Re: [geo] A closer look at the flawed studies behind policies used to promote 'low-carbon' biofuels | University of Michigan News

2015-02-11 Thread Rau, Greg
Relatedly:
http://www.eenews.net/tv/2015/02/10

Greg

From: NORTHCOTT Michael m.northc...@ed.ac.ukmailto:m.northc...@ed.ac.uk
Reply-To: m.northc...@ed.ac.ukmailto:m.northc...@ed.ac.uk 
m.northc...@ed.ac.ukmailto:m.northc...@ed.ac.uk
Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2015 2:01 AM
To: greg RAU gh...@sbcglobal.netmailto:gh...@sbcglobal.net
Cc: andrew.lock...@gmail.commailto:andrew.lock...@gmail.com 
andrew.lock...@gmail.commailto:andrew.lock...@gmail.com, geoengineering 
geoengineering@googlegroups.commailto:geoengineering@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: [geo] A closer look at the flawed studies behind policies used to 
promote 'low-carbon' biofuels | University of Michigan News

The EU Biofuels directive pushed up the world price of biodiesel. This in turn 
pushed up the value of Palm oil. Hence the directive underwrites ongoing 
tropical forest clearance and replacement with oil palm plantations in Sumatra, 
Kalimantan, Central Africa. Biofuels produced on such land have a carbon 
footprint greater than shale oil or gasified coal since the subsoil emits 
significant quantities of stored carbon after forest clearance. These areas are 
also prone to subterranean peat fires which can burn for years putting 
significant black soot into the atmosphere which is implicated in increased ice 
melt in Himalayas, Arctic. Soya from the Amazon also displaces tropical forest 
and even on cleared land if soya is not replanted secondary forest naturally 
returns which sequesters far more carbon (as new growth absorbs more) while 
also helping to sequester water in the soil and subsoil with benefits to 
biodiversity and humans. I am not a scientist but citations can be found for 
all the above claims. Unfortunately EU bureaucrats, and the USDA bureaucrats 
who came up with the crazy ethanol from corn policy in the US, don't appear to 
read scientific papers. In my non-scientific judgment, the least cost and 
lowest tech 'geoengineering' intervention is to permit the natural regrowth of 
boreal and tropical forests by removing grazing animals in former Boreal forest 
areas (such as Scottish and English upland), and removing perverse incentives 
for forest clearance (eg biofuels) and restraining criminality and political 
corruption (cf Straumann, Money Logging, Geneva 2014) in tropical forests. In 
semi arid areas, such as North Africa, intercropping with native scrub plants 
(Farmer Managed Natural Regeneration) also significantly improves soil and 
water retention and carbon sequestration while also considerably benefiting 
subsistence farmers through raised crop productivity.

Professor Michael Northcott
New College
University of Edinburgh
Mound Place
Edinburgh
EH1 2LX
UK

0 (44) 131 650 7994

m.northc...@ed.ac.ukmailto:m.northc...@ed.ac.uk

ancestraltime.org.ukhttp://ancestraltime.org.uk

http://careforthefuture.exeter.ac.uk/blog/

edinburgh.academia.edu/MichaelNorthcotthttp://edinburgh.academia.edu/MichaelNorthcott

On 11 Feb 2015, at 01:20, Greg Rau 
gh...@sbcglobal.netmailto:gh...@sbcglobal.net wrote:

Quoting the article: The main problem with existing studies is that they fail 
to correctly account for the carbon dioxide absorbed from the atmosphere when 
corn, soybeans and sugarcane are grown to make biofuels, said John DeCicco, a 
research professor at U-M's Energy Institute.
Almost all of the fields used to produce biofuels were already being used to 
produce crops for food, so there is no significant increase in the amount of 
carbon dioxide being removed from the atmosphere. 

No one said there would be net uptake of CO2 from the atmosphere using 
biofuels, but there will presumably be a reduction in CO2 emissions by 
substituting bio for fossil fuel (minus, of course, the fossil CO2 penalty for 
producing the biofuels).  Biofuels (or electricity) can be C negative in the 
case of BECCS or BEAWL, fermentation + CCS or + AWL, etc? What am I missing?
Greg


From: Andrew Lockley andrew.lock...@gmail.commailto:andrew.lock...@gmail.com
To: geoengineering 
geoengineering@googlegroups.commailto:geoengineering@googlegroups.com
Sent: Tuesday, February 10, 2015 3:59 PM
Subject: [geo] A closer look at the flawed studies behind policies used to 
promote 'low-carbon' biofuels | University of Michigan News

Poster's note : Whoops. This would be funny if it wasn't so tragic.
http://ns.umich.edu/new/releases/22668-a-closer-look-at-the-flawed-studies-behind-policies-used-to-promote-low-carbon-biofuels
A closer look at the flawed studies behind policies used to promote 
'low-carbon' biofuels
Feb 05, 2015
Nearly all of the studies used to promote biofuels as climate-friendly 
alternatives to petroleum fuels are flawed and need to be redone, according to 
a University of Michigan researcher who reviewed more than 100 papers published 
over more than two decades.
Once the erroneous methodology is corrected, the results will likely show that 
policies used to promote biofuels—such as the U.S. Renewable 

[geo] Guardian piece on business opportunities and 'climate intervention'

2015-02-11 Thread Ken Caldeira
The Guardian asked me to do a piece for their business section related to
the recent NRC reports.

Perhaps it is a bit silly and incomplete (given the fast rapid-around and
short word count), but here it is.  I apologize in advance to the biochar,
afforestation, etc, advocates. I could only say to much in a few hundred
words with a 12-hour turn around and 1 hour of available time..

http://www.theguardian.com/sustainable-business/2015/feb/11/climate-engineering-money-opportunity-business

Climate engineering: it could be a money-making opportunity for business

The longer we take to tackle climate change, the more likely we are to need
climate intervention technologies. That may yet be a viable business
opportunity, says Ken Caldeira

[image: An illustration of a geoengineering]
http://www.theguardian.com/sustainable-business/2015/feb/11/climate-engineering-money-opportunity-business#img-1
If
carbon prices get high enough and the cost of carbon dioxide removal from
the atmosphere could be made low enough, there may be potential for profit
in the business of removing carbon dioxide. Photograph: T.L.Furrer/Alamy
Sponsored by:
http://adclick.g.doubleclick.net/aclk%253Fsa%253DL%2526ai%253DB4zJDKJPbVIvwHdSO-gOwjIDYB8f96sIFEAEg75TfITgAWMfv9tGuAWDJnvaGyKOgGbIBE3d3dy50aGVndWFyZGlhbi5jb226AQlnZnBfaW1hZ2XIAQnaAWpodHRwOi8vd3d3LnRoZWd1YXJkaWFuLmNvbS9zdXN0YWluYWJsZS1idXNpbmVzcy8yMDE1L2ZlYi8xMS9jbGltYXRlLWVuZ2luZWVyaW5nLW1vbmV5LW9wcG9ydHVuaXR5LWJ1c2luZXNzqQKh5fJ_RJy5PsACAuACAOoCOS81OTY2NjA0Ny90aGVndWFyZGlhbi5jb20vc3VzdGFpbmFibGUtYnVzaW5lc3MvYXJ0aWNsZS9uZ_gC_tEegAMBkAPwAZgD0AWoAwHgBAGgBh8%2526num%253D0%2526sig%253DAOD64_2iAUYuKXDcHt-qh_YRhW7njNczyw%2526client%253Dca-pub-4830087483992392%2526adurl%253Dhttp://www.bt.com/betterfutureAbout
this content
http://adclick.g.doubleclick.net/aclk%253Fsa%253DL%2526ai%253DB4zJDKJPbVIvwHdSO-gOwjIDYB8f96sIFEAEg75TfITgAWMfv9tGuAWDJnvaGyKOgGbIBE3d3dy50aGVndWFyZGlhbi5jb226AQlnZnBfaW1hZ2XIAQnaAWpodHRwOi8vd3d3LnRoZWd1YXJkaWFuLmNvbS9zdXN0YWluYWJsZS1idXNpbmVzcy8yMDE1L2ZlYi8xMS9jbGltYXRlLWVuZ2luZWVyaW5nLW1vbmV5LW9wcG9ydHVuaXR5LWJ1c2luZXNzqQKh5fJ_RJy5PsACAuACAOoCOS81OTY2NjA0Ny90aGVndWFyZGlhbi5jb20vc3VzdGFpbmFibGUtYnVzaW5lc3MvYXJ0aWNsZS9uZ_gC_tEegAMBkAPwAZgD0AWoAwHgBAGgBh8%2526num%253D0%2526sig%253DAOD64_2iAUYuKXDcHt-qh_YRhW7njNczyw%2526client%253Dca-pub-4830087483992392%2526adurl%253Dhttp://www.theguardian.com/sponsored-content

Ken Caldeira

Ken Caldeira is a climate scientist at the Carnegie Institution for
Science, Stanford University

Wednesday 11 February 2015 10.54 EST

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http://www.theguardian.com/sustainable-business/2015/feb/11/climate-engineering-money-opportunity-business#comments

T




he CIA was one of the funders behind yesterday's National Research Council
(NRC) reports on geo-engineering
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/feb/10/geoengineering-should-not-be-used-as-a-climate-fix-yet-says-us-science-academy,
or so the rumours have it. If the intelligence community feels it is
important to learn more about climate intervention, might not the same be
true for the business community? In other words, is there money to be made
here?

The NRC, the major body in the US providing scientific and technical
information to policymakers, released two reports. They show two very
different approaches to reducing climate change from greenhouse gases:
carbon dioxide (CO2) removal and albedo modification.
Scientists urge global 'wake-up call' to deal with climate change

Read more
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/feb/10/geoengineering-should-not-be-used-as-a-climate-fix-yet-says-us-science-academy
Removing carbon dioxide

The gases in power plant smokestacks contain typically 10% or more CO2,
whereas the atmosphere contains only 0.04% CO2. Why would anyone want to
try to capture CO2 from a more dilute gas when more concentrated gases are
all too readily available?

Small start-up companies, such as Carbon Engineering and Climeworks
http://www.virginearth.com/finalists/, are attempting to develop
technologies that could remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere in
centralised facilities. Since the price of CO2 on available carbon markets
is 

Re: [geo] National Academies reports

2015-02-11 Thread Rau, Greg
Also this:
http://arstechnica.com/science/2015/02/hack-the-planet-comprehensive-report-suggests-thinking-carefully-first/
To quote:

In the end, the report clearly comes down in favor of research into carbon 
removal technology. Overall, there is much to be gained and very low risk in 
pursuing multiple parts of a portfolio of [carbon removal] strategies that 
demonstrate practical solutions over the short term and develop more 
cost-effective, regional-scale and larger solutions for the long term, it 
concludes. In contrast, even the best albedo modification strategies are 
currently limited by unfamiliar and unquantifiable risks and governance issues 
rather than direct costs.

But beyond the research programs, it's clear that neither of these approaches 
is ready for deployment, and it's not clear that either of them can ever be 
made ready, a fact driven home by the cancellation of what would have been the 
US' largest carbon capture 
experimenthttp://fortune.com/2015/02/06/as-the-feds-pull-out-dreams-of-clean-coal-fade/.
 That's in sharp contrast with non-emitting power sources, where technology is 
already mature and costs are in many cases already competitive with those of 
fossil fuels.

Very unfortunate that CDR is again equated with CCS. The potential approaches 
and success of the former need not be tied to the ongoing failure of the latter.

Greg

From: J.L. Reynolds j.l.reyno...@uvt.nlmailto:j.l.reyno...@uvt.nl
Reply-To: j.l.reyno...@uvt.nlmailto:j.l.reyno...@uvt.nl 
j.l.reyno...@uvt.nlmailto:j.l.reyno...@uvt.nl
Date: Tuesday, February 10, 2015 11:11 PM
To: geoengineering 
geoengineering@googlegroups.commailto:geoengineering@googlegroups.com
Subject: [geo] National Academies reports

Yesterday , a committee of the National research Council released a two volume 
report on climate engineering. They are available here
http://www.nap.edu/catalog/18988/climate-intervention-reflecting-sunlight-to-cool-earth
http://www.nap.edu/catalog/18805/climate-intervention-carbon-dioxide-removal-and-reliable-sequestration
One must register to download, but may read online without doing so.

The newly renamed Forum for Climate Engineering Assessment (formerly the 
Washington Geoengineering Consortium) has handy roundups of media coverage and 
NGO reactions. I found the latter interesting, in that Friends of the Earth US 
came out fully against climate engineering while the Union of Concerned 
Scientists, the Natural Resources Defense Council, and the Environmental 
Defense Fund were supportive of the reports and further research (with varying 
degrees of caution expressed).
http://dcgeoconsortium.org/2015/02/10/media-coverage-of-nas-climate-intervention-reports/
http://dcgeoconsortium.org/2015/02/10/civil-society-statements-on-the-release-of-nas-climate-intervention-reports/

The press conference was webcast. Some people “live tweeted” it. See
https://twitter.com/elikint
https://twitter.com/janieflegal
https://twitter.com/TheCarbonSink
https://twitter.com/mclaren_erc

Cheers
Jesse

-
Jesse L. Reynolds, PhD
Postdoctoral researcher
Research funding coordinator, sustainability and climate
European and International Public Law
Tilburg Sustainability Center
Tilburg University, The Netherlands
Book review editor, Law, Innovation, and Technology
email: j.l.reyno...@uvt.nlmailto:j.l.reyno...@uvt.nl
http://works.bepress.com/jessreyn/


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[geo] NRC geoengineering report: Climate hacking is dangerous and barking mad. Pierrehumbert. Slate

2015-02-11 Thread Andrew Lockley
Poster's note : notable as it's a report author.

http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science/2015/02/nrc_geoengineering_report_climate_hacking_is_dangerous_and_barking_mad.single.html

FEB. 10 2015 11:00 AM

Climate Hacking Is Barking Mad

You can’t fix the Earth with these geoengineering proposals, but you can
sure make it worse.

By Raymond T. Pierrehumbert

Some years ago, in the question-and-answer session after a lecture at the
American Geophysical Union, I described certain geoengineering proposals as
“barking mad.” The remark went rather viral in the geoengineering
community. The climate-hacking proposals I was referring to were schemes
that attempt to cancel out some of the effects of human-caused global
warming by squirting various substances into the atmosphere that would
reflect more sunlight back to space. Schemes that were lovingly called
“solar radiation management” by geoengineering boosters. Earlier I
had referred to the perilous statesuch schemes would put our Earth into as
being analogous to the fate of poor Damocles, cowering under a sword
precariously suspended by a single thread.

This week, the National Research Council (NRC) is releasing a report on
climate engineering that deals with exactly those proposals I found most
terrifying. The report even recommends the creation of a research program
addressing these proposals. I am a co-author of this report. Does this mean
I’ve had a change of heart?

No.
The nearly two years’ worth of reading and animated discussions that went
into this study have convinced me more than ever that the idea of “fixing”
the climate by hacking the Earth’s reflection of sunlight is wildly,
utterly, howlingly barking mad. In fact, though the report is couched in
language more nuanced than what I myself would prefer, there is really
nothing in it that is inconsistent with my earlier appraisals.

Even the terminology used in the report signals a palpable change in the
framing of the discussion. The actions discussed for the most part are
referred to as “climate intervention,” rather than “climate engineering”
(or the common but confusing term geoengineering). Engineering is something
you do to a system you understand very well, where you can try out new
techniques thoroughly at a small scale before staking peoples’ lives on
them.

Hacking the climate is different—we have only one planet to live on, and
can’t afford any big mistakes. Many of the climate “engineering” proposals
are akin to turning the world’s whole population into passengers on a
largely untested new fleet of hypersonic airplanes.

Most previous literature has referred to schemes to increase the proportion
of sunlight reflected back to space as solar radiation management, as if it
were something routine and businesslike, along the lines of “inventory
management” or “personnel management.” It is far from clear, however, that
solar radiation can bemanaged in any meaningful sense of the word. The NRC
report instead uses the more neutral term “albedo modification.” Albedo is
the scientific term for the proportion of sunlight reflected back to space.
If the Earth had 100 percent albedo, it would reflect all sunlight back to
space and be a frozen ice ball some tens of degrees above absolute zero,
heated only by the trickle of heat leaking out from its interior. Earth’s
current albedo is about 30 percent, with much of the reflection caused by
clouds and snow cover. I myself prefer the term “albedo hacking,” but
“albedo modification” does pretty well. My colleague and report
co-author James Fleming has called such schemes “untested and untestable,
and dangerous beyond belief.” (A companion report also discusses less
problematic, if currently expensive, schemes for removing carbon dioxide
from the atmosphere. Many of those would be well worth doing if they ever
became economical.)

The report describes albedo modification frankly as involving large and
partly unknown risks. It states outright that albedo modification “should
not be deployed” and emphasizes that the main focus in climate protection
should continue to be reduction of CO2 emissions. If we continue to let
CO2build up in the atmosphere and attempt to offset the effects by
increasingly extreme albedo modification, the report states, that situation
is one of “profoundly increasing risk.” This is a far cry from the
cartoonish portrayal of albedo modification as the cheap and obvious method
of choice in Superfreakonomics or by Newt Gingrich.

Two albedo modification schemes are singled out for detailed scrutiny. The
first of these, called stratospheric aerosol modification, works high up in
the atmosphere—in the layer known as the stratosphere—and involves
injecting substances such as sulfur dioxide that lead to the creation of
tiny particles that scatter sunlight back to space. It’s modeled on what
happens in the wake of large volcanic eruptions. The second, called marine
cloud brightening, works close to the Earth’s surface and 

Re: [geo] NRC geoengineering report: Climate hacking is dangerous and barking mad. Pierrehumbert. Slate

2015-02-11 Thread David desJardins
It's good that people with extreme views like Pierrehumbert are part of the
process.  It's better than trying to lock them out.  Make them engage with
others who have more nuanced positions---you can do that in the context of
studies and panels, not so much when he's writing an op-ed and gets to
present both sides of the conversation.

On Wed Feb 11 2015 at 3:32:14 PM Mike MacCracken mmacc...@comcast.net
wrote:

  Hi Doug--Well said. The report (well, at least the presentation of the
 report yesterday at the National Academy of Sciences) basically does not do
 a comparative analysis of climate change with and without climate
 intervention—instead seeming to do an analysis only of the relative merits
 of climate intervention on its own or not. Well, that is not the context we
 are in (so actually the analysis, once they get past saying the climate is
 changing, is to forget about the SUV approaching the crosswalk at all (or
 at least, the change is not here now in the Arctic or imminent elsewhere,
 etc.). The really surprising reason given in answer to my question was that
 they said that uncertainties about climate change without intervention were
 too large to really do this—well, those uncertainties are clearly small
 enough to make the decision that we should change over the whole global
 energy system and how unacceptable those consequences would be. And, given
 that the various intervention approaches are not unlike phenomena in the
 world today and intervention would keep the climate where it is now (only
 with a bit different amount of energy change as compared to the seasonal
 changes in forcing that are already treated in simulating the global
 weather changes over the seasons), it is really hard to see how a modest
 program of climate intervention research would not lead to uncertainties
 less than those involved in projections of climate change without
 intervention.

 Fine to say that there are social, equity, political, and governance
 issues, but on the issue of uncertainties in the physical science
 calculations, not readily understandable.


 Mike MacCracken




 On 2/11/15, 6:05 PM, Doug MacMartin macma...@cds.caltech.edu wrote:

 On reflection, I think my most basic problem with his “argument” is it
 that it fails to distinguish between the people choosing to emit CO2, the
 people who might be harmed by CO2, and the people who might eventually
 choose geoengineering; his arguments are only coherent to the extent that
 those are all the same people.

 It’s a bit like standing in a cross-walk watching an approaching SUV that
 isn’t slowing down and insisting that you have the right-of-way and the
 “right answer” is for the SUV-driver to stop rather than for you to take
 whatever action you can.

 doug


 *From:* geoengineering@googlegroups.com [
 mailto:geoengineering@googlegroups.com geoengineering@googlegroups.com] *On
 Behalf Of *Doug MacMartin
 *Sent:* Wednesday, February 11, 2015 4:59 PM
 *To:* andrew.lock...@gmail.com; 'geoengineering'
 *Subject:* RE: [geo] NRC geoengineering report: Climate hacking is
 dangerous and barking mad. Pierrehumbert. Slate

 Perhaps the only thing more barking mad than considering solar
 geoengineering would be the path we’re currently on… in that sense I agree
 with him, but insofar as we do appear to be on that path, he doesn’t
 actually present any cogent argument against pursuing research, despite all
 of his argumentative rhetoric.

 There’s so much BS in here to respond to, but two thoughts:

 As the lead author on a recent paper describing temporary deployment only
 to limit the rate of change (which was cited several times in the report,
 and I presume is the basis for his comment), I can unequivocally state that
 his assertion:
 I myself think the temporary deployment scenarios are highly implausible,
 and are mainly shopped by albedo-modification boosters as a less
 threatening way to get the camel’s nose in the tent
 Is absolutely false; if he was interested in whether that was true, he
 could have actually asked.  (I also object to the word “boosters”, as my
 own perspective is simply one of wanting decisions to be made based on
 knowledge).

 And second, if we both ever need surgery for cancer, I’ll take the
 painkillers that he apparently doesn’t want.

 *From:* geoengineering@googlegroups.com [
 mailto:geoengineering@googlegroups.com geoengineering@googlegroups.com] *On
 Behalf Of *Andrew Lockley
 *Sent:* Wednesday, February 11, 2015 3:18 PM
 *To:* geoengineering
 *Subject:* [geo] NRC geoengineering report: Climate hacking is dangerous
 and barking mad. Pierrehumbert. Slate

 Poster's note : notable as it's a report author.


 http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science/2015/02/nrc_geoengineering_report_climate_hacking_is_dangerous_and_barking_mad.single.html

 FEB. 10 2015 11:00 AM

 Climate Hacking Is Barking Mad

 You can’t fix the Earth with these geoengineering proposals, but you can
 sure make it worse.

 By Raymond T. 

RE: [geo] NRC geoengineering report: Climate hacking is dangerous and barking mad. Pierrehumbert. Slate

2015-02-11 Thread Doug MacMartin
Perhaps the only thing more barking mad than considering solar geoengineering 
would be the path we’re currently on… in that sense I agree with him, but 
insofar as we do appear to be on that path, he doesn’t actually present any 
cogent argument against pursuing research, despite all of his argumentative 
rhetoric.  

 

There’s so much BS in here to respond to, but two thoughts:

 

As the lead author on a recent paper describing temporary deployment only to 
limit the rate of change (which was cited several times in the report, and I 
presume is the basis for his comment), I can unequivocally state that his 
assertion:

I myself think the temporary deployment scenarios are highly implausible, and 
are mainly shopped by albedo-modification boosters as a less threatening way to 
get the camel’s nose in the tent

Is absolutely false; if he was interested in whether that was true, he could 
have actually asked.  (I also object to the word “boosters”, as my own 
perspective is simply one of wanting decisions to be made based on knowledge).

 

And second, if we both ever need surgery for cancer, I’ll take the painkillers 
that he apparently doesn’t want.

 

From: geoengineering@googlegroups.com [mailto:geoengineering@googlegroups.com] 
On Behalf Of Andrew Lockley
Sent: Wednesday, February 11, 2015 3:18 PM
To: geoengineering
Subject: [geo] NRC geoengineering report: Climate hacking is dangerous and 
barking mad. Pierrehumbert. Slate

 

Poster's note : notable as it's a report author.

http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science/2015/02/nrc_geoengineering_report_climate_hacking_is_dangerous_and_barking_mad.single.html

FEB. 10 2015 11:00 AM

Climate Hacking Is Barking Mad

You can’t fix the Earth with these geoengineering proposals, but you can sure 
make it worse.

By Raymond T. Pierrehumbert

Some years ago, in the question-and-answer session after a lecture at the 
American Geophysical Union, I described certain geoengineering proposals as 
“barking mad.” The remark went rather viral in the geoengineering community. 
The climate-hacking proposals I was referring to were schemes that attempt to 
cancel out some of the effects of human-caused global warming by squirting 
various substances into the atmosphere that would reflect more sunlight back to 
space. Schemes that were lovingly called “solar radiation management” by 
geoengineering boosters. Earlier I had referred to the perilous statesuch 
schemes would put our Earth into as being analogous to the fate of poor 
Damocles, cowering under a sword precariously suspended by a single thread.

This week, the National Research Council (NRC) is releasing a report on climate 
engineering that deals with exactly those proposals I found most terrifying. 
The report even recommends the creation of a research program addressing these 
proposals. I am a co-author of this report. Does this mean I’ve had a change of 
heart?

No.  
The nearly two years’ worth of reading and animated discussions that went into 
this study have convinced me more than ever that the idea of “fixing” the 
climate by hacking the Earth’s reflection of sunlight is wildly, utterly, 
howlingly barking mad. In fact, though the report is couched in language more 
nuanced than what I myself would prefer, there is really nothing in it that is 
inconsistent with my earlier appraisals.

Even the terminology used in the report signals a palpable change in the 
framing of the discussion. The actions discussed for the most part are referred 
to as “climate intervention,” rather than “climate engineering” (or the common 
but confusing term geoengineering). Engineering is something you do to a system 
you understand very well, where you can try out new techniques thoroughly at a 
small scale before staking peoples’ lives on them.

Hacking the climate is different—we have only one planet to live on, and can’t 
afford any big mistakes. Many of the climate “engineering” proposals are akin 
to turning the world’s whole population into passengers on a largely untested 
new fleet of hypersonic airplanes.

Most previous literature has referred to schemes to increase the proportion of 
sunlight reflected back to space as solar radiation management, as if it were 
something routine and businesslike, along the lines of “inventory management” 
or “personnel management.” It is far from clear, however, that solar radiation 
can bemanaged in any meaningful sense of the word. The NRC report instead uses 
the more neutral term “albedo modification.” Albedo is the scientific term for 
the proportion of sunlight reflected back to space. If the Earth had 100 
percent albedo, it would reflect all sunlight back to space and be a frozen ice 
ball some tens of degrees above absolute zero, heated only by the trickle of 
heat leaking out from its interior. Earth’s current albedo is about 30 percent, 
with much of the reflection caused by clouds and snow cover. I myself prefer 
the term “albedo hacking,” but “albedo 

RE: [geo] NRC geoengineering report: Climate hacking is dangerous and barking mad. Pierrehumbert. Slate

2015-02-11 Thread Doug MacMartin
On reflection, I think my most basic problem with his “argument” is it that it 
fails to distinguish between the people choosing to emit CO2, the people who 
might be harmed by CO2, and the people who might eventually choose 
geoengineering; his arguments are only coherent to the extent that those are 
all the same people.  

 

It’s a bit like standing in a cross-walk watching an approaching SUV that isn’t 
slowing down and insisting that you have the right-of-way and the “right 
answer” is for the SUV-driver to stop rather than for you to take whatever 
action you can.

 

doug

 

From: geoengineering@googlegroups.com [mailto:geoengineering@googlegroups.com] 
On Behalf Of Doug MacMartin
Sent: Wednesday, February 11, 2015 4:59 PM
To: andrew.lock...@gmail.com; 'geoengineering'
Subject: RE: [geo] NRC geoengineering report: Climate hacking is dangerous and 
barking mad. Pierrehumbert. Slate

 

Perhaps the only thing more barking mad than considering solar geoengineering 
would be the path we’re currently on… in that sense I agree with him, but 
insofar as we do appear to be on that path, he doesn’t actually present any 
cogent argument against pursuing research, despite all of his argumentative 
rhetoric.  

 

There’s so much BS in here to respond to, but two thoughts:

 

As the lead author on a recent paper describing temporary deployment only to 
limit the rate of change (which was cited several times in the report, and I 
presume is the basis for his comment), I can unequivocally state that his 
assertion:

I myself think the temporary deployment scenarios are highly implausible, and 
are mainly shopped by albedo-modification boosters as a less threatening way to 
get the camel’s nose in the tent

Is absolutely false; if he was interested in whether that was true, he could 
have actually asked.  (I also object to the word “boosters”, as my own 
perspective is simply one of wanting decisions to be made based on knowledge).

 

And second, if we both ever need surgery for cancer, I’ll take the painkillers 
that he apparently doesn’t want.

 

From: geoengineering@googlegroups.com [mailto:geoengineering@googlegroups.com] 
On Behalf Of Andrew Lockley
Sent: Wednesday, February 11, 2015 3:18 PM
To: geoengineering
Subject: [geo] NRC geoengineering report: Climate hacking is dangerous and 
barking mad. Pierrehumbert. Slate

 

Poster's note : notable as it's a report author.

http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science/2015/02/nrc_geoengineering_report_climate_hacking_is_dangerous_and_barking_mad.single.html

FEB. 10 2015 11:00 AM

Climate Hacking Is Barking Mad

You can’t fix the Earth with these geoengineering proposals, but you can sure 
make it worse.

By Raymond T. Pierrehumbert

Some years ago, in the question-and-answer session after a lecture at the 
American Geophysical Union, I described certain geoengineering proposals as 
“barking mad.” The remark went rather viral in the geoengineering community. 
The climate-hacking proposals I was referring to were schemes that attempt to 
cancel out some of the effects of human-caused global warming by squirting 
various substances into the atmosphere that would reflect more sunlight back to 
space. Schemes that were lovingly called “solar radiation management” by 
geoengineering boosters. Earlier I had referred to the perilous statesuch 
schemes would put our Earth into as being analogous to the fate of poor 
Damocles, cowering under a sword precariously suspended by a single thread.

This week, the National Research Council (NRC) is releasing a report on climate 
engineering that deals with exactly those proposals I found most terrifying. 
The report even recommends the creation of a research program addressing these 
proposals. I am a co-author of this report. Does this mean I’ve had a change of 
heart?

No.  
The nearly two years’ worth of reading and animated discussions that went into 
this study have convinced me more than ever that the idea of “fixing” the 
climate by hacking the Earth’s reflection of sunlight is wildly, utterly, 
howlingly barking mad. In fact, though the report is couched in language more 
nuanced than what I myself would prefer, there is really nothing in it that is 
inconsistent with my earlier appraisals.

Even the terminology used in the report signals a palpable change in the 
framing of the discussion. The actions discussed for the most part are referred 
to as “climate intervention,” rather than “climate engineering” (or the common 
but confusing term geoengineering). Engineering is something you do to a system 
you understand very well, where you can try out new techniques thoroughly at a 
small scale before staking peoples’ lives on them.

Hacking the climate is different—we have only one planet to live on, and can’t 
afford any big mistakes. Many of the climate “engineering” proposals are akin 
to turning the world’s whole population into passengers on a largely untested 
new fleet of hypersonic airplanes.


Re: [geo] NRC geoengineering report: Climate hacking is dangerous and barking mad. Pierrehumbert. Slate

2015-02-11 Thread Mike MacCracken
Hi Doug--Well said. The report (well, at least the presentation of the
report yesterday at the National Academy of Sciences) basically does not do
a comparative analysis of climate change with and without climate
intervention‹instead seeming to do an analysis only of the relative merits
of climate intervention on its own or not. Well, that is not the context we
are in (so actually the analysis, once they get past saying the climate is
changing, is to forget about the SUV approaching the crosswalk at all (or at
least, the change is not here now in the Arctic or imminent elsewhere,
etc.). The really surprising reason given in answer to my question was that
they said that uncertainties about climate change without intervention were
too large to really do this‹well, those uncertainties are clearly small
enough to make the decision that we should change over the whole global
energy system and how unacceptable those consequences would be. And, given
that the various intervention approaches are not unlike phenomena in the
world today and intervention would keep the climate where it is now (only
with a bit different amount of energy change as compared to the seasonal
changes in forcing that are already treated in simulating the global weather
changes over the seasons), it is really hard to see how a modest program of
climate intervention research would not lead to uncertainties less than
those involved in projections of climate change without intervention.

Fine to say that there are social, equity, political, and governance issues,
but on the issue of uncertainties in the physical science calculations, not
readily understandable.

Mike MacCracken



On 2/11/15, 6:05 PM, Doug MacMartin macma...@cds.caltech.edu wrote:

 On reflection, I think my most basic problem with his ³argument² is it that it
 fails to distinguish between the people choosing to emit CO2, the people who
 might be harmed by CO2, and the people who might eventually choose
 geoengineering; his arguments are only coherent to the extent that those are
 all the same people.
  
 It¹s a bit like standing in a cross-walk watching an approaching SUV that
 isn¹t slowing down and insisting that you have the right-of-way and the ³right
 answer² is for the SUV-driver to stop rather than for you to take whatever
 action you can.
  
 doug
  
 
 From: geoengineering@googlegroups.com [mailto:geoengineering@googlegroups.com]
 On Behalf Of Doug MacMartin
 Sent: Wednesday, February 11, 2015 4:59 PM
 To: andrew.lock...@gmail.com; 'geoengineering'
 Subject: RE: [geo] NRC geoengineering report: Climate hacking is dangerous and
 barking mad. Pierrehumbert. Slate
  
 Perhaps the only thing more barking mad than considering solar geoengineering
 would be the path we¹re currently onŠ in that sense I agree with him, but
 insofar as we do appear to be on that path, he doesn¹t actually present any
 cogent argument against pursuing research, despite all of his argumentative
 rhetoric.  
  
 There¹s so much BS in here to respond to, but two thoughts:
  
 As the lead author on a recent paper describing temporary deployment only to
 limit the rate of change (which was cited several times in the report, and I
 presume is the basis for his comment), I can unequivocally state that his
 assertion:
 I myself think the temporary deployment scenarios are highly implausible, and
 are mainly shopped by albedo-modification boosters as a less threatening way
 to get the camel¹s nose in the tent
 Is absolutely false; if he was interested in whether that was true, he could
 have actually asked.  (I also object to the word ³boosters², as my own
 perspective is simply one of wanting decisions to be made based on knowledge).
  
 And second, if we both ever need surgery for cancer, I¹ll take the painkillers
 that he apparently doesn¹t want.
  
 From: geoengineering@googlegroups.com [mailto:geoengineering@googlegroups.com]
 On Behalf Of Andrew Lockley
 Sent: Wednesday, February 11, 2015 3:18 PM
 To: geoengineering
 Subject: [geo] NRC geoengineering report: Climate hacking is dangerous and
 barking mad. Pierrehumbert. Slate
  
 Poster's note : notable as it's a report author.
 
 http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science/2015/02/nrc_geoengine
 ering_report_climate_hacking_is_dangerous_and_barking_mad.single.html
 
 FEB. 10 2015 11:00 AM
 
 Climate Hacking Is Barking Mad
 
 You can¹t fix the Earth with these geoengineering proposals, but you can sure
 make it worse.
 
 By Raymond T. Pierrehumbert
 
 Some years ago, in the question-and-answer session after a lecture at the
 American Geophysical Union, I described certain geoengineering proposals as
 ³barking mad.² The remark went rather viral in the geoengineering community.
 The climate-hacking proposals I was referring to were schemes that attempt to
 cancel out some of the effects of human-caused global warming by squirting
 various substances into the atmosphere that would reflect more sunlight back
 to space. Schemes that were 

Re: [geo] A closer look at the flawed studies behind policies used to promote 'low-carbon' biofuels | University of Michigan News

2015-02-11 Thread David desJardins
I don't understand how some authors claim that forests remove carbon from
the atmosphere and so if you use the same land to produce and burn biofuels
then that zero-carbon cycle is somehow worse for the environment than the
natural cycle.  Isn't it obvious that in the long run a forest has to be
carbon-balanced, it isn't removing net carbon from the atmosphere but
essentially all of the carbon taken up by plants eventually gets returned
to the atmosphere when those plants die, decompose, etc.?  If there were a
net removal of carbon from the atmosphere then over long time periods each
forest would be sitting on a huge pile of carbon.  Of course, there is some
fossil fuel production and thus carbon storage over a period of millions of
years, but that seems insignificant on the time scales we're discussing.
Can someone who's read these papers explain how they address this?

On Tue Feb 10 2015 at 3:59:40 PM Andrew Lockley andrew.lock...@gmail.com
wrote:

 Poster's note : Whoops. This would be funny if it wasn't so tragic.


 http://ns.umich.edu/new/releases/22668-a-closer-look-at-the-flawed-studies-behind-policies-used-to-promote-low-carbon-biofuels

 A closer look at the flawed studies behind policies used to promote
 'low-carbon' biofuels

 Feb 05, 2015

 Nearly all of the studies used to promote biofuels as climate-friendly
 alternatives to petroleum fuels are flawed and need to be redone, according
 to a University of Michigan researcher who reviewed more than 100 papers
 published over more than two decades.

 Once the erroneous methodology is corrected, the results will likely show
 that policies used to promote biofuels—such as the U.S. Renewable Fuel
 Standard and California's Low-Carbon Fuel Standard—actually make matters
 worse when it comes to limiting net emissions of climate-warming carbon
 dioxide gas.

 The main problem with existing studies is that they fail to correctly
 account for the carbon dioxide absorbed from the atmosphere when corn,
 soybeans and sugarcane are grown to make biofuels, said John DeCicco, a
 research professor at U-M's Energy Institute.

 Almost all of the fields used to produce biofuels were already being used
 to produce crops for food, so there is no significant increase in the
 amount of carbon dioxide being removed from the atmosphere. Therefore,
 there's no climate benefit, said DeCicco, the author of an advanced review
 of the topic in the current issue of Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews:
 Energy and Environment.

 The real challenge is to develop ways of removing carbon dioxide at
 faster rates and larger scales than is accomplished by established
 agricultural and forestry activities. By focusing more on increasing net
 carbon dioxide uptake, we can shape more effective climate policies that
 counterbalance emissions from the combustion of gasoline and other liquid
 fuels.

 In his article, DeCicco examines the four main approaches that have been
 used to evaluate the carbon dioxide impacts of liquid transportation fuels,
 both petroleum-based fuels and plant-based biofuels. His prime focus is
 carbon footprinting, a type of lifecycle analysis proposed in the late
 1980s as a way to evaluate the total emissions of carbon dioxide and other
 greenhouse gases associated with the production and use of transportation
 fuels.

 Numerous fuel-related carbon footprinting analyses have been published
 since that time and have led to widespread disagreement over the results.

 Even so, these methods were advocated by environmental groups and were
 subsequently mandated by Congress as part of the 2007 federal energy bill's
 provisions to promote biofuels through the U.S. Renewable Fuel Standard.
 Shortly thereafter, parallel efforts in California led to that state's
 adoption of its Low-Carbon Fuel Standard based on the carbon footprinting
 model.

 In his analysis, DeCicco shows that these carbon footprint comparisons
 fail to properly reflect the dynamics of the terrestrial carbon cycle,
 miscounting carbon dioxide uptake during plant growth. That process occurs
 on all productive lands, whether or not the land is harvested for biofuel,
 he said.

 These modeling errors help explain why the results of such studies have
 remained in dispute for so long, DeCicco said. The disagreements have
 been especially sharp when comparing biofuels, such as ethanol and
 biodiesel, to conventional fuels such as gasoline and diesel derived from
 petroleum.

 --
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To 

Re: [geo] NRC geoengineering report: Climate hacking is dangerous and barking mad. Pierrehumbert. Slate

2015-02-11 Thread Fred Zimmerman
Worth noting perhaps that the NAS has done careful studies of climate
impacts http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=12877 so one response to
the limitations of the climate intervention study is to suggest that the
climate stabilization/impacts report be read together with the climate
intervention study. This is a familiar lawyerly technique (where there is
doubt, construe all parts of a contract together so as to achieve a
reasonable rather than an absurd reading) which may help in dealing with
policy types.
ᐧ

On Wed, Feb 11, 2015 at 6:32 PM, Mike MacCracken mmacc...@comcast.net
wrote:

  Hi Doug--Well said. The report (well, at least the presentation of the
 report yesterday at the National Academy of Sciences) basically does not do
 a comparative analysis of climate change with and without climate
 intervention—instead seeming to do an analysis only of the relative merits
 of climate intervention on its own or not. Well, that is not the context we
 are in (so actually the analysis, once they get past saying the climate is
 changing, is to forget about the SUV approaching the crosswalk at all (or
 at least, the change is not here now in the Arctic or imminent elsewhere,
 etc.). The really surprising reason given in answer to my question was that
 they said that uncertainties about climate change without intervention were
 too large to really do this—well, those uncertainties are clearly small
 enough to make the decision that we should change over the whole global
 energy system and how unacceptable those consequences would be. And, given
 that the various intervention approaches are not unlike phenomena in the
 world today and intervention would keep the climate where it is now (only
 with a bit different amount of energy change as compared to the seasonal
 changes in forcing that are already treated in simulating the global
 weather changes over the seasons), it is really hard to see how a modest
 program of climate intervention research would not lead to uncertainties
 less than those involved in projections of climate change without
 intervention.

 Fine to say that there are social, equity, political, and governance
 issues, but on the issue of uncertainties in the physical science
 calculations, not readily understandable.

 Mike MacCracken




 On 2/11/15, 6:05 PM, Doug MacMartin macma...@cds.caltech.edu wrote:

 On reflection, I think my most basic problem with his “argument” is it
 that it fails to distinguish between the people choosing to emit CO2, the
 people who might be harmed by CO2, and the people who might eventually
 choose geoengineering; his arguments are only coherent to the extent that
 those are all the same people.

 It’s a bit like standing in a cross-walk watching an approaching SUV that
 isn’t slowing down and insisting that you have the right-of-way and the
 “right answer” is for the SUV-driver to stop rather than for you to take
 whatever action you can.

 doug


 *From:* geoengineering@googlegroups.com [
 mailto:geoengineering@googlegroups.com geoengineering@googlegroups.com] *On
 Behalf Of *Doug MacMartin
 *Sent:* Wednesday, February 11, 2015 4:59 PM
 *To:* andrew.lock...@gmail.com; 'geoengineering'
 *Subject:* RE: [geo] NRC geoengineering report: Climate hacking is
 dangerous and barking mad. Pierrehumbert. Slate

 Perhaps the only thing more barking mad than considering solar
 geoengineering would be the path we’re currently on… in that sense I agree
 with him, but insofar as we do appear to be on that path, he doesn’t
 actually present any cogent argument against pursuing research, despite all
 of his argumentative rhetoric.

 There’s so much BS in here to respond to, but two thoughts:

 As the lead author on a recent paper describing temporary deployment only
 to limit the rate of change (which was cited several times in the report,
 and I presume is the basis for his comment), I can unequivocally state that
 his assertion:
 I myself think the temporary deployment scenarios are highly implausible,
 and are mainly shopped by albedo-modification boosters as a less
 threatening way to get the camel’s nose in the tent
 Is absolutely false; if he was interested in whether that was true, he
 could have actually asked.  (I also object to the word “boosters”, as my
 own perspective is simply one of wanting decisions to be made based on
 knowledge).

 And second, if we both ever need surgery for cancer, I’ll take the
 painkillers that he apparently doesn’t want.

 *From:* geoengineering@googlegroups.com [
 mailto:geoengineering@googlegroups.com geoengineering@googlegroups.com] *On
 Behalf Of *Andrew Lockley
 *Sent:* Wednesday, February 11, 2015 3:18 PM
 *To:* geoengineering
 *Subject:* [geo] NRC geoengineering report: Climate hacking is dangerous
 and barking mad. Pierrehumbert. Slate

 Poster's note : notable as it's a report author.


 

Re: [geo] National Academies reports

2015-02-11 Thread Greg Rau
Still more reporting:
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/02/11/science/panel-urges-more-research-on-geoengineering-as-a-tool-against-climate-change.html?_r=0


“The committee felt that the need for information at this point outweighs the 
need for shoving this topic under the rug,” Marcia K. McNutt, chairwoman of the 
panel and the editor in chief of the journal Science, said at a news conference 
in Washington.

How refreshing.  Is shoving topics under the rug ever an option for an NAS 
committee, or science in general? Or was the committee referring to the habits 
of brethren policy- and decision-makers?
Greg



 From: J.L. Reynolds j.l.reyno...@uvt.nl
To: geoengineering@googlegroups.com geoengineering@googlegroups.com 
Sent: Tuesday, February 10, 2015 11:11 PM
Subject: [geo] National Academies reports
 


 
Yesterday , a committee of the National research Council released a two volume 
report on climate engineering. They are available here
http://www.nap.edu/catalog/18988/climate-intervention-reflecting-sunlight-to-cool-earth
http://www.nap.edu/catalog/18805/climate-intervention-carbon-dioxide-removal-and-reliable-sequestration
One must register to download, but may read online without doing so.
 
The newly renamed Forum for Climate Engineering Assessment (formerly the 
Washington Geoengineering Consortium) has handy roundups of media coverage and 
NGO reactions. I found the latter interesting, in that Friends of the Earth US 
came out fully against climate engineering while the Union of Concerned 
Scientists, the Natural Resources Defense Council, and the Environmental 
Defense Fund were supportive of the reports and further research (with varying 
degrees of caution expressed). 
http://dcgeoconsortium.org/2015/02/10/media-coverage-of-nas-climate-intervention-reports/
http://dcgeoconsortium.org/2015/02/10/civil-society-statements-on-the-release-of-nas-climate-intervention-reports/
 
The press conference was webcast.  Some people “live tweeted” it. See
https://twitter.com/elikint
https://twitter.com/janieflegal
https://twitter.com/TheCarbonSink
https://twitter.com/mclaren_erc 
 
Cheers
Jesse
 
-
Jesse L. Reynolds, PhD
Postdoctoral researcher
Research funding coordinator, sustainability and climate
European and International Public Law
Tilburg Sustainability Center
Tilburg University, The Netherlands
Book review editor, Law, Innovation, and Technology
email: j.l.reyno...@uvt.nl  
http://works.bepress.com/jessreyn/
 
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Re: [geo] A closer look at the flawed studies behind policies used to promote 'low-carbon' biofuels | University of Michigan News

2015-02-11 Thread NORTHCOTT Michael
The EU Biofuels directive pushed up the world price of biodiesel. This in turn 
pushed up the value of Palm oil. Hence the directive underwrites ongoing 
tropical forest clearance and replacement with oil palm plantations in Sumatra, 
Kalimantan, Central Africa. Biofuels produced on such land have a carbon 
footprint greater than shale oil or gasified coal since the subsoil emits 
significant quantities of stored carbon after forest clearance. These areas are 
also prone to subterranean peat fires which can burn for years putting 
significant black soot into the atmosphere which is implicated in increased ice 
melt in Himalayas, Arctic. Soya from the Amazon also displaces tropical forest 
and even on cleared land if soya is not replanted secondary forest naturally 
returns which sequesters far more carbon (as new growth absorbs more) while 
also helping to sequester water in the soil and subsoil with benefits to 
biodiversity and humans. I am not a scientist but citations can be found for 
all the above claims. Unfortunately EU bureaucrats, and the USDA bureaucrats 
who came up with the crazy ethanol from corn policy in the US, don't appear to 
read scientific papers. In my non-scientific judgment, the least cost and 
lowest tech 'geoengineering' intervention is to permit the natural regrowth of 
boreal and tropical forests by removing grazing animals in former Boreal forest 
areas (such as Scottish and English upland), and removing perverse incentives 
for forest clearance (eg biofuels) and restraining criminality and political 
corruption (cf Straumann, Money Logging, Geneva 2014) in tropical forests. In 
semi arid areas, such as North Africa, intercropping with native scrub plants 
(Farmer Managed Natural Regeneration) also significantly improves soil and 
water retention and carbon sequestration while also considerably benefiting 
subsistence farmers through raised crop productivity.

Professor Michael Northcott
New College
University of Edinburgh
Mound Place
Edinburgh
EH1 2LX
UK

0 (44) 131 650 7994

m.northc...@ed.ac.ukmailto:m.northc...@ed.ac.uk

ancestraltime.org.ukhttp://ancestraltime.org.uk

http://careforthefuture.exeter.ac.uk/blog/

edinburgh.academia.edu/MichaelNorthcotthttp://edinburgh.academia.edu/MichaelNorthcott

On 11 Feb 2015, at 01:20, Greg Rau 
gh...@sbcglobal.netmailto:gh...@sbcglobal.net wrote:

Quoting the article: The main problem with existing studies is that they fail 
to correctly account for the carbon dioxide absorbed from the atmosphere when 
corn, soybeans and sugarcane are grown to make biofuels, said John DeCicco, a 
research professor at U-M's Energy Institute.
Almost all of the fields used to produce biofuels were already being used to 
produce crops for food, so there is no significant increase in the amount of 
carbon dioxide being removed from the atmosphere. 

No one said there would be net uptake of CO2 from the atmosphere using 
biofuels, but there will presumably be a reduction in CO2 emissions by 
substituting bio for fossil fuel (minus, of course, the fossil CO2 penalty for 
producing the biofuels).  Biofuels (or electricity) can be C negative in the 
case of BECCS or BEAWL, fermentation + CCS or + AWL, etc? What am I missing?
Greg


From: Andrew Lockley andrew.lock...@gmail.commailto:andrew.lock...@gmail.com
To: geoengineering 
geoengineering@googlegroups.commailto:geoengineering@googlegroups.com
Sent: Tuesday, February 10, 2015 3:59 PM
Subject: [geo] A closer look at the flawed studies behind policies used to 
promote 'low-carbon' biofuels | University of Michigan News

Poster's note : Whoops. This would be funny if it wasn't so tragic.
http://ns.umich.edu/new/releases/22668-a-closer-look-at-the-flawed-studies-behind-policies-used-to-promote-low-carbon-biofuels
A closer look at the flawed studies behind policies used to promote 
'low-carbon' biofuels
Feb 05, 2015
Nearly all of the studies used to promote biofuels as climate-friendly 
alternatives to petroleum fuels are flawed and need to be redone, according to 
a University of Michigan researcher who reviewed more than 100 papers published 
over more than two decades.
Once the erroneous methodology is corrected, the results will likely show that 
policies used to promote biofuels-such as the U.S. Renewable Fuel Standard and 
California's Low-Carbon Fuel Standard-actually make matters worse when it comes 
to limiting net emissions of climate-warming carbon dioxide gas.
The main problem with existing studies is that they fail to correctly account 
for the carbon dioxide absorbed from the atmosphere when corn, soybeans and 
sugarcane are grown to make biofuels, said John DeCicco, a research professor 
at U-M's Energy Institute.
Almost all of the fields used to produce biofuels were already being used to 
produce crops for food, so there is no significant increase in the amount of 
carbon dioxide being removed from the atmosphere. Therefore, there's no climate 
benefit, said