RE: t-and-f: believe it or not

2001-09-04 Thread Mcewen, Brian T

  I'm skating without data here, but 
I think the following folks were under 25 when they set their WRs:  Viren, 
Rono, Aouita, ElG, Morcelli, Cram, Coe, Geb, Komen (he was 21 I believe!), 
Kimombwa. 

Fair enough Rich.  But for those who think that naming names of WR holders
who did so under 25, constitutes evidence that distance ability can reach
WR-level by 18-19 (that WAS the discussion ... a 7:58 steeple) you must
consider your own examples:

Coe  (set WR in 800 when young, ran 3:29.77 when he was much older)

Aouita (may have run 13:00 WR when 25, but 4:50/8:13y/12:58 when 27 or so,
7:29 when he was 29)

Rono   (4 WRs in '78 when he was older than 25, but 13:06 WR/27:29 in
'81/'82 when much older)  

ElG(Better at 22 or 28?  Hard to say.  He was certainly great at both
ages.  Fastest at 2k/3k when older than 25)

Cram   (Best year was 1985, he was 25 or older then)

Morceli (Greatest success in 1500m when under 25, but 2k WR and 7:23 3k WR
when 26 and 25)

Viren   (WR at 22 I think, but even better in 1976: Gold, Gold, 5th in
'thon)


Consider other post-1960 examples:

Ovett  (WRs when young, but 1500m PR when far beyond 25)

Walker (3:49.4 when young, 3:49.08 seven years later)
Mamede (How old when he went 13:12/27:13 WR in same season? way past 30)
Lopes  (13:16/27:17 at 37. 'nuff said)
Moses Kiptanui (WR in Steeple and 5k in 1995, older than 25?  7:56 in 1997)

Ron Clarke (Fastest at what age?)
Moorcroft  (3:49/7:32/13:00.42 PRs when 28 years old)
Salah Hissou   (How old when he went sub-27?)
Yobes ondieki  (How old when he went sub-27?)

Arturo Barrios (How old when he ran 13:07/27:08?)
Tergat
Moh. Mourhit
Steve Scott
Dieter Baumann (12:54 at over-30)
Spivey  (7:37 in '93, 13:15 in '94 ... 3:31/3:49y/4:52 when older than 25)

Won't even start with the women, or the marathon and XC specialists.


When you get right down to it, there are lots of examples of distance WR
holders who set their first mark at least, when younger than 25.  Most of
the examples are milers.  There are certainly some exceptions. 

Did anyone post-1960 run their best-ever times while still 19?  Yes, Jim
Ryun did in the 1500 and mile.  However, there is a lot of evidence that a
DISTANCE runner USUALLY reaches his full potential physically when older
than 25 and having trained for 10-12+ years.  That is all I believed, I
didn't want to start a sprinter vs. D-runner debate.

If you think the 7:58 WJR is a legitimate record, by an actual 18-year-old,
god bless you, you are going to enjoy following track much more for it.

/Brian McEwen

-Original Message-
From: Richard McCann [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]
Sent: Thursday, August 30, 2001 7:46 PM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: t-and-f: believe it or not


The sport has changed with professionalization.  In large part is reflects 
the different reasons why sprinters and distance runners 
compete.  Sprinters are in largely for the competition only, and at least 
in the past, only trained as necessary for that competition.  When training 
became a burden in life, as with the end of college, they 
retired.  Distance runners on the other hand (yes, I'm biased-I'm one) 
participate for not only competition but also health benefits, outdoor 
enjoyment, physical effort, and social aspects.  Because of the work 
necessary (read investment) to reach an elite level versus sprinters, 
they are more likely to have structured their life around their training, 
and leaving school for work was a much smaller adjustment vis-a-vis 
training and competition.
With sprinters now able to make a living, the transition to work is in fact 
just a continuation of their sport.  On the other hand, the number of 
masters sprinters is tiny in comparison to masters distance runners, where 
the old model still rules.
I guess we've been fooled up to now about whether speed peaks before 
endurance by biased, tainted data.
As for the Kenyans, I would not be surprised if they are not suffering 
early burnout from intense training.  Our discussion about the York HS 
program has some applicabiltiy here.
And as an added note, Webb is competitive with the African Juniors, no 
matter what their age.  I believe his time would have been among the top 3 
Jrs 1500s in the world in 2000.
BTW, if you look at the average of past distance world record holders, I 
think you'll find that at least after 1960 (the true modern era), they have 
been much younger than you might think.  I'm skating without data here, but 
I think the following folks were under 25 when they set their WRs:  Viren, 
Rono, Aouita, ElG, Morcelli, Cram, Coe, Geb, Komen (he was 21 I believe!), 
Kimombwa.

Richard McCann
Date: Thu, 30 Aug 2001 12:06:02 -0600 (MDT)
From: P.F.Talbot [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: t-and-f: believe it or not

Also, Shorter was 24 when he won Olympic Gold in the marathon correct (and
was 5th in the Olympic 10,000m)?  He arguably improved little if any after
that time (though he did dominate the sport for years

RE: t-and-f: believe it or not

2001-08-31 Thread Richard McCann

At 09:09 PM 8/30/2001 -0400, malmo wrote:
Distance runners time investment versus that of sprinters? Distance
running, of all events in track, requires the LEAST amount of time
investment. Few sports besides running, if any, can one become one of
the best in the world on just two hours a day.

The sprinters put in a long day to get where they are. Give em credit.

malmo

At the world elite level today, yes, perhaps, although how much of the year 
they work at those levels is less.  Distance running requires virtually 
year-round conditioning.  However at the scholastic and collegiate levels, 
which is where the pre-professional sprinters came from, they definitely 
did not put in the same amount of work (and I know you went to college).  5 
days a week for 5 months at most, perhaps an extra hour a day during those 
days vs. distance running.  It is a sporadic activity at that level 
compared to distance running.

Also, that higher work level is a direct result of professionalization of 
sprinting.  My statement about levels of investment relate most directly 
to the pre-profestional period.  In the pre-professional period, few 
sprinters worked as hard as distance runners.  I believe one of the main 
reasons why the 100m WR continues to drop is largely because of the 
increased work level of world class sprinters, just as a similar phenomenon 
drove down distance WRs in the 1950s and 60s.

Richard McCann



   Because of the work
  necessary (read investment) to reach an elite level versus
  sprinters,
  they are more likely to have structured their life around
  their training,
  and leaving school for work was a much smaller adjustment vis-a-vis
  training and competition.
  With sprinters now able to make a living, the transition to
  work is in fact
  just a continuation of their sport.  On the other hand, the number of
  masters sprinters is tiny in comparison to masters distance
  runners, where
  the old model still rules.




RE: t-and-f: believe it or not

2001-08-31 Thread Gerald Woodward

I heard the same stories, but have not seen Obea since last track season
(2000) to ask him what he is doing as related to track.  It really is a
shame if he wastes all that talent and gives it up for good.

Gerald

-Original Message-
From: Conway [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]
Sent: Thursday, August 30, 2001 7:23 AM
To: Gerald Woodward; [EMAIL PROTECTED]; [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: t-and-f: believe it or not


Gerald wrote:


 Obea's problem was that he got mixed up with the wrong crowd, and they
 messed up his mind.  He also got hurt for the first time and did not know
 how to deal with a serious injury.  He tried to come back too soon and
 reinjured himself.  His confidence has been destroyed.  It is really too
bad
 because he probably would have broken the WR in the 400 had he continued
to
 train and develop in college as he had in AG and HS.

So does that mean that we have seen the last of Obea on the track ?? I know
earlier this year there were reports of him being at one or two different
JCs .. Times that he had supposedly ran .. And that he was on his way back
.. This sounds like Obea is calling it quits .. Which would be a shame for
someone with his talent .. I too got to see him run out here in California
.. And while I am sure he worked very hard, he made it look surprisingly
easy ...

Conway Hill
[EMAIL PROTECTED]





RE: t-and-f: believe it or not

2001-08-30 Thread Kebba Tolbert

From: Mcewen, Brian T [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Obea Moore?  Brendan Christian?  Bill Miller?
The 400m?  The vault?

You guys know better.  For Chrissakes David, YOU ARE a distance runner!

Saying that lots of legitimate 16-year-olds or 19-year-olds were able to 
run XX.XX or jump XX.XX in a 400m or a jump has no bearing on distance 
running.

Kebba, last time I looked into it, the 100/200 and Steeple were different 
events with different physical requirements.  You might want to check this 
out.

Of course they're different events with different requirements. this doesn't 
meant that we should have different expectations.



Can a sprinter or jumper put up national class (or
flirting-with-world-class) times while still well under 20?

Of course.

Distance running and sprinting are different sports, not just different 
events.  Check the historical average of distance record holders and 
sprint rec. holders ... then check the same for Major Championship 
winners. Late-20's for the skinny guys, early 20's for the fast guys.

There are plenty of 19-25 yr old running really fast in events for 800m all 
the way up to 10k. Look on the world list. The trend has been increasing in 
the last decade and shows very few signs of slowing.

I'll shut up about bogus Kenyan Juniors .. but please give me something 
better than;  7:58 could be legit, because Americans run fast sprint 
times at 16.

okay, i'll give you something bettter. maybe it's that they're just better 
than us, want it more than us, and expect success more than us, and train 
smarter/harder than us. when national pride is dependnant on whether or not 
you medal the expectations go way up. In 1992, 1995, and 96 it was announced 
and seen as a damn near travesty when we couldn't bust a grape in the men's 
100m. How do you think Kenyan steeplers feel right now. We expect our junior 
men and women sprinter to be extremely competetive. we get excited when they 
come close to WJR or times that would take them very far (e.g., semifinals) 
in international competitions. We expect our senior men and women sprinters 
and hurdlers to dominate the yearly lists and win medals at
major meets.

On the other hand, it's a big deal when a distance runner is merely 
competitive in an international final or makes a good effort. No one cut 
Dennis Mitchell or Burrell any slack in 92 when they got 3rd and 5th in 
Barcelona. If we set the standard for sending people to international teams 
to people who have PR's of 3:32 or better you'll see a diff. When our 5k, 
Steeple, and 10k folks can be internationally competetive in shorter events 
(See Szabo, Kiptinui, Said, Jacobs, O Sullivan, Komen, Slaney, Haile, etc) 
we'll stand a chance. Until then forget about it.


When we stop whining and making excuses talking about EPO, over-ages 
Kenyans, Morrocans, Ethiopians and do a better job of talent ID, talent 
development, and training the parameters needed for top flight performances 
in the distances then we'll stand  a chance.


/Brian McEwen

P.S.  Now we not only have women's WRs that will never be broken, but 
 Junior records as well.

Junior records can and do get broken. Had it not been for a broken 
wind-gauge the WJR in 100m would've been broken in Edmonton. Records are 
records because they're outstanding performances not because they're soft or 
easy. If you want something it takes a ton of talent, and often a ton of 
reasonably-well guided work. 100 miles a week is not the answer. altitude 
training is not the answer.

think of it this way - at most major Div I universities if football and 
basketball coahces have 2-4 bad yrs in a row heads roll. In Kenya and 
Ethiopia if medals aren't brought back from major competitions s**t hits the 
fan, people are pissed, etc. If Kenneedy, Holman, McMullen, Meb, Suzy, or 
Khannouci bomb out it's really no big deal because no one expected much to 
begin with. If a kid blows a baton pass more than once in a major meet they 
can kiss their future relay chances goodbye (I've seen it happen). If we 
told our distance folks that they had to hit the A standard in order to 
receive/maintain their funding (like they do in some countries) we'd see a 
diff.

--Kebba




_
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Re: t-and-f: believe it or not

2001-08-30 Thread Conway

Gerald wrote:


 Obea's problem was that he got mixed up with the wrong crowd, and they
 messed up his mind.  He also got hurt for the first time and did not know
 how to deal with a serious injury.  He tried to come back too soon and
 reinjured himself.  His confidence has been destroyed.  It is really too
bad
 because he probably would have broken the WR in the 400 had he continued
to
 train and develop in college as he had in AG and HS.

So does that mean that we have seen the last of Obea on the track ?? I know
earlier this year there were reports of him being at one or two different
JCs .. Times that he had supposedly ran .. And that he was on his way back
.. This sounds like Obea is calling it quits .. Which would be a shame for
someone with his talent .. I too got to see him run out here in California
.. And while I am sure he worked very hard, he made it look surprisingly
easy ...

Conway Hill
[EMAIL PROTECTED]





RE: t-and-f: believe it or not

2001-08-30 Thread GHTFNedit

In a message dated Thu, 30 Aug 2001 10:18:01 AM Eastern Daylight Time, Mcewen, Brian 
T [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

 Distance running and sprinting are different sports, not just different
 events.  Check the historical average of distance record holders and sprint
 rec. holders .

Hmm, let's see. 30-year-old Carl Lewis set his first record in the 100, was succceeded 
by 27-year-old Leroy Burrell who was suceeded by 28-year-old Donovan Bailey. MJ set 
the 200 record at 28, the 400 record (finally) at 30.

Meanwhile, Geb holds the 5K and 10K marks set when he was 25.

gh



Re: t-and-f: believe it or not

2001-08-30 Thread Ed Dana Parrot

 Hmm, let's see. 30-year-old Carl Lewis set his first record in the 100,
was succceeded by 27-year-old Leroy Burrell who was suceeded by 28-year-old
Donovan Bailey. MJ set the 200 record at 28, the 400 record (finally) at 30.

 Meanwhile, Geb holds the 5K and 10K marks set when he was 25.

And Komen before him was not exactly geriatric, either.  Even if you don't
believe the stated ages, the Africans are clearly having world class success
at the distance events well before age 25.  I suspect if you look at the top
ten in any given year, there won't be that much age difference between
sprinters and distance runners any more.

The comparison IS made more difficult (actually impossible) by the fact that
we can't judge many of the Africans' ages accurately.  But the last 15 years
of sprinting has seen 25-30 become the peak age.

- Ed Parrot




RE: t-and-f: believe it or not

2001-08-30 Thread GHTFNedit

In a message dated Thu, 30 Aug 2001  1:43:57 PM Eastern Daylight Time, Mcewen, Brian 
T [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

 A:  historical avg would stretch back farther than 15 years.

actually, it wouldn't, becuase the nature of the sport has changed so drastically in 
that period of time. Before the profressional era, sprinting was dominated by American 
collegians who typically retired shortly after finishing college (or the next 
Olympics). Now that one can afford to hang around, the age of top sprinters has 
skyrocketed upwards.

gh



Re: t-and-f: believe it or not

2001-08-30 Thread P.F.Talbot

Also, Shorter was 24 when he won Olympic Gold in the marathon correct (and
was 5th in the Olympic 10,000m)?  He arguably improved little if any after
that time (though he did dominate the sport for years at his peak).

On Thu, 30 Aug 2001, Ed  Dana Parrot wrote:

  Hmm, let's see. 30-year-old Carl Lewis set his first record in the 100,
 was succceeded by 27-year-old Leroy Burrell who was suceeded by 28-year-old
 Donovan Bailey. MJ set the 200 record at 28, the 400 record (finally) at 30.
 
  Meanwhile, Geb holds the 5K and 10K marks set when he was 25.

 And Komen before him was not exactly geriatric, either.  Even if you don't
 believe the stated ages, the Africans are clearly having world class success
 at the distance events well before age 25.  I suspect if you look at the top
 ten in any given year, there won't be that much age difference between
 sprinters and distance runners any more.

 The comparison IS made more difficult (actually impossible) by the fact that
 we can't judge many of the Africans' ages accurately.  But the last 15 years
 of sprinting has seen 25-30 become the peak age.

 - Ed Parrot



***
Paul Talbot
Department of Geography/
Institute of Behavioral Science
University of Colorado, Boulder
Boulder CO 80309-0260
(303) 492-3248
[EMAIL PROTECTED]





RE: t-and-f: believe it or not

2001-08-30 Thread Mcewen, Brian T

 Also, Shorter was 24 when he won Olympic Gold in the marathon correct
(and
was 5th in the Olympic 10,000m)?  He arguably improved little if any after
that time (though he did dominate the sport for years at his peak).


Well ... nobody can argue with that ... that proves it.  Distance runners
can hit their lifetime best at any age and look for a Kenyan teenager to run
2 miles under 8:00 soon.




Re: t-and-f: believe it or not

2001-08-30 Thread Richard McCann

The sport has changed with professionalization.  In large part is reflects 
the different reasons why sprinters and distance runners 
compete.  Sprinters are in largely for the competition only, and at least 
in the past, only trained as necessary for that competition.  When training 
became a burden in life, as with the end of college, they 
retired.  Distance runners on the other hand (yes, I'm biased-I'm one) 
participate for not only competition but also health benefits, outdoor 
enjoyment, physical effort, and social aspects.  Because of the work 
necessary (read investment) to reach an elite level versus sprinters, 
they are more likely to have structured their life around their training, 
and leaving school for work was a much smaller adjustment vis-a-vis 
training and competition.
With sprinters now able to make a living, the transition to work is in fact 
just a continuation of their sport.  On the other hand, the number of 
masters sprinters is tiny in comparison to masters distance runners, where 
the old model still rules.
I guess we've been fooled up to now about whether speed peaks before 
endurance by biased, tainted data.
As for the Kenyans, I would not be surprised if they are not suffering 
early burnout from intense training.  Our discussion about the York HS 
program has some applicabiltiy here.
And as an added note, Webb is competitive with the African Juniors, no 
matter what their age.  I believe his time would have been among the top 3 
Jrs 1500s in the world in 2000.
BTW, if you look at the average of past distance world record holders, I 
think you'll find that at least after 1960 (the true modern era), they have 
been much younger than you might think.  I'm skating without data here, but 
I think the following folks were under 25 when they set their WRs:  Viren, 
Rono, Aouita, ElG, Morcelli, Cram, Coe, Geb, Komen (he was 21 I believe!), 
Kimombwa.

Richard McCann
Date: Thu, 30 Aug 2001 12:06:02 -0600 (MDT)
From: P.F.Talbot [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: t-and-f: believe it or not

Also, Shorter was 24 when he won Olympic Gold in the marathon correct (and
was 5th in the Olympic 10,000m)?  He arguably improved little if any after
that time (though he did dominate the sport for years at his peak).

On Thu, 30 Aug 2001, Ed  Dana Parrot wrote:

   Hmm, let's see. 30-year-old Carl Lewis set his first record in the 100,
  was succceeded by 27-year-old Leroy Burrell who was suceeded by 28-year-old
  Donovan Bailey. MJ set the 200 record at 28, the 400 record (finally) 
 at 30.
  
   Meanwhile, Geb holds the 5K and 10K marks set when he was 25.
 
  And Komen before him was not exactly geriatric, either.  Even if you don't
  believe the stated ages, the Africans are clearly having world class 
 success
  at the distance events well before age 25.  I suspect if you look at 
 the top
  ten in any given year, there won't be that much age difference between
  sprinters and distance runners any more.
 
  The comparison IS made more difficult (actually impossible) by the fact 
 that
  we can't judge many of the Africans' ages accurately.  But the last 15 
 years
  of sprinting has seen 25-30 become the peak age.




RE: t-and-f: believe it or not

2001-08-29 Thread Gerald Woodward

GH,

I was there when Obea ran it!  I also followed his career from Age Group TF
through his high school years.  He ran and my nephew competed in a lot of
the same meets, except that my nephew is a few years older than Obea.  I
also know Obea's mother very well.  We sat and talked at many of Obea's
meets.  She is a high school principal.

Obea was an exceptional athlete with very competitive juices that allowed
him to mature and excel beyond his years.  He was also a very hard worker.
He could do workouts that many athletes could not do.  His range ran from
100 Meters through 800 Meters.  I'm sure he could have run a pretty quick
mile if he so desired.

Obea's problem was that he got mixed up with the wrong crowd, and they
messed up his mind.  He also got hurt for the first time and did not know
how to deal with a serious injury.  He tried to come back too soon and
reinjured himself.  His confidence has been destroyed.  It is really too bad
because he probably would have broken the WR in the 400 had he continued to
train and develop in college as he had in AG and HS.

Gerald

-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]On Behalf Of [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Wednesday, August 29, 2001 1:28 PM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: t-and-f: believe it or not


 Brian McEwen writes:

Tell me that you believe a 16 year old can run 8:19 or 27:43 (as the
records would have you believe) and I will shut up 

No, i don't believe it. But then, I don't believe anybody of any age can run
12:39 or 26:22 either!

How do you think the rest of the world feels about Obea Moore's 45.14 at age
16? I don't believe that one either!

gh




Re: t-and-f: believe it or not

2001-08-29 Thread denise lockett

gh wrote:
 Brian McEwen writes:
Tell me that you believe a 16 year old can run 8:19 or 27:43 (as the
records would have you believe) and I will shut  up.

No, i don't believe it. But then, I don't believe anybody of any age can
run 12:39 or 26:22 either!

 How do you think the rest of the world feels about Obea Moore's 45.14 at
age 16? I don't believe that one either!

 gh

I'll take that a step farther - anyone who saw Obea Moore at the Olympic
Trials in Atlanta would certainly not have believed he was 16, and I don't
just mean his performance. He looked far more physically mature than I could
ever hope to, no matter how many gray hairs I get. So comments about how old
some East Africans look are not necessarily very relevant either.

Look at what Brendan Christian did in 2000 as a high school sophomore. That
would have put him in the Olympics from most countries, and been knocking on
the door of the finals. That - somewhere just above or below 10th place - is
the same kind of finish someone with a 8:19 or a 27:43 PR could expect at
the world level if they ran well.

Are the world junior records legit? Maybe not. Is there any chance the true
WJR is not held by a Kenyan or Ethiopian? Probably not. Given how big the
gap is between them and the best from real birth certificate countries, and
how dominant they are in competitions where it doesn't matter how old they
are, I would expect their juniors to be a lot better than everyone else's.

david honea




RE: t-and-f: believe it or not

2001-08-29 Thread DLTFNedit

Obviously some, if not many, of the African Juniors of the past 15 years have not been 
juniors. Moses Kiptanui was definitely not 19 back in '91. There was NO WAY that Addis 
Abebe was 19 back in '89. Dude had a receding hairline (Okay, so did the Mastalir's in 
high school, but that's different).

But I would not hesititate to believe that Ismael Kirui was 18 in '93 when he won the 
World Champs 5K for the first time. That guy really looked like a true 18-year-old. 
Sure, that has him running 28:30 or so at age 16, but if Chapa could run that in high 
school, Kirui could do it at 16.
sideshow



RE: t-and-f: believe it or not

2001-08-29 Thread Michael Contopoulos

You guys also have to remember that the majority of American's don't start 
running until their freshman year of high school.  I was 15 in October of my 
freshman year... meaning I had run for a year by the time I was 16.  When, 
lets say a Kenyan runs 13:low at, say 19, he may have been running for 10 
years already.  That's like one of our guys running 13:low at 25.  There are 
so many factors that go into this.  75% are probably not really juniors.  Of 
the 25% that are left, probably 95% have the equivalent running experience 
of a 25 year old American.  On top of all this, don't forget that running at 
such a young age while you are still growing may affect the body in a more 
beneficial way than starting at 14 or 15.

M


From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Reply-To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: RE: t-and-f: believe it or not
Date: Wed, 29 Aug 2001 20:01:53 EDT

Obviously some, if not many, of the African Juniors of the past 15 years 
have not been juniors. Moses Kiptanui was definitely not 19 back in '91. 
There was NO WAY that Addis Abebe was 19 back in '89. Dude had a receding 
hairline (Okay, so did the Mastalir's in high school, but that's 
different).

But I would not hesititate to believe that Ismael Kirui was 18 in '93 when 
he won the World Champs 5K for the first time. That guy really looked like 
a true 18-year-old. Sure, that has him running 28:30 or so at age 16, but 
if Chapa could run that in high school, Kirui could do it at 16.
sideshow


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