My guess is positive because California and New York tend to have a lot of
high income people. Around 0.4? Fabio
On Thu, 16 Dec 2004, Bryan Caplan wrote:
> I've calculated the correlation coefficient between per-capita state
> income and the percent of the vote Kerry got. Guesses? I'll post the
I'm not an expert, but I think that bombs have improved substantially in a
number of ways over the last two hundred years:
- accuracy of remote detonation
- size - lots of smaller, powerful bombs
- availability of household chemicals that can easily be used to make
bombs (see the Oklahoma City bom
I'd disagree. There is a basic asymmetry in colonial situations. The
colonists are small in number and high visibility but the natives are huge
in number and it is very hard to pick out insurgents from the rest of the
population. Given that set up, advances in bomb technology seem to give a
relativ
Ed Laumann's books on regulatory agencies is considered the standard for
this sort of thing. His two books "Hollow Core" and "Organizational State"
are all about insiders (not congressmen only). "Hollow Core" shows hwo
various federal agencies and lobbying groups are related to each other
socially
-655)
>
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> Go to WEB SITE below for ARQ Special Edition on RISK
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> -Original Message-
> From: fabio guillermo rojas [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Sent: F
Two comments:
1. The gap between strong and weak is amplified by advances in air
power. It's a truism in military strategy that he who strikes from far
away wins the day. You'll notice that since ancient times, world powers
have been able to strike from afar with archery, artillery, bombers,
rocke
y Canada experts weigh in? That includes all Canadians. Eric?
>
> fabio guillermo rojas wrote:
>
> > Yes - evidence: the population of Canada is highly clustered around the
> > border. I have hunch they would bolt the second the border was opened.
> >
> > Fabio
>
Yes - evidence: the population of Canada is highly clustered around the
border. I have hunch they would bolt the second the border was opened.
Fabio
On Thu, 8 Apr 2004, Bryan Caplan wrote:
> Question: If there were free migration between the U.S. and Canada,
> would Canada lose a lot of populati
I think the argument goes like this:
1. The policies both parties agree on is smaller in size than what each
party advocates individually. I.e., the equilibrium of the bargaining game
is smaller than the whole policy space.
2. In general, most of what each party wants is un-libertarian and
un-lib
Simple - you can anonymously buy impotence treatment over the Internet. No
need to tell a real person that you ahve a sexual problem. I've also heard
people use v!agra for enhancing sexual experience, not too cure a medical
problem. Those people probably want to avoid doctors.
Fabio
On Tue, 20 Ja
On Tue, 30 Dec 2003, Bryan Caplan wrote:
> The Political Business Cycle story has not fared well empirically in
> recent years (though Kevin Grier has done interesting work on Mexico's
> PBC). But it seems overwhelming in the Oscars. It seems like roughly
> half of the big nominees get released
In the book "Sociology and its publics," Neil Smelser has a chart
comparing GRE's for various disciplines. His point was that sociology, in
comparison to other social sciences such as economics, get bad recruits.
Fabio
On Mon, 15 Dec 2003, Bryan Caplan wrote:
> Do you have a cite for that, Zach?
At Chicago, econ math GRE's tend to be substantially higher than other
social science Ph.D.'s. Verbal scores are comparable to humanities
Ph.D.'s. Also remember that econ depts take a lot of asian students, which
probably pushes down the verbal GRE score. More generally, any time you
require math,
Whenever we look at violent, underdeveloped nations, we often have two
responses to their condition:
1. They have a preference for institutions that restrain peace, growth and
development. Example: "Middle Eastern people are poor because people have
a taste for big, bad government."
2. They
I'm not an economist, but I've learned to take with a grain of salt any
economic explanations from people who don't have at least *some* economic
intuition, especially historians. As Gary Becker likes to say, economic
thinking has some principles that you should apply and you'll make some
bad concl
> > Related to this is the question of whether there really is a median voter.
> > Let's take 10 issues--abortion, gun control, gay rights, trade policy, tax
> > rates, immigration, middle east policy, racial preferences, CO2/"global
> > warming" policy, and SDI/"star wars" missile defense. What p
> > - people spend an inordinate time satisfying extreme voters, even after
> > winning a party nomination
> >
> They're trying to put together a winning coalition by targeting a variety
> of market segments. You don't see General Motors or Altria/Philip Morris
> targeting just the "median car bu
Why does campaign strategy or political leadership matter in the world of
the Median Voter Theorem?
If we really believed the MVT without qualification, every political
campaign would consist solely of
(a) polling to find the Median Voter's positions,
(b) selecting a good looking
I think there are a few answers to this question:
1. "Salience" theory - people have notions of what is relevant to an
issue. If people think two beliefs are not relevant to each other, then
they can be totally contradictory.
2. Caplan's theory - people have contradictory beliefs as long as the
p
In preparing a lecture about socialist economies, I have come across the
claim that socialist nations had decent life expectancies. How can that
be? We know that:
(a) there have been episodes of mass starvation in the largest
socialist nations (USSR, China)
(b) socialist
A freind married an older man recently and after a year or two of
marriage, she found that the husband had a huge amount of credit card
debt.
Question: Why don't people provide credit checks before they get
married? If money problems are a leading cause of divorce, then this seems
like a low cost
Comments below:
> I've often heard it said in discussions of media bias that while
> journalists are heavily Democratic, editors are heavily Republican.
> Where does this fact come from? Who counts as an "editor"? It sounds
> really implausible. Aren't editors internally promoted from the ranks
How much do primary elections change electoral outcomes? If we had open
elections followed by run-offs, would we get much of a difference in who
gets the job?
Fabio
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