Re: accurate vs. precise

1999-04-30 Thread A.R. EDEN



Tom,

As an old old timer I cannot resist the temptation, with tongue firmly in
cheek,  to take you up on the meaurement of the diameter of a rod.   Whether
it is accurate or precise, I do not know, but to me a rod is a lineal
measurement, and does not have a diameter.

72 points = 1 inch
3 barleycorns (in length) = 1 inch
12 lines = 1 inch
12 inches = 1 foot
3 feet = 1 yard
 6 feet = 1 fathom

   ***  5 1/2 yards = 1 rod, (pole or perch). ***

40 poles  1 furlong
 8 furlongs = 1 mile
 3 miles = 1 league.

Square poles were used in my working lifetime for the measurement of
small plots of land (typically allotment gardens), but I expect they are all
in this new metric system.  Very confusing.   As no doubt you know  :-

1 sq. pole = 30 1/4 sq. yds.
40 sq. poles = 1 rood
 4 roods = 1 acre.
   etc., etc..

I have never come across lines and barleycorns, but I came across a
reference to them some years ago which claimed that the last time lines had
been used as a standard measurement was was in an Air Ministry specification
for the size of the brass buttons on Royal Air Force uniforms, and that a
barleycorn, a third of an inch, still ingers on - tho' not perhaps by name
now -  as the measure still used in boots and shoes.   The difference
between a size ten and a size ten and a half shoe, it was said, is NOT half
the difference in size betweena a 10 and a 11, but is a size 10 plus a
barleycorn  - a third of an inch!

   Apologies for any momentary distraction from more essential items, such
as sundials.

Rod Eden






- Original Message -
From: Tom Semadeni [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Phil Pappas [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Cc: sundial@rrz.uni-koeln.de
Sent: 29 April 1999 20:12
Subject: Re: accurate vs. precise


 Yo John!
 Old Timers?!
 Elderly?.or on old time? or been on the list for a while?or?

 My distant history tells me this:

 Precision usually means the number of significant figures used to report a
 measurement.
 Accuracy usually means how close your reported measurement is to the
truth.

 Try this scenario:

 Let's say that the diameter of a rod is measured, using accurate laser
 interferometry, to be 0. 50148 cm.

 You measure the diameter with a micrometer using its vernier scale and
report the
 diameter (A) as 0.5025 cm .
 You then use a coarse pair of calipers and report its diameter (B) to be
0.5 cm.

 Measurement A is MORE PRECISE because it implies a preciseness of
measurement
 1000 times, or 3 orders of magnitude, more precise than Measurement B.

 But measurement A implies that the true value of the diameter is between
0.
 50245 and 0.50255 cm while measurement B implies that the true value of
the
 diameter is between 0.45 cm and 0.55 cm.
 So measurement B is MORE ACCURATE since the true value lies within the
implied
 limits of the B measurement and outside of the A measurement limits.
 (There is a systematic error in the A measurement of about 0.001 cm,
probably due
 to a non-zeroed anvil measurement.)


 Dial accuracy is affected by the accuracy of placement and orientation of
all of
 the components.
 Dial precision is affected by the clever use of geometry, scaling, and
 interpolation lines to aid the eye to read the edge or body of a shadow
 precisely.

 John Shepherd's beautiful dial at:
 http://www.uwrf.edu/sundial/welcome.html
 demonstrates a clever trick to increase the precision of an accurate dial.
The
 trick is shown explicitly at:
 http://www.uwrf.edu/sundial/images.html
 where the good Professor shows three close-ups taken sequentially at 9:58,
10:00
 and 10:02 am Central Daylight Time.
 The eye/mind is very good at extrapolating to a point, much better than
finding
 and reporting the edge of a fuzzy shadow!

 The short and long of it, John, is that you shouldn't use accurate,
precise
 and old timer without proper explanation!

 It seems that there was a discussion on this list a long time ago about
tricks to
 help the eye get increased precision of dial time.  There must be some
rules of
 thumb about shadow distance, contrast, color etc. that would help us in
our quest
 for precision (assuming that our dial is free of the normal errors!).  I,
for
 one, would appreciate some pointers (pun) on the topic of enhancing
precision.

 Cheers,  and congratulations at being at the proofreading stage of your
Manual.
 Good stuff.
 t

 Phil Pappas wrote:

  Hello Old Timers:
 
  I've got another knit-picky question for you all to ponder. But you're a
  rather knit-picky group, so I don't think you'll mind.
 
  In proofreading the new fifth edition of my Sundial Owner's Manual,
when
  discussing sundials, I think that I mistakenly used the words, precise
and
  accurate, interchangeably, as if they meant the same thing.
 
 
  John Carmichael
  Tucson
  tel: 520-696-1709
  

RE: accurate vs. precise

1999-04-30 Thread Arthur Carlson

 Speaking of barleycorns reminds me that one can have a lot of fun with
 units.  My favorite combination has components

 atmosphere = 101,325 newton/m^2
 yard = 0.9144 m
 barn = 1 x 10^(-28) m^2

 Combining these we get the

 barn yard atmosphere = 9.265158 x 10^(-24) joule

 a unit of energy.

Just to relate this to our everyday experience, I would like to point out
that the barn yard atmosphere is also a convenient unit of temperature,
lying just between the Fahrenheit and Celsius degrees.

I once heard that the mass of the electron in pounds is exactly 2.00 X
10^-30, but I don't know whose pound you need to use to get this. (When the
Germans say pfund, they mean half a kilo.)

--Art Carlson


Re: accurate vs. precise

1999-04-30 Thread Dave Bell

On Fri, 30 Apr 1999, Jim_Cobb wrote:

  why don't you Anglophones try the metric system?
 
  - fernando
 
 Perhaps you should consider us bilingual in terms of units.
 Technically inclined (and many other) Anglophones use both English and
 SI units with comfort, though we prefer one set for some applications
 and the other for others.  I wouldn't suggest that someone who is
 bilingual should avoid using one of his languages... (just to relate
 this to a previous thread :-)
 
 Jim

Indeed!  

Why, just last night, I was working with furlongs and fifths of seconds...

Dave


Re: accurate vs. precise

1999-04-30 Thread Dave Bell

On Fri, 30 Apr 1999, Fernando Cabral wrote:

 Now, I hate when I see something like 2 yards, 2 feet, 5 inches and
 (the stroke of mercy)  1/8 -- It takes me several seconds to figure out
 how tall that person is!

Or when I see specifications such as:

Torque wheel bolts to 50 foot-pounds (6.9449 Newton-Metres), 
which comes back to the issue of precision!

 By the way: does stroke of mercy make sense in English?

Yes, but we really never translate it - from the French! Coup de grace

Dave


Re: accurate vs. precise

1999-04-30 Thread Dave Bell

On Fri, 30 Apr 1999, Fernando Cabral wrote:

   By the way: does stroke of mercy make sense in English?
 
  Yes, but we really never translate it - from the French! Coup de grace
 
 Now I am sure it makes sense. But if I were to say coup de grace
 I would be accused of suffering of francophilia. :-)
 
 - fernando

Aaac!!  Never!!!


Re: accurate vs. precise

1999-04-30 Thread Fernando Cabral

Dear Rod

I am glad you've diverted from the accurate vs. precise
issue. You know, to me this is so confusing I though I could
help myself bringing the terms into Portuguese. You know
what? Things only got worse.

I was completely uncapable of presenting my own comments
about the issue.  Especially because in my speech I've never
cared with the possible distinction between these two terms.

But now that you referred to these Imperial measurement units
I can confortably say: why don't you Anglophones try the metric
system? It is so easy to handle that even some one that can not
argue about the difference between accurate and precise
can use it with accuracy and precision. :-)

- fernando



A.R. EDEN wrote:

 Tom,

 As an old old timer I cannot resist the temptation, with tongue firmly in
 cheek,  to take you up on the meaurement of the diameter of a rod.   Whether
 it is accurate or precise, I do not know, but to me a rod is a lineal
 measurement, and does not have a diameter.

 72 points = 1 inch
 3 barleycorns (in length) = 1 inch
 12 lines = 1 inch
 12 inches = 1 foot
 3 feet = 1 yard
  6 feet = 1 fathom

***  5 1/2 yards = 1 rod, (pole or perch). ***

 40 poles  1 furlong
  8 furlongs = 1 mile
  3 miles = 1 league.

 Square poles were used in my working lifetime for the measurement of
 small plots of land (typically allotment gardens), but I expect they are all
 in this new metric system.  Very confusing.   As no doubt you know  :-

 1 sq. pole = 30 1/4 sq. yds.
 40 sq. poles = 1 rood
  4 roods = 1 acre.
etc., etc..

 I have never come across lines and barleycorns, but I came across a
 reference to them some years ago which claimed that the last time lines had
 been used as a standard measurement was was in an Air Ministry specification
 for the size of the brass buttons on Royal Air Force uniforms, and that a
 barleycorn, a third of an inch, still ingers on - tho' not perhaps by name
 now -  as the measure still used in boots and shoes.   The difference
 between a size ten and a size ten and a half shoe, it was said, is NOT half
 the difference in size betweena a 10 and a 11, but is a size 10 plus a
 barleycorn  - a third of an inch!

Apologies for any momentary distraction from more essential items, such
 as sundials.

 Rod Eden

 - Original Message -
 From: Tom Semadeni [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: Phil Pappas [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Cc: sundial@rrz.uni-koeln.de
 Sent: 29 April 1999 20:12
 Subject: Re: accurate vs. precise

  Yo John!
  Old Timers?!
  Elderly?.or on old time? or been on the list for a while?or?
 
  My distant history tells me this:
 
  Precision usually means the number of significant figures used to report a
  measurement.
  Accuracy usually means how close your reported measurement is to the
 truth.
 
  Try this scenario:
 
  Let's say that the diameter of a rod is measured, using accurate laser
  interferometry, to be 0. 50148 cm.
 
  You measure the diameter with a micrometer using its vernier scale and
 report the
  diameter (A) as 0.5025 cm .
  You then use a coarse pair of calipers and report its diameter (B) to be
 0.5 cm.
 
  Measurement A is MORE PRECISE because it implies a preciseness of
 measurement
  1000 times, or 3 orders of magnitude, more precise than Measurement B.
 
  But measurement A implies that the true value of the diameter is between
 0.
  50245 and 0.50255 cm while measurement B implies that the true value of
 the
  diameter is between 0.45 cm and 0.55 cm.
  So measurement B is MORE ACCURATE since the true value lies within the
 implied
  limits of the B measurement and outside of the A measurement limits.
  (There is a systematic error in the A measurement of about 0.001 cm,
 probably due
  to a non-zeroed anvil measurement.)
 
 
  Dial accuracy is affected by the accuracy of placement and orientation of
 all of
  the components.
  Dial precision is affected by the clever use of geometry, scaling, and
  interpolation lines to aid the eye to read the edge or body of a shadow
  precisely.
 
  John Shepherd's beautiful dial at:
  http://www.uwrf.edu/sundial/welcome.html
  demonstrates a clever trick to increase the precision of an accurate dial.
 The
  trick is shown explicitly at:
  http://www.uwrf.edu/sundial/images.html
  where the good Professor shows three close-ups taken sequentially at 9:58,
 10:00
  and 10:02 am Central Daylight Time.
  The eye/mind is very good at extrapolating to a point, much better than
 finding
  and reporting the edge of a fuzzy shadow!
 
  The short and long of it, John, is that you shouldn't use accurate,
 precise
  and old timer without proper explanation!
 
  It seems that there was a discussion on this list a long time ago about
 tricks to
  help the eye get increased precision of dial time.  

Re: accurate vs. precise

1999-04-30 Thread Fernando Cabral

Jim_Cobb wrote:

  why don't you Anglophones try the metric system?

  - fernando

 Perhaps you should consider us bilingual in terms of units.
 Technically inclined (and many other) Anglophones use both English and
 SI units with comfort, though we prefer one set for some applications
 and the other for others.  I wouldn't suggest that someone who is
 bilingual should avoid using one of his languages... (just to relate
 this to a previous thread :-)

I'll buy into that... Just to prevent you from calling me prejudiced.

To be sure, I don't have anything against the English units. They just
make my life harder. When I dive I have to use PSI (most diving
equipment will only have that); when I inflate my tires, the manual
never agrees with the air pump. If one is metric the other is
English. Pilots insist in using feet to refer to altitude (although
Brazilian pilots will always add a translation into meter)...

Now, I hate when I see something like 2 yards, 2 feet, 5 inches and
(the stroke of mercy)  1/8 -- It takes me several seconds to figure out
how tall that person is!

By the way: does stroke of mercy make sense in English?

- fernando





--
Fernando Cabral Padrao iX Sistemas Abertos
mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]  http://www.pix.com.br
mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Fone: +55 61 321-2433   Fax: +55 61 225-3082
15º 45' 04.9 S 47º 49' 58.6 W
19º 37' 57.0 S 45º 17' 13.6 W



Re: accurate vs. precise

1999-04-30 Thread Fernando Cabral

Dave Bell wrote:

 On Fri, 30 Apr 1999, Fernando Cabral wrote:

  Now, I hate when I see something like 2 yards, 2 feet, 5 inches and
  (the stroke of mercy)  1/8 -- It takes me several seconds to figure out
  how tall that person is!

 Or when I see specifications such as:

 Torque wheel bolts to 50 foot-pounds (6.9449 Newton-Metres),
 which comes back to the issue of precision!

  By the way: does stroke of mercy make sense in English?

 Yes, but we really never translate it - from the French! Coup de grace

Now I am sure it makes sense. But if I were to say coup de grace
I would be accused of suffering of francophilia. :-)

- fernando


--
Fernando Cabral Padrao iX Sistemas Abertos
mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]  http://www.pix.com.br
mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Fone: +55 61 321-2433   Fax: +55 61 225-3082
15º 45' 04.9 S 47º 49' 58.6 W
19º 37' 57.0 S 45º 17' 13.6 W



Re: accurate vs. precise

1999-04-30 Thread Jim_Cobb

 why don't you Anglophones try the metric system?

 - fernando

Perhaps you should consider us bilingual in terms of units.
Technically inclined (and many other) Anglophones use both English and
SI units with comfort, though we prefer one set for some applications
and the other for others.  I wouldn't suggest that someone who is
bilingual should avoid using one of his languages... (just to relate
this to a previous thread :-)

Jim
 --- -- 
| Jim Cobb  | 540 Arapeen Dr. #100 | [EMAIL PROTECTED]  |
| Parametric| Salt Lake City, UT   | (801)-588-4632 |
|  Technology Corp. |   84108-1202 | Fax (801)-588-4650 |
 --- -- 
My personal mission statement is I live up to the wild and vague
promises made by salesmen.


Re: accurate vs. precise

1999-04-30 Thread Jim_Cobb

Fernando wrote:

 Now, I hate when I see something like 2 yards, 2 feet, 5 inches and
 (the stroke of mercy)  1/8 -- It takes me several seconds to figure out
 how tall that person is!

Now that's a tall specimen (2.57 meters)!

 By the way: does stroke of mercy make sense in English?

 - fernando

No, I'm not sure of your meaning for that phrase in the context
(though I have some guesses).  English (at least in the U.S., I'm not
sure about other locales) does have the phrase stroke of luck, but
that's the only 'stroke' idiom that comes to mind.

It also occurs to me to mention that being an anglophone is not at
issue here.  In the U.K. most units are metric.  I think other
commonwealth countries make primary use of the metric system.  It is
we in the U.S. who hold onto this 'English' system, which is ironic
when one considers that the early U.S. pioneered using the decimal
system in its monetary system, which I believed inspired the French
after their revolution to make other measurements decimally based.

Jim
 --- -- 
| Jim Cobb  | 540 Arapeen Dr. #100 | [EMAIL PROTECTED]  |
| Parametric| Salt Lake City, UT   | (801)-588-4632 |
|  Technology Corp. |   84108-1202 | Fax (801)-588-4650 |
 --- -- 
Great works are performed not by strength, but perseverance.
-- Samuel Johnson


Re: accurate vs. precise

1999-04-30 Thread Jim_Cobb

Dave Bell [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote (I believe tongue in cheek):
 Indeed!

 Why, just last night, I was working with furlongs and fifths of seconds...

 Dave

It's interesting that you mention this.  Over the last several weeks I
have been reading Tolkien's Lord of the Rings to my children.  It
contains references to furlongs, fathoms, and leagues.  My children
are able to relate to these units because they are simple multiples of
units familiar to them.  This is similar to bilingualism inasmuch as
it makes excellent (and not so old) literature accessible.

As long as some want to dismiss the English system as having a silly
basis, may I propose we consider the hour, minute, and second.  These
are ridiculous units for the same reasons.

Originally the second was one-sixtieth of one-sixtieth of one-twelfth
of one-half of a day.  At present the official definition of the
second is goodness-who-can-recall-how-many oscillations of the light
emitted by a certain atomic electron transition (again, who can recall
which?).  Yet, how many SI units are derived from the second?  How
much pain would be involved in incorporating Swatch Time in a new
international system of units and using that to replace SI?

In fact, at the time the metric system was developed (in revolutionary
France) a decimal time unit was also developed (this has been
discussed in this forum before.  One could regard Swatch Time as a
marketing revival of this concept.)  It didn't catch on, and France
eventually went back to the second.  But it would have been easier for
us to use now than the second had it caught on.

Then we can move on to consider degrees, arcminutes, and arcseconds.
We could do geography in radians!  After that, how about monetary
units?  Legal systems?  Language?  Cultural norms?  Hair length?  Etc.

We keep using these units because they are familiar and not too
inconvenient, and the transition would be inconvenient.  In the
U.S. we continue to use the 'English' system for similar reasons; we
continue to use inches for much the same reason we don't have robust
professional leagues for soccer (er, football)--one we like and the
other we don't much care for.

Jim
 --- -- 
| Jim Cobb  | 540 Arapeen Dr. #100 | [EMAIL PROTECTED]  |
| Parametric| Salt Lake City, UT   | (801)-588-4632 |
|  Technology Corp. |   84108-1202 | Fax (801)-588-4650 |
 --- -- 
To question a wise man is the beginning of wisdom.  -- German proverb


Re: accurate vs. precise

1999-04-30 Thread Slawomir K. Grzechnik

I think Mike Shaw stated the matter for good using fromerly cited examples
of darts and guns. 

Strictly speaking accuracy and precision are sort of independent. If your
mean (average) shot is on the target then you are accurate even if you
never hit the target precisely. Your shots may be off the target by a large
distance. You are accurate so long as the mean shot is on the target.

If the dispersion of your shots is small then you are precise. Of course
your shots do not have to converge on the target. So it may happen that you
are extremely precise but not accurate like if your darts all converged on
lower right corner within a radius of an inch. Using darts (or shooting)
you may have examples of any compbination of accuracy and precision.
Shooting examples are best because they clearly show what closeness of
mean to target and dispersion (measured by standard deviation)  mean. But
concepts of accuracy and precision apply everywhere in life. Not
surprisingly the distinction between the two is very clear in technology,
navigation and gunnery even if terms are used interchangeably.

I would add another remark. Precision is costly and you know it very well
even from sundialing experience. Accuracy is related to your attitude and
skills. Precision depends on apparatus and resources you have at hand. So
if you are not accurate in general, then the best precision probably will
not help you because you focus off the target or on the wrong target.

As a rule we should be always accurate and as precise as we can afford it.

Slawek



At 10:44 PM 4/29/99 +0100, you wrote:
Fire 10 shots from a gun at a target.
If the 10 holes in the target are tightly grouped, but near
the outer, you are precise but not accurate
If they are loosely grouped evenly around the bull, you are
accurate, but not precise.
If you can get them tightly grouped around the bull, you
are precise and accurate

In mathematical terms:
Accuracy is the closeness of the mean to the target figure
Precision is indicated by the standard deviation

I think

Off to the annual BSS conference tomorrow for an
entertaining weekend.
Hope to see some of you there.

Mike Shaw

[EMAIL PROTECTED]
53.37N  3.02W



Slawek Grzechnik
32 57.4'N   117 08.8'W
http://home.san.rr.com/slawek