[geo] Re: Meanwhile, in CDR news...

2013-06-02 Thread Mark Massmann
I'm wondering if anyone can respond to these questions:

I could be missing this, but how long is it estimated to take for the 
devices to capture each ton of CO2?  If the systems were installed to 
capture coal plant emissions, I'd imagine that the capture rate would be 
maximized.  However installing the systems outside of those sources might 
lower the capture rate to the point that the system becomes impractical 
(i.e. like installing a wind farm in a location that's simply not windy 
enough on average)

- The cost estimate of $100/ton of CO2 includes only the operational cost 
of electricity.  Is there some kind of a rough estimate for device 
production cost, system infrastructure cost and operational costs besides 
electricity (replacing absorbent etc)?  On Lockheed rocket programs, we 
always included these to compare options more fairly. I realize that the 
report states: Lacking a demonstration of an optimized system at scale 
precludes a precise estimation of costs and revenues, but maybe enough is 
known to make a rough cut now.

FYI, on the Space Shuttle program the initial estimate for delivering 
payloads to orbit was $100/lb. That was a key decision point to justify the 
program, but in reality the cost ended up being about $1,000/lb.  So even 
the best and brightest were too optimistic or overly simplistic in their 
approach (i.e. it's very easy to do).  A rule of thumb we used on Lockheed 
rocket programs was to estimate costs in as much detail as possible for 
both production and operational costs, then we would multiply that by 1.5 
times.  This was surprisingly accurate when projects were all said and 
done.. Maybe a factor like this could be used for geoengineering estimates 
to make them more realistic.

Best Regards-
Mark Massmann



 

On Saturday, June 1, 2013 11:33:56 AM UTC-7, Greg Rau wrote:

 Our latest offering on abiotic CDR can be found here:
 http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2013/05/30/1222358110.full.pdf

 Some highlights:
 air CO2 captured and safely stored - check
 carbon-negative H2 produced - check
 ocean alkalinity beneficially increased, OA and impacts reduced - check
 $100/tonne CO2 mitigated, about the cost of CCS - check
 OK, more research is needed to better evaluate all of this.  While trying 
 to locate the funds to do this, perhaps the APS would like to reconvene its 
 crack, air capture evaluation team and have a go. In any case, constructive 
 comments and criticism invited.

 Another point we make is that reducing air CO2 need not involve air 
 capture. By adding hydroxide to regions of the ocean that naturally degas 
 to the atmosphere (e.g. upwelling systems), excess ocean CO2 is consumed 
 and the natural ocean CO2 flux to the atmosphere (300 GT/yr) is reduced 
 along with the air CO2 burden, sidestepping the need for more difficult air 
 capture. Air scrubbing is not necessary; cost effective and safe ways of 
 producing and applying (geo)chemical base to CO2-degassing regions of the 
 ocean would seem an easier alternative, especially considering that 
 effective air capture ultimately also requires effective ocean CO2 removal 
 (Cao and Caldeira). Bio approaches that could reduce CO2 flux to air 
 include OIF, biochar, and CROPS, but while likely cheaper, these don't also 
 generate ocean alkalinity and supergreen H2. Other ideas?

 Greg


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Re: [geo] Re: Meanwhile, in CDR news...

2013-06-02 Thread David Appell

Mark:

I have an article in this month's Physics World magazine that answers 
some of these questions:


“Mopping Up Carbon,” Physics World, June 2013, pp. 23-27.
http://www.davidappell.com/articles/PWJun13Appell-air_capture.pdf

David


On 6/2/2013 8:05 AM, Mark Massmann wrote:

I'm wondering if anyone can respond to these questions:

I could be missing this, but how long is it estimated to take for the 
devices to capture each ton of CO2? If the systems were installed to 
capture coal plant emissions, I'd imagine that the capture rate would 
be maximized. However installing the systems outside of those sources 
might lower the capture rate to the point that the system becomes 
impractical (i.e. like installing a wind farm in a location that's 
simply not windy enough on average)



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[geo] A bibliometric analysis of climate engineering research - Belter - 2013 - Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change - Wiley Online Library

2013-06-02 Thread Andrew Lockley
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcc.229/abstract

The past five years have seen a dramatic increase in the number of media
and scientific publications on the topic of climate engineering, or
geoengineering, and some scientists are increasingly calling for more
research on climate engineering as a possible supplement to climate change
mitigation and adaptation strategies. In this context, understanding the
current state of climate engineering research can help inform policy
discussions and guide future research directions. Bibliometric analysis—the
quantitative analysis of publications—is particularly applicable to fields
with large bodies of literature that are difficult to summarize by
traditional review methods. The multidisciplinary nature of the published
literature on climate engineering makes it an ideal candidate for
bibliometric analysis. Publications on climate engineering are found to be
relatively recent (more than half of all articles during 1988–2011 were
published since 2008), include a higher than average percentage of
nonresearch articles (30% compared with 8–15% in related scientific
disciplines), and be predominately produced by countries located in the
Northern Hemisphere and speaking English. The majority of this literature
focuses on land-based methods of carbon sequestration, ocean iron
fertilization, and solar radiation management and is produced with little
collaboration among research groups. This study provides a summary of
existing publications on climate engineering, a perspective on the
scientific underpinnings of the global dialogue on climate engineering, and
a baseline for quantitatively monitoring the development of climate
engineering research in the future.

WIREs Clim Change 2013.
doi: 10.1002/wcc.229

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Re: [geo] Re: Meanwhile, in CDR news...

2013-06-02 Thread RAU greg
Thanks, David, very nice review. Where our technology departs from the higher 
profile abiotic methods you discuss is: 1) expensively concentrated CO2 is not 
formed (or stored), 2) reactions occur at ambient T and P - exotic chemicals 
and 
conditions are avoided (so far), 3) excess ocean rather than excess air CO2 can 
be mitigated, avoiding the need for more complex air scrubbing technology. Why 
go to the added expense/effort of getting air CO2 into solution to then do 
chemistry when vast areas of the surface ocean are already supersaturated in 
CO2?  Doing the chemistry there completely avoids the giant land footprint and 
energy required for air scrubbing that you mention, as well as avoids the need 
for molecular CO2 sequestration or use.  Obviously, the safety of doing this in 
the ocean needs to be researched, but generating ocean alkalinity would seem an 
improvement over our current ocean acidification program. I'm not alone in my 
thinking; this builds on Kheshgi (1995), House et al. (2007), and Harvey (2008) 
among others.
-Greg




From: David Appell david.app...@gmail.com
To: geoengineering@googlegroups.com
Cc: m2des...@cablespeed.com
Sent: Sun, June 2, 2013 10:55:22 AM
Subject: Re: [geo] Re: Meanwhile, in CDR news...

Mark:

I have an article in this month's Physics World magazine that answers some of 
these questions:

“Mopping Up Carbon,” Physics World, June 2013, pp. 23-27.
http://www.davidappell.com/articles/PWJun13Appell-air_capture.pdf

David


On 6/2/2013 8:05 AM, Mark Massmann wrote:
 I'm wondering if anyone can respond to these questions:
 
 I could be missing this, but how long is it estimated to take for the devices 
to capture each ton of CO2? If the systems were installed to capture coal 
plant 
emissions, I'd imagine that the capture rate would be maximized. However 
installing the systems outside of those sources might lower the capture rate 
to 
the point that the system becomes impractical (i.e. like installing a wind 
farm 
in a location that's simply not windy enough on average)


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Re: [geo] Re: Meanwhile, in CDR news...

2013-06-02 Thread Ron
David

Have you any similar cost estimates for the biotic CDR approaches, such as 
afforestation, BECCES and biochar?

Ron


On Jun 2, 2013, at 11:55 AM, David Appell david.app...@gmail.com wrote:

 Mark:
 
 I have an article in this month's Physics World magazine that answers some of 
 these questions:
 
 “Mopping Up Carbon,” Physics World, June 2013, pp. 23-27.
 http://www.davidappell.com/articles/PWJun13Appell-air_capture.pdf
 
 David
 
 
 On 6/2/2013 8:05 AM, Mark Massmann wrote:
 I'm wondering if anyone can respond to these questions:
 
 I could be missing this, but how long is it estimated to take for the 
 devices to capture each ton of CO2? If the systems were installed to capture 
 coal plant emissions, I'd imagine that the capture rate would be maximized. 
 However installing the systems outside of those sources might lower the 
 capture rate to the point that the system becomes impractical (i.e. like 
 installing a wind farm in a location that's simply not windy enough on 
 average)
 
 
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Re: [geo] Re: Meanwhile, in CDR news...

2013-06-02 Thread David Appell

On 6/2/2013 12:58 PM, Ron wrote:


Have you any similar cost estimates for the biotic CDR approaches, such as 
afforestation, BECCES and biochar?


No -- I just didn't have room to cover everything, or even most ideas. A 
nice, longer review article that does is


Negative Emissions Technologies, Dr Niall R McGlashan, Dr Mark H W 
Workman, Ben Caldecott and Professor Nilay Shah, Grantham Institute for 
Climate Change, Briefing paper No 8, October 2012

https://workspace.imperial.ac.uk/climatechange/Public/pdfs/Briefing%20Papers/Briefing%20Paper%208.pdf

David

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Re: [geo] Re: Meanwhile, in CDR news...

2013-06-02 Thread David Appell

A similar version of the McGlashan et al paper was published at:

Process Safety and Environmental Protection
Volume 90, Issue 6, November 2012, Pages 501–510
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0957582012001164

and in fact the entire issue was devoted to negative emissions technologies:
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/09575820/90/6

David

On 6/2/2013 1:10 PM, David Appell wrote:

On 6/2/2013 12:58 PM, Ron wrote:

Have you any similar cost estimates for the biotic CDR approaches, 
such as afforestation, BECCES and biochar?


No -- I just didn't have room to cover everything, or even most ideas. 
A nice, longer review article that does is


Negative Emissions Technologies, Dr Niall R McGlashan, Dr Mark H W 
Workman, Ben Caldecott and Professor Nilay Shah, Grantham Institute 
for Climate Change, Briefing paper No 8, October 2012
https://workspace.imperial.ac.uk/climatechange/Public/pdfs/Briefing%20Papers/Briefing%20Paper%208.pdf 



David



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Re: [geo] profile of me in San Francisco Chronicle today, discussion geoengineering in a broader context

2013-06-02 Thread rongretlarson
Ken cc List: 

1. Thanks for the leads - mostly related to ocean acidification - a prime 
ethics subject for those on this list mostly interested in CDR . 

2. The information you supplied leads one to two short videos from two months 
ago,at: 

http://www.youtube.com/user/CarnegieGlobEcology/videos 

From these, one can gain a pretty good idea of how your experiment was being 
carried out . I recommend them to others. 

3. But those videos (which you do well) were from February. Can you give a hint 
of what you later learned (scientifically)? Jana's answers leaves one in 
suspense. (Maybe create #3 soon?) 

4. There must be many thousands of salt water aquaria around the world. Are any 
of these providing useful information on the impact of pH? 

5. Before receiving your message below, I was preparing a short follow-up note 
(TBD) on this week's AEI 1 hr 40 minute meeting on SRM. I listened casually 
once, and decided to listen again, when I decided I had not once heard the 
words ocean acidification -the topic I should think would be of most 
importance when discussing SRM. Can you relate this recent Australian work to 
your work on SRM? 

Ron 







- Original Message -
From: Ken Caldeira kcalde...@carnegiescience.edu 
To: geoengineering geoengineering@googlegroups.com 
Sent: Sunday, June 2, 2013 3:09:22 PM 
Subject: [geo] profile of me in San Francisco Chronicle today, discussion 
geoengineering in a broader context 



Warning from climate science front lines 

http://www.sfchronicle.com/science/article/Warning-from-climate-science-front-lines-4569221.php?t=4f3395796547b02379
 

Moving geoengineering out from under dark shadows 

http://blog.sfgate.com/techchron/2013/06/01/moving-geoengineering-out-from-under-dark-shadows/
 

On the trail of global warming’s equally evil twin 

http://blog.sfgate.com/techchron/2013/06/01/on-the-trail-of-global-warmings-equally-evil-twin/
 


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Vimeo are all blocked (at least I can't get access to them from my hotel room). 
I never realized that these email groups can play a role in dissemination of 
information that the more up-to-date social media cannot play. 


___ 
Ken Caldeira 

Carnegie Institution for Science 
Dept of Global Ecology 

260 Panama Street, Stanford, CA 94305 USA 

+1 650 704 7212 kcalde...@carnegiescience.edu 
http://dge.stanford.edu/labs/caldeiralab @kencaldeira 


Caldeira Lab is hiring postdoctoral researchers. 
http://dge.stanford.edu/labs/caldeiralab/Caldeira_employment.html 


Check out the profile of me on NPR's All Things Considered 

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