Re: [Vo]:I missed Jed when he quit and now I miss Steve

2010-03-28 Thread Abd ul-Rahman Lomax

At 07:47 PM 3/27/2010, Francis X Roarty wrote:

Abd,
I asked about the normal rate of neutron capture because I thought 
it might change with fractional hydrogen.  Always the optimist I 
find myself looking for the mechanism by which it could work. I 
really feel we already have all the information we need to solve 
this mystery but no one wants to borrow parts from one another to 
solve it correctly.


Probably not change, if by fractional hydrogen you mean hydrogen 
with a Mills electron in a fractional state (1/N fraction of the 
mimimum Bohr orbit). Neutrons would be very little affected, if at 
all, by the electrons.


As to information to solve the mystery, I think not. What we need 
is for theorists, using the various extant theories or new ones, to 
make predictions, and then see if subsequent experiment matches the 
predictions. Sure, it is quite possible that, among the various 
theories, there are elements that, put together, might explain the 
results, but no theory as far as I know is satisfactory to explain 
all of what we already know. Some are closer than others, and if we 
could narrow it down with partial predictive success, we might get 
closer. But I haven't seen publication of predictions, beyond the 
first successful one, Preparata's prediction of helium as the 
predominant ash of the heat-producing mechanism.


It appears that there is rivalry in the field, to some degree, 
instead of cooperation. That impedes progress. It may not be possible 
to fix this, because the potential rewards of being the first with 
the right theory or magic technique that could lead to practical 
power generation are so great. It could be that this would not be at 
all fair, because any discovery now in this field will build on the 
work of others.


I.e., the theoretician may come up with the magic key that explains 
everything. But to get there, very likely, the field was cleared by 
all the dead ends and failures. It may sound silly, but we need to 
fund more failures, very specific failures, to clear the field. Along 
with some successes. In real science, no experiment is a failure. In 
engineering, failures are also important, but only a little, which is 
why engineering does better when there is a solid theoretical 
foundation, when new science does not have to be discovered.




[Vo]:I missed Jed when he quit and now I miss Steve

2010-03-27 Thread Francis X Roarty
Just so I understand what all the fuss is about.. Is it because he is
pushing neutron capture when he is supposed to be unbiased? I watched the
Youtube presentation and frankly I liked it.  How often does neutron capture
occur normally? Does neutron capture get accelerated by catalytic action?



Re: [Vo]:I missed Jed when he quit and now I miss Steve

2010-03-27 Thread Jed Rothwell
I never quit! I was temporarily locked out for a short time due to a
misunderstanding.

As I have said several times, I quit CMNS only because I am lazy about
keeping track of information, and I don't want to upset anyone there.

Francis X Roarty wrote:

 Just so I understand what all the fuss is about.. Is it because he is
 pushing neutron capture when he is supposed to be unbiased?

I do not know what the fuss is about. He was terribly upset with me because
I reported that during the ACS press conference, he relayed questions via
e-mail from Larsen. It turns out someone else was doing that. Why that would
upset him is a complete mystery to me. It seems like an innocuous thing to
do, and an innocuous mistake on my part. I think he was also upset because
people criticized him for shoddy work, such as using the trick from How to
Lie with Statistics. If someone caught me doing that, I would be
embarrassed and apologetic, not upset with that person.

Perhaps he has not read that book and he did not realize the technique is
considered deceptive. I should have pointed it out the first time he did it,
here.

People get riled up for reasons that make no sense to me.

I expect he will be back soon. I should probably not write too many snide
comments about him in the meanwhile, since he can always read the archives.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:I missed Jed when he quit and now I miss Steve

2010-03-27 Thread Abd ul-Rahman Lomax

At 11:34 PM 3/26/2010, fznidar...@aol.com wrote:

Something ate our friend. If the professional is still alive in the 
belly of the whale, he'll be back. Maybe even a new, improved version.


Meanwhile, those who are close to him can still communicate with him 
where he sits, in his self-constructed confinement. Maybe you can 
bring him out. I'm not giving up, though I'm not trying directly any more.


I'd gladly respond to any mediation attempts, though. If I've done 
something wrong by confronting what I found, I'd like to know.


I won't quit the list because someone criticizes me, I'm sure. Check 
out my participation on Wikipedia! I've stopped editing, generally, 
but only because an arbitrator opined that I'd violated a sanction, 
without explaining why my actions were violations, so, since I'd 
rather not be blocked right now, I've simply stopped all of it for a 
time. I didn't trash my account, spike my password, or stuff like 
that which editors abused by Wikipedia process often do. And I'm 
working on Wikipedia and the entire WikiMedia Fourdation structure, 
from the outside.


One step at a time.



Re: [Vo]:I missed Jed when he quit and now I miss Steve

2010-03-27 Thread Abd ul-Rahman Lomax

At 05:55 AM 3/27/2010, Francis X Roarty wrote:
Just so I understand what all the fuss is about.. Is it because he 
is pushing neutron capture when he is supposed to be unbiased? I 
watched the Youtube presentation and frankly I liked it.  How often 
does neutron capture occur normally? Does neutron capture get 
accelerated by catalytic action?


No, you don't understand. I know it's a lot of material, but read the 
material about Krivit above, since the ACS press conference, say, and 
there is much more recently about Krivit, including his documents on 
the heat/helium issue. Then consider what's been said.


The problem is only a little that he is aggressively pushing a single 
theory, though that does compromise his objectivity as a reporter. It 
is that, to do this, he attacks practically the entire cold fusion 
research community, and he criticizes the work in ways that show that 
he hasn't understood it.


The issue is not Widom-Larsen theory, per se. It's how Krivit 
supports it by attacking differing theories using polemic and gross 
oversimplifications of the experimental evidence, its implications, 
and what others say about it.


Neutron capture is apparently very rare normally, because of the 
shortage of slow neutrons, which are very readily captured by many 
nuclei. In other words, the issue would be the generation of slow 
neutrons, not acceleration of capture. Where are they coming from? I 
don't know how Larsen explains this, but if slow neutrons are 
available, we'd expect lots of reactions to be taking place that are 
not seen. Perhaps Larsen has an answer for this. I'd suggest that if 
he favors W-L theory, he has a lot of work to do to educate the rest 
of it as to why it's so explanatory in power, because, so far, what I 
know, and I've looked more than just a little, doesn't do that for 
me. As a journalist, it's fine for him to explain things, collect the 
information, and present it in a way that makes it understandable.


But he's not a scientist, and he seems to be more interested in the 
politics, and creates political stories where there may be none. His 
very noisy claim that LENR is not fusion is little more than a 
linguistic quibble; as far as I can see, he accepts that helium is 
being produced, and if helium is being produced by neutron capture, 
it is a type of fusion, just not deuterium fusion, and probably the 
reaction isn't simple two-deuteron fusion anyway, though some 
possibilities have not been ruled out. By aggressively challenging 
fusion as being the product of a belief, rather than of serious 
experimental evidence, he is justifying the doubts of the skeptics. 
See, look, even Steve Krivit now admits that it isn't fusion, which 
is actually being said, and, mostly, his parallel message that it is, 
anyway, a nuclear reaction, is lost. His screeds cast doubt upon the 
honesty and competence of nearly every major cold fusion researcher, 
without any necessity.


It's pretty bad.





Re: [Vo]:I missed Jed when he quit and now I miss Steve

2010-03-27 Thread Francis X Roarty
Abd,

Thanks- I kind of figured there was more to it than I was processing. I
asked about the normal rate of neutron capture because I thought it might
change with fractional hydrogen.  Always the optimist I find myself looking
for the mechanism by which it could work. I really feel we already have all
the information we need to solve this mystery but no one wants to borrow
parts from one another to solve it correctly.

Regards

Fran



[Vo]:I missed Jed when he quit and now I miss Steve

2010-03-26 Thread FZNIDARSIC
Frank Znidarsic