Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-12 Thread Ron Wells
greatjust greatpolitics and $$$(as they see it) as well as no 
sense wins again ..





From:   ibmmain nitz-...@gmx.net
To: IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU
Date:   11/12/2012 12:08 AM
Subject:Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible
Sent by:IBM Mainframe Discussion List IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU



 And if you listen to Martin, everyone out there on zSeries (of any sort) 
is apparently wallowing in memory anyway.
They are. The memory just isn't for z/OS, it is for zLinux. After all, 
everybody knows that z/OS makes do without adequate resources, when Linux 
applications fail. 

You wouldn't believe the fight I went through to get our z/OS lpars enough 
real to get paging below the 25% threshold when we migrated from 1.10 to 
1.12. Not to mention to stop the RSM abends we experienced that IBM was 
unable to debug and that were most probably due to not enough real and a 
serialization problem somewhere. That was about 30GB of real for 10 lpars. 
30GB were thrown easily at one Linux runnig under VM, on the other hand.

 Customers rebelled against the constant need to update the OS we've had 
to dance to over the last few years, and IBM changed its tune.
As someone else said, I don't think customers rebelled. I think that IBMs 
own resources are spread so thin that the previous cycle couldn't be 
maintained anymore. Did you notice lately that BCP questions are answered 
from China on this forum? It looks to me like some of the development labs 
went there.

While I can appreciate that IBM is innovating the platform, economics 
like this is really putting the squeeze on many IBM customers.  This is a 
very disturbing trend in zSystem economics, which IBM should reverse but 
likely won't.

If you're not one of the big customers, you have lost. In a few years 
there will be 50 large mainframe installations around the world and all 
small ones will have been absorbed into those 50. Recent development in 
z/OS only helps large customers who can afford 'large' hardware.

Also, I attended Bob Rogers' 'crystal ball' session at the last 
zConference in Berlin in May. I think he was talking about the 
architecture of what is now called z12EC. What I got out of that is that 
the instruction set for z/OS (our zArchitecture) is basically tacked on to 
a completely different type (forgot which). And given how much z/OS is 
made to look and feel like what the clickers are used to (which is the 
only area IBM spends development dollars on), I firmly believe that z/OS 
is doomed.

I just hope that I'll be able to work on z/OS until I retire. Which is 
entirely too far into the future.
How's that for gloom on a Monday morning?

Barbara

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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-11 Thread R.S.

W dniu 2012-11-11 00:45, Edward Jaffe pisze:

On 11/10/2012 2:25 PM, John Gilmore wrote:

It is possible, even usual in many shops, to continue to use machines
well after they have been withdrawn from marketing.

The inability to obtain more storage or to activate a spare, already
acquired CP is another, much more serious matter.  That sort of thing
apparently came later.  How much later?


Hardware memory upgrade MES for z10BC was discontinued after June
2012--coincident with marketing withdrawal. If you have pre-planned
memory installed but not activated, you can still get the microcode
memory activation MES until June 2013. But, the price has been jacked up
so high ($8K/GB) that it might as well not be available at all!



Well, $8k/GB is special price for you, which includes all possible 
discounts. I mean in Poland.
And I'm not talking about discontinued machines - hat was the prices 
when z9 or z10 was the newest machine.



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Radoslaw Skorupka
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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-11 Thread John Gilmore
Edward Jaffe wrote:

begin extract
Understand, this is not the price for the memory. This is just the
price to _enable_ the memory.
end extract

It is indeed the price of some  trivial, off-the-shelf µcode changes;
and these changes are not very size-sensitive.  A [small] flat charge
would have been more appropriate.

I said here on another occasion that some microprocessor assembly
languages had clearly been designed to discourage their use; but here
we have something subtler: this scheme will produce some high-margin
revenue too.

John Gilmore, Ashland, MA 01721 - USA

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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-11 Thread Leslie Turriff
On Friday 09 November 2012 19:59:33 Edward Jaffe wrote:
 Those of you with z10BC machines waiting for the z12BC to come out had
 better learn to make do with what you have.

 Keep in mind that z10BC is just _one_ generation removed from the current
 z114 business class machine. Nevertheless, hardware MES were withdrawn
 earlier this year and microcode MES are announced withdrawn as of June
 2013.

 A memory upgrade is both hardware (the physical DIMMs) and microcode
 (enabling the memory). The only way to get additional memory for a z10
 these days is to buy it on the used market. And, IBM is charging a premium
 price for the magic screwdriver to enable this memory: $8K/GB! Thus, a
 16GB memory upgrade would cost $128K in services PLUS the cost of the
 memory itself! (FYI. You can buy a brand new z114 machine for that...)

This reminds me of the System/3 that I worked on in my college days; 
the 
school purchased an upgrade to larger DASD (for I don't know how much), and 
the field engineer's implementation was to open the DASD drawer and clip off 
the wire loop that prevented the access arm from extending all the way into 
the drive's inner tracks...

Leslie

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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-11 Thread ibmmain
 And if you listen to Martin, everyone out there on zSeries (of any sort) is 
 apparently wallowing in memory anyway.
They are. The memory just isn't for z/OS, it is for zLinux. After all, 
everybody knows that z/OS makes do without adequate resources, when Linux 
applications fail. 

You wouldn't believe the fight I went through to get our z/OS lpars enough real 
to get paging below the 25% threshold when we migrated from 1.10 to 1.12. Not 
to mention to stop the RSM abends we experienced that IBM was unable to debug 
and that were most probably due to not enough real and a serialization problem 
somewhere. That was about 30GB of real for 10 lpars. 30GB were thrown easily at 
one Linux runnig under VM, on the other hand.

 Customers rebelled against the constant need to update the OS we've had to 
 dance to over the last few years, and IBM changed its tune.
As someone else said, I don't think customers rebelled. I think that IBMs own 
resources are spread so thin that the previous cycle couldn't be maintained 
anymore. Did you notice lately that BCP questions are answered from China on 
this forum? It looks to me like some of the development labs went there.

While I can appreciate that IBM is innovating the platform, economics like 
this is really putting the squeeze on many IBM customers.  This is a very 
disturbing trend in zSystem economics, which IBM should reverse but likely 
won't.

If you're not one of the big customers, you have lost. In a few years there 
will be 50 large mainframe installations around the world and all small ones 
will have been absorbed into those 50. Recent development in z/OS only helps 
large customers who can afford 'large' hardware.

Also, I attended Bob Rogers' 'crystal ball' session at the last zConference in 
Berlin in May. I think he was talking about the architecture of what is now 
called z12EC. What I got out of that is that the instruction set for z/OS (our 
zArchitecture) is basically tacked on to a completely different type (forgot 
which). And given how much z/OS is made to look and feel like what the clickers 
are used to (which is the only area IBM spends development dollars on), I 
firmly believe that z/OS is doomed.

I just hope that I'll be able to work on z/OS until I retire. Which is entirely 
too far into the future.
How's that for gloom on a Monday morning?

Barbara

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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-10 Thread Thomas Conley
From what I can see, IBM announced the z10EC in February 2008, and the 
z10BC in October 2008.  Consider that most clients did not get them for 
6-12 months after the announcements, and the June 2012 end of life 
statement gives just a little over 3 years useful life.  You can't even 
depreciate a mainframe over 5 years now, let alone 7.  While I can 
appreciate that IBM is innovating the platform, economics like this is 
really putting the squeeze on many IBM customers.  How about government, 
where procurement can delay new systems for years?  This is a very 
disturbing trend in zSystem economics, which IBM should reverse but 
likely won't.


Regards,
Tom Conley

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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-10 Thread Edward Jaffe

On 11/10/2012 12:10 PM, Thomas Conley wrote:
From what I can see, IBM announced the z10EC in February 2008, and the z10BC 
in October 2008.  Consider that most clients did not get them for 6-12 months 
after the announcements, and the June 2012 end of life statement gives just a 
little over 3 years useful life.  You can't even depreciate a mainframe over 5 
years now, let alone 7.  While I can appreciate that IBM is innovating the 
platform, economics like this is really putting the squeeze on many IBM 
customers.  How about government, where procurement can delay new systems for 
years?  This is a very disturbing trend in zSystem economics, which IBM should 
reverse but likely won't.


I guess I was researching this at the exact same time you were...

z10BC became first available in 4Q08 and was withdrawn from marketing after 
2Q12; the life cycle of these machines was 3 1/2 years. By comparison, z9BC 
first became available in 2Q06 and was withdrawn from marketing after 2Q10. So, 
its life cycle was FOUR years!


--
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Phoenix Software International, Inc
831 Parkview Drive North
El Segundo, CA 90245
http://www.phoenixsoftware.com/

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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-10 Thread Edward Jaffe

On 11/10/2012 2:25 PM, John Gilmore wrote:

It is possible, even usual in many shops, to continue to use machines
well after they have been withdrawn from marketing.

The inability to obtain more storage or to activate a spare, already
acquired CP is another, much more serious matter.  That sort of thing
apparently came later.  How much later?


Hardware memory upgrade MES for z10BC was discontinued after June 
2012--coincident with marketing withdrawal. If you have pre-planned memory 
installed but not activated, you can still get the microcode memory activation 
MES until June 2013. But, the price has been jacked up so high ($8K/GB) that it 
might as well not be available at all!


--
Edward E Jaffe
Phoenix Software International, Inc
831 Parkview Drive North
El Segundo, CA 90245
http://www.phoenixsoftware.com/

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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-10 Thread John Gilmore
Thank you.

It's difficult to avoid the conclusion that the objective of these
moves was the very short-term replacement of the z10BC by another,
newer and less 'specialized' model.

John Gilmore, Ashland, MA 01721 - USA

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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-10 Thread Ed Gould

On Nov 10, 2012, at 5:45 PM, Edward Jaffe wrote:


Hardware memory upgrade MES for z10BC was discontinued after June  
2012--coincident with marketing withdrawal. If you have pre-planned  
memory installed but not activated, you can still get the microcode  
memory activation MES until June 2013. But, the price has been  
jacked up so high ($8K/GB) that it might as well not be available  
at all!


SIGH... remember when a megabyte of storage cost 50K ?

ED

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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-10 Thread Edward Jaffe

On 11/10/2012 4:11 PM, John Gilmore wrote:

Thank you.

It's difficult to avoid the conclusion that the objective of these
moves was the very short-term replacement of the z10BC by another,
newer and less 'specialized' model.


Or perhaps a way to increase hardware revenues?

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Chief Technology Officer
Phoenix Software International, Inc
831 Parkview Drive North
El Segundo, CA 90245
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z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-09 Thread Edward Jaffe
Those of you with z10BC machines waiting for the z12BC to come out had better 
learn to make do with what you have.


Keep in mind that z10BC is just _one_ generation removed from the current z114 
business class machine. Nevertheless, hardware MES were withdrawn earlier this 
year and microcode MES are announced withdrawn as of June 2013.


A memory upgrade is both hardware (the physical DIMMs) and microcode (enabling 
the memory). The only way to get additional memory for a z10 these days is to 
buy it on the used market. And, IBM is charging a premium price for the magic 
screwdriver to enable this memory: $8K/GB! Thus, a 16GB memory upgrade would 
cost $128K in services PLUS the cost of the memory itself! (FYI. You can buy a 
brand new z114 machine for that...)


--
Edward E Jaffe
Phoenix Software International, Inc
831 Parkview Drive North
El Segundo, CA 90245
310-338-0400 x318
edja...@phoenixsoftware.com
http://www.phoenixsoftware.com/

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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-09 Thread Shane Ginnane
On Fri, 9 Nov 2012 16:59:33 -0800, Edward Jaffe wrote:

A memory upgrade is both hardware (the physical DIMMs) and microcode (enabling
the memory). The only way to get additional memory for a z10 these days is to
buy it on the used market. And, IBM is charging a premium price for the magic
screwdriver to enable this memory: $8K/GB! Thus, a 16GB memory upgrade would
cost $128K in services PLUS the cost of the memory itself! (FYI. You can buy a
brand new z114 machine for that...)

... which is precisely the point I guess.
And if you listen to Martin, everyone out there on zSeries (of any sort) is 
apparently wallowing in memory anyway.

I suspect a lot of small(er) customers do as I see happening here - shunt the 
z10 out to DR, buy in a z114 for the main site. When the next BC arrives, wash, 
rinse, repeat ...
Customers rebelled against the constant need to update the OS we've had to 
dance to over the last few years, and IBM changed its tune.

Maybe the same will come to pass on the hardware side as well.

Shane ...

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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-09 Thread Edward Jaffe

On 11/9/2012 5:46 PM, Shane Ginnane wrote:

Customers rebelled against the constant need to update the OS we've had to 
dance to over the last few years, and IBM changed its tune.


To the best of my knowledge, there was no customer rebellion. Rather, customers 
were taken completely by surprise by IBM's sudden z/OS release schedule change. 
There never was a constant need to upgrade the OS; upgrading every year was 
optional. Now that choice has been stripped away in an effort to reduce costs.



Maybe the same will come to pass on the hardware side as well.


I don't follow processor hardware life cycle details quite as closely as z/OS, 
but it seems to me that memory upgrades were withdrawn much earlier for z10 than 
for previous models. That is perception only; I have not verified as fact.


--
Edward E Jaffe
Phoenix Software International, Inc
831 Parkview Drive North
El Segundo, CA 90245
http://www.phoenixsoftware.com/

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