Re: giving up?
- Original Message - From: Devine, James [EMAIL PROTECTED] Ian replies: Hey, if you want to give up feel free! That ain't my plan. what _is_ your plan? == Given your response to the second slice of my post below, I'm going to respond in a manner consistent with what I can only guess was your mind-body 'state' at the time of your reply with it's attendant misrepresentation of what I wrote. My plan[s] are none of your damned business. And that's all I'm going to write on this post.
Re: Observations on the Socialist Scholars Conference
Ian writes: Meanwhile, there are yet other differences today's would be revolutionaries have to deal with: a soft cage of computer surveillance that grows ever more elaborate with each passing week; massive stockpiles of nuclear and bio-chem weaponry alongside ever more effective non-lethal forms of crowd control which can be mobilized at a large scale within an hour or two; a propaganda complex that would have even Orwell doing bong hits or shooting smack or taking Paxil to calm the nerves. All backed up with legal codes that are virtually unintelligible to the majority of citizens. Power flows out of one hell of a lot more than the barrel of a gun. Thankfully, it also flows out of the smile on an infant's face, a lover's face, a sibling's face, a comrade's face sounds as if we should give up, _post haste_. The state has all sorts of powers to benumb us and bewilder us and bugger us up. (The state has no internal contradictions?) But all those loving faces are isolated, divided and conquered. Heck, I'll go watch TV. Jim D. === Hey, if you want to give up feel free! That ain't my plan. As I don't think there's going to be some globally synchronized socialist satori followed by a planet wide coup against capital, I'm totally baffled by attempts at prognostication with their attendant oughts regarding what the citizens on the planet should do. However, we do not live in the same world as 1917-1925 or 1949 and that means marginal tinkering with the strategies and vocabularies that worked then probably will not work now or in the future. I realize that statement is totally fallible, but if I can see the authoritarian proclivities in some contemporary revo. aspirations, others will see them too and laugh them off. The spectre of capitalist authoritarianism, which is not some Philip K. Dick scenario afaict, cannot be undone with authoritarian means or ends. And one can no more herd people than one can herd cats. Ian
US: rescaling insurance regulation?
http://www.nytimes.com/2004/03/18/business/18insure.html [New York Times] March 18, 2004 New Momentum for Letting U.S. Help Regulate Nation's Insurers By JOSEPH B. TREASTER The prospect that Washington will seize a role in the regulation of insurance is gaining momentum after more than 150 years of control by the states. At a meeting that ended Tuesday in New York, state regulators were given an outline of proposed steps for federal oversight and several leading regulators suggested in interviews that while they preferred to remain fully independent, giving ground to Washington seemed inevitable. The message, said Ernst Csiszar, the president of the state regulators' association, was unmistakable: Either you do it, or we do it. Over the weekend, Representative Michael G. Oxley, chairman of the House Committee on Financial Services, spelled out plans for legislation later this year that would create a council of federal and state officials to oversee insurance nationally with a presidential appointee as its head. Mr. Oxley's legislation, to be discussed at a hearing in Washington in late March, would force the states to adopt uniform standards and permit the market to determine insurance prices rather than have them determined by regulators as is generally the case now. That is music to the ears of many of the biggest insurers. Once content with sluggish state regulation as long as it remained relatively lax, they have been campaigning for a single federal regulator to replace those in each of the states as competition with banks and mutual fund companies has intensified. The insurers say they want efficiency: one-stop shopping and quicker approval of new insurance and investment products. Their critics say that they want less regulation and that customers would suffer. One force driving the initiative is a desire to end what Mr. Oxley called the travesty of price controls in the insurance industry by allowing the market to set prices. He said his changes would increase profits for an industry that has been lagging behind banking and other financial service businesses and would give customers more choices. But consumer advocates are worried. They say Mr. Oxley's proposals gravely undermine protections for insurance customers. J. Robert Hunter, a former insurance regulator in Texas and now the director of insurance for the Consumer Federation of America, is particularly concerned about letting insurance companies set their own prices. Americans are going to get ripped off, Mr. Hunter said. Insurance is not like other products. The policies are complex legal documents. Most people can't look at an insurance policy and tell whether they have a good one. It's hard to compare prices because coverage can vary greatly. You need someone looking out for the customer. The insurance companies aren't going to do that. The state regulators are not eager to cede authority. But faced with an apparent ultimatum, Mr. Csiszar and his allies in the National Association of Insurance Commissioners have decided their best defense is to try to influence Congress rather than continue fighting what they now regard as a losing battle. We want to be at the table, Mr. Csiszar, who is also the director of insurance in South Carolina, said in an interview. We don't want to stand on the sidelines and be naysayers. We want to participate in the process. For several years, the state regulators have been trying to simplify and speed their procedures on rates, conditions of coverage and approval of new versions of insurance. But progress has been slow. Mr. Hunter has frequently criticized state regulation. It's weak,'' he said. But it's certainly better than a deregulated national system. We're talking about gutting consumer protections.''Mr. Csiszar, with Gregory V. Serio, the New York State insurance commissioner at his side, said in the interview that he did not see the need for a joint federal and state oversight council. In contemplating compromise, he said, he was not abandoning the concept of state regulation or consumer protections. We are committed to maintaining a state-based regulatory system, he said. We recognize that as the system currently exists, there need to be changes. We are advocates of change. But these changes are not driven by any desire to deregulate. The Oxley proposals, which the congressman referred to as a road map of goals and concepts designed to elicit comments and debate, represent a middle way in comparison with plans already on the table. During the summer, Senator Ernest F. Hollings, the South Carolina Democrat, introduced legislation that would place all insurers doing business in more than one state under federal authority. While the insurers advocate a single federal regulator, they want companies to be able to choose whether to be supervised by Washington or the states. The state regulators regard both proposals as far more diminishing to their roles than the Oxley plan.
Re: Observations on the Socialist Scholars Conference
- Original Message - From: Michael Perelman [EMAIL PROTECTED] Yoshie, Doug is correct that fake questions implies that he is not communicating in good faith. = But, but it is the non-defeasible self-determined privilege of some Marxists to have incorrigible ascriptive knowledge of the mental content and self-description of other Marxists and non-Marxists and thus the right to assert that they must suffer from bad faith, erroneous self-description and pathogenic epistemic capabilities! A form of knowing matched only by the followers of Werner Erhard. Ian
Re: corporations/More Side Issue
- Original Message - From: Charles Brown [EMAIL PROTECTED] How do you avoid touching during sex ? Must be quite a trick. Charles === Remember the condom scene in The Naked Gun? Ian
undercover capitalism
[another iteration of the corporation as externality machine..] Undercover capitalism Paul Foot Wednesday March 17, 2004 The Guardian The dynamic genius of private enterprise capitalism was on display in the House of Commons on Monday last week, though surprisingly no one mentioned it. Under discussion was the country's most notorious insurance company, Equitable Life, and the way it ripped off its policyholders. The government's reaction to the scandal came from the financial secretary to the treasury, Ruth Kelly, who blamed most of it on the Tories. The Tories were rather peeved, and the Liberal Democrats not very impressed. But the nit-picking party argument was all about regulation and compensation. No one remarked on the astonishing phenomenon of a big hierarchical company seeking people's money with all sorts of extravagant promises about bonuses that it couldn't keep. Everyone seemed to agree that no regulator, however strong, could control unscrupulous executives such as the gentlemen who ran Equitable Life. The only MP even remotely connected to reality was Tony Wright, Labour MP for Cannock. A long time ago, Wright wrote an interesting book about RH Tawney, who was described as the patron saint of 20th-century British socialism. I'm not sure whether Mr Wright is still interested in British socialism, but it was probably some primeval Tawneyite instinct that prompted him to ask Kelly: Is this not the story of a period when the country was in the grip of an ideology that said that people would be more prosperous and free to the extent that the state did not interfere with their lives? Are not the Equitable Life policyholders now being asked to pay a terrible price for that ideology? Unhappily, Wright rambled on to another question about regulation, and let Kelly off the ideological hook. So no one even asked why it is that companies like Equitable Life, with such enormous power over people's incomes and pensions, not to say vast investments in so many areas of British industry, are not in public ownership, accountable to elected ministers. You have to go back half a century to find anything like that proposition. In his famous best-selling report in 1943, Lord Beveridge, a member of the Liberal party, argued that the insurance companies played far too big a role in British public life to be left in private ownership. The Labour party national executive in 1948 and 1949 spent a lot of time arguing over a proposal to nationalise insurance companies like the Pru and Pearl. Aneurin Bevan and Will Griffiths were in favour; Herbert Morrison, Stafford Cripps and Hugh Dalton against. The result was a botched compromise known as mutualisation, which irritated both sides but allowed big mutual (but private) companies like Equitable Life to proceed on their own sweet entrepreneurial (and deceitful) way. The argument for public ownership and democratic control is now so out of date that it hardly gets a mention even when huge private companies go down the drain, as they do all the time. And the real point about Wright's question is that new Labour is every bit as much in the grip of free market ideology as the Tories ever were. Proof of that is all round us, most noticeably in Downing Street. Ever since the 1997 election, Tony Blair has packed his policy-making office with people who have little or nothing to do with the Labour party, let alone socialism. The guru behind the great top-up fees fiasco for instance, Andrew Adonis, is still there, driving his divisive ideas through a reluctant House of Commons and, according to a delighted Mail on Sunday, hatching new plots for privatising state secondary schools. Adonis came to Downing Street from the Liberal Democrat party. Roger Liddle, Blair's adviser on foreign affairs and Europe, came from the Social Democratic party, which split from Labour in 1981, causing it unprecedented electoral damage, and is now absorbed in the Liberal Democrats. Another Social Democrat who answered the call from Downing Street was Derek Scott. His electoral achievement in the 1980s was to ensure the return of a Tory MP for poor old Swindon. Standing as a Social Democrat in 1983, Scott got 13,000 votes. The sitting Labour MP was ousted in favour of a Tory. So upset was Scott at this result that he stood again in Swindon in 1987, getting the same number of votes and letting the Tories in by an even bigger margin. You could see Scott on the BBC's Panorama on Sunday, criticising Chancellor Gordon Brown for threatening to levy too much tax. And where is Scott plying his trade? Shortly before Christmas he left Downing Street for better-paid work at KPMG, one of the country's big four accountancy combines that makes a tremendous amount of money advising rich corporate clients how to avoid tax. [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Re: Observations on the Socialist Scholars Conference
- Original Message - From: andie nachgeborenen [EMAIL PROTECTED] Yes, yes, who was it who said that before they happen revolutions seem impossible, afterwards they seem inevitable. The fall of Communism was like that too. Nonetheless there are certain obvious differences between 1917 and now, like the existence of mass working class radical movements of the left and the far left, and a history of revolutionary struggle that shook the government within living memory, and socialist parties that were not mere infinitesmal cults, and a whole lotta other stuff, including a weak and hapless ruling class and a rigid and inflexible state structure. None of that exists now. Of course we may be surprised -- pleasantly, I mean. But it would be a big surprise. = Meanwhile, there are yet other differences today's would be revolutionaries have to deal with: a soft cage of computer surveillance that grows ever more elaborate with each passing week; massive stockpiles of nuclear and bio-chem weaponry alongside ever more effective non-lethal forms of crowd control which can be mobilized at a large scale within an hour or two; a propaganda complex that would have even Orwell doing bong hits or shooting smack or taking Paxil to calm the nerves. All backed up with legal codes that are virtually unintelligible to the majority of citizens. Power flows out of one hell of a lot more than the barrel of a gun. Thankfully, it also flows out of the smile on an infant's face, a lover's face, a sibling's face, a comrade's face Ian
WTO: the soda war
[I've filed for intellectual property protection on the subject line, so don't get any ideas!] U.S. Files WTO Case Over Soft Drinks Wednesday March 17, 2004 4:16 AM By IRA DREYFUSS Associated Press Writer WASHINGTON (AP) - The United States on Tuesday accused Mexico of violating world trade rules by imposing a 20 percent tax on soft drinks using any sweetener other than cane sugar grown in Mexico. In a complaint to the World Trade Organization, U.S. Trade Representative Robert Zoellick said the tax is a ``discriminatory and protectionist'' effort to lock out potentially hundreds of millions of dollars in U.S. high fructose corn syrup. In a separate dispute, a North American Free Trade Agreement panel sided with the U.S. beef industry in its complaint that antidumping tariffs Mexico imposed in 2000 on beef imports from north of the border are unwarranted. Mexico imposed its tax on non-sugar sweeteners in 2000 after the WTO ruled that Mexican duties on imported corn syrup violated international trade rules. The Corn Refiners Association, a U.S. trade group, has said that reopening the market could create annual syrup sales worth $620 million and more than another $300 million in sales of corn to be processed into syrup. Corn state senators have been calling on Mexican officials to stop imposing barriers to the exports but Mexican lawmakers in December decided to keep the taxes in place. Senate Finance Committee Chairman Charles Grassley, R-Iowa, commended the U.S. action but said he will continue trying to get Congress to impose retaliatory tariffs on Mexican tequila and other products if the corn syrup tax is not removed. In a press release Tuesday, Mexico's Economy Department said it ``remains open to reaching a negotiated solution on the subject'' and is ``analyzing alternatives to resolve the sugar dispute'' while defending its laws. Under WTO rules, a country filing a trade complaint must next take part in informal consultations. If U.S-Mexican consultations fail to resolve the issue in 60 days, the United States can request that a WTO panel hear the dispute. The process, including time for appeals by the losing side in the hearing, typically takes about 18 months. In the beef case, a NAFTA panel gave Mexico 90 days to review tariffs of up to 80 percent it imposed on U.S. beef in 2000 after complaining that American producers were illegally selling it at below-market prices south of the border. The NAFTA panel said Tuesday that the Mexican government had not shown Mexican businesses were hurt by the imports. Richard Fritz, vice president for trade development at the U.S. Meat Export Federation, a Denver-based trade group, said the next step is for Mexico to review the legality of its tariffs. In the meantime, nothing will change. Eventually, the case might wind up before the WTO, said Gregg Doud, chief economist for another trade group, the National Cattlemen's Beef Association. ``This has been an unbelievable nightmare,'' Doud said, describing the four years that the case has dragged on. A Mexican government statement complained that the United States had imposed barriers to imports of Mexican sugar, and said the Mexican tax on sweeteners must be considered in that context. The statement said Mexico has been trying to reach a negotiated settlement with the United States on sweeteners in general.
Re: Observations on the Socialist Scholars Conference
- Original Message - From: Yoshie Furuhashi [EMAIL PROTECTED] i confess to not knowing what constitutes revolutionary socialism Me either, and I wish someone would explain it to me. Armed takeover of the White House and the New York Stock Exchange? Really, could some self-identified RS clarify? Doug The first thing to do is to quit asking fake questions in which you aren't really interested. -- Yoshie Who are you to unilaterally decide what a fake question is? My guess is RS would have no truck with the tired and quaint authoritarianisms and faux omniscience that some leftists have made into a veritable secular faith over the last 170 or so years. Ian
Re: Derivatives
- Original Message - From: Marvin Gandall [EMAIL PROTECTED] Thanks. This is more what I was looking for. I wouldn't discount efforts towards some form of self-regulation in the overall self-interest of investors, however, and especiially by the big banks who are forced to take a bath to take when heavily leveraged big players like LTCM bet wrong and can't cover their trades. The systemic risk resulting from LTCM situations is a real concern. But I think the real question is whether this huge shadowy market can be effectively regulated. Marv Gandall Wouldn't the transparency issue run into intellectual property-firm specific proprietary concerns? Ian
Re: What is this thing called love?
- Original Message - From: Michael Perelman [EMAIL PROTECTED] Dennis Robertson. What Does the Economist Economize? in Economic Commentaries. London: Staples Press, 1956, pp. 147-55. He said that we economize love. == Doesn't Albert O. Hirschman suggest something similar? That it's good that love is scarce? Ian
US: water
http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-desal14mar14,1,3121533.story?coll=la-home-local CALIFORNIA A Wave of Desalination Proposals More than 20 projects to make seawater fit for the tap are being considered in the state. Those from private firms stir debate over public's interests. By Bettina Boxall Times Staff Writer March 14, 2004 CARLSBAD, Calif. - A few hundred yards from the Pacific Ocean, at the end of a labyrinth of blue pipes and filters, Peter MacLaggan fills a plastic cup with water. This, he hopes, is his company's future. It's purified seawater, stripped of its salts and ready for the tap. MacLaggan's firm, Poseidon Resources, is one of a handful of private companies that want to sell Californians tens of millions of gallons a day of desalinated water just like it. Their sea-to-tap schemes reflect the state's renewed interest in ocean desalination, which planners say could provide more than 1.5 million Californians with drinking water by 2030. Though there remain financial and environmental obstacles to desalination, more than 20 desalting proposals are now under consideration on the California coast. Most are from public agencies, including the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power, the city of Santa Cruz and the Municipal Water District of Orange County. But the most ambitious and potentially controversial are from the private sector, which, with the help of public subsidies, wants to play a major role in developing a new water supply for the state - a responsibility borne largely by the government for the past century. Poseidon, a small, privately held company based in Connecticut, proposes to build the biggest ocean desalination plants in the Western Hemisphere on the Southern California coast, one in Huntington Beach and one in Carlsbad. Each would be capable of producing 50 million gallons of drinking water a day. To the north, California-American Water Co., a private utility owned by a German conglomerate, is proposing a 9-million-gallon desalination facility at Moss Landing on Monterey Bay, while a consortium of private engineering companies is floating plans for a 5-million-gallon desalination plant on the shores of Morro Bay. The private plans have stirred concerns among some public officials and advocacy groups, who worry that a public resource, seawater, will be exploited for private profit and sold to the highest bidder. They further warn that multinational companies could try to use international trade agreements to get around local and state environmental regulation. Proponents say the public's interests would be protected by long-term contracts with private water companies. They note that private water utilities have operated in California since its infancy and today provide about a fifth of the state's drinking water. And they argue that in an era of government budget cuts and monster deficits, it makes sense for private investors to shoulder the financial risks of getting new technology up and running. We need to get creative, said MacLaggan, a senior vice president of Poseidon who joined the company three years ago and previously worked in water supply planning for the San Diego County Water Authority. I don't think you can say [that] because it's private, it's bad. If we're meeting [quality and quantity] specifications for the life of a contract, it doesn't matter how you get the water there. Behind MacLaggan hummed the small reverse osmosis demonstration project Poseidon has run in Carlsbad for the last year next to the Encina power station. A mini-version of what Poseidon proposes to do, the operation takes seawater from the power plant's cooling stream and pumps it under high pressure through a series of sand filters and synthetic membranes laced with billions of holes a fraction of the width of a human hair. The holes are big enough for a water molecule to slip through, but not salts or contaminants. The whole process takes about 20 minutes. Then carbon dioxide and minute amounts of lime are added to counter the water's corrosiveness. MacLaggan gives a visitor the plastic cup. The contents are clear and flavorless, save for a mild mineral aftertaste. Advances in desalting technology, pressure on Southern California to reduce its take of Colorado River water and the demands of an ever expanding population have turned the state's gaze to the sea. This is a potentially limitless supply of water, observed Charles Keene, executive officer of the state Water Desalination Task Force, which concluded last year that desalination could play a meaningful, if limited, role in meeting California's water needs. The task force acknowledged that private desalination operations raised unique issues, but did not discount private involvement. You may be able to say that, philosophically, [seawater] is a public resource and should not be exploited for profit, Keene said. But if you want to look at it pragmatically, at water shortages in the future, and say, 'I don't
Latin America: investment
http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-flan14mar14,1,12.column?coll=la-headlines-business JAMES FLANIGAN Latin America Turns Off the Investors It Needs James Flanigan March 14, 2004 Last week, after 15 years of trying to build a business in Latin America, BellSouth Corp. disconnected from the region. The Atlanta-based telecommunications giant agreed to sell its wireless phone holdings in 10 Latin American countries to Telefonica Moviles Inc. of Spain for about $6 billion. The price just about recovers BellSouth's investment since 1988, including $600 million in losses it incurred last year when it withdrew from Brazil. Still, the money won't make up for the disappointment. And the dashed dreams of this U.S. telephone company reflect a troubling distance between the North and South American economies that could bode ill for both in the years ahead. BellSouth once had high hopes for Latin America, home to about half a billion people. As recently as last year, it vowed to become the leading wireless communications provider there, in part by creating walk-in phone centers. These comfortable gathering spots - the Starbucks of Latin America, one executive called them - were designed so that people who didn't own phones could still make calls. Meanwhile, the company commissioned a Taiwanese manufacturer to fashion an inexpensive cellphone tailored to Latin America's vast low-income neighborhoods. The company's efforts succeeded, to some extent. During the last decade, phone ownership across Latin America has risen to more than 3 in 10 people from fewer than 1 in 10. But such robust growth was continually undermined, BellSouth officials say, by bouts of political and currency instability. In the end, the company believed it had little choice but to make an exit. The problem with Latin America today isn't just that it's poor. It's that the continent is failing to inspire confidence among the world's investors. Even as China and India are hailed - and feared - for climbing the ladder of economic development, Latin America is characterized by uncertainty and crisis. The latest headlines tell of Argentina narrowly avoiding default on its debt before getting more assistance from the International Monetary Fund. Venezuela is being roiled by political unrest. Brazil is trying to get its act together under President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva. But Lula, who is in a dispute with the U.S. over agricultural trade barriers, has lately been criticizing America's predatory private sector and calling the U.S. economy a perverse model that is not suited to his region. He's entitled to his opinion, of course, but such rhetoric isn't helping to attract what his country needs most: dollars. Brazil, which benefited from $38 billion in foreign business investment in 1998, will be lucky to attract $10 billion this year, experts say. Brazil's economy should be growing 5% a year, but is not even expanding 1%, says Brazilian economist Raul de Gouvea, who teaches at the University of New Mexico. Lula has yet to deliver on his promises. Latin American economic growth has long suffered from other self-inflicted wounds. The quality of education ranks among the lowest of developing nations, notes L. Ronald Scheman in a new book, Greater America: A New Partnership for the Americas in the Twenty-First Century (New York University Press, 2003). Scheman, former head of the Inter-American Development Bank and now director general of the Inter-American Agency for Cooperation and Development, is a 40-year veteran of Latin American affairs. The chief problem, Scheman says: Governmentbureaucracy is strangling everything, from the schools to industry. Such trouble comes at a crucial time, a crossroads in Scheman's words, not only for Latin America but also for the U.S., which is struggling in its own right to create jobs and ensure a sustained economic recovery. Our country would benefit from the immense potential of a market of more than 500 million people, Scheman says. The never-ending controversy over border control aside, he adds, the U.S. will need Latin America's young people later in this decade when baby boomers retire and we face a severe labor shortage. The Bush administration has at least recognized the nexus between North and South in its proposed Free Trade Area of the Americas, which is supposed to be signed this year. Yet Scheman laments that, given rising protectionist sentiments in Washington and tensions between the White House and Latin American leaders such as Lula, we are likely to get at best a very pale trade agreement. There are, to be sure, some positive signs. Latin America's long-neglected infrastructure, for instance, is being better maintained. Specifically, roads are being built to transport Brazil's soybeans to ports on the Pacific Ocean, Scheman reports. Final destination: China. What's more, investments in Latin American stock markets were up sharply last year, says money manager Geoffrey
commodity trap redux
Deep-rooted commodity trap lies behind Africa's poverty Kamran Kousari Monday March 15, 2004 The Guardian Gordon Brown and Jim Wolfensohn, writing in the Guardian on February 16 - A new deal for the world's poor - provided a candid assessment of the gulf between the promises and achievements of the international community in meeting agreed goals on health, education, child and maternal mortality, and poverty reduction. On their most optimistic calculations, two more generations will be born into abject poverty in the developing world before the UN's millennium development goals begin to be met. On one level, this dismal outlook is not surprising, since good intentions have not been backed by appropriate financial support from the international community. The call for a doubling of aid through a new international financing facility marks a welcome change of heart. It is no secret, however, that better health and education, higher life expectancy and poverty reduction are part and parcel of a larger development effort that cannot be achieved without faster growth and better income distribution. On this level, sustainable development is about finding the right policy blend. Here, opening up to global market forces bolstered by good governance and modest gestures towards debt reduction are still expected to do the trick. In reality, the economic legacies of two decades of market-driven adjustment packages are a weak investment climate, premature de-industrialisation and erratic growth, in many cases at or below population growth. Faulty economic logic has had its most damaging impact on Africa, where all these outcomes have been accompanied by a drop in the share of world exports from 6% in 1980 to 2% in 2002. But far from reflecting a reluctance to embrace globalisation, Africa has posted the highest trade to GDP ratio of any region outside east Asia. The problem is rather that growth depends on one or two primary commodities whose prices have seen a secular and persistent decline, placing a permanent pressure on foreign exchange earnings, frustrating investment-led recoveries and adding to the debt overhang. If terms of trade had remained at their 1980 levels, the share of the sub-continent in world exports would have been double its present level, its investment ratio would have been six percentage points higher and per capita income would be as much as 50% higher. In short, behind the poverty trap in Africa lies a deep-rooted commodity trap. That trap has all too often been fastened tight by the policy actions of the rich countries who have been extending a very visible hand to their own farmers through huge subsidies and market barriers to deflect the adverse impact of price movements, even as they have argued against similar instruments to protect far harder-hit rural communities in the developing world. With the ascendancy of the Washington consensus, commodity agreements to achieve price stability and compensatory financing mechanisms to deal with short-term shocks have been discarded. And at the national level, many African countries undergoing structural adjustment and reforms have had to dismantle marketing boards that provided extension services to farmers and guaranteed minimum prices, leaving poor farmers alone to face increasingly concentrated markets and frequent shocks, both natural and policy-made. President Chirac of France recently called for an end to the conspiracy of silence on commodity issues. A new study of Africa's trade performance by the United Nations Commission for Trade and Development (Unctad) has heeded this call and suggested a series of changes to the policy stance of the international community towards commodity-dependent economies. This should begin with a renewed commitment to an international commodity policy to address not only price fluctuations but also the long-term decline in prices. This commitment would entail significant new funding targeted at improved supply management, economic diversification, as well as the building of much neglected infrastructure. In addition to new funding, a permanent exit solution to the debt overhang of these countries is essential and should go far beyond the present enhanced HIPCs initiative. More immediately, African producers of such goods as cotton and ground nuts should be compensated for loss of incomes arising from unfair subsidies and support in Europe and the United States. All these measures could be worked into the kind of new deal for the world's poor suggested by Brown and Wolfensohn. But in addition, developed country markets should be opened up through a reduction or elimination of tariff peaks and subsidies and African countries given the necessary policy space to design and implement trade, industrial and financial policies adapted to their individual requirements and circumstances. This would necessitate much lighter conditions attached to multilateral and bilateral lending. And any multilateral
nanodirigisme redux
[New York Times] March 15, 2004 Bashful vs. Brash in the New Field of Nanotech By BARNABY J. FEDER PALO ALTO, Calif. - When it came time to invite a representative company to attend President Bush's signing of a bill last December authorizing $3.7 billion in federal spending on nanotechnology over the next four years, a three-year-old Silicon Valley company named Nanosys got the call. It is easy to see why. Painstakingly assembled by experienced entrepreneurs, famous academic researchers and big-name venture capitalists who know how to dazzle Wall Street, Nanosys is the epitome of a start-up shooting for business glory. It brandishes a portfolio of impressive patents, covering processes like ways to make wires one ten-thousandth the thickness of a human hair, and is pursuing research projects that could affect consumer electronics, energy and communications. But for all its glamour and promise, Nanosys does not expect to sell products commercially until 2006. For actual sales and profits, one needs to look to a more prosaic company, Nanofilm, a developer of optical coatings that is based in an industrial park in Valley View, Ohio, outside of Cleveland. It has been profitable since 2001. We're the quiet company, said Scott E. Rickert, a 51-year-old former chemistry professor at Case Western University who has been president of Nanofilm since he founded the company in 1983. While Nanosys represents the aspirations of many of the 400 to 500 nanotechnology ventures that analysts say have sprung up in recent years, Nanofilm's story may actually be more relevant to the start-ups in the field struggling to survive. Together, the two companies show the diversity of the nanotechnology business landscape and some of the uncertainties it holds for investors. Nanotechnology, a term based on the nanometer, which is one-billionth of a meter, has attracted investment not only from privately held start-ups, but also from giants like I.B.M., General Electric and DuPont, which are eager to exploit the potentially valuable properties of materials so small that their dimensions can be measured in molecules. The federal government estimates that nanotechnology, a catch-all label for products and processes that operate on the molecular scale, will have a $1 trillion economic impact by 2015. It may take that long to sort out the business models best suited to thrive in the nascent field. Nanosys, based in Palo Alto, Calif., offers a model that is particularly compelling to Wall Street. Its neighborhood is home to Hewlett-Packard, Stanford University and some of Silicon Valley's most prestigious law firms and venture capitalists - the entrepreneur's equivalent of beachfront property. Its scientific advisory board includes luminaries like Dr. Charles M. Lieber of Harvard, a leader in research on how to build nanoscale wires, and Dr. A. Paul Alivisatos, a chemist at the University of California at Berkeley whose research helped found the Quantum Dot Corporation, a start-up company that makes crystalline nanoscale tags that are used in the study of cell behavior. Nanosys's chief architect and chairman, Larry Bock, 45, was already well known as a biotechnology entrepreneur and, by his description, was semiretired when he became interested in nanotechnology in 2000. I had done reasonably well in biotech, he said, summing up his track record involving 14 start-ups, with 12 of them going public or sold to other companies for a total of more than $1 billion. Dr. Rickert of Nanofilm, by contrast, had no business experience and, he soon discovered, no ability to attract investment from venture capitalists when he formed his company. Instead of having wide-ranging patents from leading university laboratories, he had only his own idea for a new, unusually rapid way to make ultrathin, superrepellent coatings for glass, plastic and metal surfaces. When he changed his company's name to Nanofilm from Flexicrystal in 1985, the nano prefix had none of the allure it had when Nanosys was started in 2001. Outside molecular research circles, the name conjured up little except nanu-nanu, the way Robin Williams's goofy alien on the television show Mork and Mindy said goodbye. I got a lot of grief, Dr. Rickert said in an interview at the company's headquarters. Mr. Bock's track record, the growing interest in nanotechnology in the late 1990's, and his strategic approach produced a much different reception for Nanosys. He tells visitors he spoke to 1,000 researchers over an 18-month period before he and his co-founders, Calvin Y. H. Chow and Steven Empedocles, settled on a name, business plan and financial structure for Nanosys. Nanosys's initial goal is to use its expertise in nanoscale silicon structures and related inorganic materials to build sensors and other simple products that its business partners would manufacture. In time, it hopes those efforts can become the foundation for more complicated devices like silicon solar panels,
Prabhat Patnaik on Paul Sweezy
http://www.flonnet.com/fl2106/stories/20040326004103000.htm OBITUARY A SAINT AND A SAGE PRABHAT PATNAIK Volume 21 - Issue 06, March 13 - March 26, 2004 India's National Magazine from the publishers of THE HINDU [snip] The revival of interest in Marxism on the campuses in the late 1960s led to Sweezy's visiting several universities to lecture on Marxism, until he discovered that university administrations were using his visits as an excuse for denying tenure to young Marxist scholars. Their argument was that a tenured faculty of Marxist scholars was unnecessary in view of the availability of distinguished Marxists from outside. Upon learning this, Sweezy discontinued these visits. [snip]
economists behaving badly
Missteps on Economy Worry Bush Supporters By Jonathan Weisman and Mike Allen Washington Post Staff Writers Saturday, March 13, 2004; Page A01 A string of glaring missteps by President Bush's economic team has raised alarm among the president's supporters that his economic policymakers may have lost the most basic ability to formulate a persuasive message or anticipate the political consequences of their actions. In recent weeks, the White House has had to endure its chief economist's positive comments about job outsourcing, or sending work overseas; controversial passages in the annual Economic Report of the President; questions over the legitimacy of Bush's 2005 budget; a California swing in which Bush bragged about the possible addition of two or three jobs to a 14-person business in Bakersfield and a flap over a job-creation forecast that not even the president could stand by. On March 1, a host of U.S. industries began paying trade sanctions to Europe because Congress and the White House have not replaced illegal export subsidies with new aid for ailing manufacturers. But the non-naming of Anthony F. Raimondo on Thursday as assistant commerce secretary for manufacturing and services has brought the concerns to a boil. The long-anticipated announcement of a manufacturing czar was supposed to be a good-news day for a White House struggling with its economic message. Instead the planned, smiling photo op fizzled when it came to light that a year ago Bush's choice had opened a major plant in Beijing. Clearly, the machinery's not working very well, said Bruce Bartlett, an economist with the conservative National Center for Policy Analysis, who noted that this White House has been known for its discipline on message. Republicans on Capitol Hill and in the lobbying world of K Street say that the incidents may be minor, but they are many, each amplified by the last. And they are supplying a steady, nourishing diet for Sen. John F. Kerry (D-Mass.), who has made jobs and Bush's economic policies a centerpiece of his campaign to capture the White House. Several former administration officials said the debacle over Raimondo illustrated broader weaknesses in Bush's White House as he gears up his reelection campaign. Some Republicans said the situation crystallized their concerns about his weakened political position. These Republicans refused to speak on the record because they said that if they did, they could not be candid about the problems without infuriating Bush and his most powerful aides. These Republicans noted that several key officials who were steeped in Bush's first campaign have moved out of the West Wing or out of the government, and their replacements -- especially in the economic arena -- have weaker political antennae. People are doing their jobs, but most of them don't have the authority to do something once they find a mistake, said a former official who stays in frequent touch with the West Wing. Somebody over there has to take complete and utter responsibility for everything that is publicly released from that White House. And no one is doing that. They also noted that Democrats are drawing scrutiny to errors and inconsistencies that might have passed unnoticed a few months ago. This is a hyper-charged political environment, and they have not adapted, the former official said. And Karl Rove, who is on the government payroll as the White House senior adviser, is stretched thin between trying to watch what the administration is doing and overseeing the ramping up of a campaign that has accelerated its plans in response to Kerry's early lock on the Democratic nomination. There's a trade-off, said a Republican who advises both the administration and the campaign. It means you end up talking through get-out-the-vote activities instead of looking at every single element of the economic report before it is released. A former White House official pointed to other personnel issues. Bush loaded his first economic team with brash, outspoken officials full of ideas, such as Treasury Secretary Paul H. O'Neill, National Economic Council Director Lawrence B. Lindsey and economic adviser R. Glenn Hubbard, he said. But those ideas often clashed, and the officials proved too outspoken. So Bush swung the team in the opposite direction, filling it with replacements who would stick to the White House message and keep out of the news. But those officials have not generated fresh policies. They've populated the place with an absence of ideas guys, which is fine if you think you can put it on autopilot and win, he said. But it doesn't look like it's working. Others say the economic team was kept straight in the first two years by Joshua B. Bolten, the deputy chief of staff for policy. When Bolten left last year to head the White House budget office, the wheels started coming off the operation, one Senate Republican aide said. Administration officials contend that as the economic recovery takes
Japan-Mexico: trade agreement
Japan and Mexico reach final FTA agreement The Japan Times: March 13, 2004 By MAYUMI NEGISHI Staff writer Japan and Mexico reached a final agreement Friday on a bilateral free-trade agreement, but postponed a decision on tariffs for some Mexican farm products. Ending nearly 16 months of bitter negotiations, the two countries will aim to put the pact into effect in January, Japanese government officials said. I am positive that (the pact) will serve Japan's national interest, trade minister Shoichi Nakagawa told reporters after the agreement was made via a ministerial teleconference late Friday. The conference included farm minister Yoshiyuki Kamei and Foreign Minister Yoriko Kawaguchi, and Mexico's agriculture secretary Javier Usabiaga and economy secretary Fernando Canales. The deal would phase out barriers on certain Japanese exports to Mexico, and lower those on Mexican pork, chicken, beef, oranges and orange juice imports. Japanese tariffs on three Mexican products -- chicken, beef and oranges -- will remain at zero for the first year or two within the annual low-tariff quota of 10 tons each. The quotas will be expanded after the transitional period. But the two sides postponed deciding on what the tariffs will be until after the transitional periods. The tariffs on about 380 Mexican agricultural products will be eliminated. The delay on the three Mexican items stems from Japanese officials' fear that they might antagonize farm groups ahead of ongoing trade talks with Asian nations, a senior farm ministry official said. Lowering trade barriers even a notch is loaded with symbolic implications, he said. We do not know how many Mexican farm products will come into Japan, so we want to be careful before deciding on a rate. The sensitivity of even reform-minded government officials to farmers' interests points to the long road still ahead before Japan's farm market is opened. Japan is currently in talks with Malaysia, Thailand, the Philippines and South Korea.
Re: Corporations
[A few months ago Business Week ran an article asserting that South Korea had the biggest anti-corporate social movement of any country in the world. Given the recent upheaval there and the issues raised in the thread, I thought pen-ler's might find the following link on corporate governance in Korea and the global connections interesting. The current scandal[s] there raise serious issues for the strengths/limitations of the Poulantzasian/Milibandian theories of the State/Capital nexus] http://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pdf/2002-1-0033.pdf Parliament votes to impeach president Justin McCurry in Tokyo Saturday March 13, 2004 The Guardian Roh Moo-hyun yesterday became the first South Korean president to be impeached, plunging the country into uncertainty weeks before parliamentary elections. Amid chaotic scenes, 193 members of the 273-seat national assembly - more than the two-thirds majority required - voted to support the impeachment bill after the president was accused of unfairly attempting to influence the outcome of the April polls. Mr Roh will be suspended and replaced by the prime minister, Goh Kun, while the constitutional court decides whether to accept the vote, a process that could take up to six months. If it does, South Korea will have to hold new presidential elections. Assembly members, who have a reputation for boisterousness, exchanged shoves, yelled and wept during the historic vote. We won a victory, said Choe Byung-yul, leader of the Grand National party, one of the sponsors of the bill. But today is not a happy day because the president elected by the people had to be impeached. Mr Roh's supporters were incensed. This is the day our nation's democracy died, said a statement by the Uri party, whose 47 MPs say they will resign. It was Mr Roh's support for the Uri party that prompted his opponents to begin impeachment proceedings. The president, who is required by law to remain impartial in elections, had called for an overwhelming show of support for the party. The impeachment bill claimed his credibility had been shattered by a series of political funding scandals involving his aides in the run-up to the December 2002 presidential election. It also charged him with failing to revive the Korean economy, which grew by just 2.9% last year, compared with 6.3% in 2002. Mr Roh, a strong-willed former democracy activist who made his name as a human rights lawyer, refused to apologise, saying the impeachment bill was politically motivated revenge for his unexpected election victory over the Grand National party candidate, Lee Hoi-chang. Mr Roh relented early yesterday and apologised for the political crisis, but opponent said it did not go far enough. After he took refuge at his presidential Blue House residence, his office said it hoped the constitutional court would make a quick decision to minimise confusion in state affairs. His temporary replacement's first task will be to reassure the rest of the world that Mr Roh's absence has not created a political vacuum at a crucial time for the economy and as South Korea and its allies attempt to resolve fears surrounding North Korea's nuclear weapons programme. South Korea's financial markets were left reeling, with the Kospi benchmark stock index falling 5.5% before recovering to close 2.4 % down. The won fell by 1% against the dollar. The interim president, whose new powers include responsibility for South Korea's 650,000-strong military, vowed to keep the country stable. The people feel unease because the impeachment bill was passed at a time when the economy faces difficulties, he said, adding that the government had to do all it could to ensure that the country's international credibility will not be damaged.
Re: Corporations
- Original Message - From: David B. Shemano [EMAIL PROTECTED] You wish me well with my liberty, but what about my liberty to enter into a series of contracts with other real persons, and calling those interlocking series of contracts a corporation? What is a corporation, but an interlocking series of contracts between real persons? David B. Shemano === An institution where state sanctioned authoritarian behavior is allowed to flourish and undermine democratic norms. Ian
Re: Corporations
- Original Message - From: Eugene Coyle [EMAIL PROTECTED] This interlocking series of contracts has the right of free speech? I think the series of responses Shemano gives in this thread is sillier than neo-classical micro. He describes a total phantasy world, just as the micro theorists do. But the world both try to hide is terribly real. This stuff is much worse than people have been asked to leave the list over. Disgusting stuff. I'd say beneath contempt, but I don't know what is lower. Gene Coyle === I'd say the legal world he describes is all too real and we must learn to think about it a lot harder than we've done. Contractarianism is very powerful ideology; contract law is the performative core of capitalism. Legal fiction is an oxymoron. Ian
Re: Corporations
- Original Message - From: David B. Shemano [EMAIL PROTECTED] What is that word Marxists like to use to describe unreal objects that people think are real? Fetish? You see a bogeyman called a corporation. You are fetishing the corporation. I see tens, hundreds, thousands of contracts between real people intended to actualize a real end. The entity is an acknowledged legal fiction that minimizes transaction costs. That is all. Exxon is simply a shorthand way to describe thousands of real people acting in a united way, and the corporate form provides an expedient way of organizing those real people. ...What is the fantasy? David Shemano = Ontological-methodological individualism... Ian
Russia-China: Putin's next term
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Central_Asia/FC12Ag01.html Putin to expand strategic partnership with China By Sergei Blagov Mar 12, 2004 MOSCOW - President Vladimir Putin, certain of re-election to a second term, evidently intends to expand Russia's strategic ties with China in military sales and economic cooperation between the two Asian giants. Still, some divisive issues remain, such as the likely awarding of a major Siberian oil pipeline to Tokyo, not Beijing. The United States is watching closely and warily as the former communist allies forge powerful new ties in Asia and view Washington as a potential menace. In Sunday's election, Putin is expected to sweep to a second four-year term and move ahead briskly with improving ties between Moscow and Beijing. Once China and Russia were closely allied, but later the Sino-Soviet split opened and the United States took advantage of the bitter division to forge new diplomatic relations with China, sidelining the Soviets. Now the situation is very different, as both Russia and China espouse capitalism and have resolved many of their differences in the face of what they perceive to be a common rival - the US. Last month, the US Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) said the United States might anticipate potential problems with both China and Russia, although the US currently has good relations with the two countries. The US effort to seek bases in Central Asia - strategically important to both Moscow and Beijing - is one of many causes of concern, as well as US unilateralism in its foreign policy. Testifying before the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence on February 25, Vice Admiral Lowell E Jacoby, director of the DIA, said Beijing likely fears a long-term US presence on its borders, while Russia is improving its relations with some countries, most notably China, in pursuit of a multipolar world and to enhance its arms sales. China the top customer for Russian arms During Putin's first term, China consolidated its position as the top customer for Russia's arms industry, purchasing billions of dollars' worth of jet aircraft, missiles, submarines and other military hardware. Russia and China were both disturbed by the Iraq war - especially the US decision to attack without broad international support - and Moscow and Beijing protested what they viewed as a rejection of the rules of the international game. They still back the primacy of the United Nations Security Council in resolving international crises, and they support the principle of non-interference in the internal affairs of sovereign states. Apart from shared concerns about US dominance in the Middle East, Asia and elsewhere, the two nations have other common interests and mutually reinforcing needs. They are weary of - and alarmed by - militant Islamic groups in their border regions, and want stability in Central Asia. Russia and China have said they hope to increase bilateral trade to US$20 billion a year, from the current $12 billion. Last June, Chinese President Hu Jintao, leader of the world's most populous nation, visited Russia on his first trip abroad and signed a strategic energy pact with President Putin. Hu's speeches in Moscow emphasized the importance of a multipolar world and the need for the UN to play a central role in Iraq. China, Russia now pledge eternal friendship Last week, Chinese Foreign Minister Li Zhaoxing announced that presidents Hu and Putin would meet in Beijing in the second half of this year. Li also noted that the two nations share a 4,300-kilometer border - once the site of major troop deployments and occasional skirmishes - and pledge to be eternal friends. He also announced that chairman Wu Bangguo of China's National People's Congress as well as Premier Wen Jiabao would visit Russia this year to discuss enhancing their strategic partnership based on common political, economic and military interests. Russia's ongoing government reshuffle has sent some positive signals to China. In an apparent reiteration of their shared belief in the primacy of the UN in conflict resolution, Putin appointed UN Ambassador Sergei Lavrov to be Moscow's new foreign minister. Putin also retained Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov, a close ally who also has been mentioned as a possible heir to the Kremlin leader in 2008. Ivanov has considerable China experience; last year he and his Chinese counterpart, General Cao Gangchuan, agreed to strengthen their defense cooperation. That will continue. When Putin sacked the government of Mikhail Kasyanov on February 24, the new prime minister, Mikhail Fradkov, pledged to pledged to develop the oil sector and boost Russia's crude-oil output to ports in Asia. However, some bilateral economic issues could prove divisive. Putin's cabinet reshuffle eclipsed - but not in Beijing - the announcement this month that Moscow would probably exclude China and accept a Japanese-backed plan to build a new oil pipeline to Nakhodka. A formal decision has not
Re: Corporations
- Original Message - From: k hanly [EMAIL PROTECTED] But then with respect to coporations contracts are themselves often between what are persons only qua legal fictions, or between them and individuals rather than anything that could be explained in terms of contracts between individual persons. I have no idea what you mean when you say that a legal fiction is an oxymoron. === I mean the law *makes* it -the corporation- real, with real causal powers in the political economy. The law is not a representation of a set of contractual relations prior to it, that is, it's not primarily a descriptive endeavor, but a performative one. John Austin [the 20th cent. guy How to do Things with Words] and John Searle are great on that issue. Ian
Britain: the greening of prices
Green policies blamed for jump in bills Power and water sectors warn of steep rises for homes and business may force industry to raise prices David Gow Friday March 12, 2004 The Guardian British households and industry face hefty increases in their water and electricity bills in 2005, the likely date of the next election, to pay for the government's green policies, it emerged yesterday. Water and sewerage customers in England and Wales could be forced to pay more than the 30% extra in real terms over the five years from April 2005, originally foreseen by regulator Ofwat. It follows tough new environmental guidelines from ministers. Business bodies warned that industry could see their power bills rise by up to 30% - with a knock-on effect on domestic consumers - if the government sticks to its plans to enforce a 16.3% cut in greenhouse gases under an EU carbon emissions trading scheme that takes effect on January 1, 2005. After a serious cabinet row on electorally-sensitive price increases with Gordon Brown, environment secretary Margaret Beckett yesterday issued long-delayed guidance on environmental improvements in water quality. The guidance came six weeks late, prompting Ofwat to warn that it could bring delays to the tight timetable for the five-year price review. Companies have pointed to investor fears over the resultant uncertainty. The guidance, industry sources said, would increase the five-year investment ear-marked by water and sewerage companies above the £19.5bn originally planned -and far above the £15bn suggested to Ms Beckett by Philip Fletcher, Ofwat director-general, which would have cut the price increases to 25%. Both industry and Ofwat said it was too early to assess the impact on bills but Mr Fletcher said: Given the cost pressures faced by the companies, customers in general should expect bill increases. Ms Beckett, accused earlier of being a captive of the green lobby, said in her guidance: It is already clear from representations from customers and companies and from the advice that I have received... that there is every prospect of significant real price increases in 2005 to 2010. But with average bills already set to rise from £234 this year to £306 in 2009, she added: I am concerned about the effect of water bills, especially on those least able to pay. Changes to our policies on drinking water and the environment cannot avert increases but, in a climate of rising water bills, I have closely scrutinised the need for and benefits of further policies to improve water companies' standards. The Environment Agency originally urged Ms Beckett to approve a £26.5bn, fall-back investment programme driven by new EU regulations on drinking and bathing water. Chairman Sir John Harman welcomed measures to stop pollution from storm sewerage overflows, protect wetland wildlife sites and control leaks but regretted the government's failure to adopt more rigorous environmental standards elsewhere. These costs are being deferred, not avoided, he said. But he insisted that while bills would have to rise to an extent to reverse damage caused by the industry, this was also prompted by rising overheads and improved drinking water. Industry body Water UK said it was pleased that Ms Beckett had made capital spending on replacing and repairing ageing pipes and sewers her top priority. But ministers came under fire from both the CBI and EEF, the manufacturers' organisation, over their ambitious plans for CO2 trading which, the government says, should increase power bills by no more than 6%. Industrial and retail customers, who already face a combined £1.5bn bill over 10 years to rebuild the grid system and hefty increases to meet the switch to renewables, will pay considerably more - 10% to 30% - than government forecasts, the two bodies said. The EEF said UK power prices would surge faster than in Europe unless ministers persuaded other EU states to adopt its more stringent standards and urged a delay to the new scheme. While the rest of Europe drags its heels, Britain's manufacturers are going to have to run much faster to meet the UK's ambitious target, said Martin Temple, EEF director-general.
US-Australia FTA: drug prices...........
Drug costs will rise with deal: US official http://www.smh.com.au/text/articles/2004/03/10/1078594434762.html Date: March 11 2004 By John Garnaut, Sydney Morning Herald The US trade deal is the first step in a campaign to raise global pharmaceutical prices, a US Senate finance committee heard yesterday. Contradicting the Prime Minister, John Howard, America's top trade official told the committee that the cost of Australian drugs would be changed under the agreement. It would change the distribution of prices in Australia and the relative prices of generic and patented drugs, the US Trade Representative, Bob Zoellick, said. Under intense pressure on rising drug costs at home, an influential Republican senator told the committee that the Australian deal was a breakthrough that began the process of getting other countries to bear a greater share of drug company research and development costs. One of the ways of addressing the causes [of high US prices] is to get the other countries of the world to help bear part of the burden of the RD, said Senator Jon Kyl, who lobbied Australian ministers on the Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme last year. So, my hat's off to your [Mr Zoellick's] team and the work that you did in at least beginning to address this with Australia. Senator Kyl said the final agreement, released last week, was only the beginning of negotiations over Australia's pharmaceuticals system. We don't need to discuss it here, but I know that there is much more work that needs to be done in further discussions with the Australians. Labor's health spokeswoman, Julia Gillard, said the deal had set in train a process that could threaten the PBS. This is the thin end of the wedge in an American drug company campaign to impose global drug prices on Australian patients and taxpayers. Mr Howard said recently there would be certainly no direct or indirect effect on price and the Health Minister, Tony Abbott, and Trade Minister, Mark Vaile, have made similar claims. Who's lying here, Ambassador Zoellick or John Howard and Tony Abbott? Ms Gillard said. A spokesman for Mr Vaile rejected the US suggestion that Australia did not carry its share of research and development costs and reiterated that nothing in the agreement would affect pharmaceutical prices. Regardless of the language used by officials in the US it won't change what's been agreed in this free trade agreement, the full text of which is available for all to see. Mr Zoellick told the committee he had protected American beef and dairy interests from Australian competition.In beef, we had a very long phase-out with various safeguards, slow quota increase. We tried to take care of the dairy industry as well because we didn't touch the tariff and we just increased the quota basically about $40-$50 million of imports a year. US Democrat Senator Max Baucus said that Mr Zoellick's trade agenda had been hijacked by foreign policy objectives.
IMF-Argentina: from bully to weakling
Argentina helps keep up facade By coming to a last-minute deal with Buenos Aires, the International Monetary Fund has avoided showing how powerless it really is Charlotte Denny and Larry Elliott Thursday March 11, 2004 The Guardian It was like a boxing match which goes to the final bell on Tuesday evening in Washington as the two sides in the long drawn-out battle between Argentina and the International Monetary Fund withdrew to their corners, punchdrunk. Both were telling the judges, the world's media, that they had won on points. At almost the last moment, Argentina had stumped up the $3.1bn (£1.7bn) it owed the Fund - on the face of it a victory for the Washington-based lender, the country's last remaining financial lifeline. But Buenos Aires said it had only signed the cheque after securing a promise from the Fund of further lending without new and more stringent conditions. The strings the Fund was hoping to attach involved the $90bn Argentina owes to private-sector creditors. The country has been offering to repay just 25 cents in every dollar borrowed, an offer seen as unacceptable by the IMF. Further lending, the Fund said, was conditional on Argentina negotiating in good faith with its private-sector creditors. Having slugged it out for days, at the post-match press conferences yesterday it was time to kiss and make up. The last minute telephone call from the IMF's acting director, Anne Krueger, to Argentina's president, Nestor Kirchner which clinched the deal with just hours to go before the deadline was cordial and respectful, a presidential spokesman said. Both sides have made face-saving concessions. Argentina yesterday signed a new agreement with the Fund, conceding to several of its demands over the treatment of private creditors. The IMF said its agreement with Argentina included a specific course of action for negotiations with creditor groups and a tentative timetable for the talks. Argentina's economy minister Roberto Lavagna made it clear however that Argentina's September offer to repay private creditors 25 cents in the dollar still stood. Tellingly, groups representing investors in Argentinian debt were less impressed with the commitments the IMF has secured on their behalf. Argentina and the Fund are making the best fist of what is a situation fraught with danger for both. Mr Kirchner has staked his reputation on standing up to the IMF and had to take the fight to the wire in order to maintain his populist credentials. But he had to weigh up the risks of triggering the largest ever default to the Fund. Failing to make its IMF payment would have relegated Argentina to the bottom league of creditworthy countries, alongside Sudan, Zimbabwe and Somalia, putting at risk future borrowing on world capital markets. When Argentina defaulted to its private creditors in December 2001 it triggered a financial crash during which the country's economy shrunk by a fifth. The resulting political and social chaos saw four occupants of the presidential palace in a month, unemployment of more than 20% and half of Argentinians falling below the poverty line. While the short-term impact would undoubtedly be painful, Mr Kirchner could have gambled that the capital markets would eventually open their lending books again to one of the world's most important developing economies. The lesson from the Russian debt default in September 1998 is that if a country is big enough, investors will come back. Capital markets have short memories, admits one IMF official. The Fund is usually portrayed as having the upper hand in negotiations. Argentina's debts are, however, so big that a default would have a damaging effect on the Fund's balance sheet. Of the $95bn in outstanding loans to the Fund, Argentina accounts for 15%. The Fund says it would be forced to charge other borrowers higher rates to make good its losses. That threat seems unlikely to be realised, given that two other countries, Brazil and Turkey, account for a further 57% of its loans portfolio. Higher borrowing charges would risk tipping two more countries into default. More likely the Fund would have to turn to its major shareholders, the rich countries of the west, for a cash injection. For the Fund, the confrontation with Argentina risked exposing the confidence trick on which its role as the world's financial fireman has been built. In reality, there is not enough money in its coffers to rescue a country facing imminent bankruptcy, which is why the Asian countries burnt by the series of financial crises of the late 1990s have decided to build up their own foreign exchange reserves instead. Argentina did the Fund a favour by not unmasking the illusion. But in the long term, the only solution is a proper mechanism for sharing the burden of dealing with sovereign bankruptcies more equally between the stakeholders, as Ms Krueger has argued. When she first advanced the plan, just months before Argentina spiralled into crisis in late 2001,
Japan: frontiers of 'privatization'
Cabinet OKs highway privatization plan The Japan Times: March 10, 2004 By TETSUSHI KAJIMOTO Staff writer The Cabinet endorsed contentious legislation Tuesday aimed at privatizing the nation's four expressway corporations. The move paves the way for the new entities to repay combined debts worth 40 trillion yen over a period of 45 years, while pursuing planned road construction projects with borrowing backed by government guarantees. The privatization of the expressway firms is a pillar of Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi's structural reform drive. The legislation advocates establishment of six privatized entities via the regrouping of Japan Highway Public Corp., Metropolitan Expressway Public Corp., Hanshin Expressway Public Corp. and the Honshu-Shikoku Bridge Authority, as well as a separate asset-holding and debt-servicing administrative organization. The privatized companies will be given special status and undertake expressway construction, maintenance and toll-collection while leasing expressways from the administrative organ. The latter will concentrate on debt repayment by using road lease fees from the expressway operators. The central and local governments will own more than one-third of shares with voting rights that will be issued by the privatized companies. The process will therefore follow the same format used to privatize the former state-owned corporations that resulted in the creation of NTT Corp. If the legislation is approved by the Diet during the current session, which runs through mid-June, the expressway corporations will be privatized by the end of fiscal 2005, according to officials at the Land, Transport and Infrastructure Ministry. Although the privatization scheme was initially expected to prioritize debt repayment and halt the construction of unprofitable routes, some experts charge that the plan will have little impact other than reducing the cost of completing the planned 9,342 km expressway network. Under the current system, Japan Highway, the largest of the four expressway firms, undertakes expressway construction when issued administrative orders by the land, infrastructure and transport minister. Upon privatization, this administrative order system will be abolished and the privatized entities are expected to act at their own discretion. They will apply to the land minister for new road construction projects after concluding agreements with the administrative organ. Critics doubt whether the privatized entities will be given real autonomy, as the companies will be able to raise construction funds by issuing bonds backed by government guarantees. All of these debts and completed expressways will be taken over by the administrative organ -- and eventually by either the central or local governments. The legislation stipulates that the administrative organ will be disbanded after debt repayment is completed 45 years after privatization. The expressways will be toll-free thereafter. Toll-free expressways have been promised by the government for decades, though they have never been realized because of the so-called pool system, in which users of expressways whose construction costs have been paid off must continue paying tolls to cover the construction costs of unprofitable expressways in rural areas.
faith based labor markets
Federal Register: March 9, 2004 (Volume 69, Number 46)] [Proposed Rule] [Page 11233-11241] From the Federal Register Online via GPO Access [wais.access.gpo.gov] [DOCID:fr09mr04-22] [[Page 11233]] --- Part V Department of Labor --- Employment and Training Administration --- 20 CFR Parts 667 and 670 29 CFR Parts 2 and 37 Equal Treatment in Department of Labor Programs for Faith-Based and Community Organizations; Protection of Religious Liberty of Department of Labor Social Service Providers and Beneficiaries; Proposed Rule [[Page 11234]] --- DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Employment and Training Administration 20 CFR Part 667 20 CFR Part 670 Office of the Secretary 29 CFR Part 2 29 CFR Part 37 RIN 1290-AA21 Equal Treatment in Department of Labor Programs for Faith-Based and Community Organizations; Protection of Religious Liberty of Department of Labor Social Service Providers and Beneficiaries AGENCY: Employment and Training Administration and the Office of the Secretary, Labor. ACTION: Proposed rule; request for comments. --- SUMMARY: The United States Department of Labor (DOL or the Department) is proposing to revise its general regulations. This proposed rule would clarify, within the framework of constitutional guidelines, that faith-based and community organizations are able to participate in DOL social service programs without regard to their religious character or affiliation, and are able to apply for and compete on an equal footing with other eligible organizations to receive DOL support. In addition, in order to consolidate in one place the Department's regulations on religious activities, this proposed rule would revise both the Employment and Training Administration (ETA) regulation on religious services at Job Corps centers and the Workforce Investment Act of 1998 (WIA) regulations relating to the use of WIA Title I financial assistance to support employment and training in religious activities. DOL supports the participation of faith-based and community organizations in its programs. DATES: Comments must be submitted by May 10, 2004. ADDRESSES: You may submit comments, identified by Regulatory Information Number (RIN) 1290-AA21, by any of the following methods: Federal eRulemaking Portal: http://www.regulations.gov. Follow the instructions for submitting comments. E-mail: Comments may be submitted by e-mail to [EMAIL PROTECTED] Include RIN 1290-AA21 in the subject line of the message. Fax: As a convenience to commenters, comments of five pages or less may be submitted by facsimile (``FAX'') machine to (202) 693-6146, which is not a toll-free number. Mail: Brent Orrell, Director, Center for Faith- Based and Community Initiatives (CFBCI), U.S. Department of Labor, Frances Perkins Building, 200 Constitution Ave., NW., Room S-2235, Washington, DC 20210. LOTS MORE AT: http://a257.g.akamaitech.net/7/257/2422/14mar20010800/edocket.access.gpo.gov/2004/04-5133.htm
Re: Black's efficient market
- Original Message - From: Doug Henwood [EMAIL PROTECTED] It also suggests a notion of efficiency that reflects very short-term changes. Of course, investors can't see into the future, but their expectations are formed on the basis of extremely volatile and temporary bits of news. What has really changed in the long-term prospects for oil to justify price swings of 300-400%? Not much, really. We've got a pretty good idea of reserves, consumption, and the atmosphere's absorptive powers, and all those crazy price swings really hamper the social capacity to plan rationally. Doug Makes a mockery of the fetish of price stability, no? http://www.blackmask.com/books34c/enprice.htm#1_0_3 The Engineers and The Price System Thorstein Veblen In point of material welfare, all the civilized peoples have been drawn together by the state of the industrial arts into a single going concern. And for the due working of this inclusive going concern it is essential that that corps of technological specialists who by training, insight, and interest make up the general staff of industry must have a free hand in the disposal of its available resources, in materials, equipment, and man power, regardless of any national pretensions or any vested interests. Any degree of obstruction, diversion, or withholding of any of the available industrial forces, with a view to the special gain of any nation or any investor, unavoidably brings on a dislocation of the system; which involves a disproportionate lowering of its working efficiency and therefore a disproportionate loss to the whole, and therefore a net loss to all its parts. And all the while the statesmen are at work to divert and obstruct the working forces of this industrial system, here and there, for the special advantage of one nation and another at the cost of the rest; and the captains of finance are working, at cross purposes and in collusion, to divert whatever they can to the special gain of one vested interest and another, at any cost to the rest. So it happens that the industrial system is deliberately handicapped with dissension, misdirection, and unemployment of material resources, equipment, and man power, at every turn where the statesmen or the captains of finance can touch its mechanism; and all the civilized peoples are suffering privation together because their general staff of industrial experts are in this way required to take orders a'nd submit to sabotage at the hands of the statesmen and the vested interests. Politics and investment are still allowed to decide matters of industrial policy which should plainly be left to the discretion of the general staff of production engineers driven by no commercial bias. [snip]
scientists and the price system........
Scientists begin wave of protests by taking to streets French researchers march in Paris and health and education workers prepare their own challenges to the government as key polls approach Jon Henley in Paris Wednesday March 10, 2004 The Guardian More than 2,000 leading French scientists and researchers resigned from their administrative duties yesterday in protest at what they say are crippling funding shortages, dealing the government a huge PR blow less than two weeks beforeimportant regional elections. Alain Trautmann, one of the organisers of the Let's Save Research campaign, said 976 laboratory directors and more than 1,100 specialist team leaders had resigned from their management roles, threatening to paralyse such prestigious institutes as the Curie and Pasteur laboratories and the national medical research centre, Inserm. From today, we declare that laboratories are taking up the struggle, Mr Trautmann said. The scientists, who marched through Paris yesterday afternoon, will keep their research posts but refuse the administrative tasks that allow labs to function, including running budgets, signing documents and evaluating staff. The researchers are staging the first of a series of public-sector challenges to the centre-right government of the prime minister, Jean-Pierre Raffarin, in the run-up to regional elections on March 21 and 28. The polls are seen as a crucial test both of the government's popularity and of the electoral sustainability of its reforms designed to boost economic growth. We have not had satisfactory answers to our questions. We will keep putting our questions and increasing our pressure, Mr Trautmann told a crowd of cheering scientists outside Paris town hall. Other anti-government protests planned this week include a demonstration by hospital staff tomorrow over reforms to healthcare funding, and a national strike by teachers on Friday over budget measures they say will inevitably lead to staff cuts. Arts workers plan to demonstrate outside Mr Raffarin's office on Saturday in protest at changes to their unemployment benefit scheme. A poor government showing in the regional polls could force a premature cabinet reshuffle and undermine Mr Raffarin's resolve to push through far tougher - and sorely needed - reforms such as potentially unpopular cutbacks in the health service. Opinion polls suggest many voters are undecided, with up to 65% saying the elections do not interest them. The abstention rate could reach an all-time high, analysts fear, with a correspondingly strong turnout for the far right and left, whose voters are traditionally more motivated. Mr Raffarin criticised the researchers yesterday, saying he had made significant gestures to them last week by offering a further 3bn (2bn) in research grants by 2007 and un blocking credits worth 300m. He told the left-leaning daily Libration he would not give in to petty week-by-week blackmail attempts by other public sector workers. France's 160,000 scientific and technological researchers insist that over the past two years, more government funds have been cut, frozen or simply not paid than ever before. Even the CNRS, France's national scientific research centre, is still owed half its funding for 2002. At the same time, the researchers say, the employment situation for postgraduates has become desperate: 550 permanent entry-level jobs at some of the most respected scientific institutes in the world have been scrapped, with just a small fraction of them replaced by short-term contracts. The researchers, 70,000 of whom signed the campaign's petition, say gifted French scientists are increasingly being drawn to better-paid jobs in the US and elsewhere, a brain drain that threatens the future of scientific research in a nation that produced such celebrated names as Louis Pasteur and Marie Curie. I'm glad the laboratory heads did this. It's a symbolic act, but we're very disappointed with the government and we're really worried that all the young French researchers will go abroad, an engineering researcher, Marc Tramier, said at yesterday's rally.
Argentina v IMF: another round of the game of chicken
Argentina and IMF in duel over $3.1bn loan Larry Elliott and Charlotte Denny Tuesday March 9, 2004 The Guardian Argentina was last night on a collision course with the International Monetary Fund after the heavily indebted Latin American country signalled it was preparing to default on a $3.1bn (£1.7bn) payment to the Washington-based lender. In the biggest trial of strength between the fund and a debtor country in the fifty-year history of the global lender, the crisis will come to a head today when Buenos Aires must decide whether to pay the fund. The dispute is not really over the $3.1bn - the fund promised last October to rollover its outstanding loans to the country, so Argentina does not have to make any net repayments this year to Washington. Argentina also owes $90bn to banks and private investors in Europe and North America. It has made no payments on these debts since December 2001, and the fund is insisting the country negotiates a fair deal with its private creditors before extending its credit line. I don't think Argentina is going to pay us without there being a commitment from us and the board will not give it that, an IMF source told Reuters last week. So, Argentina has a choice: to pay us and take their chances or continue playing hardball. Latin America's second largest economy is only just recovering from a slump caused by following the fund's advice throughout the 1990s, but is now being pressed by its private sector creditors to start making repayments on its enormous debt. So seriously is Buenos Aires taking these threats that President Nestor Kirchner cancelled a trip to Europe earlier this year on his official jet, Tango One, afraid it could be seized as collateral by aggrieved bondholders. Mr Kirchner is taking a huge gamble. His stance is winning applause from Argentina's hardpressed population, but the confrontation with the fund could end in the country becoming a financial pariah. Argentina has been living in a false honeymoon, paying no interest, but the creditors are banging on the door, said Professor Marcus Miller of Warwick University. Mr Kirchner and economy minister Roberto Lavagna have offered creditors 25¢ in the dollar. Any more, they argue, would force them to cut spending on schools and hospitals. The creditors are demanding 65¢ in the dollar and say Argentina can afford to pay them, now the country is enjoying healthy growth. Discussions between the two sides have been deep frozen for months, but the departure last week of the IMF's managing director Horst Köhler is likely to bring the crisis to a head. Standing in as acting chief is Anne Krueger, the fund's deputy director, who is likely to take an uncompromising line over how much Argentina can afford to pay. Ms Krueger's tough love stance is receiving backing from some of the fund's leading shareholders, the rich countries of the West. The issue has already split the group of seven industrialised countries: in a rare revolt against the rest of the G7, Britain, Italy and Japan all abstained from rolling over Argentina's lending programme last January. There are three possible ways out of the current impasse: either Argentina capitulates and offers creditors a better deal; the fund backs down and continues its lending programme despite Buenos Aires's intransigence or a compromise is agreed. Prof Miller says the impasse could be resolved without harming Argentina's recovery. Buenos Aires should float new bonds with returns linked to the performance of its economy to repay its creditors. If the economy grows strongly over the next few years, creditors will get a slice of the action without starving other parts of the economy. Argentina likes the idea of growth linked bonds but Mr Kirchner has ratcheted up the rhetoric so it will be difficult give creditors a break. For the fund, however, Argentina's defiance raises the ultimate spectre: a domino effect of defaulters that could bankrupt it.
ketchup, buns and manufacturing
Leahy Hits Administration's Credibility On The Loss Of U.S. Manufacturing Jobs Redefining Taco Bells As Manufacturers Is Administration's Poor Idea Of 'Thinking Outside The Bun' http://leahy.senate.gov/press/200403/030204.html --- Two decades ago, another administration wanted to start calling ketchup a vegetable for the purposes of the school lunch program. Redefining ketchup as a vegetable did nothing for the nutrition of our kids, and redefining every Taco Bell as a manufacturing factory would do nothing for American workers and real American manufacturers. If that is this Administration's idea of thinking outside the bun, then this Administration has a lot more thinking to do. http://leahy.senate.gov/press/200403/0302a.html
globalizing tax cuts
JAPANESE PERSPECTIVES Speed key to making most of new tax pact By YOSHIO NAKAMURA The Japan Times: March 8, 2004 On Feb. 27, a new Japanese-U.S. treaty on taxation was finally submitted to the Diet for ratification by the legislature. The treaty, if approved, will make dividends and royalties earned by U.S. subsidiaries in which the Japanese parent firm has a stake of more than 50 percent tax-free, doing away with the current 10-percent tax imposed on such payments. More than 30 years have passed since the current treaty underwent a full-scale revision in 1971, and the business community has been calling for a new overhaul for quite some time. In November 1999, Minoru Makihara, chairman of the Japan-U.S. Business Council, and his U.S. counterpart Michael Armstrong submitted a joint petition to Tokyo and Washington calling for its revision. Such efforts prompted the two governments to start negotiating a new treaty in October 2001. After a basic agreement was reached in June 2003, the new treaty was officially signed by the two governments in November and is now awaiting ratification by the legislatures of both countries. The new treaty will have a significant impact. For example, Japan's direct investment in the United States far exceeds any such investment that has been made in the opposite direction, and Japan now has a large surplus in its net balance of dividend receipts, which reached 480.4 billion yen in 2002. The pending revision will render a large portion of those dividends tax-free, since more than 80 percent of Japanese companies' roughly 3,600 American subsidiaries are held by stakes of 50 percent or more by the parent firms. Unlike the dividends, however, Japan has a deficit in terms of royalty receipts. For example, Japan had a deficit of 253.2 billion yen vis-a-vis the United States and only 73.2 billion yen with the rest of the world in 2000. But these figures represent a sharp reduction from the deficits of 485.4 billion yen and 279.5 billion yen, respectively, in 1997. If, in the future, Japan starts to run a surplus in royalty receipts, the new treaty will have a beneficial impact on Japanese firms. One problem is that the date at which the new treaty can take effect will depend on when it is ratified. The new treaty will take effect on July 1 this year if it is ratified by the end of the current fiscal year (March 31), but if ratification is delayed until next fiscal year the earliest date at which the treaty can take effect will be Jan. 1, 2005. Congress is preparing to enter the treaty into force on July 1, and we would strongly like to see it ratified by the Diet during the current fiscal year. Yoshio Nakamura is a senior managing director of the Japan Business Federation (Nippon Keidanren).
Re: Warren Buffett on class warfare
Warren Buffett keeps out of the depreciating dollar David Teather in New York Monday March 8, 2004 The Guardian Warren Buffett, the second wealthiest man in the world, continued to bet against the dollar last year, increasing his company's ownership of foreign currencies to $12bn. The figure was disclosed in the eagerly anticipated annual letter from the Oracle of Omaha to shareholders in his Berkshire Hathaway company, in which he routinely delivers nuggets of his own peculiar brand of homespun wisdom. In the 24-page letter, sent out on Saturday, the 73-year-old, returned to many of his favourite themes. He attacked the Bush administration's tax cuts and railed against greedy chief executives, corrupt mutual fund managers and ineffective independent directors. Thousands will be making the pilgrimage to the company's annual meeting in Omaha on May 1, known as Woodstock for capitalists. Berkshire Hathaway reluctantly entered the foreign currency for the first time in 2002 and Mr Buffett said it had enlarged its position last year, increasing its holdings in five unnamed currencies. He put the blame on the ballooning US trade deficit. He said that in late 2002 foreign investors began choking on the flood of dollars. As an American, I hope there is a benign ending to this problem, he said, though he warned that the situation was unlikely to improve. Whether foreign investors like it or not, they will continue to be flooded with dollars. The consequences of this are anybody's guess. They could, however, be troublesome - and reach, in fact, well beyond currency markets. Mr Buffett, whose commonsense strategy has earned him a legion of fans, built the company's fortune by canny investments in companies including American Express, Coca-Cola and Gillette. More recently he has taken to buying businesses outright as it became more difficult to find undervalued stocks. Equity holdings are now down to 50% of Berkshire Hathaway's net worth. Last year, the company again stayed away from the equities market. Mr Buffett said Berkshire had bought some shares in the bank Wells Fargo but otherwise had not changed its position in its top six holdings. Brokers don't love us, he said. We own pieces of excellent businesses but their current prices reflect their value. The company, which owns several insurance businesses as well as house builders, clothing and confectionary firms, reported $8.1bn in profits, compared with $4.3bn in 2002. The company has $36bn in cash and Mr Buffett remains on the hunt for further acquisitions. An $8bn investment in junk bonds during 2002 paid off but he stopped buying last year as prices rose. He offered stinging criticism of the mutual fund industry, which has become the latest Wall Street business to find itself under scrutiny for improper practices. Mr Buffett said the industry had betrayed the trust of millions of shareholders. Hundreds of industry insiders had to know what was going on, yet none publicly said a word.
a mild case of imperial overstretch
Foreign Crises Stretch U.S. In Election Year By Robin Wright and Glenn Kessler Washington Post Staff Writers Monday, March 8, 2004; Page A01 With Haiti's drama and the flare-up of violence in Iraq, the United States faces an overload of crises that Republicans and Democrats agree will be even more difficult to deal with now that the presidential campaign is in full swing. Rarely has Washington had such a large and diverse array of foreign policy problems to juggle as leaders of both parties hit the campaign trail. And rarely have those crises been so central to an election, evident in the scathing volleys between President Bush and Sen. John F. Kerry (D-Mass.) over the past week. In the first presidential election since the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001, the Bush administration finds its foreign policy initiatives to defend the United States from the new threats becoming hot election issues -- and liabilities. It's fighting three wars: Iraq, Afghanistan and the global war on terror. It has to deal with everything from Colombia to Haiti, the Palestinians to North Korea, the World Trade Organization. If someone is arguing the administration has a lot on its plate and it is stretched, they've got a point, said Richard N. Haass, president of the Council on Foreign Relations and a top foreign policy planning official in both Bush administrations. But the broader question is whether the confluence of crises -- and the intense election debate they have spawned -- will crimp U.S. willingness or ability to focus on new problems or opportunities, leaving Washington instead reacting and on the defensive. Some Republican insiders have adopted a crisis-avoidance mantra for the election season: No war in '04. It's a very challenging time, said James B. Steinberg, Brookings Institution director of foreign policy studies and deputy national security adviser for the Clinton administration. There's a real temptation to play defense rather than to take these things on. But when you do that, you risk becoming a hostage of current fortunes and, rather than shaping the environment, you allow other people to drive the agenda and set the pace. There are already signs that the Bush administration may be reluctant to tackle new hot spots, which Republicans and Democrats say is what happened during the uprising against President Jean-Bertrand Aristide, Haiti's controversial but democratically elected leader. Washington resisted getting embroiled until the final days of the confrontation, despite long-brewing signs of trouble, because of time and resources and focus and energy, said Sen. Chuck Hagel (R-Neb.). With so many troops tied down in Iraq and elsewhere, the last thing we need is another problem. So we try to get out on the cheap, he said. The United States is guilty of outright neglect for its failure to act earlier, Rep. Jose E. Serrano (D-N.Y.) told Secretary of State Colin L. Powell at a House Appropriations Committee hearing last week. This was not an overnight crisis, and could we not have better supported the democracy in Haiti if we had been more generous with our assistance? Serrano said. Haiti is symptomatic of the dilemmas during an election season after 21/2 years of ambitious but controversial interventions in Afghanistan and Iraq. The next eight months is not a time for discretionary commitments that are politically ambitious and costly entanglements, Haass said. Iraq is a war of choice. It is hard to imagine more wars of choice in the foreseeable future. White House officials deny that the administration is stretched thin or overburdened. This White House is the most calm that I've worked in. I was struck by this [at the end of February] as we were wrapping up six-party talks on North Korea and had Haiti and Iraq's Transitional Administrative Law. The phones were ringing off the hook, but there was no sense of crisis in the White House. No one starts running a fever if there's a crisis, said a senior administration official who has worked in top positions for several administrations. Political strategist Karl Rove is not urging Bush to kick problems down the road to avoid tough choices, said William Kristol, editor of the Weekly Standard and Vice President Dan Quayle's chief of staff. Bush understands that it's riskier in many cases to endlessly put off dealing with problems -- and that they'll come back to bite you at a time not of your choosing, Kristol said. Bush needs to go to the country on the basis of his foreign policy. That's risky and some won't like it. But he can't say, 'Elect me because of my foreign policy,' but then, this year, put everything on hold. This White House also remembers the recent past. The first Bush administration adopted a keep things calm strategy in the 1992 campaign -- and voters decided it wasn't needed to keep around to handle foreign policy, Kristol added. Yet Republicans and Democrats note signs that crisis overload and campaign realities have already weakened
Japan
BIGGEST JUMP IN 2 1/2 YEARS Manufacturers' capital spending up 15% The Japan Times: March 5, 2004 Capital spending by manufacturers jumped 15 percent in the October-December quarter from a year earlier for the biggest rise in 2 1/2 years, underscoring the strong capital investment fueling the recent economic recovery, the Finance Ministry said Thursday. Helped by the brisk spending on plants and equipment by manufacturers, capital spending on an all-industry basis rose 5.1 percent from a year earlier for the third quarterly expansion, the ministry said. Combined sales at companies increased 3.1 percent in the October-December quarter for the third straight quarterly gain. Combined corporate pretax profits rose 16.9 percent, the sixth successive quarterly increase. The figures are based on a survey of capital spending, excluding investment for software, by companies capitalized at 10 million yen or more. The survey covered 23,997 randomly selected companies, excluding financial institutions, and had a response rate of 79.6 percent. The increase in capital investment was in line with the capital outlay figure for the quarter in Japan's gross domestic product data. The government said last month that October-December GDP expanded an annualized 7.0 percent, spurred by brisk exports and capital spending. A revised figure is scheduled to be released Wednesday. Given such factors as the recent weakening of the yen and strong demand in China, we can expect capital spending at Japanese manufacturers to maintain its strength, said Shinichiro Kawasaki, an economist at Dai-ichi Life Research Institute Inc. But Kawasaki said that whether that will lead to broad-based strength in the economy is far from certain. The focus at the moment is whether a recovery in the corporate sector will spread to employment, he said. That part is still unclear. The big jump in capital spending for manufacturers, which marked the third straight month of increase, was led by a 178.8 percent expansion in the publishing and printing industries and 37.4 percent growth in the transport machinery sector, which includes automobiles. Nonmanufacturers' capital spending rose for the first time in two quarters, up 1.1 percent, led by a 39 percent increase in the transport and communications sector. On a seasonally adjusted basis, capital investment covering all industries rose 4.5 percent. That for manufacturers grew 7.5 percent, while it increased 3.1 percent for nonmanufacturers. Sales by manufacturers rose for the fifth straight quarter, up 2.9 percent, while those by nonmanufacturers increased 3.2 percent, up for the third quarter in a row. Manufacturers' pretax profits grew 2.4 percent for the sixth straight rise. But the pace of expansion fell from the 16.3 percent in the July-September quarter. Pretax profits of nonmanufacturers soared 29.4 percent, up for the third straight quarter. The increase in profits slowed at major manufacturers, which had led the rise in profits in the recent past, the ministry official said. But those for nonmanufacturers showed strong growth in almost all fields, indicating that brightness is spreading in the sector.
Re: The Teixeira thesis
- Original Message - From: Doug Henwood [EMAIL PROTECTED] Max B. Sawicky wrote: Oh. They like to define things with numbers. So do I, but you've got to have some conceptual scheme if you're classifying workers into working class and not working-class. Damn, Quine and Donald Davidson on pen-l in one day http://spruce.flint.umich.edu/~simoncu/225/davidson.htm Ian
Re: The Teixeira thesis
- Original Message - From: Carrol Cox [EMAIL PROTECTED] This finally sank through to me only a couple days ago while reading some material on class. I haven't got it clear yet, but this is a start. Why do we _want_ to classify people into classes? Answer: No reason at all. = http://www.sup.org/cgi-bin/search/book_desc.cgi?book_id=3804%203806 The Classless Society Paul W. Kingston Are there classes in America? In The Classless Society Paul Kingston forcefully answers no. Challenging a long-standing intellectual tradition of class analysis recently revitalized by Erik Olin Wright and John Goldthorpe, and insisting on a realist conception of class, Kingston argues that presumed classes do not significantly share distinct, life-defining experiences. 280 pages, 23 tables, 1 figure, 2000. ISBN 0804738068 paper ISBN 0804738041 cloth
new mercenarism redux
[sorry about the earlier typo] US contractor recruits guards for Iraq in Chile Forces say experienced soldiers are quitting for private companies which pay more for similar work Jonathan Franklin in Santiago Friday March 5, 2004 The Guardian The US is hiring mercenaries in Chile to replace its soldiers on security duty in Iraq. A Pentagon contractor has begun recruiting former commandos, other soldiers and seamen, paying them up to $4,000 (£2,193) a month to guard oil wells against attack by insurgents. Last month Blackwater USA flew a first group of about 60 former commandos, many of who had trained under the military government of Augusto Pinochet, from Santiago to a 2,400-acre (970-hectare) training camp in North Carolina. From there they will be taken to Iraq, where they are expected to stay between six months and a year, the president of Blackwater USA, Gary Jackson, told the Guardian by telephone. We scour the ends of the earth to find professionals - the Chilean commandos are very, very professional and they fit within the Blackwater system, he said. Chile was the only Latin American country where his firm had hired commandos for Iraq. He estimated that about 95% of his work came from government contracts and said his business was booming. We have grown 300% over each of the past three years and we are small compared to the big ones. We have a very small niche market, we work towards putting out the cream of the crop, the best. The privatisation of security in Iraq is growing as the US seeks to reduce its commitment of troops. At the end of last year there were 10,000 hired security personnel in Iraq. Recruitment in Chile began six months ago and brought immediate criticism from MPs and officers, who fear that it will encourage serving personnel to leave. Michelle Bachelet, the defence minister, ordered an investigation into whether paramilitary training by Blackwater violated Chilean laws on the use of weapons by private citizens. She asked for its recruiting effort to be investigated after it was alleged that people on active duty were involved. Many soldiers are said to be leaving the army to join the private companies. Mr Jackson said that similar issues were bedevilling the US forces. The private sector paid experienced special forces personnel far more than the armed services. The US military has the same problems, he said. If they are going to outsource tasks that were once held by active-duty military and are now using private contractors, those guys [on active duty] are looking and asking, 'Where is the money?' The number of hired soldiers in Iraq is estimated to be in the thousands. Squads of Bosnians, Filipinos and Americans with special forces experience have been hired for tasks ranging from airport security to protecting Paul Bremer, the head of the Coalition Provisional Authority. Their salaries can be as high as $1,000 a day, the news agency AFP recently reported. Erwin, a 28-year-old former US army sergeant working in Iraq, told AFP: This place is a goldmine. All you need is five years in the military and you come here and make a good bundle. Responding to a fear that any of its recruits who might suffer traumatic battlefield stress might be simply dumped back into Chilean society without mental health schemes, Mr Jackson said Blackwater USA had extensive psychological counselling programmes. We have clinical psychologists on staff and we do a battery of tests during the assessment phase. I personally come from a special operations background and I feel comfortable that we have the procedures in place that will allow them to handle the stress. We didn't just come down and say, 'You and you and you, come work for us.' They were all vetted in Chile and all of them have military backgrounds. This is not the Boy Scouts. In an interview with the Chilean newspaper La Tercera, a former Chilean army officer, Carlos Wamgnet, 30, who was going to Iraq, said: We are calm. This mission is nothing new for us. In the end, this is an extension of our military career. John Rivas, 27, a former Chilean marine, said the work in Iraq would provide a very good income that would allow him to support his family. I don't feel like a mercenary, he added.
US-Australia FTA text
USTR released the text of the US-Australia FTA today. The page with a link to each chapter is here: http://www.ustr.gov/new/fta/Australia/text/index.htm
Re: any comments?
--- Devine, James [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: March 2, 2004/New York TIMES NEWS ANALYSIS Medicare and Social Security Challenge By EDMUND L. ANDREWS Doug Orr was on the local NPR affiliate with some other people giving an excellent take on Greenspan's, uh, strategic ambiguity on the future of SS..You can listen to him speak [a model of clarity] at: http://kuow.org/TheConversation.asp
DeLong on Paul Sweezy
http://www.j-bradford-delong.net/movable_type/Index.html/ Have fun
pass the bubble
Unsustainable debt Leader Monday March 1, 2004 The Guardian The world economic revival seems to be picking up speed practically everywhere - except, of course, on the continent of Europe, which is still stagnating. The trouble is that recovery is disconcertingly dependent on America's pre-electoral boom. Nothing else seems to matter over there. Forget the unprecedented trade and budget deficits, ignore the free-fall in the dollar and turn a blind eye to growing protectionism. They can all be cleared up after the next election, as long as it is President Bush and not one of those resurgent Democrats that is doing the cleaning up. Unlike previous US booms, this one is not being oiled by rises in take-home pay. Wages, after allowing for inflation, are hardly expanding at all. The long-running spending boom is being sustained by consumers taking on extra debt (financed by what may turn out to be only a temporary increase in assets, like shares and houses), plus tax cuts. Consumers, particularly richer ones, will be drip-fed with more tax refunds in the coming months in one of the most carefully orchestrated pre-election booms on record. Even the normally cautious chairman of the Federal Reserve, Alan Greenspan, is being caught up in this dangerous game of pass the bubble. He sees hardly any problems in the short-term thanks, he says, to what he regards as amazing US productivity growth, spare capacity and low inflation. But he sees mega problems in 10 to 15 years' time when the rocketing US federal deficit reaches the stratosphere as the baby boom generation becomes eligible for increased entitlements. If his short-term solution is complacent, his long-term one is downright irresponsible. He urges the administration to maintain the tax cuts - which disproportionately benefit the rich - while cutting benefits; a move that inevitably will hit the poor. Robin Hood has gone into reverse thrust. The US administration should act now to bring the deficit down in order to avoid the danger of a meltdown in later years that would inevitably send shockwaves across the rest of the world. It could easily do several things: rescind the worst of the recent regressive tax cuts; allow people who want to work after their normal retirement date (like the 78-year-old Alan Greenspan) to do so; rescind the $180bn of extra agricultural subsidies (mainly credits) that President Bush unexpectedly introduced soon after gaining office; and start looking at how fiscal policy in the form of tax increases can be used to reduce America's dependence on Middle East oil reserves. An election year is not a good time to be deciding long-term economic policy. But it is sad to watch how the main political parties find it difficult to call for tax increases - or even for an end to reductions that have not yet come into effect - and it is very depressing to see Democratic candidates lurching towards protectionism, even if only as a temporary political manoeuvre. On the brighter side, there are encouraging signs that the US, as well as Europe, wants to re-start the international trade talks which stalled in Cancun over the demands of developing countries to end agricultural subsidies. This is probably because the US negotiators presume nothing of any consequence will happen this side of an election. Meanwhile, the rest of the world, including Britain, will profit from the burgeoning US trade deficit. And for the rest of this year at least, everything is likely to be all right. But something will have to be done when the US election is out of the way. This gives European countries a breathing space to rediscover the lost art of generating economic growth on their own. Recent forecasts for the eurozone economy suggest growth of barely 0.5% this year, even with the benefit of a US recovery. Goodness knows what it would like be without it.
the political ecology of coal
America's new coal rush Utilities' dramatic push to build new plants would boost energy security but hurt the environment. By Mark Clayton | Staff writer of The Christian Science Monitor February 26, 2004 edition After 25 years on the blacklist of America's energy sources, coal is poised to make a comeback, stoked by the demand for affordable electricity and the rising price of other fuels. At least 94 coal-fired electric power plants - with the capacity to power 62 million American homes - are now planned across 36 states. The plants, slated to start coming on line as early as next year, would add significantly to the United States' generating power, help keep electricity prices low, and boost energy security by offering an alternative to foreign oil and gas. But they would also pump more airborne mercury and greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide, nitrogen oxide, and sulfur dioxide into the air. Apparently, economic concerns are trumping environmental ones in utilities' plans. Surprisingly, few state officials or even environmentalists are aware of the magnitude of the new coal rush. One major reason is the sudden nature of the turnaround for the plentiful fuel. The situation has changed 180 degrees in the last year, so that we're almost back to point where we were in the 1970s with a slew of coal-fired plants on the drawing board, says Robert McIlvaine, president of a Northfield, Ill., company that tracks energy industry development. After a decades-long drought, when few large coal plants were added to the power grid, it's become a flood. We've been getting a new one announced almost every week since December. The jump in proposed coal-fired plants over the past three years - which would add 62 gigawatts or another 20 percent to the US's current coal-generating capacity - was documented in a report last month by the National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL), an arm of the US Department of Energy. But experts caution that perhaps no more than half of all proposed plants will ever be built. It can take seven to 10 years for a coal power plant to go from planning to construction - and legal action and public protests often halt them. Aside from the report, buried on the agency's website, the push to coal power and its estimated $72 billion investment has been largely untouted by industry and overlooked by the public. Even state officials and environmentalists who knew more coal power was coming are amazed. I certainly wasn't aware it was 62 gigawatts. That's an awful lot more coal to burn, says Dan Becker, director of global warming and energy program at the Sierra Club. I think most Americans would be shocked that utilities are dragging the 19th century into the 21st century. Illinois leads the nation with 10 proposed coal-fired plants that would create 8 gigawatts of new power capacity, the NETL report says. Yet state officials were surprised to be the national leader. It's definitely something we're keeping track of, but I personally wasn't aware it was nine or 10 plants, says Rishi Garg, an energy policy adviser to Lt. Gov. Pat Quinn. From the point of view of energy security, such moves make sense, proponents say. The US is considered the Saudi Arabia of coal. It sits on 250 years' worth of reserves. Coal already generates about half the nation's electricity. The economics have also swung in the fuel's favor. Low-cost, low-emission, natural-gas turbines sprouted like mushrooms in the '90s and their contribution to the nation's generating capacity reached 19 percent. But in the past four years, the cost of natural gas has roughly tripled: from $2 per 1 million British thermal units of heat generated to over $6 per million BTUs. By contrast, coal costs less than $1 per million BTUs. That has put utilities in the position of paying more for the gas they burn to make power than they can get for the electricity it produces. But the move back to coal raises environmental concerns. Mr. McIlvaine estimates that if 50 of the 94 planned projects are built, they would add roughly 30 gigawatts or 10 percent of base load generating capacity nationwide. Using industry rules of thumb, he estimates coal consumption would rise about 10 million tons, or 1 percent, from today's 1 billion tons annually. That, in turn, would add 120 million cubic feet of exhaust gases from the stacks every minute of every day for decades to what is currently vented. The burning of coal already produces more airborne mercury and greenhouse gases than any other single source. Robert Dickinson, an atmospheric scientist and climate modeler at the Georgia Institute of Technology, calculates the new US coal plants would add roughly one-tenth of 1 percent to the world's annual carbon-dioxide emissions. It doesn't sound as bad as SUVs, but we really should be going the other direction, he says. All these little things add up. How much is east Asia going to add? The rest of the world? Utility-industry spokesmen don't
expertise and class composition
Class war pipe dreams A biologist becomes a gas fitter, so the barriers are finally breaking down? Tell that to the shelf packers Mary Riddell Sunday February 29, 2004 The Observer As pipes freeze and domestic boilers implode, a shivering nation can be grateful to Karl Gensberg. Formerly a researcher at Birmingham University, he compared his wage slip with his plumber's and decided that his career in molecular biology, on an annual salary of £23,000, was over. Now Mr Gensberg, aged 41, is a qualified gas fitter hoping to earn a minimum of £40,000. His 10 years of research will, he believes, eventually lead to major breakthroughs in treating arthritis and cancer. While university wages are scandalously low, great pioneers in science and the arts have often been more stoical. On the Gensberg logic, the impoverished Van Gogh, who sold only one canvas in his lifetime, would have swapped sunflowers for Yellow Pages and taken up painting and decorating instead. So perhaps Mr Gensberg was fed up not only with low pay and professional insecurity, but with the job itself. Newspaper reports hinted, snobbishly, that only penury could force anyone to swap academia for a life of phoning maddened clients to report being stuck in traffic on the North Circular and thus unable to inspect their defunct heating systems until tomorrow. But talented people, graduates included, want practical work. Hackney Community College in East London reports 800 applicants competing for 35 places on a four-year NVQ plumbing course. Part of the lure is the £50,000 salary in prospect, but something else is happening. That shift is illustrated in a portrait of Mr Gensberg, a stubble-chinned Gabriel Oak moving glamorously on from the 'glory days' when a university post meant status. His decision may say less about pay levels than shifting status. Society is being de-toffed. As the last hereditary peers of the upper chamber are banished to chilly piles, a new breed of aristo-hustlers, forcibly democratised, must earn their crust; literally so, in the case of the Earl of Sandwich, who markets packed lunches. A House of Lords, however constituted, looks increasingly preposterous when titles are so naff that any man knighted in an Honours List must pretend he doesn't want to be called 'Sir'. The affluent have seen other privileges leeched away by the conduit that first supplied them. The benefits of the consumer revolution of the nineteenth century have trickled further downwards, and Orwell's checklist of 'good roads, germ-free water, police protection', has expanded. Restaurants, shops, roads and the check-in queues of Gatwick teem with homogeneous tribes. As John Prescott said: 'We're all middle class now.' Britain has been slow to recognise this truism, or embrace it. France, at least at the level of the 'commune', is classless. In the town where I spend my holidays, the bus driver has the same social standing as the lawyer. Mr Gensberg and his academic friends, who, he claims, are becoming scuba diving instructors or letting agents, may be trail-blazers for equality. But oddly, at just the time fusty notions of prestige are dying, a contradictory paranoia is setting in. In his new book, Status Anxiety, and in a two-hour Channel 4 documentary next Saturday, Alain de Botton argues that we are consumed by worry about how we are perceived. The idea that social rank equals human worth may be dead, but so are easy guidelines to being a top person. The Spartan recipe of muscly, bisexual men with little interest in family life and an enthusiasm for killing Athenians would attract few takers in a modern dating agency. Nor would subsequent blueprints of perfection. As de Botton wonders, if the capacity to hunt jaguars, dance a minuet, ride a horse in battle or imitate the life of Christ no longer offers sufficient grounds to be labelled a success, then what is the dominant Western ideal according to which people are judged and status allotted? His inability to offer a neatly-packaged successor to the warrior, the saint and the knight is not surprising when the mandarin classes no longer command automatic respect or trust. Maybe the new icon is the gas-fitter, welcomed into icy households like a Messiah in overalls, as well as being paid a fortune. Money remains enmeshed with status. The Forbes listing of the planet's richest people has just been released, complete with fawning coverage of Britain's dollar billionaires. The latest register of members' interests allowed newspaper readers to ogle MPs' bank accounts: £450,000 for Robin Cook's book, £250,000 for Michael Portillo's wit and wisdom. Such figures are meant to ignite envy. But as Alexis de Tocqueville noticed, along with Adam Smith and various modern academics who have so far resisted becoming gasmen, money is no guarantor of happiness. America, the richest nation on earth, ranks sixteenth in the national league tables of contentment. Nigeria and Puerto Rico, where great poverty
Greenspan and the use of time to commit fiscal crime
[god bless intertemporal optimization] [New York Times] February 29, 2004 The Social Security Promise Not Yet Kept By DAVID CAY JOHNSTON SOCIAL Security retirement benefits are going to have to be cut, Alan Greenspan announced last week, because there just is not enough money to pay the promised benefits. President Bush said those already retired or near retirement age'' should not worry. They will get their promised benefits. That, in short form, was the story carried on front pages and television news programs across the country. But there is an element that was forgotten in the rush of news. It dates back 21 years to the events that catapulted Mr. Greenspan into national prominence and led to his becoming chairman of the Federal Reserve. Since 1983, American workers have been paying more into Social Security than it has paid out in benefits, about $1.8 trillion more so far. This year Americans will pay about 50 percent more in Social Security taxes than the government will pay out in benefits. Those taxes were imposed at the urging of Mr. Greenspan, who was chairman of a bipartisan commission that in 1983 said that one way to make sure Social Security remains solvent once the baby boomers reached retirement age was to tax them in advance. On Mr. Greenspan's recommendation Social Security was converted from a pay-as-you-go system to one in which taxes are collected in advance. After Congress adopted the plan, Mr. Greenspan rose to become chairman of the Federal Reserve. This year someone making $50,000 will pay $6,200 in Social Security taxes, half deducted from their paycheck and half paid by their employer. That total is about $2,000 more than the government needs in order to pay benefits to retirees, widows, orphans and the disabled, government budget documents show. So what has happened to that $1.8 trillion? The advance payments have all been spent. Congress did not lock away the Social Security surplus, as many Americans believe. Instead, it borrowed the surplus, replacing the cash with Treasury notes, and spent the loan proceeds paying the ordinary expenses of running the federal government. Only twice, in 1999 and 2000, did Congress balance the federal budget without borrowing from the surplus. Both parties have treated the surplus Social Security taxes as cash flow to the government, which has been allowable since the Johnson administration started counting Social Security as part of the federal budget, not as a separate budget, said C. Eugene Steuerle, a tax policy advisor to President Reagan. He said that voters were promised in 1983 that the federal debt would be paid off with the surplus Social Security taxes. The fact that this has not happened and the debt has soared shows that government usually can only deal with one objective at a time,'' Mr. Steuerle said. Back then, he added, the prime objective was to settle on a Social Security tax rate that would back the system and not have to be tinkered with for decades - not how the surplus would be handled. He said using the surplus to pay routine bills makes sense to those who believe the government will have tax revenues in the future to repay the borrowed money. President Bush asserts that making his existing income, gift and estate tax cuts permanent will spur growth that will, in turn, generate more tax revenue in the long run, making that repayment more likely. Claire Buchan, a White House spokeswoman, said that making the cuts permanent will promote prosperity for American workers'' and that older employees can expect full benefits. But Mr. Greenspan's new remarks have brought that into question. Other officials have raised doubts. In June 2001, Paul H. O'Neill, President Bush's first Treasury secretary, said all that Americans expecting benefits have is someone else's promise'' that the paper held by the Social Security Trust Fund will be redeemed with taxes paid later by others. Michael Graetz, a Yale Law School tax professor and tax policy adviser in the administration of President Bush's father, said it was in the nature of Washington to spend surplus tax revenues. Unless they put the money in a lockbox, which they haven't, the politicians are going to spend the money, he said, and say they will repay the loans with future taxes. Mr. Greenspan said nothing last week about returning to a pay-as-you-go basis. Doing that would put about $40 a week in the pockets of workers making $50,000 annually. Some argue that the surplus taxes are being used to help finance income tax cuts, which Mr. Bush wants made permanent. Mr. Greenspan told Congress earlier that Mr. Bush's tax cuts should be kept in place. The biggest beneficiaries would be the top 400 taxpayers, whose average income in 2000 was $174 million each. They paid 22.2 cents on the dollar in federal income taxes and, under the Bush tax cuts, would have paid about 17.5 cents. Over all that year, Americans paid 15.3 cents on the dollar of income in
Zoellick in India
http://www.flonnet.com/fl2105/stories/20040312001805000.htm WTO Frictions to the fore SUKUMAR MURALIDHARAN The recent visit of U.S. Trade Representative Robert Zoellick to India with the stated aim of resuming global trade negotiations only serves to highlight the continuing discord between the two countries on a range of trade issues. ROBERT ZOELLICK, the United States Trade Representative, stopped in New Delhi for a meeting with Union Commerce Minister Arun Jaitley on February 16. His visit was part of a cycle involving other major trading nations, and the purported agenda was nothing less than the resumption of stalled global trade negotiations. But the official statement issued on the occasion was almost cursory on this main item of the agenda, confining itself to a formal reiteration of both countries' intention to engage constructively in moving the negotiations forward. This almost routine statement though, was overshadowed by a very public articulation of discord on a range of other issues. Jaitley focussed on the new protectionist fervour possessing the U.S., leading to exploratory legislation in some States that would severely curtail the freedom currently enjoyed by firms to outsource key business functions to overseas service providers. The Jobs for America Act that has recently been tabled in the U.S. Senate by leading Democratic Party legislators effectively moves this process from the State to the federal level. Among other things, the proposed law would require U.S. companies that plan to lay off 15 or more workers to make a full public disclosure of where they intended to relocate the jobs and provide satisfactory explanations for their decision. It is strange, said the Indian Minister that on the one hand people are talking about opening of markets and on the other hand, banning business process outsourcing. And in puncturing the U.S. demand that India should liberalise its agricultural trade, Jaitley minced no words: Our agriculture is fragile as it is not subsidised, as in the U.S. Zoellick for his part held out the assurance that the outsourcing controversy was not all that it had been made out to be. Trade opening would benefit all sides through job growth. And if India were to liberalise, it would create a context of increasing trade that would effectively neutralise the outsourcing controversy. Much progress could be achieved, he said, if India and the U.S. were to look at the areas on which they agreed: like the elimination of trade-distorting export subsidies in agriculture and the reduction of domestic support. The U.S.' top trade negotiator could not have been unaware of the odds he faces. Senator John Kerry, who is rapidly emerging as the most likely challenger to President George Bush in the November elections, routinely chooses the figure of Benedict Arnold, the emblematic representative of high treason in U.S. history, to castigate the business leaders who he alleges have been exporting jobs from the U.S. Gregory Mankiw, the chairman of Bush's council of economic advisers, recently made bold to suggest that outsourcing was just another way of doing business that was probably good for the U.S. economy. The qualified endorsement of outsourcing as an economic plus for the U.S. economy, it transpired, had been prudent, since Bush has studiedly chosen to distance himself from his top adviser's opinion. His political fortunes increasingly threatened by weak economic fundamentals, the U.S. President recently issued the bravura claim that his first term in office would end with 2.6 million new jobs in place for the U.S. workforce. He has since been rather reluctant about being held to that standard of numerical precision. The last six months have reportedly seen job-growth of the order of 360,000. The economist Paul Krugman has estimated that to work itself out of the slump it is currently in, the U.S. economy would have to add jobs at the rate of about 275,000 every month. The total employment in India's business process outsourcing (BPO) sector currently stands, in the estimation of the industry association, at less than 250,000. The number of jobs created in this sector during 2003-04 would, according to the National Association of Software and Service Companies (NASSCOM), be in the range of 74,000. Adjusting for differences in relative wages and infrastructural endowments - which have a bearing on the investment required to create an extra job - this would be the equivalent of fewer than 30,000 jobs in the U.S., or a mere 2,500 additional jobs every month. In relation to the magnitude of unemployment in the U.S., the impact of outsourcing is quite obviously marginal, rendering the overheated rhetoric about Benedict Arnold businessmen just a little ludicrous. Zoellick's visit to India nevertheless signals that this item could prospectively be moved onto the agenda of global trade negotiations. The U.S. since the failure of Cancun, has shaped its response along two
GAO report on outsourcing the State
February 27, 2004 COMPETITIVE SOURCING Greater Emphasis Needed on Increasing Efficiency and Improving Performance GAO-04-367 http://www.gao.gov/ [click through to the report]
unctad:Africa caught in a commodity trap
[aren't all of us caught in a commodity trap?] Full @ : http://www.unctad.org/Templates/webflyer.asp?docid=4463intItemID=1634lang=1 The majority of African countries are boxed into a trading structure that subjects them to secular terms-of-trade losses and volatile foreign exchange earnings, according to a new UNCTAD report, Economic Development in Africa: Trade Performance and Commodity Dependence (1), released today. This position severely encumbers effective macroeconomic management and stunts capital formation, hampering efforts to diversify into more productive activities and adding to the debt overhang. As a result, and despite years under structural adjustment programmes, much of sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) has remained commodity-dependent. And, as was exposed in Cancún with the cotton case, huge Northern subsidies have contributed in no small measure to undermining the efforts of some African countries to tackle poverty. The Report calls for a three-pronged response to easing the short-run burden of commodity dependence and facilitating longer-run structural changes, by combining measures to strengthen domestic institutional capacities with more balanced international trading arrangements and more generous and innovative international financing schemes. [snip]
Britain in Iraq: still no contracts
White House rebuffs UK contracts bid Terry Macalister Thursday February 26, 2004 The Guardian Top-level lobbying by British ministers on a trip to Washington on behalf of UK companies trying to win work in Iraq has been rebuffed by White House officials. The trade minister, Mike O'Brien, insisted at a reconstruction conference on Tuesday that his visit had been successful, but well-placed sources argue differently. Confidential papers seen by the Guardian show the US national security adviser, Condoleezza Rice, phoned Tony Blair's office to discuss the issue after she read a leak about the concerted lobbying in this newspaper on February 13. But Mr O'Brien and Tony Blair's trade envoy, Brian Wilson, were told clearly there could be no special efforts to help win deals for UK firms. The White House is sympathetic but officials there say they cannot intervene in a procurement process handled by the Pentagon, said a well-placed source. Briefing documents dated February 20 - before the trip to Washington - suggest Mr Blair might raise the issue directly with President George Bush if there is no progress. Depending on the outcome of the minister's visit, he [Mr O'Brien] may want to recommend to the prime minister that he raise this directly with President Bush, according to documents marked restricted. The British government has become embarrassed about domestic firms' failure to win a big slice of the Iraq reconstruction contracts. Billions of dollars worth has gone to American companies such as Halliburton, which used to be headed by US vice-president Dick Cheney. A new round of contracts come up early next month and the UK looks better placed, with stakes in 15 of the 17 bids being considered. But there is still acute nervousness. Mr O'Brien told a London gathering on rebuilding Iraq that 20 UK firms had already won deals, although he denied he had made the visit to Washington last week to plead Britain's case. The trip had been to discuss transparency and a level playing field. But the documents prepared ahead of that meeting make clear the true reason for the mission by Mr O'Brien and Mr Wilson. Special guidance on how to handle media interest in the Washington trip argues: The purpose of the visit is to lobby for UK contracts and if there [are] none offered, then the media would report on this negatively. Despite Mr O'Brien's comments that we have secured quite a lot of contracts already, the briefing documents from the UK trade and investment unit of the Department of Trade and Industry admit the question of how successful UK firms are in Iraq is impossible to answer because details are not available. The Guardian revealed two weeks ago that Mr O'Brien and Mr Wilson were planning a trip to the US to lobby for more UK contracts, and the article triggered a flurry of action in Washington. The latest set of confidential documents reveal that Condoleezza Rice telephoned Nigel Sheinwald [Mr Blair's special foreign affairs envoy] on February 13 to ask about the Guardian article that day. Last night Mr Wilson insisted the US trip was not aimed at avoiding political embarrassment but an attempt to ensure Britain benefited commercially from the biggest construction programme in history.
AG on Fannie and Freddie
http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/testimony/2004/20040224/default.htm Testimony of Chairman Alan Greenspan Government-sponsored enterprises Before the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, U.S. Senate February 24, 2004
science in the corporate interest; yet another iteration
http://www.nybooks.com/articles/16954 In Science in the Private Interest, a strongly argued polemic against the commercial conditions in which scientific research currently operates, he shows how universities have become little more than instruments of wealth. This shift in the mission of academia, Krimsky claims, works against the public interest. Universities have sacrificed their larger social responsibilities to accommodate a new purpose-the privatization of knowledge-by engaging in multimillion-dollar contracts with industries that demand the rights to negotiate licenses from any subsequent discovery (as Novartis did, Krimsky reports, in a $25 million deal with the University of California at Berkeley).
new and improved moral hazard
[Just what I've always wanted, a mortgage on my mortgage] [New York Times] February 25, 2004 Fed Chief Warns of a Risk to Taxpayers By EDMUND L. ANDREWS WASHINGTON, Feb. 24 - Alan Greenspan, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, warned on Tuesday that the nation's two big government-sponsored mortgage institutions pose a systemic risk that could cost taxpayers dearly. Mr. Greenspan said that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which buy up and repackage billions of dollars' worth of mortgages every year, have grown so rapidly and accumulated so much debt that they cannot adequately hedge against the risks of financial crises. The Fed chairman said both companies, which hold about $2 trillion worth of obligations tied to home mortgages, have grown much faster than their competitors because investors think the federal government will bail them out in a crisis. Mr. Greenspan said this implied subsidy has been a boon to the companies' shareholders but provided only modest benefits to homebuyers in the form of lower mortgage rates. The danger, he said, is that the companies are using this implicit federal backstop to assume more risk and finance their expansion through increased debt. There is a general belief in the marketplace that these securities are backed by the full faith and credit of the United States government, Mr. Greenspan testified at a hearing of the Senate Banking Committee. Even though the federal government does not guarantee the securities of Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, Mr. Greenspan suggested that their special status as government-sponsored enterprises and their huge size would make it difficult for Congress to avoid a bailout in the event of a financial calamity. It's basically creating an abnormality, which the system cannot close around, and the potential of that is a systemic risk in - sometime in the future, if they continue to increase at the rate at which they are. Shares of both companies dropped after Mr. Greenspan's testimony. Fannie Mae shares fell $2.65, to $76.25. Freddie Mac slid $1.81, to $62.12. Fannie Mae executives quickly lashed back at Mr. Greenspan, complaining that many of his criticisms were based on a Fed study that it called seriously flawed. We, of course, disagree with most of his conclusions, said Jayne Shontell, Fannie Mae's senior vice president for investor relations. We believe that the testimony does not appreciate the role of our mortgage portfolio and the impact of his proposal. Mr. Greenspan's lengthy and blunt criticisms are likely to provide new impetus for legislative proposals aimed at tightening the regulatory control over both companies. Though Mr. Greenspan has criticized Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in the past, he expressed a greater degree of alarm about the potential risks posed by the companies, and he was insistent that Congress act sooner rather than later. Both companies have been under fire for more than a year, in part because both have admitted to a wide variety of questionable accounting practices. Freddie Mac executives admitted in November that the company had understated earnings by $5 billion, a move they hoped would smooth out the company's long-term earnings trend and thus assuage investors. In October, Fannie Mae was forced to correct what it said were $1 billion in errors in its recent financial results. Critics have complained for years that the two companies have been far less transparent in their financial reporting than ordinary financial institutions. But the larger concern voiced by Mr. Greenspan is that the companies may represent a huge and hidden financial liability that could at some point lead to a heavy costs for taxpayers. The Bush administration has proposed transferring regulatory responsibility for the companies to the Treasury Department, which might then set new restrictions on their ability to issue debt or their requirements to keep larger amounts of capital in reserve. Republicans and Democrats on the Senate Banking Committee are trying to draw up a bipartisan plan that would create an independent regulatory group, overseen by top officials at the Treasury, the Fed and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Originally chartered by Congress, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were created to expand the pool of money for home mortgages at a time when few banks or savings institutions operated nationwide. The two companies essentially buy up mortgages from local lenders and bundle the loans into large securities, which they then resell on financial markets. Today, Mr. Greenspan said, the companies stand behind about $4 trillion worth of mortgages - about three-quarters of all single-family mortgages in the United States. Mr. Greenspan emphasized that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac had done a good job of managing their risk thus far. But he said their total volume of outstanding debt could soon exceed the debt of the federal government itself. That would make it hard for the government to avoid a
more cheap Government Surplus!
[Federal Register: February 23, 2004 (Volume 69, Number 35)] [Notices] [Page 8183] From the Federal Register Online via GPO Access [wais.access.gpo.gov] [DOCID:fr23fe04-57] --- DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE Department of the Army Availability of Non-Exclusive, Exclusive License or Partially Exclusive Licensing of U.S. Patent Concerning Method for the Purification and Aqueous Fiber Spinning of Spider Silks and Other Structural Proteins AGENCY: Department of the Army, DoD. ACTION: Notice. --- SUMMARY: In accordance with 37 CFR Part 404.6, announcement is made of the availability for licensing of U.S. Patent No. US 6,620,917 B1 entitled ``Method for the Purification and Aqueous Fiber Spinning of Spider Silks and Other Structural Proteins'' issued September 16, 2003. This patent has been assigned to the United States Government as represented by the Secretary of the Army. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Mr. Robert Rosenkrans at U.S. Army Soldier and Biological Chemical Command, Kansas Street, Natick, MA 01760, Phone: (508) 233-4928 or E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED] SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Any licenses granted shall comply with 35 U.S.C. 209 and 37 CFR part 404. Luz D. Ortiz, Army Federal Register Liaison Officer. [FR Doc. 04-3825 Filed 2-20-04; 8:45 am] BILLING CODE 3710-08-M
if you're a teacher and in the NEA, you're a terrorist......
Paige: Teachers Union Is 'Terrorist Organization' Education Secretary's Comments Made at Private Meeting With Governors By Robert Tanner The Associated Press Monday, February 23, 2004; 5:52 PM Education Secretary Rod Paige called the nation's largest teachers union a terrorist organization Monday, taking on the 2.7-million-member National Education Association early in the presidential election year. Paige's comments, made to the nation's governors at a private White House meeting, were denounced by union president Reg Weaver as well as prominent Democrats. Paige said he was sorry, and the White House said he was right to say so. The education secretary's words were pathetic and they are not a laughing matter, said Weaver, whose union has said it plans to sue the Bush administration over lack of funding for demands included in the No Child Left Behind schools law. Paige said later in an Associated Press interview that his comment was a bad joke; it was an inappropriate choice of words. President Bush was not present at the time he made the remark. As one who grew up on the receiving end of insensitive remarks, I should have chosen my words better, said Paige, the first black education secretary. Democratic Gov. Jim Doyle of Wisconsin said Paige's words were, The NEA is a terrorist organization. Paige said he had made clear to the governors that he was referring to the Washington-based union organization, not the teachers it represents. Weaver responded, We are the teachers, there is no distinction. Paige's Education Department is working to enforce a law that amounts to the biggest change in federal education policy in a generation. He has made no attempt to hide his frustration with the NEA, which has long supported Democratic presidential candidates. Asked if he was apologizing, Paige said: Well, I'm saying that I'm sorry I said it, yeah. In a statement released to the media, Paige said he chose the wrong words to describe the obstructionist scare tactics of NEA lobbyists. Said White House spokesman Scott McClellan: The comment was inappropriate and the secretary recognized it was inappropriate and quickly apologized. Terry McAuliffe, chairman of the Democratic National Committee, put it in stronger terms, accusing Paige of resorting to the most vile and disgusting form of hate speech, comparing those who teach America's children to terrorists. Education has been a top issue for the governors, who have sought more flexibility from the administration on Bush's No Child Left Behind law, which seeks to improve school performance in part by allowing parents to move their children from poorly performing schools. Democrats have said Bush has failed to fully fund the law, giving the states greater burdens but not the resources to handle them. The union backs the intent of the law but says many of its provisions must be changed. Missouri Gov. Bob Holden, a Democrat, said Paige's remarks startled the governors, who met for nearly two hours with Bush and several Cabinet officials. He is, I guess, very concerned about anybody that questions what the president is doing, Holden said. Vermont Gov. Jim Douglas, a Republican, said, Somebody asked him about the NEA's role and he offered his perspective on it. Gov. Jennifer Granholm of Michigan, a Democrat, said the comments were made in the context of we can't be supportive of the status quo and they're the status quo. But whatever the context, it is inappropriate -- I know he wasn't calling teachers terrorists -- but to ever suggest that the organization they belong to was a terrorist organization is uncalled for. Paige, in an interview, talked at length about his agency's efforts to work with states over their concerns with the law. He said meetings with state leaders have erased misunderstandings and a tone of confrontation. But he said some opposition to the law has been stirred by at least three groups that are hard nosed, highly financed and well organized. Asked to name the groups other than the NEA, Paige declined, saying: I've already got into deep water with that one, haven't I? The governors were in Washington for four days of discussions at the annual meeting of the National Governors Association, though the usual effort to build consensus was marked by partisan politics that Democrats said couldn't be avoided. Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack, chairman of the Democratic Governors Association, said that during the private meeting, Bush took only two questions, leaving little time for a full exploration of issues. It would have been helpful for him to have heard the discussions about 'No Child Left Behind' because there may be a disconnect between what he thinks and what we know, Vilsack said. In brief public comments, Bush told the governors that rising political tensions of an election year won't stop him from working closely with them. I fully understand it's going to be the year of the sharp elbow and the quick tongue, Bush said. But
Re: more cheap Government Surplus!
- Original Message - From: dmschanoes [EMAIL PROTECTED] To be used in forthcoming generations of body armor. You can look it up. The potential applications are enormous and will be worth *big* bucks. Buy goat farms... Ian
Re: if you're a teacher and in the NEA, you're a terrorist......
- Original Message - From: Devine, James [EMAIL PROTECTED] This is a Spartacus moment. I am a terrorist! Jim Devine Hand out the vines! Ian
Re: Secret Pentagon report on global warming
- Original Message - From: Eugene Coyle [EMAIL PROTECTED] This account is very misleading. They report a Pentagon What if... exercise as a Pentagon prediction. There is a frightening possibility that sudden climate change can occur, with some of the outcomes described here. But this sensationalism takes away from the serious discussion that needs to hit the mainstream media. Gene Coyle = Yeah, that piece read like the person who wrote it had thrown back a couple of pints or been toking on that Brit weed. The Fortune article was better. The reference to Yoda is a tiny hint as to how much sci. fi. is read by military brass over the past 25 years. From people I know who are in or have just left Orson Scott Card and Vernor Vinge are *very* popular with the new generation of Herman Khans. Ian
Re: Secret Pentagon report on global warming
- Original Message - From: Marvin Gandall [EMAIL PROTECTED] Details of this report first appeared in Fortune magazine last month. Today's Observer article is a more sensational recycling of the already sensational story which Fortune reporter David Stipp broke last month. And the Observer account misses the main point of the exercise. As reported by Fortune, the Pentagon study assumed a midrange case of abrupt global warning, characterized by plunging temperatures in the Northern hemisphere, droughts, storms, flooding, desperate illegal migration from poorer regions, border raids, and the possibility of full-scale warfare between alliances of nuclear-armed states over scarce food, water and energy supplies. Note, in particular, the reference to illegal migration. The study's concern is less scientific than military, less the causes than the effects of an environmental catastrophe. Stipp is, in fact, quite explicitly says climate change should be treated as a national security issue to protect America's borders and resources. Significantly - and presuming the reporter is reflecting the views of his editors who reflect the views of the Fortune 500 - there is little emphasis, despite the frightening apocalyptic scenario, on any urgent preventative environmental measures, beyond tightening fuel emission standards for new passenger vehicles. It would appear the Pentagon planners invited Stipp in for a chat and leaked the Marshall study to him in a bid for further resources. Must be getting close to budget submission time in Washington. == UNDERSTANDING INTERNATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL SECURITY: A STRATEGIC MILITARY PERSPECTIVE Colonel W. Chris King November 2000 AEPI-IFP-1100A Army Environmental Policy Institute http://www.aepi.army.mil/Publications/king.A.pdf
the political ecology of tourism
http://straitstimes.asia1.com.sg/news/story/0,4386,236479,00.html? The Great Barrier grief It will be dead in 50 years, due to global warming SYDNEY AUSTRALIA'S Great Barrier Reef is just 50 years from death. A new report said that the reef will be largely dead by 2050 when instead of the brightly coloured corals depicted in Finding Nemo, the world's largest living organism will be bleached out and replaced by ordinary seaweed because of global warming. The damage to the rich environment that makes the reef one of the world's natural wonders would cost the tourism industry billion of dollars, said the report on the impact of global warming released yesterday. Authors Hans and Ove Hoegh-Guldberg - the head of Queensland University's marine studies centre and his economist father - said the destruction of coral on the reef was inevitable, owing to global warming, regardless of what actions are taken now. 'Coral cover will decrease to less than 5 per cent on most reefs by the middle of the century under even the most favourable assumptions,' said their 350-page report. 'Under the worst-case scenario, coral populations will collapse by 2100 and the re-establishment of coral reefs will be highly unlikely over the following 200 to 500 years.' The authors spent two years examining the effects of rising sea temperatures on the reef for the Queensland tourism authorities and the World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF). Their report found no prospect of avoiding the 'chilling long-term eventualities' of coral bleaching because greenhouse gases were already warming the seas as part of a process it said would take decades to stop. Warmer sea waters put corals under thermal stress, eventually causing them to bleach and die. The report said this could occur if temperatures rose by as little as 1 deg C, well below the two to six degrees that water temperatures around the reef are expected to rise by over the next century. 'There is no evidence that corals can adapt fast enough to match even the lower projected temperature rise,' it found. Organisms reliant on coral would become rare or even face extinction, the report said. It said the bleaching would cost the economy up to A$8 billion (S$10.7 billion) and 12,000 jobs by 2020 under the worst-case scenario. Even under the best-case scenario, about 6,000 jobs would be lost and tourists would be forced to visit 'Great Barrier Reef theme parks' offshore to view the remaining coral. The reef covers more than 345,000 sq km off Australia's north-east coast. Consisting of 2,900 interlinked reefs, 900 islands and 1,500 fish species, scientists consider it the world's largest living organism. Yet the delicate habitat faces numerous environmental threats, including chemical run-off from farms, over-fishing, bleaching and the parasitic Crown-of-Thorns starfish which attacks coral. The government announced plans in December to reduce farm run-off and ban fishing in about a third of the reef in a bid to protect Australia's No.1 tourist drawcard. But the report's authors said the government needed to do more. They recommend that it ratifies the Kyoto protocol on reducing greenhouse gases and takes the lead in emission reduction. The WWF also said urgent measures must be put in place to minimise reef damage and reduce greenhouse gases. -- AFP, Reuters
ethnicity and the varieties of capitalism
The power of the ethnic minority Martin Jacques salutes Amy Chua's World on Fire, a book that faces up to the true nature of globalisation Saturday February 21, 2004 The Guardian There is a plethora of books about globalisation, many saying roughly the same thing. This one is different. It is rare, indeed, to read a book about globalisation where ethnicity is at the core of the argument. That must have something to do with the fact that the great majority of authors of such books are white and from the west. The author of this book is a Chinese-Filipina. That is also surprising because, alas, there is little Chinese writing on ethnicity either. But this book is a gem. It is not that everything Amy Chua argues is correct - it is not - but her theme is different, rich and compelling. Her starting point is that in many developing countries a small - often very small - ethnic minority enjoys hugely disproportionate economic power. As she points out, this is not true in the west: on the contrary, we are accustomed to small ethnic minorities occupying exactly the opposite situation, a very disadvantaged economic position. The classic case is southeast Asia, where the Chinese, usually a tiny proportion of the population, enjoy an overwhelmingly dominant economic position. In the Philippines, the Chinese account for 1% of the population and well over half the wealth. The same is true in varying degrees in Indonesia, Burma, Thailand, Laos, Malaysia and Vietnam. As Chua argues, rich and powerful minorities attract resentment everywhere: but when those minorities are ethnically different - and highly visible - then that resentment can carry a dangerous charge. In the Philippines, millions of Filipinos work for Chinese: almost no Chinese work for Filipinos. The Chinese dominate industry and commerce at every level ... all of the Philippines' billionaires are of Chinese descent. By contrast, all menial jobs ... are filled by Filipinos. There is very little social intermixing and virtually no intermarriage. And the disparities, Chua argues, have grown more acute with globalisation and western-inspired market reforms. Southeast Asia is an acute but by no means isolated example. Throughout Latin America, a small white elite has traditionally enjoyed both economic and political power, as well as cultural and racial pre-eminence. However, while in east Asia anti-Chinese sentiment has long been a powerful political force, in Latin America, at least until recently, there has been little ethnic - as opposed to class - resentment against the white elite. The dominance of a small white elite has long existed in southern Africa. Although the black majority now enjoys - as do their counterparts in countries such as Indonesia and Malaysia - political power in South Africa, economic power remains firmly in the hands of a tiny white elite. In east Africa, that economic elite is largely Indian; in west Africa, it is often, though in a less extreme form, the Ibos. The picture that emerges is that in much (though not all) of the developing world, economic power is largely concentrated in the hands of - to use Chua's phrase - a market-dominant ethnic minority. She argues that this disparity between the economic power of a small ethnic minority and the disadvantaged position of the majority ethnic group is a source of great political instability. Ethnicity, as we know, is potentially a highly combustible issue. That ethnicity can be at once an artifact of human imagination and rooted in the dark recesses of history - fluid and manipulable yet important enough to kill for [Chua's aunt, who came from an extremely rich Chinese family in Manila, was murdered by her Filipino chauffeur with the complicity of her Filipina maids] - is what makes ethnic conflict so terrifyingly difficult to understand and contain. As Chua rightly argues, the mass killing of Tutsis by the Hutus in Rwanda in 1994 and the grievance felt by the Serbs towards the Croats in the Balkans were partly related to the economic advantage enjoyed by the Tutsis and Croats respectively, and the deep rifts that this engendered. One of the difficulties faced by many developing countries is ethnic diversity of a scale utterly unfamiliar in the west, even the United States. Africa is the most extreme example. The major exceptions to this are China, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan, all relatively homogeneous, ethnically speaking, and very successful economically. Chua argues that globalisation has exacerbated the ethnic disparities in wealth in many countries, with the market-dominant ethnic minorities, for a variety of reasons, enjoying disproportionate rewards, thereby fostering growing instability. This is liable - as happened in Indonesia with the fall of Suharto and the anti-Chinese riots - to boil over at any time. Further, she suggests that the western mantra of free markets plus democracy is ill-conceived and a recipe for disaster in such circumstances. Here the
Re: An interesting observation
- Original Message - From: Sabri Oncu [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Saturday, February 21, 2004 9:10 PM Subject: [PEN-L] An interesting observation Friends, Just go to www.google.com and do the following search: corporate+governance Also try this one: corporate governance Then see how many hits you get! You may be surprised to see that the above two, at least the first one, beat any of the following google searches: Karl Marx Adam Smith sociliasm capitalism I wonder why? Sabri My pen-l file gives 50 hits from 1-14-02 to present and that doesn't count emails I've deleted. Does that count? :- One of my favorites is below: - Original Message - From: Ian Murray [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Thursday, December 26, 2002 10:52 AM Subject: [PEN-L:33423] Re: Local Government Rejects Corporate Personhood - Original Message - From: andie nachgeborenen [EMAIL PROTECTED] You want a justification for corporate personhood? It furthered what you might euphemistically called economic development, and more concretely corporate capitalist expansion. There's no secret that the courts adopt rules that promote business interests all the time. Lots of them are even quite up front about it. Is it bad for them to do that? Depends, doesn't it. What the hell do you expect them to do, anyway? They'rte not making or interpreting law for a socialist society. In a socialist society, the courts will make socialist law. = Nay, because there can be no such thing. The undemocratic bundle of rights, privileges, immunities etc. that constitute contemporary corporations make the label of personhood utterly beside the point[s]. The question for liberal jurisprudence is whether the State has an obligation from refraining from allowing the design of institutions of commerce that violate democratic norms and foster authoritarian and oligarchic relations of production and the concomitant distribution of wealth. Bracket for a moment the capitalism/socialism binary and ask instead whether the State should make democratic law or authoritarian/oligarchic law. Then retrieve the C/S binary. To the extent that the State enables http://lists.village.virginia.edu/~spoons/marxism/DefenseE.htm , the need for a jurisprudence of insurgency, along with calls for a constitutional convention to clear away the detritus wrought by the National Paranoia State/Empire becomes ever more urgent. What's going on in PA is not about some narrow interpretation of the Supremacy Clause or semantic quibbling over the polysemy of 'corporate personhood.' As for circularity, the life of the law has not been logic, it has been experience. I wish I'd said that, but Holmes beat me to it. This isn't bad case of circularity, anyway. Maybe the first court to cite Santa Clara as precedent was cheating to use it as precedent, I don't know if what you say is true, but constitutional courts make up new rules all the time. The constitution also doesn't say expressly that state legislatures can't squelch political speech. It was made to say that by the incorporation of the First Amendment. I assume you don't have a problem with that one. = And Holmes statement is a euphemism for the life of the law has not been freedom and justice, it has been power and domination. See the recent bio of OWH Law Without Values: The Life, Work, and Legacy of Justice Holmes by Albert Alschuler for an unflattering portrait. As for legislative precedent, you're talking the framer's intentions. This is constitutional interpretation. The personhood is that of the 14th Amendment. Are you waxing originalist? And if you are, do you suppose the Radical Republicans of 1866 would have had a problem with corporate personhood? If, like me, you're kind of a textualist, the word person is broad and ambiguous, and it's not crazy to read to include suprahuman entities. jks The framers are dead and the document they wrote is 90% in the grave thanks to the path-dependency of the capitalist class treating the State apparatus as a commodity, the National Paranoia Complex working furiously to bring us a Panopticon beyond Bentham's wildest dreams as well as a whole host of other life-hating technologies. As an espouser of MS and liberal democratic norms in all spheres of social life, you know in your bones that one of the big pieces of bringing that about is dismantling the paradigm of corporate governance and you can't change that without some serious insurgency at the edges of the law. Ian
US: costs and benefits of Federal Regs.; request for comments
[Federal Register: February 20, 2004 (Volume 69, Number 34)] [Notices] [Page 7987-7988] From the Federal Register Online via GPO Access [wais.access.gpo.gov] [DOCID:fr20fe04-77] === --- OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET Draft 2004 Report to Congress on the Costs and Benefits of Federal Regulations AGENCY: Office of Management and Budget, Executive Office of the President. ACTION: Notice of availability and request for comments. --- SUMMARY: OMB requests comments on 2004 Draft Report to Congress on the Costs and Benefits of Federal Regulation. The full Draft Report is available at http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/inforeg/regpol-reports_congress.html , and is divided into two chapters. Chapter I presents estimates of the costs and benefits of Federal regulation and paperwork, with an emphasis on the major regulations issued between October 1, 2002 and September 31, 2003. Chapter I also presents a discussion of the impact of regulation on State, local, and tribal governments, small businesses, wages, and economic growth. Chapter II reviews the economics literature on the impacts of regulation on manufacturing enterprises, and requests public nominations of regulatory reforms relevant to this sector. Chapter II also requests suggestions to simplify IRS paperwork requirements, which are particularly burdensome for small businesses. DATES: To ensure consideration of comments as OMB prepares this Draft Report for submission to Congress, comments must be in writing and received by May 20, 2004. ADDRESSES: We are still experiencing delays in the regular mail, including first class and express mail. To ensure that your comments are received, we recommend that comments on this draft report be electronically mailed to [EMAIL PROTECTED], or faxed to (202) 395-7245. You may also submit comments to Lorraine Hunt, Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs, Office of Management and Budget, NEOB, Room 10202, 725 17th Street, NW., Washington, DC 20503. For Further Information, contact: Lorraine Hunt, Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs, Office of Management and Budget, NEOB, Room 10202, 725 17th Street, NW., Washington, DC 20503. Telephone: (202) 395-3084. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Congress directed the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) to prepare an annual Report to Congress on the Costs and Benefits of Federal Regulations. Specifically, Section 624 of the FY 2001 Treasury and General Government Appropriations Act, also known as the ``'Regulatory Right-to-Know Act,''' (the Act) requires OMB to submit a report on the costs and benefits of Federal regulations together with recommendation for reform. The Act states that the report should contain estimates of the costs and benefits of regulations in the aggregate, by agency and agency program, and by major rule, as well as an analysis of impacts of Federal regulation on State, local, and tribal governments, small businesses, wages, and economic growth. The Act also states that the report should go [[Page 7988]] through notice and comment and peer review. John D. Graham, Administrator, Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs. [FR Doc. 04-3652 Filed 2-19-04; 8:45 am] BILLING CODE 3110-01-U
Re: Brilliant analysis from a soft rock icon
Metallica - Original Message - From: Michael Perelman [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Friday, February 20, 2004 10:31 AM Subject: Re: [PEN-L] Brilliant analysis from a soft rock icon Pat Boone. On Fri, Feb 20, 2004 at 01:04:56PM -0500, Louis Proyect wrote: Davis Meshano wrote: Mojo Nixon! The greatest live performer in the history of rock n' roll, and a libertarian to boot. I could spend all day quoting Mojo Nixon. A libertarian? Wow! That leads to an interesting question. How many other rightwingers made a living as rock-and-rollers? The only one I can think of is Ted Nugent. Maybe you can include Stereolab as well. They were hanging around Frank Furedi's cult for a while. Other than that, there's none that come to mind. Louis Proyect Marxism list: www.marxmail.org -- Michael Perelman Economics Department California State University Chico, CA 95929 Tel. 530-898-5321 E-Mail michael at ecst.csuchico.edu
Re: Brilliant analysis from a soft rock icon
- Original Message - From: David B. Shemano [EMAIL PROTECTED] Neil Peart, the drummer for Rush, is famous for being a Randian, and their album 2112 is basically Rand's novel Anthem. = NP has moved on from the cult of Rand and 2112 today sounds like Fox, CNBC and MTV and their legions of couch potatoes. We've taken care of everything The words you hear, the songs you sing The pictures that give pleasure to your eyes. Ian [whose beloved is a pianist and drummer who loves NP]
AG: education, not outsourcing is the problem
Greenspan Warns Against 'Protectionist Cures' By Martin Crutsinger AP Economics Writer Friday, February 20, 2004; 1:53 PM WASHINGTON -- Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan warned on Friday that protectionist cures being advanced to deal with the country's job insecurities would make the situation worse. Entering the politically charged debate over U.S. service jobs being shipped overseas, Greenspan said that it was a lack of adequate educational training rather outsourcing which posed the greatest threat to future American prosperity. Greenspan, speaking to the annual meeting of the Omaha Chamber of Commerce, said that it was not surprising that there was a high level of job insecurity in the country at present when more than 2 million people in the work force have been unemployed for more than a year. He predicted, as he did in congressional testimony last week, that the strengthening economy should lead to stronger employment growth in the months ahead. We have reason to be confident that new jobs will displace old ones as they always have, Greenspan said, but America's job-turnover process is never without pain for those in the job-losing portion. The issue of how -- how to create them, find them and keep them -- has dominated the Campaign 2004 early primary season talk. Sen. John Edwards, now the chief challenger to front-runner Sen. John Kerry, has sought to highlight the issue repeatedly at various stops. The Bush White House has backtracked on a forecast in the president's economic report to Congress which said 2.6 million jobs should be created this year. Greenspan, without referring directly to the political campaign or the individual candidates, said that the current anxiety about losing jobs to other countries is not new. There were fears about losing jobs to low-wage Japan in the 1950s and 1960s and to low-wage Mexico in the 1990s and more recently to low-wage China, he said. However, Greenspan also said the recent migration of service sector jobs, such as employees working in telephone call centers, to India is a new phenomenon. But he cautioned that any answer that involved erecting trade barriers in this country would be wrong. The protectionist cures being advanced to address these hardships will make matters worse rather than better, he said.
Re: dems, etc
- Original Message - From: Michael Perelman [EMAIL PROTECTED] a week or so ago, Jim D. made the point with which I agree that some of the Democrats differ from the Republicans in that they take a larger time horizon. Also, they can represent different factions. Historically, the Democrats favored Savings and Loans; the Republicans, banks. But what do we have to gain by debating whether John Kerry is a real progressive or not? I think we are all agreed on the answer. I don't think anybody's mind would be changed whether it makes sense to support Anyone But Bush or not. === Amen. Isn't the following every damn bit as important as which factions of the rich get to run and ruin a big slice of the North American continent while making life horrendous for the rest of us on the planet? http://www.economist.com/agenda/displayStory.cfm?story_id=2440367 ARGENTINA and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) go back a long way. In 1991, Argentina's foreign minister famously declared that he was seeking carnal relations with Washington. The White House never fully requited this desire. But the IMF has been in and out of bed with Argentina ever since, offering advice (between 1991 and 2002, it sent around 50 missions to the country) and money (at the beginning of this year, Argentina owed the IMF $16 billion). In December 2001, of course, the couple endured the messiest of break-ups. The IMF stopped pouring money into the defence of Argentina's indefensible currency peg (at parity with the dollar); Argentina defaulted, devalued the peso, and descended into economic and political turmoil. Now the terms of its relationship with the Fund are once again in flux. Last September, the IMF agreed to lend Argentina $13.5 billion, handed out in stages over three years, to help the country repay past loans. In return, Argentina would reform its economy and negotiate in good faith with the private creditors who hold $88 billion of sovereign debt it no longer services. Next month, the IMF will review its progress and decide whether or not to hand over the next slice of the funds. But Argentina is not waiting passively for the Fund's approval. Néstor Kirchner, the country's fiery president, has threatened not to repay $3 billion due to the Fund on March 9th unless the IMF guarantees to keep sending the cheques. Such brinkmanship has become a habit for Mr Kirchner. In September, he temporarily defaulted on a $2.9 billion payment due to the Fund. His punishment? That $13.5 billion loan on relatively cushy terms. By threatening to default on the IMF again, Mr Kirchner clearly feels he can retain the upper hand in their relationship. Mr Kirchner has proven equally high-handed with the country's private creditors. He has offered to give them 25 cents-worth of fresh bonds for every dollar of Argentine debt they hold. Pricing in unpaid interest and the riskiness of the new bonds, bondholders face a haircut of 90% off the full value of what they are owed. Until this week, Mr Kirchner also kept the price of electricity and other utilities frozen at rates that made sense only when the peso was still worth one dollar, not 34 cents as it is now-despite inflation of around 40% in recent times. This amounts to a default on contractual promises made to those utilities' shareholders. Argentina's close-cropped creditors are outraged by their treatment. Some are threatening to seize Argentine assets abroad. German creditors tried to lay claim to an Argentine naval vessel. An Italian wanted to seize Mr Kirchner's presidential jet. A Japanese investor reportedly has his eye on parts of Patagonia, the southern Argentine region from which Mr Kirchner hails. Earlier this month, NML Capital, an investor based in the Cayman Islands which holds $172m in Argentine debt, won court orders to freeze properties owned by the Argentine government in Washington, DC, and Maryland. Such gestures, however, are more an expression of creditors' anger than a serious attempt to recoup their losses. Without an army to back it up, a creditor will find most of a sovereign state's assets out of reach. Prior to a default, as James Carville, a former adviser to President Bill Clinton, has said, the bond market can intimidate anyone. Governments, keen to borrow on favourable terms, will go to great lengths to maintain their good standing in the capital markets. After a default, however, a government no longer has any standing to worry about. It has nothing left to lose. What is at stake for Argentina is the timing and the terms of its re-admittance to the global capital markets. But Argentina is in no rush. Its current leaders complain that it has wasted much of the past decade trying to make the country safe for foreign investors. By binding itself to a currency board, pegging the peso to the dollar, Argentina let the ebb and flow of foreign capital dictate its booms, of which it enjoyed two, and its busts, the last of which
China: the peg
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=storycid=1518ncid=1518e=11u=/afp/20040219/bs_afp/china_forex_040219085615 Economists warn dramatic change in Chinese currency could spell disaster Thu Feb 19, 3:56 AM ET BEIJING, (AFP) - A growing number of economists are warning any dramatic change in the Chinese currency could spell disaster for both China and the world. While a stronger yuan, also known as the renminbi, would do little for developed economies, China itself would suffer, and financial crisis could result in global markets, they said. In an environment of heightened speculative enthusiasm, a sudden move in the renminbi could incite intense speculation in the currency market, Andy Xie, China economist for Morgan Stanley in Hong Kong, said in a research note. (This) may spark a major financial crisis in light of the massive leverage that has built up in most asset classes during the current period of a low Fed funds rate, he said. China has pegged its currency at about 8.28 against the US dollar for the past decade in a policy recently criticized by US politicians as costing American jobs. The central bank on Thursday denied financial authorities had decided for a revaluation in the near future, calling reports to that effect groundless. The central bank statement, carried in the English-language China Daily, also said the exchange rate system had served China well. It is exactly under this exchange rate system that the renminbi maintained its stability and fended off the impact from the Asian financial crisis, it said. The denials notwithstanding, Guan Tao, an official with China's State Administration of Foreign Exchange, said he had already detected early signs of speculative moves based on the foreign pressure on China. Repeated American criticism has only encouraged flows of money into China as investors bet Beijing would cave in and adjust the peg, Guan said in a commentary in the state-controlled China Securities Journal. China's own financial system would be far too fragile to cope with a complete de-peg, according to Paul Coughlin, managing director of Standard and Poor's Asia Pacific corporate and government ratings. If there's a free float of the currency and removal of the exchange controls... that would be very difficult for the banking system to handle, he told a briefing in Beijing this week. We think that would be very destabilizing for China's financial system. But the ripple effects of a freely floating yuan could extend far beyond the financial system, and cost jobs and incomes in the farthest corners of China, observers warned. If the earnings made from exports to American markets were to be worth less in yuan terms, exporters in China's coastal areas would try to make up for this by cutting wages. Interior provinces depend on income remittance from their migrant workers in the coastal export economy, Xie said. Depressing the coastal export economy would have a more devastating impact on the poor interior provinces. Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao and central bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan both have addressed the subject in what appears to be deliberately vague terms, saying the yuan level would remain basically stable. Some observers have interpreted this wording as an indication that a minor revaluation, or widening of the current trading band in which the yuan moves, is on the cards. A scenario cited by some is for China to eventually peg its currency to a basket of currencies, better reflecting the country's overall trading relationships with the inclusion of, say, the euro and the yen. While either solution would do little or nothing to shift production back to the United States from China, they are at least feasible given the current state of the Chinese economy, analysts said. A small adjustment or a repegging of the currency to a basket of currencies would not have a major impact, said S and P's Coughlin.
US: pensions; IBM loses case
http://www.latimes.com IBM Loses Pension Ruling A judge says 140,000 employees and retirees are entitled to back pay in a 'cash-balance' case. By Kathy Kristof Times Staff Writer February 19, 2004 In a decision that could cost IBM Corp. billions of dollars, a federal judge has ruled that the company must make retroactive payments to employees and retirees who were hurt when IBM abandoned its traditional pension plan. The Feb. 12 ruling, released Wednesday, is the latest development in a case that could ultimately affect hundreds of big companies that have swapped traditional pensions for so-called cash-balance plans over the last decade. Technically this ruling only applies to these IBM employees, but the implications are tremendous, said Karen Ferguson, director of the Pension Rights Center in Washington. IBM has been the precedent setter in this area all along. If the courts uphold this, this could be dynamite. The case, filed in 1999, claimed that IBM discriminated against older, long-serving employees when it replaced its pension program with a cash-balance plan. Cash-balance accounts are similar to 401(k) plans. Employers contribute money into individual employee accounts that can be tapped at retirement; traditional pensions guarantee a set monthly payment. Older workers have complained that cash-balance plans don't give them enough time to build solid nest eggs for retirement, and that thousands of dollars in promised benefits are ripped away from them at a time when they are least able to make up for the loss. U.S. District Judge G. Patrick Murphy ruled last summer that IBM's cash-balance plan was inherently discriminatory against older workers under pension law. In his follow-up ruling last week, Murphy said 140,000 current and former IBM employees were entitled to retroactive payments for retirement benefits they lost when the company converted to the new plan in 1999. Murphy did not rule on what that amount should be or how it would be calculated. IBM has estimated that the ruling could cost the company $6 billion under one formula. After the ruling was released, Armonk, N.Y.-based IBM saw its shares fall 95 cents to $98.42 on the New York Stock Exchange. IBM argued in court that it should not be liable for back payments, saying that it could not have foreseen that its cash-balance plan would be declared illegal. Our view is that retroactive remedies are not appropriate in this case, said IBM spokeswoman Kendra Collins. Murphy, based in East St. Louis, Ill., rejected that argument. The prohibition against age discrimination existed long before the appearance of cash-balance plans. All that has changed is IBM's clever, but ineffectual, response to law that it finds too restrictive for its business model, Murphy wrote. The lead plaintiff in the class-action case was Kathi Cooper, a 24-year IBM veteran from Bethalto, Ill. What IBM has done is wrong, Cooper said by phone Wednesday. I hope and pray for a successful outcome for the entire class, and there are about 140,000 of us now. IBM has appealed Murphy's ruling that its retirement plan is discriminatory, and plans to fight this one as well. We stand by our defense and continue to believe that our pension is legal and sound and that we will prevail on appeal, Collins said. Collins could not say Wednesday whether the company had set aside reserves to pay damages in the case, or whether any final judgment would come out of the company's earnings. The ruling is potentially devastating to IBM, said Paul Gewirtz, a Cleveland-based pension consultant. The wider question, he added, is whether it is devastating to all cash-balance plans, which hundreds of companies have adopted across the country. Gewirtz believes that some cash-balance plans - most notably those that provided all workers with the option of sticking with the traditional pension or opting into the cash-balance system - will emerge unscathed. But, companies that forced their workers to join the plan, as IBM did, may not. There are probably millions of employees in this situation, he added. Companies such as IBM have shifted to cash-balance plans to save money in retirement costs. Advantages include the ability of workers to take their cash-balance account to another company when they change jobs. But the conversions have come under criticism from employee advocates, who say companies typically play up the advantages of these plans, while downplaying the disadvantages. Dozens of employee lawsuits are pending, pension experts note. Meanwhile, the Bush administration has proposed legislation that would provide a new legal formula to allow cash-balance conversions while providing some safeguards for older employees.
Re: Import-led development as a source of economic growth ?
- Original Message - From: Jurriaan Bendien [EMAIL PROTECTED] ... the Chinese trade surplus from its export to the United States has a quadrupling effect on added US gross domestic product (GDP). In other words, for every dollar of US trade deficit in favor of China, the US economy registers $4 of additional GDP in value-adding services, such as marketing, distribution and retail markup, trade and consumer financing, etc. Source: http://www.atimes.com/atimes/global_economy/EA10Dj01.html Well, if 60-75 cents of every $ of imports from China to the US are from-to US firms [intrafirm commodity chains] that are located there why should we insist on seeing contemporary trade accounting flows/identities as first and foremost having to do with nations simply by virtue of the path dependency of methodological convention[s]? Better reporting requirements and methods of accounting for and analyzing intrafirm flows are needed than the ones we have now in order to understand the contradictions of trade deficits. Ian
Re: new frontiers of property rights theory in China
- Original Message - From: Michael Perelman [EMAIL PROTECTED] Is there a shadow of socialism or social democracy left in China? = One party rule and the penal code... Ian
USG vs. Skilling
Skilling Indictment Expected Today Former Chief Executive Would Be Highest-Ranking Enron Defendant By Carrie Johnson Washington Post Staff Writer Thursday, February 19, 2004; Page E01 Federal prosecutors are expected to announce an indictment of former Enron Corp. chief executive Jeffrey K. Skilling today, according to sources familiar with the investigation. Skilling, 50, has been a central focus of a two-year-old investigation into alleged widespread earnings manipulation at the Houston energy firm. As Enron's chief operating officer and later its top executive, he worked closely with subordinates to develop accounting policies and set profit targets. Called to testify before Congress in early 2002, a few months after Enron's collapse into bankruptcy, Skilling said the company was on solid financial ground when he resigned that August. That sworn testimony drew intense scrutiny from the Justice Department's Enron Task Force and regulators at the Securities and Exchange Commission. The charges are likely to mirror a separate criminal case the government filed against former Enron chief accounting officer Richard A. Causey last month. Prosecutors accuse Causey of taking part in a conspiracy to prop up Enron's stock price by hiding debt, overvaluing assets, and misusing cash reserve accounts. They also are seeking forfeiture of allegedly ill-gotten gains from Enron stock sales. Causey pleaded not guilty to the charges and his lawyers said he will vigorously fight them in court. Skilling's lawyer, Bruce M. Hiler, did not return calls yesterday. Last week he said his client acted on advice from dozens of lawyers, accountants, and subordinates, who approved Enron's complex business deals and accounting maneuvers. If a COO can be indicted on transactions that dozens of experts reviewed and recommended to the company's board, then no COO should go to work tomorrow, Hiler said in a written statement. To build their case against Skilling, prosecutors are relying in part on information provided by Enron's former chief financial officer, Andrew S. Fastow, who pleaded guilty to conspiracy last month, and David W. Delainey, the former head of two big Enron divisions, who pleaded guilty to insider trading in October 2003. Sworn accounts by Enron insiders will help to simplify the complex case for the jury, legal experts said. At the end of the day, there are people who will tie this [prosecution] up and paint a bigger, global picture of misdeeds at Enron and Skilling's alleged involvement in them, said Kirby D. Behre of Washington, a former prosecutor who defends corporate executives. Behre noted, however, that the motives of cooperating witnesses are likely to be plumbed by defense lawyers in vigorous cross-examination. The government continues to examine what former Enron chairman Kenneth L. Lay knew about the company's financial problems at the same time he made optimistic public statements about Enron and sold its stock. Defense lawyers for Lay said he was kept in the dark by subordinates.
U.S.-Andean Free Trade Agreement; intent to initiate negotiations; hearing and comment request,
[Federal Register: February 17, 2004 (Volume 69, Number 31)] [Notices] [Page 7532-7534] From the Federal Register Online via GPO Access [wais.access.gpo.gov] [DOCID:fr17fe04-142] === --- OFFICE OF THE UNITED STATES TRADE REPRESENTATIVE Request for Comments and Notice of Public Hearing Concerning Proposed United States-Andean Free Trade Agreement AGENCY: Office of the United States Trade Representative. ACTION: Notice of intent to initiate negotiations on a free trade agreement between the United States and Colombia, Peru, Ecuador, and Bolivia (hereinafter ``the Andean countries''), request for comments, and notice of public hearing. --- SUMMARY: The United States intends to initiate negotiations with four Andean countries on a free trade agreement. The interagency Trade Policy Staff Committee (TPSC) will convene a public hearing and seek public comment to assist the United States Trade Representative (USTR) in amplifying and clarifying negotiating objectives for the proposed agreement and to provide advice on how specific goods and services and other matters should be treated under the proposed agreement. DATES: Persons wishing to testify orally at the hearing must provide written notification of their intention, as well as their testimony, by March 10, 2004. A hearing will be held in Washington, DC, beginning on March 17, 2004, and will continue as necessary on subsequent days. Written comments are due by noon, March 30, 2004. ADDRESSES: Submissions by electronic mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED] (notice of intent to testify and written testimony); [EMAIL PROTECTED] (written comments). Submissions by facsimile: Gloria Blue, Executive Secretary, Trade Policy Staff Committee, at (202) 395-6143. The public is strongly encouraged to submit documents electronically rather than by facsimile. (See requirements for submissions below.) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: For procedural questions concerning written comments or participation in the public hearing, contact Gloria Blue, Executive Secretary, Trade Policy Staff Committee, [[Page 7533]] at (202) 395-3475. All other questions should be directed to Bennett Harman, Deputy Assistant U.S. Trade Representative for Latin America, at (202) 395-9446. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: 1. Background Under section 2104 of the Bipartisan Trade Promotion Authority Act of 2002 (TPA Act) (19 U.S.C. 3804), for agreements that will be approved and implemented through TPA procedures, the President must provide the Congress with at least 90 days written notice of his intent to enter into negotiations and must identify the specific objectives for the negotiations. Before and after the submission of this notice, the President must consult with appropriate Congressional committees and the Congressional Oversight Group regarding the negotiations. Under the Trade Act of 1974, as amended, the President must (i) afford interested persons an opportunity to present their views regarding any matter relevant to any proposed agreement, (ii) designate an agency or inter-agency committee to hold a public hearing regarding any proposed agreement, and (iii) seek the advice of the U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) regarding the probable economic effects on U.S. industries and consumers of the removal of tariffs and non-tariff barriers on imports pursuant to any proposed agreement. On November 18, 2003, after consulting with relevant Congressional committees and the Congressional Oversight Group, the USTR notified the Congress that the President intends to initiate free trade agreement negotiations with the Andean countries and identified specific objectives for the negotiations. In addition, the USTR has requested the ITC's probable economic effects advice. This notice solicits views from the public on these negotiations and provides information on a hearing, which will be conducted pursuant to the requirements of the Trade Act of 1974. 2. Public Comments and Testimony To assist the Administration as it continues to develop its negotiating objectives for the proposed agreement, the Chairman of the TPSC invites written comments and/or oral testimony of interested persons at a public hearing. Comments and testimony may address the reduction or elimination of tariffs or non-tariff barriers on any articles provided for in the Harmonized Tariff Schedule of the United States (HTSUS) that are products of one of the Andean countries, any concession which should be sought by the United States, or any other matter relevant to the proposed agreement. The TPSC invites comments and testimony on all of these matters and, in particular, seeks comments and testimony addressed to: (a) General and commodity-specific negotiating objectives for the proposed agreement. (b)
new frontiers of price theory
washingtonpost.com Cattlemen Awarded $1.28B in Tysons Lawsuit By Kyle Winfield Associated Press Writer Tuesday, February 17, 2004; 3:23 PM MONTGOMERY, Ala. -- A federal court jury awarded $1.28 billion Tuesday to a group of cattlemen after finding that the nation's largest beef packer, Tyson Fresh Meats Inc., had unfairly manipulated cattle prices. Attorneys for Tyson Fresh Meats said they planned to appeal the class action verdict. Cattlemen from across the country filed suit in 1996 against Tyson, known then as IBP Inc., claiming the company used contracts with a select few beef producers to create a captive supply of cattle. The plaintiffs said Tyson relied on this captive supply when cattle prices were high and entered the cash market for cattle only when prices were low -- thereby depressing cattle prices. This verdict represents an extraordinary day for cattlemen in this country, said the cattlemen's attorney, Randy Beard of Guntersville. Tyson attorney Thomas C. Green, however, said there are a lot of problems with the jury's decision. In my view, it's incompatible and inconsistent with the evidence, Green said. I suspect that there will be a lot more to say about this verdict before it's all over. Visiting senior U.S. District Judge Lyle Strom must decide any injunctive actions against the company. Cattlemen's attorney David Domina said Strom likely will wait until after similar trials in Nebraska involving two other large packers: Swift Co. and Excel Corp. The cattlemen will ask Strom to issue an injunction requiring that a substantial amount of the nation's cattle are bought on the cash market, not with contracts. IBP merged with Arkansas-based Tyson Foods Inc. in 2001. The trial lasted about a month and jurors deliberated for about four days before returning the verdict. Eight years have passed since six cattlemen filed a class-action lawsuit on behalf of up to 30,000 producers who sold cattle to Tyson in the cash market from February 1994 to October 2002. The exact size of the class is unknown, and Tyson contends it is much smaller than 30,000. Central to the cattlemen's claim is Tyson's use of marketing agreements in which cattle producers pledge to ship a certain number of cattle to a packer. The plaintiffs contend Tyson used those agreements to drive prices down, threatening the livelihood of thousands of ranchers. Tyson countered that even though it buys roughly one-third of the 30 million cattle sold to U.S. packers each year, that share of the market does not allow the company to set the market price. An Auburn University agricultural economist testified that Tyson's contracts had driven down cattle prices by 5.1 percent, or about $2.1 billion, during the eight-year class period. The defense countered with two economists who claimed the Auburn professor's model greatly exaggerated the plaintiffs' alleged loss.
God's banker
http://news.independent.co.uk/europe/story.jsp?story=492409 Calvi murder linked to missing $70m By Peter Popham in Rome 18 February 2004 A portion of the huge treasure which the man known as God's banker, Roberto Calvi, was desperately trying to trace when he was murdered has been found in banks in the Bahamas. Amounting to $70m (£37m), the money has been in limbo since June 1982 when Calvi was found hanged under Blackfriars Bridge in London. His Banco Ambrosiano had gone bust some months before owing hundreds of millions of dollars to the Vatican, Sicilian Mafia gangs and many others. Declared by the original coroner's inquest to be suicide, Calvi's death is now believed to have been murder and four suspects are expected to go on trial in Italy. The new development in the joint Anglo-Italian investigation into the Calvi affair was leaked to Rome's La Repubblica newspaper yesterday. According to Luca Tescaroli and Anna Maria Monteleone, the Roman prosecutors leading the Italian side of the investigation, a sum of about $70m has been unearthed in several bank accounts in the Bahamas, funds which it is believed that Calvi was trying desperately to recover at the time of his death. When Calvi's corpse was found hanging under Blackfriars Bridge, his coat pockets were packed with bricks but there were no traces of brick dust on his hands. His death came shortly after the bank, which had close ties with the Mafia, the Vatican and a powerful Italian Masonic lodge counting many top politicians among its members, collapsed with debts of £800m. City of London Police have said the murder was being actively investigated using forensic techniques not available at the time of his death. Calvi died after being implicated in Italy's biggest post-war banking scandal. His death was initially recorded by a British coroner as suicide. However, following protests from his family a second inquest took place recording an open verdict. The breakthrough persuading police to reopen the Calvi case came last year , when a panel of forensic scientists commissioned by a Rome tribunal concluded that he was killed. It has since been claimed that he was murdered by the Mafia as punishment for failing to look after their money, as well as to shut his mouth permanently. The Italian investigators believe the funds located in the Bahamas are part of the money Calvi was desperately trying to recover in order to stave off disaster. They think it could be part of the proceeds of a huge laundering operation undertaken by Calvi on behalf of Colombia's Medellin drug lords. The investigators claim that tens of millions of dollars left Colombia and passed through various banks in the US before showing up in the branch of the Banco Ambrosiano in Nassau, capital of the Bahamas. This was where the investigators of Italy's Direzione Investigativa Antimafia and a cell of the Milan office of the Guardia di Finanza, the tax police, recently succeeded in identifying the funds. The exact provenance and intended eventual destination of the $70m that has been located is not yet fully understood. The new development in the investigation was made possible by an investigation carried out some years ago by the FBI, the investigators say. By following a paper trail of drug money from the Medellin cartel, which led through banks in Italy and in other countries, investigators succeeded in finding $70m transferred to the Banco Ambrosiano branch in Florida. It is claimed that Calvi created a network of contactsin south America, with politicians, bankers, and traffickers who trusted his ability to launder money gained from the cocaine traffic of the Colombian mafia. Sources who were close to him maintain that he knew everything about the intricate financial manoeuvres in high places in Italy, including the Institute for Religious Works, the private bank of the Vatican. A witness who testified to the Italian investigators recently maintained that during the time that Calvi was in detention - from May to July 1981 - and again immediately after his release, many were actively trying to remove him from Italy, because he was a danger to everybody. He was the man who knew too much.
Japan: a look at the labor process
THE ZEIT GIST Enduring life in the Japanese company You're not alone if you find working for a Japanese 'kaisha' difficult By KAORI SHOJI The Japan Times: Feb. 17, 2004 It's probably just as difficult to find a happily employed Westerner in a Japanese company as it is to find weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. Please correct me if I'm wrong, but I have yet to come across a Western worker who has found the Japanese workplace to be comfortable, inspiring, psychologically fulfilling or ultimately rewarding. They point out the structural rigidity, lack of personal office space per person, the breakdown in communications, the antiquated protocol masquerading as tradition, the general mistreatment of female staff, to name just a few. The Japanese kaisha (company) is just plain yucky. But to any non-Japanese who has ever felt compelled to voice these feelings, I offer, by way of apology and regret, the reassurance: don't worry, the Japanese feel exactly the same way. The Japanese view of the kaisha is similar to how President George W. Bush described marriage in his State of the Union address -- an enduring institution. Or maybe just an institution for endurance. My friend Satomi, now working 10 years for the same publishing house in Jimbocho, says every work day is about bearing up: See all these gray hairs? That's what working for that kaisha has done to me. Satomi has seriously considered quitting at least 30 times in her career. She bitches endlessly to anyone willing to listen. But deep down, she knows she'll never leave. Her discomfort with her job has come full circle so that now she's actually (perversely) comfortable. She's okay with the yuckiness and knows how to cope, yes, much like a marriage. For the American (or the westernized) this logic is worse than alien, it's defeatist. The Westernized want things to improve, to work. They cannot comprehend the reason why changes and adjustments so clearly for the better, take such a long time in coming or don't come at all. Why do things take such time in a Japanese company? Why does management always sidestep the most important issues and go off (seemingly arbitrarily) on another tangent? Why, why, why? The Japanese are also beating their heads on that gray, cold concrete wall but there's a deep-seated resignation passed down through the generations, that the individual can never win against the kaisha and besides the individual never counted in the first place. What's more important is that the institution will survive, since it's the institution that's directly plugged into the Japanese economy: the closest thing we have to a national identity. So they beat their heads but they'll also go about doing business as usual. And whatever changes are brought about come at the slow, labored pace of a snail that has suffered a stroke. The fact is, the Japanese often look for job satisfaction in ways that have no direct connections with the job itself. For example, there is the enormous emphasis on douki (colleagues who had entered the company in the same year). A douki is a cross between sibling and comrade -- the unwritten agreement is that all douki will stick together, whatever happens. They work together, organize drinking parties, invite each other to their weddings, keep in touch and communicate for decades, often until retirement. Never mind that some of your douki can be royal pains in the lower extremities. The mere fact that you and these people all became employees at the same time enhances affection and excuses the bumps. It's the shared memories you see, of having cut your teeth at the same time. Other things they look forward to in the workday are things like ocha (tea or coffee break) in the mornings, often immediately after clocking into work. The Japanese office may claim to start business at 9 a.m. sharp but in actuality, no one really feels like work until 10 or 10:30. First, they observe the ritual of going off to the local coffee shop for a quick mooningu (morning breakfast service) and reading the paper, smoking and chatting, before moseying back to the office. This deliberate procrastination slows up the workday, which is largely the reason for people having to linger around until 8 or 9 p.m. before they get the resolve to board the train for home. One American lawyer working for a Japanese shosha (trading house) was so incensed at what she saw as an unnecessary frittering away of time, that she circulated an elaborate office memo that exhorted people to start at 9, be as productive as possible during the day and finish by 6. It was politely acknowledged but ultimately ignored. It's ridiculous, she says. Much of the famed 13-hour workdays can be remedied if only people will change their work habits, which they simply refuse to do. She also resented that much of office communications and relationships depended on informal camaraderie fostered outside the workplace (i.e., pubs and cafes): it's unfair to those
Re: Bhagwati's defense of Mankiw
- Original Message - From: Julio Huato [EMAIL PROTECTED] If you think that I am exaggerating, let me cite you just one telling example. As regards intellectual property protection (IPP), demanded insistently by the United States and then by other rich countries, most economists believe that having patents at twenty-year length (as put into the WTO) is, from the viewpoint of worldwide efficiency, suboptimal, just as having no patents almost certainly is also. Many also consider it to be a transfer from most of the poor countries to the rich ones and hence as an item that does not belong to the WTO, whose organizing principle should be the inclusion of mutually gainful transactions, as indeed noncoercive trade is. But the only institution whose staff was allowed to write clearly and skeptically about it at the time of the Uruguay Round was the GATT, whereas the World Bank played along with IPP, even trying to produce reasons why it was good for the poor countries. Even now, despite all the talk about poverty alleviation, the World Bank's staff, research, and aid are being used, I suspect, in a way that, instead of calling into serious doubt the economic logic of IPP, can be interpreted as contributing to the know-how that will eventually enable rich countries to get poor countries to set up administrative machinery to enforce intellectual property rights for the benefit of the rich countries. = What I don't get is how he can look at that one example as an exemplar of lobbying-cum rent seeking and yet not see that capitalism is littered with so many examples of the same throughout it's history as to raise so many legitimation issues even for a cultured academic technocrat such as himself who might, perhaps, believe in the deep concordance between liberal democracy and capitalism. So, at the outset, we must ask: can we think of politics anywhere without cronies? Political cronies are, of course, the politicians' friends and supporters. We call them friends here and cronies over there. After all, we write the script and the check. But that does not alter the facts as we find them. Thus, does President Clinton not have his cronies? Surely they include Barbara Streisand, Alec Baldwin, Kim Basinger and Steven Spielberg in Hollywood. There are others he befriends on Wall Street. His new home in Chappaqua was to be financed , until public exposure and outcry threw a spanner in the works, by an indirect loan from a well-known crony, Mr. Terry MacAuliffe. One can therefore well imagine that an Asian intellectual, looking at Washington, would find our politicians with cronies just the way we find politicians with cronies in Asia. The play is the same; only the actors differ. http://www.columbia.edu/~jb38/crony_cap.pdf ** Insert and/or substitute economist[s] in the quote below and one wonders what kind of cognitive dissonances JB goes through after seeing so much of his own hard labor being smashed on the rocks of rent-seeking... From A Claire Cutler's Private Power and Global Authority: Transnational Merchant Law in the Global Political Economy A knowledge structure that privileges expert knowledge through the juridification, pluralization, and privatization of international commercial relations and the operation of liberal-inspired commercial laws that reify the autonomous 'legal subject' provide the ideological foundation for assumptions concerning the inherent superiority of private legal ordering in the regulation of international commerce. A mercatocracy of lawyers, merchants, corporations, and governments maintains this thought structure by limiting entry to lawyers trained to believe in the superiority of private law. It works through both consensual and coercive methods to silence voices of dissent. Corporate global hegemony operates ideologically by removing private international law from critical scrutiny and review, producing apparently consensual private arrangements. However, these arrangements, in fact, operate coercively in that they reinscribe asymmetrical power relations between buyers and sellers, employers and workers, insurers and insured, lenders and borrowers, shipowners and cargo in their contractual arrangements and the very fabric of the law. The apparent consensual nature of these 'private' relationships contributes to their characterization as neutral and apolitical, inhibiting the development of a critical understanding of private international law...Global authority is increasingly resting upon fragile foundations as competing social forces contest their peripheralization and marginalization in the global political economy. The inability of the mercatocracy to bind these segments by delivering on the rhetoric of globalization and promises of efficiencies, economic development, and justice suggests the emergence of an historic bloc based on fraud. To Gramsci, supremacy based on fraud signals a 'crisis of
Gordon Brown and the ever failing anti-poverty paradigm
http://news.independent.co.uk/uk/politics/story.jsp?story=492148 Brown: We are 150 years off our targets in tackling world poverty By Ben Russell and Philip Thornton 17 February 2004 Gordon Brown warned that key global targets for reducing poverty by 2015 might not be met for 150 years as he made an impassioned plea to world leaders yesterday to double aid to the poorest countries. The Chancellor used a conference of diplomats and aid organisations in London to warn that urgent action was needed to have any chance of hitting the millennium goals for halving poverty, cutting child deaths and improving education in the Third World by 2015. He said: If we let things slip, the millennium goals will become just another dream we once had, and we will indeed be sitting back on our sofas and switching on our TVs and, I am afraid, watching people die on our screens for the rest of our lives. We will be the generation that betrayed its own heart. Mr Brown called on the international community to support British proposals for a new international finance facility (IFF), to double aid from $50bn (£26bn) to $100bn a year, and urged developed nations to take action on international trade. His comments will raise expectations for Britain's presidency of the G8 industrialised nations next year, which Tony Blair has pledged to make a development presidency. The Chancellor's speech was welcomed by campaigners yesterday, but opposition MPs and aid groups warned that Britain must do more to increase aid spending and open world markets to developing countries. Mr Brown said that progress towards key millennium development goals for 2015 was so slow that in some parts of the world they would take more than a century to achieve at current rates. He said: On current forecasts, sub-Saharan Africa will achieve our target for reducing child mortality not by 2015 but by 2165. This is not good enough. The promise we made was for 2015, not 2165. He said that the first target of the millennium development goals - to ensure by 2005 that girls are given the same opportunities in education as boys - would be missed, while targets to establish universal primary education by 2015 would not be met until 2129 at current rates. Mr Brown also warned of slow progress towards targets for halving the proportion of people living in extreme poverty in some parts of the world, saying that: Our best estimate is that it will not be achieved in sub-Saharan Africa for more than 100 years. Bono, the Irish rock star, called on delegates, who included the Live Aid founder Bob Geldof, to dramatise the cause of world poverty just asGeldof had dramatised the plight of Africa nearly 20 years ago. We need to get people on to the streets asking why we are breaking these promises, he said. He told Mr Brown: At a moment like this we need some very big ideas. You and Tony need to be the Lennon and McCartney of progressive geopolitics. What we need here is not love. All we need here is cash. Lord Carey, the former Archbishop of Canterbury, who hosted yesterday's event at the Treasury, contrasted the £2.3bn spent in England on pet food and pet care products in 2002 and the $700bn spent by Americans on beverages with the money allocated for alleviating poverty. John Bercow, the shadow International Development Secretary, said: While the developed world practises protectionism on a grotesque scale it is hardly surprising that the poorest countries in the world cannot compete. It is time for the OECD to slash distorting subsidies, cut trade barriers and offer the poorest people on the planet a decent deal. UN goals for 2015 Halve the number living on $1 a day or suffering from hunger VERDICT: Some progress Ensure all children complete primary schooling VERDICT: Failing End disparity in education between girls and boys VERDICT: Failing Cut death rate in under-fives by two-thirds VERDICT: Failing Reduce maternal mortality by three-quarters VERDICT: Failing Halt spread of Aids and other major diseases VERDICT: Failing Halve the number living without access to drinking water VERDICT: Failing Develop global partnership for development VERDICT: Failing
Re: Bhagwati's defense of Mankiw
- Original Message - From: E. Ahmet Tonak [EMAIL PROTECTED] Any reaction to the following op-ed defense of Mankiw by Bhagwati. I observe two flaws: [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://www.columbia.edu/~jb38/ Professor Jagdish N. Bhagwati University Professor COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY New York, NY 10027 United States of America A few months after Seattle was shut down, Bhagwati and Herman Daly revisited the city and held a public debate at Town Hall. JB belittled the audience, misrepresented Daly's views in order to engage in point scoring and dismissed questions from the audience with an inordinate amount of hand waving --all questions had to be written on 3 x 5 cards after N30 lest people ask long, difficult questions or use the opportunity for a rant. Ian
US: a little bit of candor
Today, only 35,000 companies provide defined benefit pension plans, which is less than a quarter of the plans available 20 years ago. That is a big loss. Given the volatility we have seen in the stock market over the last few years, more employees would benefit from having the opportunity to earn secure, predictable pension benefits. I stand ready to work with my colleagues to address the other important issues facing companies that are interested in providing defined benefit pension plans. For example, Congress ought to reconsider the funding rules to ensure that companies are able to invest appropriately in their pension plans when business is good and profits are strong. We also need to consider ways to strengthen the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation which, to say the very least, is stretched dangerously thin. ['Pete' Rockefeller] http://frwebgate4.access.gpo.gov/cgi-bin/waisgate.cgi?WAISdocID=78349625452+9+0+0WAISaction=retrieve [Congressional Record: January 27, 2004 (Senate)] [Page S270-S278] From the Congressional Record Online via GPO Access [wais.access.gpo.gov] [DOCID:cr27ja04-112]
Re: FT: Protecting Sugar
- Original Message - From: Michael Pollak [EMAIL PROTECTED] [What's interesting here is the listing of precise numbers each special interest contributed to produce this result. I wonder if we'll see more of this in articles like this now that everyone can just look it up in Charles Lewis's book _The Selling of the President_. It makes very clear the economic rationality of campaign contributions, and the complete absurdity of talking about the rationality of the market in reference to a system in they determine policy.] [And of course the US is not unique in this. Every national economy is only half of a political economy, and every political system is manipulated like this or worse. The idea of a self-regulating market is as unreal as the idea of a bodiless mind. If only we had articles like this every day that made it this obvious.] [W]hat business men and economists really meant by *laissez-faire* was; prevent everybody else at home and abroad from doing as *they* please, in order that we may do as we please with what we claim as our own. [John Commons The Economics of Collective Action] *Political Value*, the value added by advantageous treatment from politicians, whether legislators, judges, executives, or administrative boards, in the exercise of the several powers of sovereignty, in so far as this value exceeds that of the ordinary lawfulness and exposure to competition out of which the value of going plant or goodwill emerges. As a use-value this political value does not usually represent an additional service to customers, creditors, or laborers, inspiring their confidence, loyalty or patronage, but it is rather the superior privilege emanating from the blunders, corruption or wisdom of public officials, as shown in the tax exemption bonuses, special franchises, inside information, judicial opinion, and similar exercise of royal prerogative or the modern sovereignty superior to that received by competitors who enjoy only ordinary lawfulness. [John Commons The Legal Foundations of Capitalism] Like it or not, Governments are in the business of selling protection. [can't find the author of this one in my piles/files] Or as we say in Seattle, free trade for thee but not for me! Ian
US: pension rules and interest rates
[Federal Register: February 13, 2004 (Volume 69, Number 30)] [Notices] [Page 7265-7266] From the Federal Register Online via GPO Access [wais.access.gpo.gov] [DOCID:fr13fe04-128] === --- PENSION BENEFIT GUARANTY CORPORATION Required Interest Rate Assumption For Determining Variable-Rate Premium; Interest Assumptions for Multiemployer Plan Valuations Following Mass Withdrawal AGENCY: Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation. ACTION: Notice of interest rates and assumptions. --- SUMMARY: This notice informs the public of the interest rates and assumptions to be used under certain Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation regulations. These rates and assumptions are published elsewhere (or can be derived from rates published elsewhere), but are collected and published in this notice for the convenience of the public. Interest rates are also published on the PBGC's Web site (http://www.pbgc.gov). The PBGC notes that the provisions of the Job Creation and Worker Assistance Act of 2002 that temporarily increased the required interest rate to be used to determine the PBGC's variable-rate premium to 100% (from 85%) of the annual yield on 30-year Treasury securities expired at the end of 2003. Thus, the required interest rate announced in this notice for plan years beginning in February 2004 has been determined under prior law. Legislation has been proposed that would further change the rules for determining the required interest rate. If such legislation is adopted, and the change affects the required interest rate for plan years beginning in February 2004, the PBGC will promptly publish a Federal Register notice with the new required interest rate and post the change on the PBGC's Web site. DATES: The required interest rate for determining the variable-rate premium under part 4006 applies to premium payment years beginning in February 2004. The interest assumptions for performing multiemployer plan valuations following mass withdrawal under part 4281 apply to valuation dates occurring in March 2004. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Harold J. Ashner, Assistant General Counsel, Office of the General Counsel, Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation, 1200 K Street, NW., Washington, DC 20005, 202-326-4024. (TTY/TDD users may call the Federal relay service toll-free at 1-800- 877-8339 and ask to be connected to 202-326-4024.) SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Variable-Rate Premiums Section 4006(a)(3)(E)(iii)(II) of the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 (ERISA) and Sec. 4006.4(b)(1) of the PBGC's regulation on Premium Rates (29 CFR part 4006) prescribe use of an assumed interest rate (the ``required interest rate'') in determining a single-employer plan's variable-rate premium. The required interest rate is the ``applicable percentage'' (currently 85 percent) of the annual yield on 30-year Treasury securities for the month preceding the beginning of the plan year for which premiums are being paid (the ``premium payment year''). (Although the Treasury Department has ceased issuing 30-year securities, the Internal Revenue Service announces a surrogate yield figure each month--based on the 30-year Treasury bond maturing in February 2031--which the PBGC uses to determine the required interest rate.) The required interest rate to be used in determining variable-rate premiums for premium payment years beginning in February 2004 is 4.23 percent (i.e., 85 percent of the 4.98 percent yield figure for January 2004). The PBGC notes that the provisions of the Job Creation and Worker Assistance Act of 2002 that temporarily increased the required interest rate to be used to determine the PBGC's variable-rate premium to 100% (from 85%) of the annual yield on 30-year Treasury securities expired at the end of 2003. Thus, the required interest rate announced in this notice for plan years beginning in February 2004 has been determined under prior law. Legislation has been proposed that would further change the rules for determining the required interest rate. If such legislation is adopted, and the change affects the required interest rate for plan years beginning in February 2004, the PBGC will promptly publish a Federal Register notice with the new required interest rate and post the change on the PBGC's Web site. The following table lists the required interest rates to be used in determining variable-rate premiums for premium [[Page 7266]] payment years beginning between March 2003 and February 2004. The required For premium payment years beginning in: interest rate is:
Stephen Roach on worship
[at least he's confessed] http://www.morganstanley.com/GEFdata/digests/latest-digest.html#anchor0 Global: Offshoring Backlash Stephen Roach (New York) It's economics versus politics. The free-trade theory of globalization embraces the cross-border transfer of jobs. Political systems do not - especially as election cycles heat up. That heat is now being turned up in Washington, as incumbent politicians in both parties come face to face with the angst of America's jobless recovery. Jobs could well be the hot button in Campaign 2004. And offshoring - the transfer of high-wage US jobs to the low-wage developing world - could quite conceivably be the most contentious aspect of this debate and one of greatest risk factors for ever-complacent financial markets. Like most economists, I worship at the high altar of free-market competition and the trade liberalization that drives it. But that doesn't mean putting a positive spin on the painful dislocations that trade competition can spawn. Unfortunately, that was the mistake made recently by the Bush administration's chief economist, Gregory Mankiw, in his dismissive assessment of white-collar job losses due to offshoring. Like most economic theories, the optimal outcomes cited by Mankiw pertain to that ever-elusive long run. Over that timeframe, the basic conclusion of the theory of free trade is inarguable: International competition lowers costs and prices, thereby boosting the purchasing power and standard of living of consumers around the world. The practical problem in this case - as it is with most theories - is the concept of the long run. Sure, over a long enough timeframe, things will eventually work out according to this theoretical script. But the key word here is eventually - the stumbling block in presuming that academic theories map neatly into the shorter time horizons of financial markets and politics. Lord Keynes put it best in his 1923 Tract on Monetary Reform, cautioning, In the long run, we're all dead. History, of course, tells us that a lot can happen between now and that ever-elusive long run. That's precisely the risk in the great offshoring debate, in my view. As always, context defines the issues of contention. And in this case, the context is America's jobless recovery - an unprecedented hiring shortfall in the first 26 months of this recovery that has left private nonfarm payrolls fully 8 million workers below the path of the typical hiring upturn. This is where the offshoring debate enters the equation. One of the pillars of trade theory is that wealthy industrial economies like America' s can be broken down into two basic segments of activity - tradables and nontradables. International competition has long been confined to the tradable goods, or manufacturing sector. By contrast, the nontradables sector was largely shielded from tough competitive pressures, thereby providing shelter to the 80% of America's private sector workforce that toil in services. Consequently, as competitive pressures drove down prices in tradable goods, the bulk of the economy and its workforce benefited from the resulting expansion of purchasing power. Advanced, knowledge-based economies thrive on this distinction between tradables and nontradables - manufacturing and services. That critical distinction has now been blurred. In days of yore, it used to be that services had to be delivered in person, on site. Cross-border trade in services was unheard of. Now, courtesy of the Internet, that critical assumption has been turned inside out. There is now real-time connectivity between the knowledge content of offshore white-collar workers and parent companies in the West. That is a truly transforming event - it essentially converts many nontradables into tradables. Maybe it's just a coincidence, but it turns out that the private services sector has accounted for 5.3 million jobs of the cyclical shortfall in total private hiring, by our reckoning. That underscores the extraordinary pressures that are now bearing down on what had long been the most powerful element of the Great American Job Machine. Not surprisingly, at the same time, the IT-enabled services export industry has sprung to life in places like India. Meanwhile, US businesses, still operating in a no-pricing-leverage climate, have little choice other than to continue in their unrelenting efforts to take out excess costs. The IT-enabled global labor arbitrage provides high-wage companies in the developed world with a new and very powerful means to execute that option. That means is offshoring. Offshoring is seen as but a bump in the road for theorists like Mankiw. The presumption in this case is that an innovation-led, flexible US economy is able to uncover new sources of job creation that can fill the void left by this cross-border labor arbitrage. Yet that may be a heroic assumption for the foreseeable future. As nontradables become tradable, America's once
military Ricardianism redux
http://www.latimes.com COMMENTARY More Arms Are Not What India and Pakistan Need Washington should delay planned military sales to avoid poisoning delicate peace talks and destabilizing the region. By Selig S. Harrison Selig S. Harrison, director of the Asia program at the Center for International Policy, is a former South Asia bureau chief for the Washington Post. February 13, 2004 Washington wants to encourage the search for a South Asian peace that was launched by Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee of India and President Pervez Musharraf of Pakistan at their January summit. But the Bush administration could poison the atmosphere for India-Pakistan talks that start Monday if it goes ahead with imminent plans for major military sales to both countries. President Bush promised Musharraf $1.5 billion in new military aid last June on top of $400 million that had been set aside for military sales to Islamabad after Pakistan signed up as a U.S. ally against Al Qaeda. In the name of bolstering military operations against Al Qaeda and Taliban forces in Afghan border areas, Pakistan is pressing for immediate military deliveries instead of the five-year program envisaged by the White House. But most of the desired hardware - such as 80 attack helicopters, 1,000 armored personnel carriers and two squadrons of F-16 aircraft - would be used on the Indian border, not in Afghanistan. Giving them to Pakistan now would rekindle tensions between New Delhi and Islamabad just when the fragile peace process is getting underway. The United States should freeze military transfers indefinitely to Pakistan and India until domestic political support for a detente is solid enough in both countries to neutralize the tensions that would be touched off by new military aid. This should include a delay in authorizing Israel's pending sale to New Delhi of the Arrow antimissile system, which was developed in cooperation with the United States. Musharraf's domestic political position is shaky in the aftermath of the recent scandal over illicit nuclear deals by Pakistani scientists with North Korea, Iran and Libya, and the sale of the Arrow would strengthen the opponents of detente. In the case of India, Vajpayee is campaigning for a new five-year term in April elections. His opponents would use U.S. military sales to Pakistan to fan fears of Islamabad and rekindle memories of the massive Cold War infusion of U.S. military hardware to earlier military regimes there. The Pentagon spin that U.S. military help for Islamabad would relate only to the war on terror sounds to Indian ears like President Eisenhower's 1954 reassurances that a program of limited U.S. weapons aid to Pakistan would be solely for use against the Soviet Union and China. By 1965, the United States had poured $3.8 billion in military hardware into Pakistan. This encouraged the Pakistani military dictator, Gen. Ayub Khan, to stage cross-border raids in Kashmir that touched off a wider war in which his forces freely used its U.S. planes and tanks. No sooner had India begun to forgive and forget than the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan led to another outpouring of weapons aid to pay off Islamabad for serving as a front-line state. With its new F-16 aircraft and heavy tanks, this second aid package was clearly not intended for use on the mountainous Afghan border but rather to bolster Pakistan's balance of power in plains warfare with India. Still more U.S. weapons channeled through Pakistan to Afghan resistance forces were skimmed off for Pakistani use. In a striking repeat of history, the type of military aid that Pakistan is now seeking has less to do with Afghanistan than India. Islamabad's wish list includes the Predator aerial spy plane used by the United States in Afghanistan, Hawkeye mini-AWACs, AIM-9 missiles and P3 anti-submarine aircraft. In addition to military aid, Bush's promises in June included $1.5 billion in economic assistance. This aid should be provided, but with two conditions: Musharraf's cooperation with the United States in preventing the leakage of nuclear material and weapons to terrorist groups and rogue states - so far refused - and a commitment to negotiate confidence-building measures relating to India-Pakistani nuclear weaponry in the peace talks. India, eight times larger than Pakistan, is much more important to long-term American interests, and the two nations should not be equated in U.S. policy. The Bush administration's January announcement that it plans to expand high-tech cooperation with India, including cooperation in civilian nuclear and space technology, was a welcome recognition of what the White House called a new strategic partnership with New Delhi. On military matters, however, the United States should proceed with caution, especially while peace talks are still at a delicate stage.
the other Texas Rangers
http://www.texasobserver.org/showArticle.asp?ArticleID=1564
Re: The economy - a new era?
- Original Message - From: Michael Perelman [EMAIL PROTECTED] Garraty, John A. 1957. Right-Hand Man: The Life of George W. Perkins (NY: Harper and Brothers): p. 219 says that Morgan's right hand man argued that the trusts represented a high order of socialism. What is the difference between the U. S. Steel Corporation ... and a Department of Steel as it might be organized by the government? === We must get back to competition. If it is impossible then let us go to socialism, for there is no way between. [William Howard Taft--who also advocated the Federalization of the corporate chartering process] [from Martin Sklair's The Corporate Reconstruction of American Capitalism 1890-1916 p. 378]
Re: The economy - a new era?
- Original Message - From: Doug Henwood [EMAIL PROTECTED] Michael Perelman wrote: I was thinking of the architecture of the managerial structure. Do you buy Michael Albert's critique of a coordinator class? Could you have large enterprises with a flat self-managing structure, without some sort of managers? Doug == Has Michael A. ever worked for an extended period of time in a Fortune 500 company spread across the globe? Ian
Buy today's Wall St. Journal
[apologies for length, but some list members might not have access to the article...] U.S. tilt to business stirs backlash in Indonesia PETER WALDMAN, The Wall Street Journal Wednesday, February 11, 2004 http://www.sfgate.com/article.cgi?file=/news/archive/2004/02/11/financial1013EST0050.DTL (02-11) 07:13 PST (AP) -- JAKARTA, Indonesia -- In January of 2000, Lawrence Summers, then U.S. Treasury secretary, visited Indonesia to meet its first democratically elected president and cheer its emergence from three decades of dictatorship and crony capitalism under President Suharto. The word must go out, Mr. Summers told a luncheon of business leaders, that in a new Indonesia, no one is above the law. America would be a model for the emerging democracy, he said, and the most important component of our bilateral support ... (is) the quality of the examples we are able to suggest. On the same day, a Jakarta court dismissed a corruption lawsuit against a power project -- part-owned by U.S. companies and linked to Suharto relatives -- that had saddled Indonesia with high electricity costs. The American ambassador played a central role in getting the corruption case dropped. Washington's discordant signals have left a bitter legacy here. A nation once robustly pro-American has become a bastion of anti-U.S. hostility. In 1999, 75 percent of Indonesians held a favorable view of the U.S., according to the Pew Research Center. In a poll last last year, the figure was just 15 percent. It's the worst anti-Americanism here in 25 years, says Sidney Jones of the International Crisis Group, a nonprofit group that monitors global hot spots. This shift has multiple causes, including the war in Iraq. But among them is a widely held view here that in the aftermath of the Suharto dictatorship -- a time of crisis but also of promise -- the U.S. threw its weight behind its business interests to the detriment of Indonesians. While anti-U.S. sentiment in the developing world is hardly new, its upsurge here is especially untimely. Facing one of its major challenges of the era -- terrorism rooted in militant Islam -- America now finds limited public support in the world's largest Muslim country. The case illustrates a particular challenge the U.S. faces as a superpower with a democratic system. Its policies toward an overseas nation can at times be swayed by determined groups at home: defense interests, human-rights advocates or multinational corporations. In Indonesia's case, protecting the interests of major investors and creditors was at the center of the table in everything we did, says Edmund McWilliams, who was chief political counselor at the U.S. embassy in Jakarta from 1996 to 1999. Concerns about stability made it to the margins. Concerns about human rights, democracy, corruption never made it onto the table at all. After Mr. Suharto resigned amid the 1998 Asian economic crisis, U.S. officials poured into Indonesia to advocate a new era of democracy, transparency and rule of law. But at the same time, amid talk in Jakarta of canceling business deals that had enriched Suharto friends, American diplomats and legislators strove to protect the contracts. Washington also pressed the Indonesian government to bail out private banks to restore liquidity. Most of the banks were owned by Suharto associates, who had withdrawn large amounts of money, much of which they didn't have to pay back. The moment Indonesians threw out Suharto, we told them they had to honor contracts that favored his cronies. People are asking, 'What kind of principle is that?' says Joseph Stiglitz, a Nobel-laureate economist who became a critic of U.S.-led globalization after posts in the Clinton White House and at the World Bank. We imposed Pax Americana, Mr. Stiglitz says, yet it wasn't a pax that tried to create a fair global regime but one reflecting our own commercial interests. Former Treasury Secretary Summers himself didn't intervene on the Paiton project's behalf, according to people familiar with the case. Mr. Summers, now president of Harvard University, says, Our general approach at Treasury was to focus on broad national interests, rather than specific commercial interests, in our economic diplomacy. No serious critics say Washington should shy from defending the interests of American companies. But in the case of Indonesia, the pendulum swung far in that direction. At the same time as the U.S. was defending U.S. power-project contracts, the International Monetary Fund, working with the Clinton administration, was prescribing a program of economic austerity for Indonesia. Such medicine -- higher interest rates combined with lower government spending -- can bolster a nation's currency and restore public confidence. In Indonesia's case, however, it appears to have exacerbated what became a deep depression. Nearly half of the Indonesian population sank into poverty. The IMF later acknowledged mistakes in its prescription for
speaking of Larry Summers
http://www.thecrimson.com/article.aspx?ref=357308
pensions redux; Britain
Pensions insurance attacked Scrupulous companies to foot bill for negligent rivals Rupert Jones and Phillip Inman Thursday February 12, 2004 The Guardian The government is today likely to face the wrath of employers' groups, trade unions and opposition politicians over its measure aimed at protecting company pension scheme members if their employer goes bust. Today sees the publication of the pensions bill - the government's response to the crisis in retirement saving - and ministers are likely to confirm that a crucial element of the safety net they are planning has in effect been put on ice for the time being. Andrew Smith, the work and pensions secretary, will give more details about the new pensions protection fund, a compensation scheme which will protect millions of members of final salary company schemes if their employer goes bankrupt. The fund, similar to an American scheme, will guarantee that people who have already retired will receive 100% of their pension while those still working will receive 90%. This will be paid for by a levy imposed on all companies that offer final salary pensions and is aimed at ending what the government says is the scandal of workers being denied pensions built up over many years. Under the original plans, companies at greater risk of going bust would have had to pay more than employers with well-funded schemes. But devising a levy that would work in this way has proved tricky, and the department for work and pensions is today set to announce that it will be starting off with a flat-rate levy where all firms pay the same. The pensions protection fund was controversial, even before this latest apparent backtracking, and critics were quick to attack the plan yesterday, saying that well-run companies should not have to bail out irresponsible employers in this way. Steve Webb MP, the Liberal Democrat work and pensions spokesman, said the pensions bill was half baked. He said: The pensions protection fund is an insurance scheme not based on risk. It's like asking a careful driver to pay the same as a boy racer. To ask all companies to pay the same punishes the good guys. It is understood the department of work and pensions decided to put off imposing a risk-based levy on occupational schemes after advice that the complex arrangements could delay the rescue scheme's start in 2005. The department yesterday insisted that a levy based on risk was still absolutely fundamental to the protection fund, but it appears it could be a few years before this system is fully up and running. It seems certain that the department has rejected trade union calls for the new rules to be applied retrospectively. That means they will not help the tens of thousands of workers who have lost some or all of their occupational pension after their companies went bust. Workers from failed steel firm ASW and other defunct companies intend to keep up the pressure on the government by staging a protest at the Royal Courts of Justice.
is AG blowing a China bubble
Is Alan Greenspan Behind China's Bubble Too?: William Pesek Jr. Feb. 11 (Bloomberg) -- Globalization is globalizing the Federal Reserve. It has 12 districts and acts based on U.S. events, but its influence has never been greater. It isn't far-fetched to think of Latin America as the 13th district, Southeast Asia the 14th, Russia the 15th, China the 16th, and so on. Perhaps it's not surprising, then, that some observers are blaming the Fed for problems in one of its de facto, satellite districts. China, Asia's second-largest economy, is experiencing a dangerous asset bubble, one that's making investors antsy. It seems a reach to blame Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan and his colleagues here in Washington. After all, Asia isn't a huge blip on the Fed's radar screen these days. The Fed also has taken its share of flack for the U.S. bubble of the late 1990s. But the U.S. central bank's global reach is being felt in Asia. ``The Fed commitment to keeping interest rates low for a considerable period of time fueled speculation in high-risk assets,'' says Andy Xie, Hong Kong-based chief economist at Morgan Stanley Asia Ltd. ``The byproducts of this speculation,'' Xie explains, ``are the wealth effect on consumption in the U.S. and the cheap capital-fueled investment boom in China -- the twin engines or bubbles, depending on your perspective, for the global economy today.'' The cycle, Xie says, will end with either the Fed reversing its policy or with a financial accident caused by the leverage building up in high-risk assets around the world. ``History would not be kind to the Fed,'' Xie says. ``Its accommodation and even encouragement of speculative excesses would be viewed as the primary cause of the massive bubble in the global economy today, the consequences of which are yet to show.'' The Fed's culpability is debatable. What's not is that speculative capital flows into Asia reached a record high last year, surpassing the previous peak in 1996. The big recipients of capital in 1996 were Hong Kong, South Korea and Southeast Asia. This time, it's China. Just like the capital flow destinations of the 1990s, China is experiencing an investment bubble. In 2003, East Asia's foreign-exchange reserves rose $234 billion more than the region's trade surpluses. That compares with an average of $26 billion in the 1990s and $8.3 billion in the 1980s. China and Japan were the main capital recipients in Asia last year. The increase began in 2001, when the Fed cut interest rates aggressively to boost U.S. growth. Like clockwork, China's foreign-exchange reserves rose by more than its trade surplus for the first time since 1996. The inflows picked up speed and reached record levels last year. What can be done about all this? China needs to tighten capital controls to slow the inflow, Xie argues. Such a step would be anathema to free-market aficionados and to the Group of Seven nations, which last weekend renewed its call for flexible exchange rates. But the longer Beijing allows such rapid inflows of speculative capital, the more difficult it will be to avoid a financial crisis. Xie's views are contrarian, indeed, but it's hard to dismiss them. The vast majority of world leaders, economists and investors think China's currency is undervalued and that Beijing should let it rise. That was certainly the thrust of the G-7's latest communique. But ``the appreciation of China's currency, which many advocate as the main means to cool the bubble, would only encourage more speculation, as we saw in Southeast Asia,'' Xie says. ``The resulting bigger bubble would make a hard landing inevitable.'' China may be presenting economists with a rare throw-away- the-textbooks situation. Established macroeconomic models hold that more exchange-rate flexibility will squeeze some air out of China's bubble and keep the economy from overheating. Freeing the yuan may do exactly the opposite. Beijing has taken steps to cool its economy. The central bank, for example, increased reserve requirements on commercial banks to curb money-supply growth. Higher interest rates in the U.S. could help temper China's boom. Global investors are looking for hints on the subject when Greenspan testifies in Congress this week. ``The massive swings in capital flows into Asia could only be explained by the speculative drives that rise or ebb with some stimulus,'' Xie says. ``The stimulus is usually Fed policy changes.'' It's doubtful Greenspan is preoccupied with all this. But those speculating on China's rise should keep two things in mind. One, the Fed's policy decisions here in Washington may have considerable influence on China's outlook. Two, what markets think they know about China's currency policy could be 100 percent wrong. To contact the writer of this column: William Pesek Jr. in Washington, or [EMAIL PROTECTED] To contact the editor of this column: Bill Ahearn in New York, or [EMAIL PROTECTED] Last
new chairs at WTO
Press/371 11 February 2004 GENERAL COUNCIL WTO chairpersons for 2004 The WTO General Council today (11 February) noted the consensus on the following slate of names of chairpersons for WTO bodies: Chairpersons of WTO Bodies - 2004 General Council Amb. Shotaro OSHIMA (Japan) Dispute Settlement Body Amb. Amina MOHAMED (Kenya) Trade Policy Review Body Amb. Puangrat ASAVAPISIT (Thailand) Council for Trade in Goods Amb. Alfredo CHIARADIA (Argentina) Council for Trade in Services Amb. Peter BRNO (Slovak Republic) Council for TRIPS Mr. Joshua LAW (Hong Kong, China) Committee on Trade and Environment Amb. Naéla GABR (Egypt) Committee on Trade and Development Amb. Trevor CLARKE (Barbados) Committee on Balance-of Payments Restrictions Mr. Giulio TONINI (Italy) Committee on Regional Trade Agreements Amb. Ronald SABORÍO SOTO (Costa Rica) Committee on Budget, Finance and Administration Amb. Henrik Rée IVERSEN (Denmark) Working Group on Trade and Transfer of Technology Amb. Jaynarain MEETOO (Mauritius) Working Group on Trade, Debt and Finance Amb. Péter BALÁS (Hungary) Chairpersons of Bodies established under the Trade Negotiations Committee - 2004 (To serve until the 6th Session of the Ministerial Conference - date to be determined.) Negotiating Group on Market Access Amb. Stefán JÓHANNESSON (Iceland) Negotiating Group on Rules Amb. Eduardo PÉREZ MOTTA (Mexico) Special Session of the Council for Trade in Services Amb. Alejandro JARA (Chile) Special Session of the Council for TRIPS Amb. Manzoor AHMAD (Pakistan) Special Session of the Dispute Settlement Body Amb. David SPENCER (Australia) Special Session of the Committee on Agriculture Amb. Tim GROSER (New Zealand) Special Session of the Committee on Trade and Environment Amb. Toufiq ALI (Bangladesh) Special Session of the Committee on Trade and Development Mr. Faizel ISMAIL (South Africa) PS Note that no chairs for the Singapore issues working groups were appointed. This is because those opposing these issues being on the WTO agenda insisted that the lack of consensus regarding the post-Cancun mandate of these working groups militates against their continued operation. However, outgoing General Council Chair Perez del Castillo mentioned that WTO Deputy Directory General Xerxa would still be continuing his informal consultations with Members regarding Trade Facilitation.
voodoo economics 2004
[sent this yesterday but it never made it.] http://www.gpoaccess.gov/eop/index.html Economic Report of the President: The Economic Report of the President is an annual report written by the Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors. It overviews the nation's economic progress using text and extensive data appendices. The Economic Report of the President is transmitted to Congress no later than ten days after the submission of the Budget of the United States Government. Supplementary reports can be issued to the Congress which contain additional and/or revised recommendations. Documents are available as ASCII text and PDF files. 2004 Economic Report of the President http://a257.g.akamaitech.net/7/257/2422/09feb20040900/www.gpoaccess.gov/usbudget/fy05/pdf/2004_erp.pdf
voodoo economics 2004
http://www.gpoaccess.gov/eop/index.html Economic Report of the President: The Economic Report of the President is an annual report written by the Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors. It overviews the nation's economic progress using text and extensive data appendices. The Economic Report of the President is transmitted to Congress no later than ten days after the submission of the Budget of the United States Government. Supplementary reports can be issued to the Congress which contain additional and/or revised recommendations. Documents are available as ASCII text and PDF files. 2004 Economic Report of the President http://a257.g.akamaitech.net/7/257/2422/09feb20040900/www.gpoaccess.gov/usbudget/fy05/pdf/2004_erp.pdf
voodoo economics, 2004
http://www.gpoaccess.gov/eop/index.html Economic Report of the President: The Economic Report of the President is an annual report written by the Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors. It overviews the nation's economic progress using text and extensive data appendices. The Economic Report of the President is transmitted to Congress no later than ten days after the submission of the Budget of the United States Government. Supplementary reports can be issued to the Congress which contain additional and/or revised recommendations. Documents are available as ASCII text and PDF files. More. 2004 Economic Report of the President http://a257.g.akamaitech.net/7/257/2422/09feb20040900/www.gpoaccess.gov/usbudget/fy05/pdf/2004_erp.pdf
Re: The economy - a new era?
- Original Message - From: David B. Shemano [EMAIL PROTECTED] If airline deregulation was not a success, in your view, what do you propose to reregulate? Do you propose to go back to the pre-1978 era, where industry capture was an art form and the CAB actively prevented new entrants and price competition in the name of the public interest? Or do you propose nationalization and a single airline owned by the federal government? David Shemano Hell, why stop at nationalization; some of the corps. want the WTO to regulate the allocation of routes and landing slots and other stuff not already in GATS transport annex. Just imagine the computer programs for solving all those traveling salesman problems for divvying up market shares. Ian
Brit coal miner's strike, 20th anniversary
Arthur was right by instinct Two decades after the miners' strike, the full costs of the destruction of the coal industry are only now becoming clear Dave Feickert Wednesday February 11, 2004 The Guardian Never has any community of working people contributed so much to their country and yet been so badly treated. Never has there been such a wilful destruction of so many individual communities, of such a vast amount of productive public capital, or of a nation's strategic energy resource. Perhaps the real measure of the miners' sacrifice is this: since records were first kept in 1850, more than 100,000 of them have been killed at work. Countless others were injured or struck down by disease, with the present generation only now being compensated for some of those diseases - bronchitis and emphysema. Imagine what it must have been like to have had one of those men as a son, husband or father. Now, at the point when technology can prevent such destruction, that selfsame technology is being removed from the few remaining pits. On the 20th anniversary of the start of the miners' strike three key points need to be understood. First, on energy policy: instead of being the only European Union country that is self-sufficient in energy and a net oil exporter, in a few years we will join the others in their energy dependency. This time the UK will be at the end of the gas and oil pipelines from Russia, central Asia, Algeria and the Gulf. Windfarms, however welcome, will not save us. Last year's energy white paper acknowledged this: By 2020 we are likely to be importing around three-quarters of our energy needs. And by that time half the world's gas and oil will be coming from countries that are currently perceived as relatively unstable, either in political or economic terms. There are no major plans to build clean coal stations, but that is what Spencer Abraham, the US energy secretary, advised George Bush and Tony Blair in July 2003. Second, the economic and social costs of destroying the British coal industry have been huge - at least £28bn. This is nearly half of the North Sea tax revenues of £60bn collected since 1985. Unless further support is forthcoming, the horrendous damage to mining communities will take at least two generations to heal, notwithstanding the work of the Coalfields Regeneration Trust and the Coalfield Communities Campaign. Third, the miners' strike could not have taken shape in the way it did in any other EU country. It would have been negotiated to a settlement firmly within the restructuring aid framework of the European Coal and Steel Community treaty, the founding treaty of the European economic and social model. Instead, in Britain we had the application of 19th-century industrial relations to an industry that was at a technological watershed. Arthur Scargill, the miners' leader, was right about two things in particular: the huge scale of the redundancy and closure programme, and the inability of the consultation procedures within the industry to handle the issue. Restructuring had to be collectively bargained as well, but neither the National Coal Board (NCB) nor the government wanted to negotiate the substantive issues. Scargill was right by instinct, but also because a group of us from Bradford University had done the research. In 1982 we showed the National Union of Mineworkers executive that automated, heavy-duty technology would produce a productivity explosion. If the market for coal remained the same, this would lead in the worst case to the loss of more than 165,000 jobs, or 74% of the 1981 pit workforce of 225,000. The first to go would be the coalfields of Scotland, the north-east, Kent and south Wales, which had received little investment. As Nelson Mandela observed with his customary frankness at an international mineworkers' conference in Johannesburg in 1992: Scargill and the NUM have been vilified for trying to defend their members. At the famous meeting of March 6 1984, James Cowan, NCB deputy chairman, admitted only reluctantly that around 20 pits and 21,000 jobs would be hit. Scargill's initial figure of 70,000 job losses was attacked as scaremongering. Only in her 1993 memoirs could Mrs Thatcher admit the truth. Ian MacGregor, NCB chairman, had told her in September 1983 that he wanted to cut 64,000 jobs in three years and extend the redundancy scheme to include miners under 50. The huge hi-tech Selby coalfield is due to close by June this year. Then there will be fewer than 5,000 miners working in Britain's pits. While the second phase of pit closures arose in the 1990s from market displacement - mainly by the new, privatised gas power stations - the majority of job losses had earlier flowed from the productivity revolution. To illustrate this point: just one hi-tech coalface, at Kellingley colliery in Yorkshire, was producing 42,000 tonnes a week in 2003, almost as much as the 46,000 tonnes a week the whole pit was producing in 1983 from six faces,
Re: Brit coal miner's strike, 20th anniversary
Damn, another caffeine driven apostrophe mangling! Apologies.
Re: happiness is a transitory state
- Original Message - From: Carrol Cox [EMAIL PROTECTED] Michael Perelman wrote: I hope your smiley was intended for your entire message. There is no reason for that kind of discussion here. It was. I really thought Ian was having a joke with the list, I was responding in the same mood. I'm sorry if I misinterpreted the post's intentions. Carrol god forbid a tiny homily of platitudes on a Saturday evening should interrupt a festival of left miserablism... :- Ian