Re: [4DWorldx] Humble coin toss thrust to heart of multiverse debate

2013-01-08 Thread Richard Ruquist
Anna,

There is an ongoing discussion over on the google Everything list
about Quantum Suicide, which is nearly equivalent to a coin toss.

QS is proposed as a test of MWI- the Many World Interpretation of quantum
mechanics. In QS it depends essentially on a coin toss if an experimenter
is either killed or survives in each of two worlds created by the coin
toss. Anna's post below indicates that coin tosses are quantum events.

A witness accompanies the experimenter. There is with each experiment a
50-50 chance of survival. The question is if this is a valid test of MWI?

It turns out that the only way that MWI can work and predict known
experimental results is if the measures of the various experiments known to
the experimenter and the witness ahead of time are equivalent to the
probability of each new parallel world created by a great number of
experiments.

If the MWI measures predicted by both the experimenter and the witness are
equal to the collapse wave interpretation, then MWI is just another
interpretation with no chance of distinguishing one interpretation from
another experimentally. That is the standard perspective.

I disagree and maintain that after 2 million experiments: in which the
experimenter and a witness survive in one world; and another witness and a
dead experimenter are created in a created orthogonal world; the
surviving experimenter and witness in the final experiment would know to 5
sigma that MWI was/is correct.

But that is a tiny number compared to the 2 million witnesses that do not
have that information at the 5 sigma level and would have a minuscule
effect on belief thru-out the multiverse.

However, if the experiments were to continue another 2 million times, then
2 million new witnesses would know that MWI is correct at the 5 sigma level.
So by then half of the multiverse knows MWI is correct.

That is, at that point in time, there are 2 million
parallel/orthogonal worlds where the witness cannot distinguish MWI from
collapse theory at the 5 sigma level. But after 4 million experiments there
are an equal number of witnesses along with a dead experimenter in 2
million worlds where the witness can distinguish MWI from collapse at the 5
sigma level. Eventually with continued experiments, most of the multiverse
will believe in MWI.
If that does not make sense, you are not alone.
Richard


On Tue, Jan 8, 2013 at 1:47 AM, Anna panth...@mail.com wrote:

 **


  Humble coin toss thrust to heart of multiverse debate

- 02 January 2013 by *Jacob 
 Aron*http://www.newscientist.com/search?rbauthors=Jacob+Aron
- Magazine issue 2898 http://www.newscientist.com/issue/2898. *Subscribe
and 
 save*http://subscribe.newscientist.com/bundles.aspx?prom=6005intcmp=SUBS-nsarttoppromcode=6005
- For similar stories, visit the 
 *Cosmology*http://www.newscientist.com/topic/cosmologyTopic Guide

 WHY is there a 1 in 2 chance of getting a tail when you flip a coin? It
 may seem like a simple question, but the humble coin toss is now at the
 heart of a lively row about the multiverse. At stake is the ability to
 calculate which, of an infinite number of parallel universes, is the one
 that we inhabit.

 The debate comes in the wake of a paper posted online a couple of weeks
 ago by cosmologists Andreas Albrecht http://albrecht.ucdavis.edu/ and
 Daniel Phillips, both at the University of California, Davis. They argue
 that conventional probability theory, the tool we all use to quantify
 uncertainty in the real world, has no basis in reality (
 arxiv.org/abs/1212.0953). Instead, all problems in probability are
 ultimately about quantum mechanics. Every single time we use probability
 successfully, that use actually comes from quantum mechanics, says
 Albrecht.

 This controversial claim traces back to the uncertainty principle, which
 says that it is impossible to know both a quantum particle's exact position
 and its momentum.

 Albrecht and Phillips think particle collisions within gases and liquids
 amplify this uncertainty to the scale of everyday objects. This, they say,
 is what drives all events, including the outcome of a coin toss.
 Conventional probability - which says the outcome simply arises from two
 equally likely possibilities - is just a useful proxy for measuring the
 underlying quantum uncertainties.

 In the case of a coin toss, quantum uncertainty in the position of
 neurotransmitter molecules in the nervous system of a coin flipper might
 translate into an uncertainty in the number of times a coin turns in the
 air before being caught, ultimately determining whether it is a head or a
 tail, the pair suggest.

 In a back-of-the-envelope calculation that used estimates for coin size,
 speed and neurotransmitter uncertainty, the pair were able to show that
 this quantum sequence of events could give the same probability of throwing
 a head or a tail as the conventional calculation - one-half. They say this
 supports their argument that conventional probability is just 

Re: [4DWorldx] Humble coin toss thrust to heart of multiverse debate

2013-01-08 Thread Bruno Marchal


On 08 Jan 2013, at 15:50, Richard Ruquist wrote:


On Tue, Jan 8, 2013 at 1:47 AM, Anna panth...@mail.com wrote:


Humble coin toss thrust to heart of multiverse debate

02 January 2013 by Jacob Aron
Magazine issue 2898. Subscribe and save
For similar stories, visit the Cosmology Topic Guide
WHY is there a 1 in 2 chance of getting a tail when you flip a coin?  
It may seem like a simple question, but the humble coin toss is now  
at the heart of a lively row about the multiverse. At stake is the  
ability to calculate which, of an infinite number of parallel  
universes, is the one that we inhabit.


The debate comes in the wake of a paper posted online a couple of  
weeks ago by cosmologists Andreas Albrecht and Daniel Phillips, both  
at the University of California, Davis. They argue that conventional  
probability theory, the tool we all use to quantify uncertainty in  
the real world, has no basis in reality (arxiv.org/abs/1212.0953).  
Instead, all problems in probability are ultimately about quantum  
mechanics. Every single time we use probability successfully, that  
use actually comes from quantum mechanics, says Albrecht.


I have given the following exercise some time ago. How long need you  
to shake a certain volume containing a dice to be sure (by the SWE)  
that you will end up with a six outcomes/branches wave solution,  
having reasonably equivalent measure?
It is true that the Heisenberg Uncertainties will add up, but to get  
the 1/6 realized quantum mechanically, I think you have to shake them  
during a non negligible time.
But I do agree with the author above that even if you don't shake the  
dice a lot, you will get QM branches with all outcomes (but some more  
than others). This is trivial, as there is also a branch where the  
dice transform into a white rabbit (but with a very low QM measure).  
All that are open problem in computer science (once we decide to work  
in the comp theory).


Bruno


http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/



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