Re: [Futurework] From memes to viruses?

2008-04-27 Thread tar
Oh, dear. I got the exact opposite impression about Tuchman's mirror  
when I read that book.  I thought the  1300s were a time of coming  
out of a stagnant social order  into the modern age, with a kick from  
the black death.

What happened  with  the famines and epidemics was that Europe's  
peasant population suddenly declined. Yet the lords still expected  
the same incomes as before. The Great Peasant revolt in France was  
viciously put down by the knights, but they could not get the  
peasants back on the estates.  The lords  had to start offering  
rented land at reasonable rates to get anybody to work the land.

The age of Serfdom ended. It had begun  eight centuries previously  
when the conquering Franks  set up a military government  after  
destroying the Gallo-Roman kingdom that existed for a short while  
after  the  fall of the western Roman empire.  They  made the Gallo- 
Romans serfs.

Far from the church developing more authority in this time, its power  
collapsed. This was the time of the great schism, when  there were  
two, sometimes three popes around, all claiming to be the real pope.

I get puzzled about somebody who thinks these medieval monks like
Abelard and Anselm were examples of enlightened thinking. The idea of  
'reason' has been the biggest problem with western civilization down  
to the present.

In the present, we are also struggling to come out of an outmoded  
form of social organization and those who benefit from this  
organization are resisting fiercely. But they are steadily losing  
authority. Good sense  eventually overcomes rationalism, but it  
usually takes a disaster like the black death, or  an environmental  
collapse.

Rationalists are people who can not get it that there  is no such  
thing as 'objectivity'.  Everyone's thought is   conditioned by  
experience and what they have been told and believed are 'laws of  
nature'. Good sense is the  innate human ability  to get outside of   
self and preconditioned thinking , and ask what is actually  
happening. Education is mostly about neutralizing this ability and  
conditioning people to think in  the 'rational' framework  hammered  
into them.

When people who have been taught to be 'reasonable' encounter  
something that contradicts 'reason' they cannot understand it and   
think  some 'forces of darkness' are gathering.

Actually,  the forces of good sense and  peacefulness are gathering.  
The dark forces that  have  prevailed are now frantically trying to  
make everything 'rational' again.

tr






On 26-Apr-08, at 3:47 PM, Ed Weick wrote:
 I've been looking through stuff I've written during the past few  
 years and found the following, which seems relevant to the  
 discussion of memes that has been a dominant feature of the  
 Dissenters list recently.  It may be of interest to some of you.

 Ed


 A Short Essay on Viruses

 Some recent postings have raised the fascinating topic of the  
 effect of disease on history. Recurrent pandemics such as bubonic  
 plague, cholera, typhus and influenza have played an enormous role  
 in defining the course taken by peoples for several centuries  
 thereafter. Syphilis has brought dynasties to ruin. The viruses or  
 bacteria which were at issue affected physical health. I would  
 suggest that another type of virus, a intellectual one, has been at  
 least equally potent in shaping human history. As an entity, we can  
 think of it as something like a computer virus - as something which  
 does not take the shape of an organism, but which is transmittable  
 from person to person nevertheless.

 What does this intellectual virus do? Just as biophysical viruses  
 sicken the body, it sickens and immobilizes the mind. It numbs and  
 dulls human potential, and plunges people into states of pessimism,  
 meanness and despair.

 The impact of this virus varies from civilization to civilization,  
 and from era to era. The Aztecs have recently been mentioned on  
 this list. Some years ago I did some reading on the Aztecs, and one  
 of the things I recall is that, for many years before the coming of  
 Cortez, the Aztecs were in a state of deep pessimism. They felt  
 their world to be ending. I believe it had something to do with  
 their calendar, a human invention which they invested with cosmic  
 powers. When Cortez finally came along, they were immobilized to  
 the point of not being able to do anything about him and his small  
 army. However, the facts of smallpox and rebellion by peoples the  
 Aztecs had subjugated did not help.

 Another example of the virus comes from the 11th to 14th Century  
 Europe. Led by activist thinkers such as Peter Abelard, and fed by  
 the accessibility of Arabic and Classical material, the 11th  
 Century witnessed an increasing secularization of the Christian  
 world, and an explosion of initiatives toward a more rational  
 theology, which laid the foundations for the development of  
 science. Heretical 

Re: [Futurework] From memes to viruses?

2008-04-27 Thread Ed Weick
It is a long time since I read Tuchman.  I have her on my shelves and should 
look again.  However, in general, the 14th Century brought a close to a warm 
spell that lasted some four centuries and in which, in Europe, population 
grew and agriculture was greatly expanded, many great cathedrals were built 
and the Norse were able to settle Greenland.  During this period, the Church 
initially encouraged freedom of thought, but when that freedom began to 
threaten its power, the lid was slammed down.  The impact of Abelard, who 
was a teacher but not, I believe, a monk and other thinkers of the time was 
so large that the period during which they lived, thought and taught, the 
11th and 12 Centuries, is referred to as the 12th Century Enlightenment.

The period came to an end at the beginning of the 14th Century, when a cold 
spell sometimes referred to as the little ice age began.  Crop failures 
led to mass famine in about 1315 and many times thereafter.  The Black Death 
in which one-third to one-half of the population of Europe died occurred in 
mid-century and recurred several times thereafter, eg. London in 1665. 
Peasant rebellions occurred -- eg. the Jacquerie in France in 1358, the 
English Peasants Revolt in 1381, and the German Peasants Revolt in 1525 --  
but not very much changed because of them.  The lot of peasants did improve 
because disease and famine led to shortages of labour, but peasantry even as 
free labour was not an easy life.  I would argue that, for the common 
people, there really wasn't much of an improvement in living standards until 
the latter part of the 19th Century and it wasn't really until the early 
part of the 20th Century that really big improvements came with 
democratization and unionization.

Where we go from where we are now is difficult to say.  I would argue that 
there is already considerable evidence that, with excessive population and 
dwindling resources, we can not go on as we are.  There will be change and 
it won't be pleasant.

Ed



- Original Message - 
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Ed Weick [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; futurework 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Sunday, April 27, 2008 1:34 PM
Subject: Re: [Futurework] From memes to viruses?


 Oh, dear. I got the exact opposite impression about Tuchman's mirror  when 
 I read that book.  I thought the  1300s were a time of coming  out of a 
 stagnant social order  into the modern age, with a kick from  the black 
 death.

 What happened  with  the famines and epidemics was that Europe's  peasant 
 population suddenly declined. Yet the lords still expected  the same 
 incomes as before. The Great Peasant revolt in France was  viciously put 
 down by the knights, but they could not get the  peasants back on the 
 estates.  The lords  had to start offering  rented land at reasonable 
 rates to get anybody to work the land.

 The age of Serfdom ended. It had begun  eight centuries previously  when 
 the conquering Franks  set up a military government  after  destroying the 
 Gallo-Roman kingdom that existed for a short while  after  the  fall of 
 the western Roman empire.  They  made the Gallo- Romans serfs.

 Far from the church developing more authority in this time, its power 
 collapsed. This was the time of the great schism, when  there were  two, 
 sometimes three popes around, all claiming to be the real pope.

 I get puzzled about somebody who thinks these medieval monks like 
 Abelard and Anselm were examples of enlightened thinking. The idea of 
 'reason' has been the biggest problem with western civilization down  to 
 the present.

 In the present, we are also struggling to come out of an outmoded  form of 
 social organization and those who benefit from this  organization are 
 resisting fiercely. But they are steadily losing  authority. Good sense 
 eventually overcomes rationalism, but it  usually takes a disaster like 
 the black death, or  an environmental  collapse.

 Rationalists are people who can not get it that there  is no such  thing 
 as 'objectivity'.  Everyone's thought is   conditioned by  experience and 
 what they have been told and believed are 'laws of  nature'. Good sense is 
 the  innate human ability  to get outside of   self and preconditioned 
 thinking , and ask what is actually  happening. Education is mostly about 
 neutralizing this ability and  conditioning people to think in  the 
 'rational' framework  hammered  into them.

 When people who have been taught to be 'reasonable' encounter  something 
 that contradicts 'reason' they cannot understand it and   think  some 
 'forces of darkness' are gathering.

 Actually,  the forces of good sense and  peacefulness are gathering.  The 
 dark forces that  have  prevailed are now frantically trying to  make 
 everything 'rational' again.

 tr






 On 26-Apr-08, at 3:47 PM, Ed Weick wrote:
 I've been looking through stuff I've written during the past few  years 
 and found the following, which seems 

Re: [Futurework] From memes to viruses?

2008-04-27 Thread tar
I am wondering how many people  within  range  of this have read  
Jared Diamond's Collapse; how civilizations choose to succeed or  
fail. There are plenty of examples of  how societies chose to  
survive. Usually it  was by eliminating  class  structures and going  
to a peasant, egalitarian  type of society.

The  prime example of this  is the Maya of around 900 A.D.  The  
archeological record shows that  once all these palaces were smashed  
and the  human sacrificing priests were thrown off of their  step  
pyramids, the standard of living for the peasantry improved. They  
were   much better off for about 600 years until the   guys with the   
guns and crucifixes showed up from across the sea.

As Marx said, history is written by the ruling classes who do not  
like to believe that they might not be essential to society and do  
not want  the inferior classes to get the idea either.  I think the  
evidence from archeology to contemporary  observations show that
people are best off when you have a society of free  holding peasants  
with no ruler class.

Alas, most Marxists do not get that idea. They think all land should  
be  held in common. In many places it is and it works well, but only  
if the   critical level of government is the village.

Of course we now have industrialism  and most people are now living  
in cities.  That is a problem humanity has never faced before.

The good part of urbanization is that when people move from the  
country side into the cities, their birth rate drops drastically. The  
bad side is that, first, the environment gets  destroyed, and second,  
agriculture gets taken over by the urban economy. Both of these cause  
food production to drop.

So, I think too that there will be change, but I do not think it will  
be all that unpleasant if the  class war gets managed right. I am  
especially much more optimistic about peasant revolts. When the  
peasants are clear  about what they are  trying to achieve,  and do  
not let themselves be lead by fanatics and charlatans, they usually  
create a great improvement in  their  lot.

Besides the Maya, another good example is the slave revolt  on  
Haiti.  The slaves  took over the plantations, drove off  several  
French armies sent to re-enslave them, and   were a lot better off  
than they were before. However,  the great powers of the time  
persistently boycotted them and over time  this wore them down.

After Saint Patrick overcame the druids, the Irish developed a very  
peaceful, prosperous and egalitiaran society for about four centuries  
until the guys with the horns on their helmet showed up from across  
the sea.

Notice a pattern about peaceful agrarian societies? Almost all  caste  
or class oriented societies, the historians tell us, originated in a  
military conquest in which a technically superior or  just more  
aggressive  people found they could use a weaker people for their own  
benefit.

The thing is,  when societies start to fall apart because of the  
greed and  idiocy of  an elite,  it goes one of two ways. Either it  
collapses into a dark age, or  else the rulers are overcome and  you  
have an age of peace and freedom.

This is what is going to  be decided over the next 50 or so years. It  
looks pretty good  that the latter will happen, because the underdogs  
all over the world are developing pretty good leadership and  are  
sensible about  what they are trying to achieve. This is  what  
usually leads to success for  peasant and slave revolts.

The underdogs fail when they do not know what they want, only that  
they are  unhappy with what  they have. That is why the Jacquerie  
failed at first, and why Watt Tyler screwed up his rebellion in 1381,  
and why the Hussites failed in Germany.

In about the same time frame the Swiss freemen were spectacularly  
successful in defeating  the armies of the feudal warlords, Wallace  
and Bruce got the English out of Scotland for four centuries, and the  
Latvians fought off  waves of crusaders to remain a pagan and  
classless society.

Another thing happened in France, which was well discussed by  
Tuchman,  but otherwise not well recorded in history. After the   
black death and the failed peasant revolt, and the hundred years war,  
most of the nobility of northern France  allied with the English to  
kept the French peasants down.  King Charles the Wise of France  did  
something amazing for those times; he allied himself with the  
peasants against his nobles and the English, to regain control of his  
kingdom. His constable, Du Geusclin,  organized a very effective  
guerilla war, with a small professional army supporting  the armed  
peasants.

But enough of my ramblings.  My aim is to demonstrate that there is  
no reason to be pessimistic that  the species cannot get through the  
present crisis and achieve a better way of life for  all the world's  
people.

tr





On 27-Apr-08, at 4:52 PM, Ed Weick wrote:
 It is a long time since