Re: [Marxism] CIA polices weapons entry to Syria as spooks invade Turkey

2019-05-09 Thread Louis Proyect via Marxism

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On 5/9/19 11:05 AM, DW via Marxism wrote:

The article appears to be behind a pay wall.


The Australian
August 13, 2012 Monday, 1 - All-round Country Edition
CIA polices weapons entry to Syria as the spooks invade Turkey
Byline: JOHN FOLLAIN, TONY ALLEN-MILLS, ISTANBUL WASHINGTON


DESPITE mounting calls in Washington for a more aggressive US military 
role in Syria, the CIA has been quietly working along its northern 
border with Turkey to limit the supplies of weapons and ammunition 
reaching rebel forces, Syrian opposition officials say.


``Not one bullet enters Syria without US approval,'' one official 
complained in Istanbul. ``The Americans want the (rebellion) to 
continue, but they are not allowing enough supplies in to make the 
Damascus regime fall.''


Details of the CIA's policing activities offer a rare insight into the 
complex struggle for regional advantage that is rapidly developing at 
the margins of the Syrian civil war. Conducted mostly by clandestine 
agents from the US, Britain, Saudi Arabia, Israel and Iran, the conflict 
has turned Turkey's rugged border provinces into a hotbed of arms 
dealers, spies and would-be fighters.


Over the past 10 months, a Syrian opposition official told The Sunday 
Times, the CIA has blocked shipments of heavy anti-tank and 
anti-aircraft weapons, which rebel units of the Free Syrian Army have 
long said are vital to their efforts to overthrow the regime of 
President Bashar al-Assad. At the same time they have approved supplies 
of AK-47 Kalashnikov rifles, and just over a month ago gave the green 
light to a shipment of 10,000 Russian-made rocket-propelled grenades.


``The weapons are being carried across the border on donkeys,'' the 
official said.


Since the fall to rebel forces of Azaz, a Syrian town near the Turkish 
border, guns have begun to arrive by truck.


The weapons are either bought on the black market in Istanbul or 
supplied by the rebels' allies in Turkey, Qatar and Saudi Arabia.


``Qatar sends money and usually says `Go and buy what you want','' the 
official said.


``The Turks just give the weapons free of charge, especially light 
anti-tank weapons.''


Yet rebel frustration is mounting at the CIA's reluctance to allow heavy 
weaponry across the border for fear that it may eventually be used 
against America's allies.


``The RPGs aren't enough,'' the opposition official said. ``You have to 
be close to the tank to make any impact, and often the fighter using it 
gets killed.''


The CIA's activities highlight a contradiction in Washington's approach 
to Syria. While President Barack Obama's administration supports the 
rebel uprising, has called for Assad to step down and is supplying 
opposition forces with millions of dollars in non-lethal aid, it has 
shied from a more forcible military intervention.


Suggestions that Washington was deliberately prolonging the conflict 
while it attempted to identify a friendly successor to Assad were 
described by one former CIA official as ``a little too Machiavellian''.


Bob Grenier, a former director of the CIA counter-terrorism centre, said 
the CIA's policing activities along the border were intended to protect 
the administration from future embarrassment if the rebel groups it 
supported turned out to be hostile to Israel or the US should they gain 
power. ``It would not be good if it was later established that weapons 
reached people identified with al-Qa'ida, and we could have done 
something about it,'' he said.


He described the administration's current policy as ``hiding behind the 
CIA''.


Hillary Clinton, the US Secretary of State, said in Turkey on Saturday 
that measures to assist the rebels, including the possible imposition of 
a no-fly zone, were being considered.


``It is one thing to talk about all kinds of potential actions, but

you cannot make reasoned decisions without doing intense analysis and 
operational planning,'' she said.


CIA agents have been active along the border, trying to prevent 
jihadists sympathetic to al-Qa'ida from joining the Syrian fray.


``The CIA vetoes al-Qa'ida and it's not very keen on the Muslim 
Brotherhood,'' a Syrian opposition official said.


Khaled Khoja, from the opposition Syrian National Council, said American 
fears of an Islamist takeover were unfounded.


``Islamists in Syria are a very minor group, no more than 2000 soldiers 
compared with more than 100,000 FSA members,'' he said.


``They can be controlled. This won't be a new Iraq (where US forces 
found themselves confronted by Islamic insurgents).''


With both the CIA and Israel's Mossad trying to locate Syria's 
stockpiles of chemical and 

Re: [Marxism] CIA polices weapons entry to Syria as spooks invade Turkey

2019-05-09 Thread mkaradjis . via Marxism
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I deal extensively with the question of the TOW missiles in my article. Re
the US embargo on anti-tank weapons, yeh this article Louis posted was from
2012 when US spooks turned up on the borders to prevent anti-tank and
anti-aircraft weapons getting to the rebels. The first TOW anti-tank
weapons were received by some rebel groups in April 2014, ie, that embargo
was lifted 2 years later. My article thoroughly goes through the whole
story oft he rise and fall of the TOW, the restrictions on them, and the US
cut-off of them once it was clear the rebels refused to give up the fight
against Assad and direct all their fire against ISIS.
The offensive you refer to where rebels took out a lot of Assad tanks with
TOWS was early 2015 (certainly not 2016, by which time the program was well
and truly shut down). In my opinion, this relatively one-off success was
due to other factors of the moment. As you say, the total number of TOW
ATGMs (anti-tank guided missiles) distributed to the rebels over 2014-15 is
reckoned to be about 1000. It is difficult for me to figure out how
decisive that could be considering the regime itself had some 5000 ATGMs -
as well as the 9000 or so tanks and armoured vehicles.

On Fri, May 10, 2019 at 1:07 AM DW via Marxism 
wrote:

>   POSTING RULES & NOTES  
> #1 YOU MUST clip all extraneous text when replying to a message.
> #2 This mail-list, like most, is publicly & permanently archived.
> #3 Subscribe and post under an alias if #2 is a concern.
> *
>
> The article appears to be behind a pay wall.
>
> I've argued that the concept of regime change in Syria was given lie
> because of these bans on MANPADS (surface to air missiles) and other
> heavier weapons...and the fact that the US could easily have destroyed the
> Syrian armed forces in about a week, at least enough for an early victory
> by the rebels.
>
> However, the CIA did, through Qatar or S. Arabia, provide many Tow II
> anti-tank weapons, which disabled around 18 Syrian T-55 and T-72 tanks
> (most of which were returned to service) in 2016. There are youtube videos
> of this available. [ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zvVd1e8Gwug ], I
> can't
> remember what year this was. But...the Syrian Army has one of the largest
> armored equipped armies on the entire planet with close to 5,000 armored
> vehicles with at least 3000 of that being heavy tanks (mostly T-55s, now
> obsolete but fine for urban warfare it seems). But total number of TOW
> anti-tank missiles are much higher according to this recent article:
>
> https://www.newsweek.com/us-military-targeted-own-missiles-middle-eeast-1277293
> It seems that there were over 1000 TOW missile launchers given to the
> rebels in Syria. So the US via it's Arab state allies provided the
> missiles. But...
>
> The problem then really lies in the obvious lack of anything else such as
> command and control, access to satellite intelligence, MANPADS and even
> heavy machine guns to down helicopters and Russian fighter jets. Zip. Zero.
> There ARE YouTube vids of rebels using MANPADS to shoot down choppers and
> jets early on in the civil war but these were all taken from the Syrian
> arsenal by deserting Syrian troops. They are clearly Igla surface to air
> missiles being used by the rebels.
>
> So it goes again to motivation of by the US to supply some, but not enough,
> heavy defensive and offensive weapons by the CIA/NATO/EU.
>
> David
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[Marxism] CIA polices weapons entry to Syria as spooks invade Turkey

2019-05-09 Thread DW via Marxism
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The article appears to be behind a pay wall.

I've argued that the concept of regime change in Syria was given lie
because of these bans on MANPADS (surface to air missiles) and other
heavier weapons...and the fact that the US could easily have destroyed the
Syrian armed forces in about a week, at least enough for an early victory
by the rebels.

However, the CIA did, through Qatar or S. Arabia, provide many Tow II
anti-tank weapons, which disabled around 18 Syrian T-55 and T-72 tanks
(most of which were returned to service) in 2016. There are youtube videos
of this available. [ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zvVd1e8Gwug ], I can't
remember what year this was. But...the Syrian Army has one of the largest
armored equipped armies on the entire planet with close to 5,000 armored
vehicles with at least 3000 of that being heavy tanks (mostly T-55s, now
obsolete but fine for urban warfare it seems). But total number of TOW
anti-tank missiles are much higher according to this recent article:
https://www.newsweek.com/us-military-targeted-own-missiles-middle-eeast-1277293
It seems that there were over 1000 TOW missile launchers given to the
rebels in Syria. So the US via it's Arab state allies provided the
missiles. But...

The problem then really lies in the obvious lack of anything else such as
command and control, access to satellite intelligence, MANPADS and even
heavy machine guns to down helicopters and Russian fighter jets. Zip. Zero.
There ARE YouTube vids of rebels using MANPADS to shoot down choppers and
jets early on in the civil war but these were all taken from the Syrian
arsenal by deserting Syrian troops. They are clearly Igla surface to air
missiles being used by the rebels.

So it goes again to motivation of by the US to supply some, but not enough,
heavy defensive and offensive weapons by the CIA/NATO/EU.

David
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[Marxism] CIA polices weapons entry to Syria as spooks invade Turkey

2019-05-09 Thread Louis Proyect via Marxism

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(For years now, I have been posting excerpts from a WSJ article written 
in 2012 about the CIA blocking MANPADs from reaching the Syrian rebels 
from Libya. It was only now that I discovered from Michael Karadjis's 
article that it was also blocking anti-tank weapons. So, when Assadists 
used to "explain" the embargo on MANPADs being dictated by the need to 
protect civilian airliners, I should have asked them whether tanks were 
being used to bus children to school in Damascus. Given the mindset of 
Max Blumenthal, Vanessa Beeley, et al, I am surprised that I didn't get 
such an argument.)


The Australian, August 13, 2012
CIA polices weapons entry to Syria as the spooks invade Turkey
Byline: JOHN FOLLAIN, TONY ALLEN-MILLS, ISTANBUL WASHINGTON

DESPITE mounting calls in Washington for a more aggressive US military 
role in Syria, the CIA has been quietly working along its northern 
border with Turkey to limit the supplies of weapons and ammunition 
reaching rebel forces, Syrian opposition officials say.


``Not one bullet enters Syria without US approval,'' one official 
complained in Istanbul. ``The Americans want the (rebellion) to 
continue, but they are not allowing enough supplies in to make the 
Damascus regime fall.''


Details of the CIA's policing activities offer a rare insight into the 
complex struggle for regional advantage that is rapidly developing at 
the margins of the Syrian civil war. Conducted mostly by clandestine 
agents from the US, Britain, Saudi Arabia, Israel and Iran, the conflict 
has turned Turkey's rugged border provinces into a hotbed of arms 
dealers, spies and would-be fighters.


Over the past 10 months, a Syrian opposition official told The Sunday 
Times, the CIA has blocked shipments of heavy anti-tank and 
anti-aircraft weapons, which rebel units of the Free Syrian Army have 
long said are vital to their efforts to overthrow the regime of 
President Bashar al-Assad. At the same time they have approved supplies 
of AK-47 Kalashnikov rifles, and just over a month ago gave the green 
light to a shipment of 10,000 Russian-made rocket-propelled grenades.


https://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/world/cia-polices-weapons-entry-to-syria-as-spooks-invade-turkey/news-story/4209b7f1bce83979b8af29edb1128681
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