
17.8 percent to $6 billion, the
  biggest gap since March 1995.

  Nakamura is a former businessman who has been elected seven times
to Japan's lower house. He
  has been a member of Prime Minister Keizo Obuchi's Cabinet since
July.

  Copyright 1999 Associated Press. All rights reserved. This
material may not be published,
  broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.




RE: Double postings from yours truly?

1999-01-04 Thread Cordell, Arthur: DPP

All postings seem to elicit the reply found by Mike.  'achablittclarck'
seems to not exist anymore yet we seem unable to remove that name from the
FW list.  So please accept this little idiosyncrasy of FW.  Out there in the
ether is achbilttclarck  and this message will come back to all who post.
Disregard it.  All it means is that the FW server has got your message and
is sending it out to the list.

arthur cordell
 --
From: Mike Hollinshead
To: Cordell, Arthur: DPP
Subject: RE: Double postings from yours truly?
Date: Saturday, January 02, 1999 5:56PM

Arthur,

I double posted recently because the first time I posted I received this
message saying it was undeliverable

Status: U
Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 15:19:05 -0500
Subject: NDN: Krugman and the Austrians
X-FC-Icon-ID: 2031
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Mailer-Daemon)
MIME-Version: 1.0

Sorry. Your message could not be delivered to:

achablittclark,TEdNet (The name was not found at the remote site. Check
that the name has been entered correctly.).

Maybe other people were double posting for the same reason.

Mike

Yes.  Just in the last few days.  We'll check it out.   thanx
 --
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Double postings from yours truly?
Date: Thursday, December 31, 1998 3:43PM

I'm getting double postings back of stuff I put up onto this list - are
they coming up to anyone else as double postings? Let me know, please.

Malcolm





Re: Interesting development

1999-01-04 Thread Jay Hanson

- Original Message - 
From: Cordell, Arthur: DPP [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Futurework [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Monday, January 04, 1999 5:57 AM
Subject: Interesting development


January 4/99

Japan's Justice Minister blasts U.S. economic practices

  TOKYO (AP) - Japan's outspoken justice minister today accused the
United States of relying on military threats to protect its economic
market, Kyodo news agency reported.

People are sick of the Back to the Cold War:

---

Global Intelligence Update
Red Alert
January 4, 1999

1999 Annual Forecast: A New and Dangerous World

SUMMARY

*  Russia will begin the process of recreating old Soviet empire 
in 1999.  The most important question of 1999: will Ukraine 
follow Belarus into federation with Russia?

*  Russia and China will be moving into a closer, primarily anti-
American alliance in 1999.

*  Asian economies will not recover in 1999.  Japan will see 
further deterioration.  So will China.  Singapore and South Korea 
will show the strongest tendency toward recovery.

*  China will try to contain discontent over economic policies by 
increasing repression not only on dissidents, but the urban 
unemployed and unhappy small business people.  Tensions will 
rise. 

*  Asia will attempt to protect itself from U.S. economic and 
political pressures.  Asian economic institutions, like an Asian 
Monetary Fund, will emerge in 1999.

*  The Serbs, supported by the Russians, will test the United 
States in Kosovo.  There is increasing danger of a simultaneous 
challenge from Serbia and Iraq, straining U.S. military 
capabilities dramatically.

*  The main question in Europe will be Germany's reaction to the 
new Russia.  The Germans will try to avoid answering that 
question for most of the year.

*  Latin America appears ready to resume its economic expansion, 
beginning late in 1999.


FORECAST

The Post-Cold War world quietly ended in 1998.  A new era will 
emerge in 1999. It will appear, for a time, to be not too 
dissimilar to what came before it, but looks can be deceiving.  
In fact, we have entered an era with a fundamentally different 
global dynamic than the previous era.  We should not think of the 
period 1989-1998 as an era.  It was an interregnum, a pause 
between two eras.  1999 will see a more conventional, natural 
world, in which other great powers in the world will unite to try 
to block American power.  In 1998 the United States worried about 
Serbia, Iraq and North Korea.  In 1999, the United States will be 
much more concerned with Russia, China, France and Japan.  The 
world will not yet be a truly dangerous place, but it will begin 
the long descent toward the inevitable struggle between great 
powers.

Two forces are converging to create this world.  The first is the 
recoil of Russia from its experiment in liberalism.  The other is 
the descent of Asia into an ongoing and insoluble malaise that 
will last for a generation and reshape the internal and external 
politics of the region.  In a broader sense, this means that the 
Eurasian heartland is undergoing terrific stress.  This will 
increase tensions within the region.  It will also draw Eurasian 
powers together into a coalition designed to resist the 
overwhelming power of the world's only superpower, the Untied 
States. Put differently, if the United States is currently the 
center of gravity of the international system, then other 
nations, seeking increased control over their own destinies, will 
join together to resist the United States.  Russia will pose the 
first challenge.  Asia will pose the most powerful one.


Russia Begins its Quest to Recover Great Power Status

The die has been cast in Russia.  We wrote in our 1998 Forecast 
http://www.stratfor.com/services/giu/1998.asp:  "Whether or not 
Yeltsin survives politically or personally is immaterial.  The 
promise of 1991 has become an untenable nightmare for the mass of 
Russians.  The fall of Communism ushered in a massive depression 
in the Russian economy while simultaneously robbing it of its 
global influence."  In 1998 we saw the consequences of this.  The 
reformers in Russia were systematically forced out of power.  
Power seeped out of Yeltsin's hands.  Finally, a new Prime 
Minister was selected -- the former head of the KGB's 
international espionage apparatus.  A restoration of sorts is 
well under way in Russia.

Personalities are unimportant.  What is important is that in 
1998, the massive failure of the reformers resulted in their 
being forced from power.  The West, which had invested in Russia, 
realized that it would never recover those investments nor many 
of the loans they made.  As a result, investment and credit 
ceased flowing into Russia and, therefore, Western influence 
plummeted.  There was no reason to appease the West if no further 
money was forthcoming.  The Russian love affair with the West 
came to an abrupt halt.  As so many times before in 

Re: Interesting development

1999-01-04 Thread Jay Hanson

People are sick of the Back to the Cold War:

This message went off too soon.  It should have been:

"People are sick of the "free market" lie, it's back to the Cold War."

Jay




FW Monthly Reminder

1999-01-04 Thread S. Lerner


   *FUTUREWORK LISTS MONTHLY REMINDER*

  FUTUREWORK: Redesigning Work, Income Distribution, Education

FUTUREWORK is an international e-mail forum for discussion of how to
deal with the new realities created by economic globalization and
technological change. Basic changes are occurring in the nature of work
in all industrialized countries. Information technology has hastened the
advent of the global economic village. Jobs that workers at all skill
levels in developed countries once held are now filled by smart machines
and/or in low-wage countries.  Contemporary rhetoric proclaims the need
for ever-escalating competition, leaner and meaner ways of doing
business, a totally *flexible* workforce, jobless growth.

What would a large permanent reduction in the number of secure,
adequately-waged jobs mean for communities, families and individuals?
This is not being adequately discussed, nor are the implications for
income distribution and education. Even less adequately addressed are
questions of how to take back control of these events, how to turn
technological change into the opportunity for a richer life rather than
the recipe for a bladerunner society.

Our objective in creating this list is to involve as many people as
possible in redesigning for the new realities. We hope that this list
will help to move these issues to a prominent place on public and
political agendas worldwide.

The FUTUREWORK lists are hosted by the Faculty of Environmental Studies at the
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To subscribe to FUTUREWORK (unmoderated) and/or FW-L (moderated) send a
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FUTUREWORK, the unmoderated list, is for discussion and debate. Subscribers
often add a topic/thread identifier on the subject line (e.g. 'FW downward
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an open list.

FW-L, the moderated list, serves as a bulletin-board to post notices about
recommended books, articles, other documents, other Net sites, conferences,
even job openings, etc. relevant to the future
of work and to the roles of education, community and other factors in that
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Lerner and Arthur Cordell serve as co-moderators for FW-L. Normally, posts
to this moderated list should be limited to one
screen.

Archives for both lists are/will be available via the FW WWW Home Page (under
construction) at the URL/location
   http://www.fes.uwaterloo.ca/Research/FW

If you ever want to remove yourself from one of these mailing lists,
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We look foward to meeting you  on the FUTUREWORK and FW-L lists.

Sally LernerArthur Cordell
[EMAIL PROTECTED][EMAIL PROTECTED]







CITIZENS' PUBLIC TRUST TREATY

1999-01-04 Thread Caspar Davis

Dear Friends,

Here is the official release of our CITIZENS' PUBLIC TRUST TREATY. It
is being circulated world wide in English, Spanish, and French, for
signature.

Please circulate it and post it anywhere you have not yet seen it.

Caspar Davis

THE CALL:

We call upon the nations of the world to ensure the rights of present and
future generations to genuine peace, social justice and ecological
integrity
by implementing the principles of this Citizens' Public Trust Treaty.

We urge you to support the Treaty by adding your name to the petition,
by passing it on, and by sending copies to heads of states and
legislators.

January 1st, 1999

_


WE, THE CITIZENS OF THE WORLD,

DETERMINED
* to create a world based on true participatory democracy within a
   framework of public trust principles;

* to accept the inherent limits to the Earth's resources and to promote
   the peaceful coexistence of all nations, races, and species;

* to develop a stable and peaceful international society founded on the
   rule of law;

* to prevent the damaging consequences of unprincipled economic growth;

* to ensure that the economy conforms to the limitations of the ecosystem;

RECOGNIZING
the interdependence of Peace Building, Human Rights, Environmental
Protection, and Advocacy for Social Justice;

NOTING
that through more than 50 years of concerted effort, the member states
of the United Nations have created international Public Trust
obligations, commitments and expectations:

1. to Promote and fully guarantee respect for human rights including labour
 rights, the right to adequate food, shelter and health care, and
 social justice;
2. to Enable socially equitable and environmentally sound development;
3. to Achieve a state of peace, justice and security;
4. to Create a global structure that respects the rule of law; and
5. to Ensure the preservation and protection of the environment, respect
the inherent worth of nature beyond human purpose, reduce the
ecological
footprint and move away from the current model of over-consumptive
development;

AFFIRMING
that the freedom from fear and want can be achieved only if conditions
are created whereby everyone is able to enjoy economic, social and
cultural rights, as well as civil and political rights
(Universal Declaration of Human Rights);

AWARE
that the rule of law and the good-faith implementation of international
legal principles are the foundation for peace, security, and
co-operation amongst States (Declaration on Principles of International
Law Concerning Friendly Relations and Co-operation among States in
Accordance with the Charter of the UN [General Assembly Resolution
2625 (XXV)]);

RECALLING
the obligations of States under the Charter of the United Nations to
guarantee respect for human rights as set out in the International Bill
of Rights, and to "prevent the scourge of war";

* the expectations created through the United Nations Universal
  Declaration of Human Rights (1948), now accepted as part of customary
  international law, to guarantee "the inherent dignity and the equal and
  inalienable rights of all members of the human family";

* the obligation undertaken by States in various multilateral treaties on
  human rights, that there must be no discrimination on the following
  grounds:

-   race, tribe, or culture;
-   colour, ethnicity, national ethnic or social origin, or language;
-   nationality, place of birth, or nature of residence (refugee or
-   immigrant, migrant worker);
-   gender, sex, sexual orientation, gender identity, marital status, or
-   form of family;
-   disability or age;
-   religion or conviction, political or other opinion, or
-   class, economic position, or other status;
(1966 International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights, and the
1966 International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights,
among others);

* the obligations of States to ensure full employment and enjoyment of
  just and favourable conditions of work (1966 Covenant on Economic,
  Social and Cultural Rights);

* the expectation, created by the adoption of the precautionary principle
  as part of customary international law, that where there is a a threat
  of serious environmental damage or of harm to human health, the lack of
  full scientific certainty will not be used as a reason for postponing
  measures to prevent that threat;

* the expectation, created by the adoption of the principle of
  intergenerational equity, that the rights of future generations to an
  ecological heritage will be respected (Convention on the Preservation of
  Cultural and Natural Heritage, 1972);

* that the potential irreversibility of environmental harm gives rise to
  special responsibility to prevent such harm (1994 Draft Declaration of
  Principles of Human Rights and the Environment);

* that respect for human rights, environmental integrity, socially
  equitable and environmentally sound development, 

currency speculation

1999-01-04 Thread Caspar Davis

This explains a lot in a short space.

Caspar Davis

* FORWARDED MESSAGE *

 Delivered-To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Mime-Version: 1.0
 Date: Mon, 4 Jan 1999 20:29:40 +0900
 From: Hendrik
 Subject: currency speculation

 Hi...

 for your information: here is an intersting article - source unknown...

 ttyl: Hendrik


 -- forwarded article: --

 December 29, 1998

 Currency devaluations around the world are causing an exchange rate-
 precipitated trade flood, as goods from countries with devalued currencies
 easily undercut the prices of competitors in countries with strong
currencies.
 This is not the way the global finance system was designed to operate.

 In theory, trade competitiveness is grounded in corporate competency -- a
 company's ability to produce something more efficiently than its
competitors
 -- not in shifts in currency values.

 In fact, Georgetown University business professor Michael Czinkota
says, trade
 is supposed to be driving currency values, not the other way around.  Mr.
 Czinkota says floating exchange rates were established in the 1970's
to create
 a system in which currency values changed in response to trade flows.

 "If a country has a trade surplus -- that means it sells more than it
busy --
 that in turn means that other countries have to demand that country's
 currency more than that country requires other currencies.  As a
result, that
 country's currency goes up in value.  As it goes up in value, exports
become
 more expensive.  That means the trade surplus gradually will decline.
That
 is how the system of floating exchange rates was designed -- with trade
 triggering the price of currency."

 But, Mr. Czinkota syas, financial markets have been deregulated in recent
 years and technological innovations have increased the speed at which both
 market information and money can travel around the world.

 As a result, he says, currency trading has taken on a life of its own,
with
 currency flows today 100-times greater than trade flows.  Trade no longer
 drives currency, Mr. Czinkota says.  Today currencies drive trade,
with dire
 consequences.

 "It has skewed the established trade patterns in a significant way and
has put
 a lot of pressure on quite successful and competitive U.S. industries,
simply
 because all of a sudden a lot of new imports are coming in and some export
 markets are closed because of the currency changes."

 What is needed, Mr. Czinkota says, is a new global regime to replace
the one
 that has been rendered obsolete by changing times, a system that considers
 trade and finance together and seeks ways to prevent one from having an
 adverse impact on the other.

 He says until one is developed expect trade pressures to rise, and
with them
 trade complaints and government restraints.

 --

* END of FORWARDED MESSAGE *






Canada 'haven for terrorists'

1999-01-04 Thread Steve Kurtz

Since I'm planning to move northward, this certainly raised my eyebrows!

Steve
--
 Canada 'haven for terrorists'
 BY STANLEY OZIEWICZ
 South China Morning Post (Hong Kong), January 4, 1999

 Canada's spy chief shed the service's legendary tight-lipped posture
 recently with a public bombshell.

 Canada was becoming the world's premier haven for international terrorists,
 he said.

 "We, uniquely among developed countries, exist alongside the United States,
 one of the world's pre-eminent terrorist targets," Ward Elcock said.

 "While distance from conflict and moderation in our policies may make us
 less likely than others to be a target, we also, for the same reasons, can
 be seen as a haven that might be safer than others."

 Nobody knows whether Mr Elcock's statement was made to justify a bigger
 budget for the Canadian Security Intelligence Service but it made a big
 impact.

 David Harris, a former high-ranking service officer who is now a security
 and intelligence consultant, called his statement an extraordinary revelation.

 And Wesley Wark, a University of Toronto history professor specialising in
 spy issues, said: "Ward Elcock is not a man . . . who is inclined to make
 alarmist statements. There's got to be a good deal of fire to this smoke."

 To those outside Canada inclined to think of it as a large, rich but boring
 backwater peopled by conservative and polite people who place great value
 on moderation and order, Mr Elcock's remarks may be shocking.

 These are some of the things Mr Elcock said, first to a secret meeting of a
 parliamentary committee, then on the service's Web site:

 With the possible exception of the US, there are more international
 terrorist groups active in Canada than anywhere in the world;

 The service's counter-terrorism branch is investigating more than 50
 organisational targets and about 350 individual terrorist targets;

 Among these groups are Hezbollah and other Shi'ite Islamic terrorist
 fronts, several Sunni Islamic extremist groups - including Palestinian
 Hamas - with ties to Egypt, Libya, Algeria, Lebanon and Iran, the IRA, the
 Tamil Tigers, Turkish Kurd separatists of the Kurdistan Workers' Party and
 all main Sikh terrorist groups;

 Individuals and groups in Canada have been directly or indirectly linked to
 the World Trade Centre bombing in New York, suicide bombings in Israel,
 assassinations in India, the murder of tourists in Egypt, the 1996 bombing
 of US soldiers at the Khobar Towers barracks in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia, and
 the IRA bombing campaign.

 The activities of those under investigation included providing logistical
 support for acts of foreign terrorism, fund-raising, recruitment among
 ethnic communities and providing temporary succour and transit to and from
 other countries, particularly the United States.

 Mr Elcock said Canada's open immigration and refugee system made it
 vulnerable to terrorist influence and activities. Canada has been accepting
 well over 200,000 immigrants a year for years and is projecting it will
 take in a further million over the next five years.

 "While the vast majority of those immigrants and refugees have no greater
 priority than to be productive participants in a peaceful and prosperous
 society, there are those very few who slip through, bent on using Canada as
 a safe haven from which to support terrorist activities," he said. He did
 not name any specific individuals. However, among those to have surfaced in
 recent court cases were:

 * Mansour Ahani, an Iranian government assassin;

 * Iqbal Singh, a member of Babbar Khalsa International, which the Canadian
 spy service describes as an internationally active Sikh terrorist
 organisation advocating a means to establish an independent Sikh homeland
 in India;

 * Hani Abd Rahim Sayegh, a Saudi national who was wanted in connection with
 the Dhahran bombing that killed 19 Americans;

 * Manickavasagam Suresh, a fund-raiser for the Tamil Tigers.

 EDITOR'S NOTE: A story on the above matter was included in an Oct. 19
 CISNEWS posting, but Mr. Elcock's comments were not then available on line.
 They are now, at:

 http://www.csis-scrs.gc.ca/eng/press/kellye.html

 
 




Re: Canada 'haven for terrorists'

1999-01-04 Thread Victor Milne

I wouldn't worry too much about it, Steve. Canadian Military Intelligence
also investigated the Raging Grannies, a group of senior citizens who sing
at protest events.

-Original Message-
From: Steve Kurtz [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: futurework [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: January 04, 1999 8:30 PM
Subject: Canada 'haven for terrorists'


Since I'm planning to move northward, this certainly raised my eyebrows!

Steve
--
 Canada 'haven for terrorists'
 BY STANLEY OZIEWICZ
 South China Morning Post (Hong Kong), January 4, 1999

 Canada's spy chief shed the service's legendary tight-lipped posture
 recently with a public bombshell.

 Canada was becoming the world's premier haven for international
terrorists,
 he said.

 "We, uniquely among developed countries, exist alongside the United
States,
 one of the world's pre-eminent terrorist targets," Ward Elcock said.

 "While distance from conflict and moderation in our policies may make us
 less likely than others to be a target, we also, for the same reasons,
can
 be seen as a haven that might be safer than others."

 Nobody knows whether Mr Elcock's statement was made to justify a bigger
 budget for the Canadian Security Intelligence Service but it made a big
 impact.

 David Harris, a former high-ranking service officer who is now a security
 and intelligence consultant, called his statement an extraordinary
revelation.

 And Wesley Wark, a University of Toronto history professor specialising
in
 spy issues, said: "Ward Elcock is not a man . . . who is inclined to make
 alarmist statements. There's got to be a good deal of fire to this
smoke."

 To those outside Canada inclined to think of it as a large, rich but
boring
 backwater peopled by conservative and polite people who place great value
 on moderation and order, Mr Elcock's remarks may be shocking.

 These are some of the things Mr Elcock said, first to a secret meeting of
a
 parliamentary committee, then on the service's Web site:

 With the possible exception of the US, there are more international
 terrorist groups active in Canada than anywhere in the world;

 The service's counter-terrorism branch is investigating more than 50
 organisational targets and about 350 individual terrorist targets;

 Among these groups are Hezbollah and other Shi'ite Islamic terrorist
 fronts, several Sunni Islamic extremist groups - including Palestinian
 Hamas - with ties to Egypt, Libya, Algeria, Lebanon and Iran, the IRA,
the
 Tamil Tigers, Turkish Kurd separatists of the Kurdistan Workers' Party
and
 all main Sikh terrorist groups;

 Individuals and groups in Canada have been directly or indirectly linked
to
 the World Trade Centre bombing in New York, suicide bombings in Israel,
 assassinations in India, the murder of tourists in Egypt, the 1996
bombing
 of US soldiers at the Khobar Towers barracks in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia,
and
 the IRA bombing campaign.

 The activities of those under investigation included providing logistical
 support for acts of foreign terrorism, fund-raising, recruitment among
 ethnic communities and providing temporary succour and transit to and
from
 other countries, particularly the United States.

 Mr Elcock said Canada's open immigration and refugee system made it
 vulnerable to terrorist influence and activities. Canada has been
accepting
 well over 200,000 immigrants a year for years and is projecting it will
 take in a further million over the next five years.

 "While the vast majority of those immigrants and refugees have no greater
 priority than to be productive participants in a peaceful and prosperous
 society, there are those very few who slip through, bent on using Canada
as
 a safe haven from which to support terrorist activities," he said. He did
 not name any specific individuals. However, among those to have surfaced
in
 recent court cases were:

 * Mansour Ahani, an Iranian government assassin;

 * Iqbal Singh, a member of Babbar Khalsa International, which the
Canadian
 spy service describes as an internationally active Sikh terrorist
 organisation advocating a means to establish an independent Sikh homeland
 in India;

 * Hani Abd Rahim Sayegh, a Saudi national who was wanted in connection
with
 the Dhahran bombing that killed 19 Americans;

 * Manickavasagam Suresh, a fund-raiser for the Tamil Tigers.

 EDITOR'S NOTE: A story on the above matter was included in an Oct. 19
 CISNEWS posting, but Mr. Elcock's comments were not then available on
line.
 They are now, at:

 http://www.csis-scrs.gc.ca/eng/press/kellye.html

 
 






Water Wars Forecast If Solutions Not Found (fwd)

1999-01-04 Thread Michael Gurstein

-- Forwarded message --
Date: Mon, 4 Jan 1999 16:57:59 -0500
From: Doug Hunt [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Water Wars Forecast If Solutions Not Found

apologies for x-postings

 Water Wars Forecast If Solutions Not Found
 
 NAIROBI, Kenya, January 1, 1999 (ENS) - A future war over water
 is a real possibility, according to Klaus Toepfer, director-general of
 the United Nations Environment Programme. Toepfer made his
 prediction during an interview that appears in the January 1 issue of
 the scientific journal Environmental Science  Technology, published
 by the American Chemical Society.
 
   Klaus Toepfer
 
   Echoing a view he says is shared by former U.N.
   Secretary-General Boutros-Ghali, Toepfer is "completely
   convinced" there will be a conflict over natural
   resources, particularly water.
 
   Toepfer, who assumed his current position with the U.N.
 in February 1998, is a former minister of the environment for
 Germany.
 
 "Everybody knows that we have an increase in population, but we do
 not have a corresponding increase in drinking water, so the result in
 the regional dimension is conflict," Toepfer says.
 
 Toepfer advocates monitoring worldwide reserves of drinking water
 and establishing cooperative agreements for the use of bodies of
 water, including groundwater.
 
 He calls for "economic instruments to stimulate use of new
 technologies" to promote water conservation.
 
 Predicting dramatic global population growth in the future, Toepfer
 cites the need for an "efficiency revolution." Any solution for
 addressing this growth must be linked with "new technologies that
 concentrate more on efficient use of limited natural resources," he
 says.
 
 These technologies must be available, "on
 preferential terms, to developing countries,"
 Toepfer says.
 
 This view is also shared by French President
 Jacques Chirac who warned of future water wars
 last spring. At the international conference on
 Water and Sustainable Development hosted by the
 French government at UNESCO Headquarters, the
 Organization’s Director-General Federico Mayor
 and Chirac, warned that, without international
 co-operation, dwindling water resources could threaten development
 and world peace.
 
 Speaking to government ministers from 80 countries, officials from
 international, local and non-governmental organisations, business
 leaders and scientists, Mayor cautioned that over-use, due to
 population growth, waste and pollution are turning water into a
 scarce resource.
 
 "As it becomes increasingly rare, it becomes coveted, capable of
 unleashing conflicts. More than petrol or land, it is over water that
 the most bitter conflicts of the near future may be fought," the
 UNESCO leader said.
 
 A stern water warning was also voiced at the conference by former
 Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev, now president of the environmental
 watchdog group Green Cross International.
 
 "Based on population projections alone, some 33 countries are
 expected to have chronic water shortages by 2025," Gorbachev said.
 "Moreover, such projections do not take into account the possibility
 that climate change could eventually further exacerbate water
 shortages.
 
  Seawater Reverse Osmosis
  Plant Al-Jubail, Saudi Arabia
 
  Gorbachev will be one of the
  keynote speakers at a Middle East
  regional water forum scheduled for
  March 10 and 11, 1999 in Amman,
  Jordan. The geographic focus will
  be on solutions that will provide
  adequate fresh drinking water for
 the arid region encompassing Israel, Jordan and the Palestinian Areas
 of West Bank and Gaza.
 
 Other speakers addressing the water problems of the dry region
 include the conference host H.R.H. The Crown Prince El Hassan bin
 Talal of Jordan; Yasser Arafat, President of the Palestinian Authority;
 Shimon Peres, president of the Peres Center for Peace; Ariel Sharon,
 Minister of Foreign Affairs of Israel; and James Wolfensohn, president
 of the World Bank.
 
 The forum will attempt to identify viable strategies to increase the
 effective regional supply, including development of new supplies from
 seawater desalination.
 
 Many regions and countries are expected to expand their seawater
 desalination capacity in the near future. Nuclear energy to power
 seawater desalination is a growing interest among water-scarce
 nations according to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).
 
 IAEA studies have shown that nuclear energy would be competitive
 with fossil energy for desalination