Re: [Vo]:There has been tremendous progress in population control and infant mortality

2013-11-17 Thread Edmund Storms
Jed, such opinions depend on the time scale you wish to use. If you  
are concerned about what will happen to your children, your optimism  
should be low. if you are talking about your great-grand children, you  
should be a bit more optimistic. If you are talking about what happens  
1000 years from now, you can be sure society will have no relationship  
to what we presently experience and the world will contain many fewer  
people. Unless you plan to be reborn then, I'm not sure why you care.


Ed
On Nov 17, 2013, at 9:58 AM, Jed Rothwell wrote:

It is widely believed that population growth is out of control, the  
gap between the Third World and the First World is unbridgeable, and  
-- in short -- the world is going to hell in a handbasket. Yes,  
things are bad in many ways, but people should realize there has  
been tremendous progress in these areas over the last 50 years. See:


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OwII-dwh-bk

If we can deal with problems like this, we may also manage to push  
through cold fusion, end the energy crisis, and stop global warming.  
When I look at the progress in history and the opposition that  
people in the past overcame, I am optimistic.


The panglossian view is unrealistic and unbecoming of an adult, but  
so is one-sided pessimism that ignores history.


- Jed





Re: [Vo]:There has been tremendous progress in population control and infant mortality

2013-11-17 Thread Jed Rothwell
Edmund Storms stor...@ix.netcom.com wrote:

Jed, such opinions depend on the time scale you wish to use. If you are
 concerned about what will happen to your children, your optimism should be
 low.


Look at the video. Most of the Third World has *now* -- already -- achieved
the low levels of infant mortality and family size that were the standard
in the First World in 1960. These problems are essentially solved, except
in a few countries that are politically unstable or at war. We can be
optimistic now, becauses these two critical problems have been largely
solved.

Once you stop the population explosion and ensure that most children will
survive to adulthood, that frees up resources to make progress in many
other areas, such as education, economic growth and reducing pollution. The
Internet, on-line instruction and on-line libraries are beginning to have
an impact on education.

This video was made by the Gates Foundation. A large share of the credit
for recent progress goes to them.



 if you are talking about your great-grand children, you should be a bit
 more optimistic.


We are not talking about our great-grandchildren. This is happening now.

If anyone in 1960 has said that Africa would achieve U.S. levels of infant
mortality and family size by 2005, people would have accused them of being
panglossian fools. People were predicting continent-wide mass starvation
back then.

Of course far more needs to be done. But this progress proves that we can
achieve far more. With programs like a guaranteed minimum income and
technology such as cold fusion, we can eliminate dire poverty everywhere,
and we can have universal literacy within a generation. These goals are
within sight.

We can also eliminate things like the terrible air pollution in China. We
had that kind of pollution in some cities the U.S. and the U.K. until the
early 1950s, and in Japan until mid-1960s. The problem was solved when the
voters demanded it be solved. The technology to fix it was available from
the 1930s on.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:There has been tremendous progress in population control and infant mortality

2013-11-17 Thread ChemE Stewart
Jed,

We have a huge and looming problem with autism in this country and in all
developing countries.  1/55 kids in the US are born on the spectrum and
1/38 in South Korea.  This is brain damage for life

I am starting to believe it is our Doppler/military radars pumping up the
vacuum component in our atmosphere, which I think is weakly ionizing and
penetrating.  So. Korea has the largest concentration of Doppler in the
world.  I have 4 other data points that fit.  After 10 months of plotting
daily sinkholes, algae blooms and fish kills it appears  75% are happening
around Doppler stations.

Whatever is causing Autism, it is bad

On Sunday, November 17, 2013, Jed Rothwell wrote:

 Edmund Storms stor...@ix.netcom.com javascript:_e({}, 'cvml',
 'stor...@ix.netcom.com'); wrote:

 Jed, such opinions depend on the time scale you wish to use. If you are
 concerned about what will happen to your children, your optimism should be
 low.


 Look at the video. Most of the Third World has *now* -- already --
 achieved the low levels of infant mortality and family size that were the
 standard in the First World in 1960. These problems are essentially solved,
 except in a few countries that are politically unstable or at war. We can
 be optimistic now, becauses these two critical problems have been largely
 solved.

 Once you stop the population explosion and ensure that most children will
 survive to adulthood, that frees up resources to make progress in many
 other areas, such as education, economic growth and reducing pollution. The
 Internet, on-line instruction and on-line libraries are beginning to have
 an impact on education.

 This video was made by the Gates Foundation. A large share of the credit
 for recent progress goes to them.



  if you are talking about your great-grand children, you should be a bit
 more optimistic.


 We are not talking about our great-grandchildren. This is happening now.

 If anyone in 1960 has said that Africa would achieve U.S. levels of infant
 mortality and family size by 2005, people would have accused them of being
 panglossian fools. People were predicting continent-wide mass starvation
 back then.

 Of course far more needs to be done. But this progress proves that we can
 achieve far more. With programs like a guaranteed minimum income and
 technology such as cold fusion, we can eliminate dire poverty everywhere,
 and we can have universal literacy within a generation. These goals are
 within sight.

 We can also eliminate things like the terrible air pollution in China. We
 had that kind of pollution in some cities the U.S. and the U.K. until the
 early 1950s, and in Japan until mid-1960s. The problem was solved when the
 voters demanded it be solved. The technology to fix it was available from
 the 1930s on.

 - Jed




Re: [Vo]:There has been tremendous progress in population control and infant mortality

2013-11-17 Thread James Bowery
Natural selection is ruthless.  The so-called demographic transition is
already showing signs of of being an evolutionary notch filter, selecting
out of the gene-pool those who are susceptible to its forces.  Bottom line
is that as long as the means to reproduce are available, evolution will
find a way to create reproducers to reproduce using them.

Norman Borlaug recognized this when he instigated the creation of
additional billions of people.


On Sun, Nov 17, 2013 at 11:35 AM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.comwrote:

 Edmund Storms stor...@ix.netcom.com wrote:

 Jed, such opinions depend on the time scale you wish to use. If you are
 concerned about what will happen to your children, your optimism should be
 low.


 Look at the video. Most of the Third World has *now* -- already --
 achieved the low levels of infant mortality and family size that were the
 standard in the First World in 1960. These problems are essentially solved,
 except in a few countries that are politically unstable or at war. We can
 be optimistic now, becauses these two critical problems have been largely
 solved.

 Once you stop the population explosion and ensure that most children will
 survive to adulthood, that frees up resources to make progress in many
 other areas, such as education, economic growth and reducing pollution. The
 Internet, on-line instruction and on-line libraries are beginning to have
 an impact on education.

 This video was made by the Gates Foundation. A large share of the credit
 for recent progress goes to them.



  if you are talking about your great-grand children, you should be a bit
 more optimistic.


 We are not talking about our great-grandchildren. This is happening now.

 If anyone in 1960 has said that Africa would achieve U.S. levels of infant
 mortality and family size by 2005, people would have accused them of being
 panglossian fools. People were predicting continent-wide mass starvation
 back then.

 Of course far more needs to be done. But this progress proves that we can
 achieve far more. With programs like a guaranteed minimum income and
 technology such as cold fusion, we can eliminate dire poverty everywhere,
 and we can have universal literacy within a generation. These goals are
 within sight.

 We can also eliminate things like the terrible air pollution in China. We
 had that kind of pollution in some cities the U.S. and the U.K. until the
 early 1950s, and in Japan until mid-1960s. The problem was solved when the
 voters demanded it be solved. The technology to fix it was available from
 the 1930s on.

 - Jed




Re: [Vo]:There has been tremendous progress in population control and infant mortality

2013-11-17 Thread ChemE Stewart
I am OK if it is natural, whatever that means.  It is human stupidity
that concerns me.

I guess as humanity progresses on Earth we are creating more entropy, or
vacuum streaming through us, which is our downfall...




On Sun, Nov 17, 2013 at 1:27 PM, James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:

 Natural selection is ruthless.  The so-called demographic transition is
 already showing signs of of being an evolutionary notch filter, selecting
 out of the gene-pool those who are susceptible to its forces.  Bottom line
 is that as long as the means to reproduce are available, evolution will
 find a way to create reproducers to reproduce using them.

 Norman Borlaug recognized this when he instigated the creation of
 additional billions of people.


 On Sun, Nov 17, 2013 at 11:35 AM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.comwrote:

 Edmund Storms stor...@ix.netcom.com wrote:

 Jed, such opinions depend on the time scale you wish to use. If you are
 concerned about what will happen to your children, your optimism should be
 low.


  Look at the video. Most of the Third World has *now* -- already --
 achieved the low levels of infant mortality and family size that were the
 standard in the First World in 1960. These problems are essentially solved,
 except in a few countries that are politically unstable or at war. We can
 be optimistic now, becauses these two critical problems have been largely
 solved.

 Once you stop the population explosion and ensure that most children will
 survive to adulthood, that frees up resources to make progress in many
 other areas, such as education, economic growth and reducing pollution. The
 Internet, on-line instruction and on-line libraries are beginning to have
 an impact on education.

 This video was made by the Gates Foundation. A large share of the credit
 for recent progress goes to them.



  if you are talking about your great-grand children, you should be a bit
 more optimistic.


 We are not talking about our great-grandchildren. This is happening now.

 If anyone in 1960 has said that Africa would achieve U.S. levels of
 infant mortality and family size by 2005, people would have accused them of
 being panglossian fools. People were predicting continent-wide mass
 starvation back then.

 Of course far more needs to be done. But this progress proves that we can
 achieve far more. With programs like a guaranteed minimum income and
 technology such as cold fusion, we can eliminate dire poverty everywhere,
 and we can have universal literacy within a generation. These goals are
 within sight.

 We can also eliminate things like the terrible air pollution in China. We
 had that kind of pollution in some cities the U.S. and the U.K. until the
 early 1950s, and in Japan until mid-1960s. The problem was solved when the
 voters demanded it be solved. The technology to fix it was available from
 the 1930s on.

 - Jed





Re: [Vo]:There has been tremendous progress in population control and infant mortality

2013-11-17 Thread James Bowery
Its true that the present environment cannot be called natural if humans
want to claim any responsibility for the evolutionary outcome of their
policies.  It is pretty clear to me that any attempt to claim
responsibility for the evolutionary outcome of human policies is decried as
on a slippery-slope to killing six million Jews or something.  This means
that humans will destroy the planet.


On Sun, Nov 17, 2013 at 1:14 PM, ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com wrote:

 I am OK if it is natural, whatever that means.  It is human stupidity
 that concerns me.

 I guess as humanity progresses on Earth we are creating more entropy, or
 vacuum streaming through us, which is our downfall...




 On Sun, Nov 17, 2013 at 1:27 PM, James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:

 Natural selection is ruthless.  The so-called demographic transition is
 already showing signs of of being an evolutionary notch filter, selecting
 out of the gene-pool those who are susceptible to its forces.  Bottom line
 is that as long as the means to reproduce are available, evolution will
 find a way to create reproducers to reproduce using them.

 Norman Borlaug recognized this when he instigated the creation of
 additional billions of people.


 On Sun, Nov 17, 2013 at 11:35 AM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.comwrote:

 Edmund Storms stor...@ix.netcom.com wrote:

 Jed, such opinions depend on the time scale you wish to use. If you are
 concerned about what will happen to your children, your optimism should be
 low.


  Look at the video. Most of the Third World has *now* -- already --
 achieved the low levels of infant mortality and family size that were the
 standard in the First World in 1960. These problems are essentially solved,
 except in a few countries that are politically unstable or at war. We can
 be optimistic now, becauses these two critical problems have been largely
 solved.

 Once you stop the population explosion and ensure that most children
 will survive to adulthood, that frees up resources to make progress in many
 other areas, such as education, economic growth and reducing pollution. The
 Internet, on-line instruction and on-line libraries are beginning to have
 an impact on education.

 This video was made by the Gates Foundation. A large share of the credit
 for recent progress goes to them.



  if you are talking about your great-grand children, you should be a
 bit more optimistic.


 We are not talking about our great-grandchildren. This is happening now.

 If anyone in 1960 has said that Africa would achieve U.S. levels of
 infant mortality and family size by 2005, people would have accused them of
 being panglossian fools. People were predicting continent-wide mass
 starvation back then.

 Of course far more needs to be done. But this progress proves that we
 can achieve far more. With programs like a guaranteed minimum income and
 technology such as cold fusion, we can eliminate dire poverty everywhere,
 and we can have universal literacy within a generation. These goals are
 within sight.

 We can also eliminate things like the terrible air pollution in China.
 We had that kind of pollution in some cities the U.S. and the U.K. until
 the early 1950s, and in Japan until mid-1960s. The problem was solved when
 the voters demanded it be solved. The technology to fix it was available
 from the 1930s on.

 - Jed






Re: [Vo]:There has been tremendous progress in population control and infant mortality

2013-11-17 Thread Jed Rothwell
ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com wrote:


 We have a huge and looming problem with autism in this country and in all
 developing countries.  1/55 kids in the US are born on the spectrum and
 1/38 in South Korea.  This is brain damage for life


I doubt it. Based on what I have read, I believe the clinical description
has changed and more people are being diagnosed with this, but the actual
rates have not changed. This has happened with a number of other diseases
in the past, such as bad posture (as it was called).



 I am starting to believe it is our Doppler/military radars pumping up the
 vacuum component in our atmosphere, which I think is weakly ionizing and
 penetrating.


I suppose that is possible. If it turns out to be the case, it is yet
another environmental problem that needs to be fixed.

- Jed