RE: [geo] New CO2 Sucker Could Help Clear the Air

2012-01-12 Thread David Keith
The answer to Ken's rhetorical question is a qualified yes, if you ignore 
kinetics and assume you are looking only at the CO2 capture, desorption, 
clean-up and compression as he described then you can do it for pennies a kg of 
CO2 which is pennies per kWh. It's a yes because posed this way, ignoring 
kinetics and the capital and energy cost of the absorber this is the core of 
the standard engineering case for post-combustion CCS that has been analyzed 
endlessly for 20 years and for which there is lots of relevant commercial 
hardware.
The qualification is around details of this particular material, but there are 
other solid and liquid systems that do this.
For air capture it's harder because one cannot ignore the kinetics of uptake 
and the capital cost of the absorber structure.
There is not much CO2 in the air so the contacting structure (the thing that 
actually gets CO2 from the air) must be very cheap. Here are some order of 
magnitude numbers:
1. You can't afford to move the air faster than a few m/s though the device 
(100 Pa= 6.1 kJ/mol-C= 13 m/s)
2. At that air flow, even if you get all the CO2 you are getting no more than 
of order 10 tCO2 m-2 yr-1.
3. Assume it is 10 tCO2 m-2 yr-1 and you don't want to pay more than 50 $/tCO2 
for the amortized cost of the structure. Then the cost per square meter of 
inlet area must be less than 3 $k. (At 15% overall capital charge factor $3000 
m-2 is $45 m-2 yr-1 which you then divide by the 10 tCO2 and round). This is 
hard. Large cooling towers are about $2000 m-2.
4. The amount of absorbing surface you need behind each square meter of inlet 
is depends on the kinetics of uptake, but at a mass transfer coefficient of 1 
mm/sec one needs of order 500 m2 of surface area behind each 1 m2 of inlet.
5. For us a Carbon Engineering, using plastic packing it easy to meet this cost 
criteria as they cost 1$ per m2 of surface area. For our system packing cost is 
only a small fraction of contactor cost and a very small fraction of overall 
turn-key plant cost.
6. In order for a solid system to compete it must either have a much faster 
mass transfer coefficient or by roughly as cheap; and for a solid one must 
contrive a way to temperature or humidity cycle the whole solid structure 
cheaply and without significant air leaks. (Or find a way to gather the 
solids...).
You can see some of our views about solid vs liquid systems at answer QA #8 at 
http://www.carbonengineering.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/CarbonEngineering-AirCaptureFAQ.pdf.
Of course, the disadvantage of a liquid system is regeneration and management 
of liquid loss.
The problems for solids are (a) getting fast uptake kinetics, (b) cycling given 
that the whole structure must be cycled either humidity swing or thermal swing, 
and (c) sorbent lifetime given that all the fancy solid must last for order a 
decade in air that contains contaminants such as particulates, trace gases and 
larger debris of all types.
Bottom line: this looks like a real advance but without data on kinetics and 
long-term performance one can't judge how useful it is for air capture.
In the near term we are reasonably confident that our liquid system will win 
for many large-scale air capture applications, but over the long run it's much 
harder to say what will happen.


From: geoengineering@googlegroups.com [mailto:geoengineering@googlegroups.com] 
On Behalf Of Ken Caldeira
Sent: Wednesday, January 11, 2012 1:47 PM
To: r...@llnl.gov
Cc: zen...@uci.edu; geoengineering
Subject: Re: [geo] New CO2 Sucker Could Help Clear the Air

Note that there is an error of 10^6 in the article, as it says 1.72 nmol when 
the underlying article (attached) says mmol.

Here is my little order-of-magnitude analysis:

At 1.72 mmol per gram of material, to process 1 ton of CO2, we have would need 
~13 tons of polyamine.

The 1 g of material absorbs at 25 C needs to be heated to 85 C for three hours 
to give off the CO2, so this is a 60 C swing. Of course, one thing conventional 
power plants have is a lot of waste heat. Once it gives off the CO2, it gives 
it off into some gas, so you still need to figure out how to separate the CO2 
from this gas. [Or maybe you make a high vacuum, but how cheap is that? If you 
didn't want to go with a vacuum, what would be the gas that you would have it 
desorb into, in order to make that separation step easy?]

The average CO2 intensity of electricity production is about 615 gCO2/kWh. So 
you would need about 8 kg of material per kWh of electricity.  If the real 
process were to take 3 hours, then you would need about 25 kg of material per 
kW of plant capacity  (or 25,000 tons per GW).

Can you take 8 kg of material (enough for 1 kWh's worth of CO2), have it absorb 
CO2, heat it up and let it desorb into a vacuum or a gas (and if a gas, then 
separate the CO2 from whatever the gas it desorbed into), and then compress and 
bury it underground, for not more than a few pennies per cycle?

[geo] SRM testing, economic arguments

2012-01-12 Thread Andrew Lockley
David (and list) ,

In Banff we debated srm testing costs. I made my point poorly and wish to
clarify.

The reason I think capital cost matters is because I don't think that
government will grasp the nettle of research on a serious scale in the
timescale required, because of the controversial nature of the subject. We
may then be left trying to catch up research, whilst under huge pressure to
deploy on a dangerously short timescale.

To get a safe timescale, the research will likely have to be done with
money and equipment funded by existing budgets and equipment inventory,
and/or supported by 'greenfinger' benefactors. We can't wait for government
to fund critical testing with new funding arrangements.

Micro-cost geoengineering experiments are therefore critical to fast
research. Brightwater, balloons, shells and smoke rings are all viable
technologies for experiments funded by small departmental budgets and
private donors. They may prove not to be as good as aircraft in certain
respects , but as money is not immediately available for aircraft, we don't
have the luxury of that choice.

As a result, I believe that the focus should move to the technologies which
we can test for tiny sums. We cannot afford to wait for 20 years of
bureaucracy before testing a technology that may be needed in a hurry. If
we wait for funding before we test, we may end up deploying half-baked
technology.

IMO, we should build our technology now, quickly and cheaply, so it is
properly tested and ready to scale when the politicians come knocking.

We cannot afford delays in our quest for knowledge. I don't want to be
designing a parachute after I've jumped out of the plane.

A

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[geo] Re: New Geoengineering Target: Greenland Ice Sheet Snow Cover Whitening

2012-01-12 Thread Charlie Zender
Our research has shown that assessments of Greenland reflectivity
change based on MODIS data are problematic.
We have looked for darkening trends with MODIS and statistically
speaking, we find a hint but nothing definitive.
The image shown mentions darkening in 2011 relative to a six-year
climatology, but does not mention the significant
interannual variability of Greenland's albedo. Nevertheless, the work
is suggestive of a trend which we expect to see
someday, that is, temperature-snow metamorphism-albedo-temperature
feedback. However, precipitation (fresh
snow) could simultaneously increase and damp or overwhelm this signal.
As to the long term trend of Greenland-wide albedo,
the more trustworthy data are from CERES not MODIS (MODIS is better
for hi-res. spatial patterns than for absolute albedo,
because of problems retrieving snow albedo at large solar zenith
angles such as are the norm in Greenland). Disclaimer:
the MODIS surface reflectance team may disagree (to put it mildly)
with these opinions.

Wang, X., and C. S. Zender (2010), MODIS snow albedo bias at high
solar zenith angle relative to theory and to in situ observations in
Greenland, Rem. Sens. Environ., 114(3), 563-575,  doi:10.1016/j.rse.
2009.10.014.
Wang, X., and C. S. Zender (2010), Constraining MODIS snow albedo at
large solar zenith angles: Implications for the surface energy budget
in Greenland, J. Geophys. Res. Earth Surf., 115, F04015, doi:
10.1029/2009JF001436.

On Jan 10, 7:54 pm, Veli Albert Kallio albert_kal...@hotmail.com
wrote:
 Whitening of Greenland's snow cover is a new potential geoengineering target 
 that we haven't discussed. Greenland Ice Sheet has been discovered darkening 
 in 2011 with a new positive feedback in as 
 follows:http://eoimages.gsfc.nasa.gov/images/imagerecords/76000/76916/greenla...

 It is very remarkable that this darkening has occurred since 2000-2006 and in 
 some areas it is ~20%.

 Micromechanics of the snow cover darkening is explained here (analogous to 
 snow crystals in the 
 sky):http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/IOTD/view.php?id=76916src=fb

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[geo] Charitable donations for geoengineering research

2012-01-12 Thread Andrew Lockley
It would be useful, as a matter of record, to have on this list any
institutions which currently accept donations specifically earmarked for
geoengineering science or policy research.

At present it is unclear to me if any labs or organisations are able to
accept donations from members of the public.

I'm sure that there are many legitimate uses for such funds - eg funding
PhDs, buying computer time, journal page fees, conference sponsorship,
delegate travel bursaries.

Could anyone who has details of such an opportunity for donations please
reply to the list?

A

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Re: [geo] Charitable donations for geoengineering research

2012-01-12 Thread Ken Caldeira
I believe we are able to accept such donations and would be happy to do so.

http://carnegiescience.edu/giving-opportunities

I believe we can accept donations earmarked for specific purposes. (If the
demands are too cumbersome, we can always decline.)

The normal form just let's you specify down to the department level, not
the project level. However, I think a phone call or an email would be
enough to specify the subject area to which the funds should be applied.

---

That said, I am not a lawyer and am not speaking on behalf of my
institution. For big donations, we can develop specific signed agreements
about how funds would be used. For small donations, my guess is the
institution would allocate the donation to the project requested by the
donor, but would not want to open themselves up to potential frivolous
lawsuits examining exactly how tiny donations were spent.

(If you want to damage an organization, donate $10 for a specific purpose
and then sue them in small claims court claiming they mis-spent the money,
and then make them go through all kinds of maneuvers to document exactly
how the $10 was spent.)



___
Ken Caldeira

Carnegie Institution Dept of Global Ecology
260 Panama Street, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
+1 650 704 7212 kcalde...@carnegie.stanford.edu
http://dge.stanford.edu/labs/caldeiralab  @kencaldeira



On Thu, Jan 12, 2012 at 3:30 PM, Andrew Lockley andrew.lock...@gmail.comwrote:

 It would be useful, as a matter of record, to have on this list any
 institutions which currently accept donations specifically earmarked for
 geoengineering science or policy research.

 At present it is unclear to me if any labs or organisations are able to
 accept donations from members of the public.

 I'm sure that there are many legitimate uses for such funds - eg funding
 PhDs, buying computer time, journal page fees, conference sponsorship,
 delegate travel bursaries.

 Could anyone who has details of such an opportunity for donations please
 reply to the list?

 A

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Re: [geo] Charitable donations for geoengineering research

2012-01-12 Thread Govindasamy Bala
I (Indian Institute of Science) would be happy to receive funds to do
research in geoengineering science (modeling).
Bala

On Fri, Jan 13, 2012 at 5:00 AM, Andrew Lockley andrew.lock...@gmail.comwrote:

 It would be useful, as a matter of record, to have on this list any
 institutions which currently accept donations specifically earmarked for
 geoengineering science or policy research.

 At present it is unclear to me if any labs or organisations are able to
 accept donations from members of the public.

 I'm sure that there are many legitimate uses for such funds - eg funding
 PhDs, buying computer time, journal page fees, conference sponsorship,
 delegate travel bursaries.

 Could anyone who has details of such an opportunity for donations please
 reply to the list?

 A

 --
 You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups
 geoengineering group.
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-- 
Best wishes,

---
Dr. G. Bala
Associate Professor
Center for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences
Indian Institute of Science
Bangalore - 560 012
India

Tel: +91 80 2293 3428
+91 80 2293 2075
Fax: +91 80 2360 0865
+91 80 2293 3425
Email: gb...@caos.iisc.ernet.in
 bala@gmail.com
Web:http://caos.iisc.ernet.in/faculty/gbala/gbala.html
---

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