Re: [geo] Re: Can solar radiation management be tested?

2010-09-29 Thread Stephen Salter
Hi All Alan says that climate signals will be drowned out by chaotic climate variations. Both the papers that I pointed to in my email of 24 September were about picking up small signals from large, random variations. The second paper suggests that a 20 year run of the pseudo-random

[geo] Re: The Need for Climate Engineering Research, in IST, by Caldeira and Keith

2010-09-29 Thread Ning Zeng
Hi Ken, David: This is a really nice article! However, I take issue with a couple of statements on biological methods: 1. You said biological systems are relatively inefficient in their ability to capture CO2. It is estimated that it would take approximately 2.5 acres of crop land to remove the

Re: [geo] Federal Research Program in 2012?

2010-09-29 Thread Alvia Gaskill
Late 2012? Just after the presidential election where Barack Obama wins another 4 years of 10% unemployment and the endless winless war in Cavemanastan? Have you been following the recent news, Josh? Republicans will be taking over Congress soon. And these aren't the make deals behind

Re: [geo] Re: Can solar radiation management be tested?

2010-09-29 Thread Ken Caldeira
Robock et al (Science, 2010): *We argue that geoengineering cannot be tested without full-scale implementation.* Fleming (Slate, 2010): *Global climate engineering is untested and untestable...* In summarizing this conversation, it seems universally agreed that flat statements like these are

RE: [geo] Re: Can solar radiation management be tested?

2010-09-29 Thread Doug MacMynowski
Hi Stephen, I think this is just a signal to noise question, looking at the part of the response that is correlated with the input (which means its only noise on the same time-scales that matters). There are some fancier things that can be done in some limited cases where a lot is known about

Re: [geo] Federal Research Program in 2012?

2010-09-29 Thread Joshua Horton
Alvia, Don't confuse my flagging this story with a belief that we're on the verge of some sort of geoengineering Manhattan Project. We're not. I'd be surprised if there were any comprehensive research program before we crossed a climate tipping point (take your pick). But that doesn't mean

Re: [geo] Re: The Need for Climate Engineering Research, in IST, by Caldeira and Keith

2010-09-29 Thread rongretlarson
Prof. Zeng and list: 1. I concur with your objections. But I have another - which is that neither the present article or your own recent discussions on this list use the word Biochar - which I think has great promise, and certainly has received as much public notice as any of the other

Re: [geo] Re: Can solar radiation management be tested?

2010-09-29 Thread Mike MacCracken
Yesterday I got to visit the NOAA lab in Boulder and, among other things, get to see the simulations being done by their 15 km resolution icosahedral grid simulation model with a finite volume numerical scheme. Other physics is from the plug-in packages that are available and used in other GCMs.

Re: [clim] Re: [geo] Federal Research Program in 2012?

2010-09-29 Thread Andrew Lockley
If we're not going to launch the geoengineering Manhattan project until AFTER the tipping point, is there any way to be sure we can drag ourselves back up over the waterfall? Lenton's paper ( http://www.pnas.org/content/105/6/1786.abstract) lists various vulnerabilities, but I am unclear which,

Re: [geo] Federal Research Program in 2012?

2010-09-29 Thread Gregory Benford
I must remark that in future research we must keep our options open--especially for my particular interest, the Arctic aerosol ideas. Any large research program should include this, the very threatened region. Here the Asilomar documents, which say all geoengineering research should be outside

[geo] Nanoparticles and SRM

2010-09-29 Thread Wil Burns
FYI, from Environmental Research Web, a summary of David Keith's new piece in PNAS ( for the PNAS piece, see: http://www.pnas.org/content/107/38/16428). wil Geoengineering: nanoparticles could beat sulphates Particles with designer electrostatic and magnetic properties could hover over poles and

[geo] Re: Can solar radiation management be tested?

2010-09-29 Thread Bill
All: Jim’s truism that global geo-engineering cannot be tested because it is, well, global and is, thus, implementation, returns us back to, but ignores, earlier posts here about phasing and scaling. Truism is not argumentation. But Jim also asserts that any stepped research plan is a slippery