Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread Erik Reuter
* maru dubshinki ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote: Curious: I would have thought that dividend would have been higher; taxes were lowered significantly on them, and the economy has registered mediocre gains, in which companies should be able to take profits. But then I just heard that the producer

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread JDG
At 09:59 PM 1/12/2005 -0800 Doug Pensinger wrote: Sometime listmember Brad DeLong's take: http://www.j-bradford-delong.net/movable_type/ Why Am I Not For Bush's Social Security Reform? It's strange--I ought to be a member of what Joshua Micah Marshall calls the faint-hearted faction--those

Re: [Fwd: ABC Muddles the Social Security Debate]

2005-01-15 Thread JDG
At 01:53 PM 1/14/2005 -0800 Nick Arnett wrote: FAIR-L Fairness Accuracy In Reporting Media analysis, critiques and activism http://www.fair.org/activism/abc-socialsecurity.html Does it really contribute to the debate here to

Re: NFL Semi-Finals Picks

2005-01-15 Thread Julia Thompson
John D. Giorgis wrote: This week: St. Louis at Atlanta - Pick: FALCONS Falcons. NY Jets at Pittsburgh - Pick: STEELERS Steelers. Minnesota at Philadelphia - Pick: EAGLES You're probably right, but I just cannot pick any team currently employing T.O. Vikings. Indianapolis at New England - Pick:

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread Nick Arnett
JDG wrote: One question I would love to ask, and I apologize if this sounds a little harsher than it really is, but here is my question: And how can a neutral, fair-minded observer distinguish the above answer from Because I am bought and paid for by the Democratic Pary, and there is simply no way

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread maru dubshinki
I don't need to tell you that if the raw materials price is down, then the extractive industries are not making as much profit. But since the 'producer' segement is larger, I suppose that there might be a net rise in profits. ~Maru Erik Reuter wrote: By the way, PPI for finished goods is an

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread Julia Thompson
Doug Pensinger wrote: Erik wrote: I guess I haven't been clear (or perhaps you are confusing my position with Bush's confusing rhetoric). Or maybe I'm somewhat dense when it comes to this stuff. Thanks for clarifying things for me. If you're dense, you're not unduly so. I mean, I doubt that

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread Robert Seeberger
maru dubshinki wrote: I don't need to tell you that if the raw materials price is down, then the extractive industries are not making as much profit. But since the 'producer' segement is larger, I suppose that there might be a net rise in profits. ~Maru There is also the chance that prices

All Your base

2005-01-15 Thread Robert G. Seeberger
http://www.drivenbyboredom.com/gallery/26/display.php?x=0 xponent From Traalfamador Maru rob ___ http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l

Re: attn: wtg, MUD to Holocene Chat

2005-01-15 Thread Medievalbk
In a message dated 1/15/2005 12:22:50 P.M. US Mountain Standard Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: Will we have to sign some form of non-disclosure agreement to try it out? Non-this-clothes-use? Well, I ain't talkin' nude. But I'll give Holocene a try. You'll need a test subject with

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread Julia Thompson
One minor nitpick here On Sat, 15 Jan 2005, Dan Minette wrote: The marginal value of working for someone on welfare is a real problem, but I think we can mostly seperate it from the problem of one spouse working for 20k/year and the other spouse thinking of taking a 20k/year job.

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread Dan Minette
- Original Message - From: Julia Thompson [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com Sent: Saturday, January 15, 2005 1:34 PM Subject: Re: Social Security One minor nitpick here On Sat, 15 Jan 2005, Dan Minette wrote: The marginal value of working for

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread Gary Denton
Actually there may be some points of agreement among us. I like private accounts, just not to replace Social Security which serves a different function. I like 401Ks in which some percentage of income is removed from taxation and used to promote retirement savings. Let us look at what this

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread Gary Denton
This indexing of benefits to inflation instead of wages may help as does a guaranteed median federal benefit of $29,500 65 years from now seem necessary? BTW, I am most concerned about low income retirees as doing nothing to change the formulas doesn't and running SS off of the diminished trust

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread Dan Minette
- Original Message - From: Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com Sent: Saturday, January 15, 2005 1:21 PM Subject: Re: Social Security If no one says that they've already calculated this in an hour or two, I'll go to last year's copy of TurboTax

Re: [Fwd: ABC Muddles the Social Security Debate]

2005-01-15 Thread Gary Denton
On Sat, 15 Jan 2005 16:13:16 -0600, Gary Denton [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: On Sat, 15 Jan 2005 09:20:38 -0500, JDG [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: At 01:53 PM 1/14/2005 -0800 Nick Arnett wrote: Should I point you to the Constitution or federal law about how real these obligations are? Or should I

Re: attn: wtg, MUD to Holocene Chat

2005-01-15 Thread Gary Denton
Well, I ain't talkin' nude. But I'll give Holocene a try. I used to always be online here in the nude before I moved a few months ago. Gary Denton ___ http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l

Re: [Fwd: ABC Muddles the Social Security Debate]

2005-01-15 Thread JDG
At 04:13 PM 1/15/2005 -0600 Gary Denton wrote: That is a fairly ignorant talking point. The point is not the number of workers per retirees Shirley, you can't be serious. JDG ___ http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l

Re: [Fwd: ABC Muddles the Social Security Debate]

2005-01-15 Thread Gary Denton
On Sat, 15 Jan 2005 17:17:21 -0500, JDG [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: At 04:13 PM 1/15/2005 -0600 Gary Denton wrote: That is a fairly ignorant talking point. The point is not the number of workers per retirees Shirley, you can't be serious. ... and my name is not Shirley, but if it was just the

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread Gary Denton
On Fri, 14 Jan 2005 08:08:04 -0500, Erik Reuter [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Thanks for the cite, Gary. So if you argue that the experts disagree on the exact figure, then that is a reasonable argument. But to say that the range is 0 to $3 or $4 trillion instead of $3 to $7 or $3 to $10 trillion,

Re: You can't handle the truth

2005-01-15 Thread Warren Ockrassa
On Jan 15, 2005, at 3:40 PM, Gary Denton wrote: From Financial Times: According to Chas Freeman, former US ambassador to Saudi Arabia and head of the independent Middle East Policy Council, Mr Bush recently asked Mr Powell for his view on the progress of the war. We're losing, Mr Powell was quoted

Re: [Fwd: ABC Muddles the Social Security Debate]

2005-01-15 Thread Gary Denton
On Sat, 15 Jan 2005 16:26:51 -0600, Gary Denton [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: On Sat, 15 Jan 2005 17:17:21 -0500, JDG [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: At 04:13 PM 1/15/2005 -0600 Gary Denton wrote: I normally disagree with Netter but he laid out the false claims of Bush here:

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread Erik Reuter
* Dan Minette ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote: I found the web link for the article which was the source of the table I posted from the book (the book didn't give the URL, but a web search turned it up). I'm still working through it: http://www.ncpa.org/pub/st/st260/

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread Gary Denton
Rolling Stone on the Non-Social Security Criisis They interview Krugman to fact-check W. Actually very clear and informative. http://tinyurl.com/5pwlm The Economic Policy Institute also referencing economists at Goldman Sach also fact check the likely replacement plan in more clear writing and

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread Gary Denton
On Sat, 15 Jan 2005 18:00:32 -0500, Erik Reuter [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: * Dan Minette ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote: I found the web link for the article which was the source of the table I posted from the book (the book didn't give the URL, but a web search turned it up). I'm still working

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread Erik Reuter
* Gary Denton ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote: On Sat, 15 Jan 2005 18:00:32 -0500, Erik Reuter [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: * Dan Minette ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote: I found the web link for the article which was the source of the table I posted from the book (the book didn't give the URL, but a

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread Gary Denton
On Sat, 15 Jan 2005 18:41:59 -0500, Erik Reuter [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: * Gary Denton ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote: On Sat, 15 Jan 2005 18:00:32 -0500, Erik Reuter [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: * Dan Minette ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote: I found the web link for the article which was the source

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread Erik Reuter
* Gary Denton ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote: Of course, the current GOP appointed trustees have slanted this last report to make the situation more dire. If you go back to the last report in 1997 the optimist case had the economy growing atr 2.2% a year. The new optimistic scenario is a growth

Re: [Fwd: ABC Muddles the Social Security Debate]

2005-01-15 Thread Dan Minette
- Original Message - From: Gary Denton [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com Sent: Saturday, January 15, 2005 4:26 PM Subject: Re: [Fwd: ABC Muddles the Social Security Debate] On Sat, 15 Jan 2005 17:17:21 -0500, JDG [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: At 04:13 PM

Re: You can't handle the truth

2005-01-15 Thread Warren Ockrassa
On Jan 15, 2005, at 4:59 PM, Gary Denton wrote: At least he didn't have Powell shot, which is what Hussein reportedly used to do when advisers told him he couldn't possibly win a war against the US. Curious. He lives up to your low expectations of not being a mad dictator? :D He's managed to live

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread Erik Reuter
* Erik Reuter ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote: I found the web link for the article which was the source of the table I posted from the book (the book didn't give the URL, but a web search turned it up). I'm still working through it: http://www.ncpa.org/pub/st/st260/ Dan, As I've been reading

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread Dan Minette
- Original Message - From: Erik Reuter [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com Sent: Saturday, January 15, 2005 7:07 PM Subject: Re: Social Security * Erik Reuter ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote: I found the web link for the article which was the source of the

Re: [Fwd: ABC Muddles the Social Security Debate]

2005-01-15 Thread Gary Denton
On Sat, 15 Jan 2005 18:40:31 -0600, Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: snip Sure, but the ratio of workers to retirees was given as the basis for raising taxes in the '80s in order to have a cushion for the baby boomers. From 1950 to 2002, the life expectancy at 65 changed from 13.9 to 18.2

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread Erik Reuter
* Gary Denton ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote: On Sat, 15 Jan 2005 19:23:03 -0500, Erik Reuter [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Rather than making silly partisan insinuations, and rapidly quoting sound-bites without studying and thinking about them, it is useful to actually look at facts and numbers.

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread Warren Ockrassa
On Jan 15, 2005, at 6:37 PM, Erik Reuter wrote: In other words, you don't have a clue about what you are writing, and are just playing Eliza again, repeating sound bites randomly instead of giving an analytical basis for your argument. Which of these items is the foregoing an example of?

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread Gary Denton
On Sat, 15 Jan 2005 19:16:59 -0600, Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: What? This list isn't your number one priority? I'm shocked, shocked. :-) I was supposed to be doing something else this afternoon and evening but ended up on list and web surfing. A QUESTION OF NUMBERS Like other

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread Erik Reuter
* Gary Denton ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote: To repeat it in words even a half-educated engineer can understand the 200+ year GDP is flawed because it assumes they can accurately measure GDP that far back - that historical GDP has its own set of assumptions. How would you decide which data is

Re: [Fwd: ABC Muddles the Social Security Debate]

2005-01-15 Thread Dan Minette
- Original Message - From: Gary Denton [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com Sent: Saturday, January 15, 2005 7:24 PM Subject: Re: [Fwd: ABC Muddles the Social Security Debate] Thus, the baby boomer population bulge does matter. Yes, but is suspect the real

Re: [Fwd: ABC Muddles the Social Security Debate]

2005-01-15 Thread Erik Reuter
* Dan Minette ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote: If you just enjoy making rhetorical points, then that's OK Here's one: We have a great opportunity now to take action now to avert a crisis in the Social Security system. We have a great opportunity now to be able to tell all these young people who

Re: [Fwd: ABC Muddles the Social Security Debate]

2005-01-15 Thread Gary Denton
On Sat, 15 Jan 2005 23:22:37 -0500, Erik Reuter [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: * Dan Minette ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote: If you just enjoy making rhetorical points, then that's OK Here's one: We have a great opportunity now to take action now to avert a crisis in the Social Security

Re: [Fwd: ABC Muddles the Social Security Debate]

2005-01-15 Thread Erik Reuter
* Gary Denton ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote: Interesting quote from Clinton as he presented a balanced budget in 98. Should I insert a rhetorical point here about the GOP? If you like, but I probably won't be reading it. My post was just testing a hypothesis about whether you would make a cogent

Re: Social Security

2005-01-15 Thread maru dubshinki
Hmm... Reasonable yes. But, isn't that assuming that the survivorship bias continues to favor the US? For a 75 year, or infinite horizon projection, the chances that it won't can't be neglected. ~Maru Erik Reuter wrote: ... For Ireland, Switzerland, Canada, UK, US, Australia, S. Africa, and

RE: attn: wtg, MUD to Holocene Chat

2005-01-15 Thread Gary Nunn
If you are interested please, reply to Brin-L. (Effectively this is a blank-check form of RSVP.) Count me in. Gary ___ http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l