Re: Bubblemania

2003-01-30 Thread Alypius Skinner
Thanks for the accurate data. Elsewhere, I have read that the pre-war baby bust began in the mid-1920's--before the great depression--and so could not have been entirely a result of the difficult times of the '30's. If it isn't too much trouble, can you either confirm or disconfirm this

Re: Bubblemania

2003-01-30 Thread AdmrlLocke
In a message dated 1/30/03 8:30:04 AM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: Thanks for the accurate data. Elsewhere, I have read that the pre-war baby bust began in the mid-1920's--before the great depression--and so could not have been entirely a result of the difficult times of the '30's. If it

Re: Bubblemania

2003-01-26 Thread Anton Sherwood
Alypius Skinner wrote: . . . . It became obvious to me fairly early in the '90's that resentment against US foreign policy had made Americans overseas the preferred target of terrorists. Not in the Seventies? -- Anton Sherwood, http://www.ogre.nu/

Re: Bubblemania

2003-01-26 Thread AdmrlLocke
In a message dated 1/26/03 8:02:08 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: (demographically, the boom began in 1943) The fertility rate (measured per 1000 women) in 1943 barely exceeded that of 1942 (2,718 v. 2,628), follwed by declines in 1944 (2,568) and 1945 (2,491), only a bit higher than the rates

RE: Bubblemania

2003-01-26 Thread Michael Cardwell
PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]] On Behalf Of Anton Sherwood Sent: Sunday, January 26, 2003 9:35 PM To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: Bubblemania Alypius Skinner wrote: . . . . It became obvious to me fairly early in the '90's that resentment against US foreign policy had made Americans

Re: Bubblemania

2003-01-24 Thread Alex T Tabarrok
Bryan D Caplan wrote: Another annoying thing about the I told you there was a bubble people is that a good chunk of the stock market crash can be attributed to the 9/11 attacks (more specifically, indirect effects via policy changes). If ever there were a random shock, it was 9/11. Shame on

Re: Bubblemania

2003-01-24 Thread William Dickens
I have to agree with Alex Bryan. Here is a graph of the SP 500 http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=^SPXd=ct=5yl=onz=bq=l About a third of the drop occurred before 9/11, a third occurred immediately after 9/11, and the other 2/3rds occurred in the first half of last year. Why 4/3rds? Because most of

Re: Bubblemania

2003-01-24 Thread Bryan Caplan
William Dickens wrote: I have to agree with Alex Bryan. Here is a graph of the SP 500 http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=^SPXd=ct=5yl=onz=bq=l About a third of the drop occurred before 9/11, a third occurred immediately after 9/11, and the other 2/3rds occurred in the first half of last year.

Re: Bubblemania

2003-01-24 Thread Fred Foldvary
How does one figure out discount for things like earthquakes, terrorism or other disasters? Fabio Where the probabilities are unknown, there is uncertainty rather than insurable risk, and such chances are like many other uncertainties that entrepreneurship necessarily deals with. One either

Re: Bubblemania

2003-01-23 Thread Koushik Sekhar
: Thursday, January 23, 2003 12:19 PM Subject: Bubblemania Another annoying thing about the I told you there was a bubble people is that a good chunk of the stock market crash can be attributed to the 9/11 attacks (more specifically, indirect effects via policy changes). If ever there were a random