Re: Complexity

2003-06-23 Thread Les Schaffer
Sabri wrote: That must be the Marsden effect. He has a tendency to put people to sleep. i've seen him give talks, and he's a fine, dynamic speaker. But this literary trend he is a part of is a dead end. I have one of his books with Hughes from 1976, A short course in fluid mechanics and it

Re: Complexity

2003-06-23 Thread Sabri Oncu
Les: i love a nice looking piece of math, in fact i tend to get it only if i can see the artwork effort which went into creating it. Between you and I, me too. Not only that, I pay great attention to make my mathematics writing look beautiful. Unlike most people believe, mathematics is not

Re: Complexity

2003-06-22 Thread Sabri Oncu
I was wading through the mails on PEN-L and just saw this. Les: i liked his cartoon books on dynamics very much. it was his text w/Marsden and Ratiu that puts me to sleep. That must be the Marsden effect. He has a tendency to put people to sleep. I have one of his books with Hughes from 1976,

Re: Complexity

2003-06-20 Thread Barkley Rosser
Subject: Re: [PEN-L] Complexity Barkley's comments on chaos/catastrophe/power law theories are first rate. By the way, Sam Bowles runs the econ. program at the Santa Fe Institute. -- Michael Perelman Economics Department California State University Chico, CA 95929 Tel. 530-898-5321 E-Mail

final word on complexity

2003-06-20 Thread Barkley Rosser
Well, folks, I am going to check off out of this list very shortly. Just way too busy. Thought I would add a final observation on the complexity discussion, especially as it relates to financial markets. When one looks closely at what is going on in most of the complex dynamics models

Re: Complexity

2003-06-19 Thread dsquared
On Wed, 18 Jun 2003 16:57:17 -0400, Barkley Rosser wrote: Briefly, there were indeed intellectual bubbles regarding cybernetics, catastrophe theory, chaos theory, and complexity theory, which rose and then fell. What's your view on Didier Sornette and log-periodic power laws? Another

RES: [PEN-L] Complexity

2003-06-19 Thread Renato Pompeu
What's your view on Didier Sornette and log-periodic power laws? Another intellectual bubble developing? I've got his Why Stock Markets Crash and there is some good stuff there, but he appears to be trying to extend his theory into a general principle of stock market movements. HE's also

Re: Complexity

2003-06-19 Thread Les Schaffer
Barkley wrote: I think Ralph Abraham is a genius. i liked his cartoon books on dynamics very much. it was his text w/ Marsden and Ratiu that puts me to sleep. He also discovered chaotic hysteresis, although I am the one who coined that term. can you send me your paper on this offlist, it

Re: Complexity

2003-06-19 Thread Barkley Rosser
Sabri, The fad phase of cybernetics was the 1950s and 1960s. Today it lives in modern complexity stuff. The fad phase of catastrophe theory was the 1970s. Today it is dead, except when appearing under other names, which it is increasingly doing so again. The fad phase for chaos theory

Re: Complexity

2003-06-19 Thread Barkley Rosser
Message - From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Thursday, June 19, 2003 2:48 AM Subject: Re: [PEN-L] Complexity On Wed, 18 Jun 2003 16:57:17 -0400, Barkley Rosser wrote: Briefly, there were indeed intellectual bubbles regarding cybernetics, catastrophe theory, chaos

Re: RES: [PEN-L] Complexity

2003-06-19 Thread Barkley Rosser
: Wednesday, June 18, 2003 10:10 PM Subject: [PEN-L] RES: [PEN-L] Complexity What's your view on Didier Sornette and log-periodic power laws? Another intellectual bubble developing? I've got his Why Stock Markets Crash and there is some good stuff there, but he appears to be trying to extend his

Re: Complexity

2003-06-19 Thread Barkley Rosser
] Sent: Thursday, June 19, 2003 7:11 AM Subject: Re: [PEN-L] Complexity Barkley wrote: I think Ralph Abraham is a genius. i liked his cartoon books on dynamics very much. it was his text w/ Marsden and Ratiu that puts me to sleep. He also discovered chaotic hysteresis, although I am

Re: Complexity

2003-06-19 Thread Sabri Oncu
Barkley: Today, chaos theory is just normal science. Exactly! And a good one I would say. This has been my point all along. I am sick and tired of hearing about the soliton revolution, chaos revolution, complexity revolution and the like. These are not revolutions. These are natural/normal

Re: Complexity

2003-06-19 Thread Ian Murray
- Original Message - From: Sabri Oncu [EMAIL PROTECTED] Barkley: Today, chaos theory is just normal science. Exactly! And a good one I would say. This has been my point all along. I am sick and tired of hearing about the soliton revolution, chaos revolution, complexity

Re: Complexity

2003-06-19 Thread Devine, James
Title: RE: [PEN-L] Complexity it's interesting (and perhaps sad from Sabri's perspective) that the whole idea of scientific revolutions was pushed by many people on the left (embracing Kuhn). Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine

complexity

2003-06-19 Thread Barkley Rosser
With regard to this question of revolutions, I think that the one where there may be a political element is the continuing undervaluation of catastrophe theory. Chaos theory and complexity theory are much more easily house-broken ideologically, so to speak. After all, there is a right-wing

Re: Complexity

2003-06-19 Thread Sabri Oncu
Jim: it's interesting (and perhaps sad from Sabri's perspective) that the whole idea of scientific revolutions was pushed by many people on the left (embracing Kuhn). I may be a leftist but whatever I say about science is based on my personal experiences in the wonderland as one of the

Re: Complexity

2003-06-19 Thread Michael Perelman
Barkley's comments on chaos/catastrophe/power law theories are first rate. By the way, Sam Bowles runs the econ. program at the Santa Fe Institute. -- Michael Perelman Economics Department California State University Chico, CA 95929 Tel. 530-898-5321 E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Re: Complexity

2003-06-18 Thread Les Schaffer
i agree chaos and complexity studies have a fad __component__. Sabri Oncu writes: : However, with what I know about chaos, and it is not much, mind : you, my subjective judgment is that chaos is a fad as : topology was once to mathematical analysis or game theory : was to economics. topology

Re: Complexity

2003-06-18 Thread Barkley Rosser
My view on the four C's is laid out in my Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1999, article, On the Complexity of Complex Economic Dynamics, which can be seen on my website, with a much more thorough discussion in the book I have already mentioned. Briefly, there were indeed intellectual

Re: Complexity

2003-06-18 Thread Barkley Rosser
18, 2003 3:14 PM Subject: Re: [PEN-L] Complexity i agree chaos and complexity studies have a fad __component__. Sabri Oncu writes: : However, with what I know about chaos, and it is not much, mind : you, my subjective judgment is that chaos is a fad as : topology was once to mathematical

Re: Complexity

2003-06-18 Thread Ian Murray
- Original Message - From: Barkley Rosser [EMAIL PROTECTED] I think Ralph Abraham is a genius. He is also a great coiner of phrases, including the blue bagel catastrophe and chaostrophe and morphodynamics. He also discovered chaotic hysteresis, although I am the one who coined

Re: Complexity

2003-06-18 Thread Sabri Oncu
Les: i agree chaos and complexity studies have a fad __component__. Les, As I know it, fad means craze, trend, mania and the like. In that sense, anyone who knows some math knows that chaos is a fad. Take a look at the Preface of that beautiful book by Stephen Wiggins where he says: Finally

Re: Complexity

2003-06-17 Thread Chris Burford
to embrace the concept of complexity. But being dynamically complex, which chaotic dynamics can produce under certain conditions, is an adjective and is by no means necessarily the same as complexity theory, although IMHO chaos theory probably also applies in economics. Both theories explain

Re: Complexity

2003-06-17 Thread Barkley Rosser
Sabri, I took this definition from Dick Day in his book on Complexity Dynamics in Economics, 1994, MIT Press. There are over 40 other definitions, but I l like this one for economic dynamics. The dynamic patterns that are ruled out are all rather regular, asymptotic convergence

Re: Complexity

2003-06-17 Thread Barkley Rosser
nonlinear systems, but not all nonlinear systems generate complex dynamics. Barkley Rosser - Original Message - From: Chris Burford To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Tuesday, June 17, 2003 2:25 AM Subject: Re: [PEN-L] Complexity At 2003-06-16 15:34 -0700, you quoted

Re: Complexity

2003-06-17 Thread Sabri Oncu
does, whom Barkley quoted in his article, that the concept of complexity more generally, not just in economics, as just the latest in a string of fads, the four C’s. Complexity is one of them and chaos is another. Because it was very fashionable when I was a graduate student, I read a few books about

Complexity

2003-06-16 Thread Sabri Oncu
Dear Barkley, Being an old-fashioned thermodynamist trained in the Truesdell school and specialized in the partial integro-differential equations of the hyperbolic kind, I never had a chance to learn about complexity theories. Would you kindly enlighten me what this from your paper Complexity

Re: Complexity

2003-06-16 Thread Doug Henwood
Sabri Oncu wrote: Being an old-fashioned thermodynamist trained in the Truesdell school and specialized in the partial integro-differential equations of the hyperbolic kind, And you have a problem with Western rationality? Doug

Re: Complexity

2003-06-16 Thread Sabri Oncu
Sabri Oncu wrote: Being an old-fashioned thermodynamist trained in the Truesdell school and specialized in the partial integro-differential equations of the hyperbolic kind, And you have a problem with Western rationality? Doug Hey! This was exactly my problem. I have been an active

Complexity sets in

2001-09-29 Thread Ian Murray
Listen to the damned It is not Islam or poverty that succours terrorism, but the failure to be heard Orhan Pamuk Saturday September 29, 2001 The Guardian As I walked the streets of Istanbul after watching the unbelievable images of the twin towers in New York blazing and collapsing, I met one

Krugman on complexity and chaos

1998-03-03 Thread Rosser Jr, John Barkley
Well, I find Jim Devine's latest salvo on Krugman of some interest. I think the following is going on: 1) He has read John Horgan's _The End of Science_. Horgan is the one who coined this line about "cybernetics to catastrophe to chaos to complexity" (all garbage accord

Krugman on complexity chaos

1998-02-27 Thread James Devine
I don't think pen-l should be a fan club for my old college roomie, Paul K, but you folks may be interested in the following SLATE essay, where in the process of trashing USVP Al Gore, he pooh-poohs both complexity and chaos theory. Since he's a weathervane of the relatively enlightened orthodoxy

Re: complexity

1998-02-24 Thread Michael Perelman
I think that I posted this once before, but what the hell! Pool, Robert. 1989. "Strange Bedfellows." Science, vol. 245 (18 August): pp. 700-5. 701: Physicists at the Santa Fe institute were amazed at how mathematically sophisticated economists were. 701: The economists were shocked at the

complexity

1998-02-24 Thread PJM0930
Someone mentioned Brian Arthur and his part in Mitchell Waldrop's book "Complexity". That book had a fairly interesting and novel (novel to me anyway) critique of the mathematical "culture" of Economics. The critique originates from a group of physicists called to the Sant

Complexity

1998-02-23 Thread Paul Meyer
Someone mentioned Brian Arthur and his part in Mitchell Waldrop's book "Complexity". That book had a fairly interesting and novel (novel to me anyway) critique of the mathematical "culture" of Economics. The critique originates from a group of physicists called to the Sant

Chaos/Complexity

1998-02-01 Thread James Michael Craven
It is interesting to note that the chaos/complexity "paradigm" is often portrayed as "cutting edge; the notions of hidden order in complexity and complexity out of assumed order, fuzzy logic, strange- attractors, spirals rather than linear chains of causality etc. The eari

[PEN-L:11404] Re: Sustainable Development, Complexity theory, and

1997-07-23 Thread Robin Hahnel
Carla Feldpausch just completed her PHD thesis,"The Political Economy of Chaos: Multiple Equilibria and Fractal Basin Boundaries in a Nonlinear Envir onmental Economy" with Walter Park (American University), Barkley Rosser (James Madison Univerity), and Robert Blecker (American University) this

[PEN-L:11405] Re: Sustainable Development, Complexity theory,

1997-07-23 Thread Robin Hahnel
What time is Costanza's brown bag at EPI? I'd like to come.

[PEN-L:11410] Re: Sustainable Development, Complexity theory

1997-07-23 Thread Max B. Sawicky
Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 11:08:42 -0700 (PDT) Reply-to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] From: Robin Hahnel [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [PEN-L:11405] Re: Sustainable Development, Complexity theory, What time is Costanza's brown bag at EPI? I'd like to come. 12:30 till about 2

[PEN-L:11411] Re: Sustainable Development, Complexity theory,

1997-07-23 Thread Doug Henwood
Robin Hahnel wrote: Carla Feldpausch just completed her PHD thesis,"The Political Economy of Chaos: Multiple Equilibria and Fractal Basin Boundaries in a Nonlinear Envir onmental Economy" with Walter Park (American University), Barkley Rosser (James Madison Univerity), and Robert Blecker

[PEN-L:11400] Re: Sustainable Development, Complexity theory, an

1997-07-23 Thread Max B. Sawicky
From: Anders Schneiderman [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [PEN-L:11397] Sustainable Development, Complexity theory, and Economics I'm starting a new research project, and I need to get up to speed on the latest thinking about sustainable development. Anybody have any reading

[PEN-L:11399] Re: Sustainable Development, Complexity theory, and Economics

1997-07-23 Thread William S. Lear
in Syracuse are fairly limited)? I'm trying to use ecology / sustainable development as a metaphor. Also, has anyone in economics done research using complexity theory that's reasonably accessible? I know Kenneth Arrow was doing some work, but I was curious who else has done interesting research. About

[PEN-L:11398] Re: Sustainable Development, Complexity theory, and Economics

1997-07-23 Thread Fikret Ceyhun
/ sustainable development as a metaphor. Also, has anyone in economics done research using complexity theory that's reasonably accessible? I know Kenneth Arrow was doing some work, but I was curious who else has done interesting research. Anders Schneiderman Progressive Communications Check out

[PEN-L:11397] Sustainable Development, Complexity theory, and Economics

1997-07-23 Thread Anders Schneiderman
/ sustainable development as a metaphor. Also, has anyone in economics done research using complexity theory that's reasonably accessible? I know Kenneth Arrow was doing some work, but I was curious who else has done interesting research. Anders Schneiderman Progressive Communications

[PEN-L:3706] Economists, complexity, and power

1995-01-11 Thread R. Anders Schneiderman
The discussion over economists and rationality reminded me of something I've been wanting to ask the economists on the list. Is the study of complexity/chaos making any headway in mainstream economics these days? I've read a bit of the work on complexity going on in the study of biology

[PEN-L:3709] Re: Economists, complexity, and power

1995-01-11 Thread Bill Humphries
The discussion over economists and rationality reminded me of something I've been wanting to ask the economists on the list. Is the study of complexity/chaos making any headway in mainstream economics these days? Read _The Economy as a Complex System_, a proceedings volume from the Santa Fe