In a message dated 8/28/02 11:18:09 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:
<<
Another MVT deviation:
Personal bankrupcy law. I bet most voters would prefer more lenient
laws.
Fabio >>
Ironically, Todd J. Zywicki is presenting a paper at GMU Friday in which he
argues that people make less use of th
In a message dated 8/28/02 3:35:39 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:
<< Uh, how about the first income tax ever passed? It had super-majority
support in amendment form! >>
Congress passed the first federal income tax in 1861, without supermajority
support. If you'd asked the average Northern vot
fabio guillermo rojas wrote:
>
> Another MVT deviation:
>
> Personal bankrupcy law. I bet most voters would prefer more lenient
> laws.
They are already very lenient. There has been a lot of populist
resistance to creditors' tentative efforts to lobby to mildly tighten
them.
--
fabio guillermo rojas wrote:
>
> Another MVT deviation:
>
> Marijuana decriminalization
The failure to decriminalize? 75-80% against according to Gallup. And
it hasn't really happened anywhere in the U.S. as far as I know, the
medical marijuana loophole aside. Which is incidentally a popular
Another MVT deviation:
Personal bankrupcy law. I bet most voters would prefer more lenient
laws.
Fabio
In a message dated 8/28/02 2:02:10 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:
<< Sure, there is a little of this. But again, I doubt this matters much.
The Supreme Court held off New Deal legislation a little bit for a
couple of years, but after 4 years it caved in completely. >>
This must be one of the m
Another MVT deviation:
Marijuana decriminalization
Fabio
fabio guillermo rojas wrote:
> Ok, how about the 94 congressional election? Seems that voter
> preferences shifted little or not at all, but a bunch of
> conservatives got voted into office. Of course, they moderated
> after they got in, so maybe knee jerk MVT wins again but only
> in the long ru
> Elasticity and stickiness are different concepts. But in any case,
> there is little evidence that policy preferences shift rapidly. When
Ok, how about the 94 congressional election? Seems that voter
preferences shifted little or not at all, but a bunch of
conservatives got voted into offic
Bryan Caplan wrote:
> Elasticity and stickiness are different concepts.
I should have said "*Low* elasticity and stickiness are different
concepts."
--
Prof. Bryan Caplan
Department of Economics George Mason University
http://www.bca
> there's
> nothing "rational" about being ignorant towards a political system that
> benefit others at the expence of oneself (or indeed benefit noone at
> the expense of everyone).
It is rational to avoid doing something when the material cost to oneself is
greater than the material benefit,
fabio guillermo rojas wrote:
> I think that applications of MVT are very, very sloppy. Four
> criticisms:
>
> 1. You seem to assume that policy responds quite well to public
> opinion. You assume that if opinion shifts, policy will quickly follow.
> I believe that policy is very "sticky" with re
> But I do have a naive question: Is there a median
> voter for each issue, so that if there n issues, there
> can be up to n median voters? Or, is there only one
> median voter who satisfies the vector median as I
> described above? Can such a person be proven to
> exist, sort of like a voter
--- fabio guillermo rojas
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
"4. Cognitive limitations: I'm no expert, but my hunch
is that many people are only willing to get worked up
over a small # of issues - taxes, abortion,
immigration, defense... and the dedicated might add
their favorites like gun control or affi
-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]On Behalf Of
fabio guillermo rojas
Sent: Monday, August 26, 2002 9:03 PM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: Median Voter and Sampling
> So what are you getting at? Since there is a series of elections, each
> wi
>
> I may be mistaken here, but don't public choice economists talk
about the
> concept of "rational ignorance" to explain how small, concentrated
groups can
> gain large focused benefits while spreading the costs in tiny pieces
across
> the broader population?
They do - but it doesn't
In a message dated 8/27/02 12:19:39 AM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:
<< 4. Cognitive limitations: I'm no expert, but my hunch is that
many people are only willing to get worked up over a small
# of issues - taxes, abortion, immigration, defense... and
the dedicated might add their favorites like g
> So what are you getting at? Since there is a series of elections, each
> with a different median voter, the MVT doesn't actually predict that the
> median general voter gets his way? Or what?
> Prof. Bryan Caplan
I think that applications of MVT are ver
In a message dated 8/26/02 6:33:51 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:
<< There are several levels of puzzlement.
Puzzle #1: The median voter disapproves of existing policy.
Puzzle #2: The median voter, primary voters, and party activists ALL
disapprove of existing policy.
I don't think there are ma
fabio guillermo rojas wrote:
>
> > Any decent treatment of the MV states that it is the median *actual*
> > voter who matters, not the median *potential* voter. It's the Median
> > VOTER theorem, not the Median CITIZEN theorem, or the Median SENTIENT
> > BEING theorem.
>
> I still think this is
> Any decent treatment of the MV states that it is the median *actual*
> voter who matters, not the median *potential* voter. It's the Median
> VOTER theorem, not the Median CITIZEN theorem, or the Median SENTIENT
> BEING theorem.
I still think this is true but still misleading. Consider how Am
fabio guillermo rojas wrote:
>
> Let me elaborate some more. I think the MVT encourages us to think
> that democracy works by taking a random sample of voters and making
> policy the average response. If that were the case, democracy would
> clearly give us what the median voter wants.
>
> Howev
--- fabio guillermo rojas
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
"There are other sources of non-median-voterness in
policy"
Like the Supreme Court? Brown v. Board of Education
might be a good example. Of course it's not a
legislative body, so I'm out on a limb here.
Maybe there's also a cultural bias
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