[Biofuel] Cheap oil makes it tough for ethanol to pay bills | The Salt Lake Tribune

2015-08-25 Thread Darryl McMahon

http://www.sltrib.com/home/2859042-155/cheap-oil-makes-it-tough-for

Cheap oil makes it tough for ethanol to pay bills

By Mario Parker Bloomberg News

First Published Aug 20 2015 09:36AM • Last Updated Aug 20 2015 09:36 am

Cheap crude oil may make it hard for ethanol companies to pay their 
bills on time.


The lowest oil prices in six years are hitting biofuel producers two 
ways: They're making ethanol less attractive as a blend for gasoline, 
and emboldening the arguments of petroleum backers who say the U.S. law 
mandating consumption of the fuel alternative is obsolete, Standard  
Poor's Ratings Services Inc. said in a report Wednesday.


The most noteworthy trend in the energy industry during the past year 
has been the precipitous decline in commodity prices, and chief among 
these has been plummeting oil prices, Michael Ferguson, a credit 
analyst at SP, wrote. The lower oil prices may present a difficult 
rationale for blending ethanol.


Crude oil has fallen 57 percent in the past year to $40.80 a barrel on 
the New York Mercantile Exchange, the lowest since March 2009. Gasoline 
has plunged 42 percent and ethanol has dropped 31 percent.


Regulatory support has also waned. In May, the Environmental Protection 
Agency proposed reducing the amount of ethanol required to be mixed with 
gasoline from statutory levels set in 2007, citing changing driving 
habits and fuel use since then.


That's not reason enough to abandon the policy, according to Growth 
Energy, a Washington-based trade group.


Cheap gas and cheap oil is never a certainty, and often it is the 
exception, Tom Buis, chief executive officer of the lobby, said in an 
emailed statement.


The Renewable Fuels Association, also a Washington-based trade group, 
said the SP report is really out of step with the realities of the 
market place today.


Low-priced crude oil lowers gasoline costs and makes ethanol less 
attractive for blending beyond government mandates. An additive, ethanol 
is used to boost gasoline supply and lower prices.


Consumers are saying, 'I've already got cheap gas, why do I need this 
ethanol?' Ferguson, the report's author, said in a telephone interview 
Wednesday.


Poet in Sioux Falls, S.D., is the largest ethanol producer, followed by 
Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. in Chicago; Valero Energy Corp. in San 
Antonio; and Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc. in Omaha.


In the United States, ethanol is made mostly from corn. Companies risk 
getting pinched between cheap oil, which caps how much they can charge 
for ethanol, and corn that's subject to weather-related price spikes, 
according to the credit agency.


Ample supply and higher input costs threaten to pressure production 
margins for the rest of the year, Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Tobias 
Nystedt and James Evans said in an Aug. 7 report.


That, combined with cheap oil and policy changes, brews uncertainty, 
anathema to credit analysts, SP said.

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Re: [Biofuel] Cheap oil

2004-10-01 Thread Walt Patrick


I just encountered two articles at my library that strengthens my
belief that we are beginning to see the end of cheap oil NOW from how
we've always known it.

	Good article with some interesting points, but I feel the need to quibble 
a bit.
The problem is that oil _is_ cheap, even at $50 a barrel because while a 
barrel of oil is real, the dollar is not.


	The oil crisis of the '70s was triggered by Nixon's decision to remove 
the dollar's gold backing and OPEC's rational response to his decision. 
Now, we're facing a similar situation. The world is being flooded with 
dollar denominated debt, a tidal wave which is going to affect the dollar 
denominated value of all  commodities.


	People talk about fifty dollar a barrel oil as if fifty dollars means 
something. It doesn't. Each dollar is just a drop in a vast sea of 
unsupported, unredeemable debt, and as foreign investors start to catch on, 
the dollar is going to continue to fall in value. In short, it isn't so 
much a matter of the cost of oil going up, but rather the value of the 
dollar going down.


Walt



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RE: [Biofuel] Cheap oil

2004-10-01 Thread John Mullan

You know it's happening.  And the commericial I saw the other night goes a
long way with that.

Not sure who's commercial, but oil executives in the board room, one
introduces them to bio oil.  They balk and say their in the oil business, he
says their in the energy business.

So you know they are thinking about it and have a Plan B up their sleeve.
They just want to eek out the last drops of dino dollars while they can.

-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Behalf Of Ross Cannon
Sent: September 30, 2004 9:51 AM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; [EMAIL PROTECTED];
[EMAIL PROTECTED]; [EMAIL PROTECTED];
[EMAIL PROTECTED]; [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: [Biofuel] Cheap oil


Global Capitalism and the end of Cheap Oil

I just encountered two articles at my library that strengthens my
belief that we are beginning to see the end of cheap oil NOW from how
we've always known it.  We won't have to wait 10 years.  One was an
article by T. Boone Pickens, the Texas oil mogol.  The other was an
article in the Kipplinger Newsletter, a newsletter printed monthly for
the business world.

The article in Kipplinger says that oil is skyrocketing for a number
of reasons, including the political destabilization of oil producing
regions throughout the world. (Remember Bush's argument that our
invasion of Iraq would help secure the Iraqi oil fields?  Well, the
terrorists are now targeting the oil industry as a strategy to cripple
our economy -- starting with Iraq.)   Another BIG factor is the
booming economic growth now taking place in India and China.
Especially the booming manufacturing capability of China.

Not only is oil affected (it's being bought up as fast as it is being
pumped -- OPEC seems unable to make up the difference anymore), but
valuable other irreplaceable resources are being sucked up by these
nations -- for example, American scrap iron.

Add to that the fact that the international transport infrastructure
(trains, planes, ships, etc) is now being taxed to the hilt due to a
soaring amount of imports and exports (also reported by Kissinger) and
put it together, we see a significant impact on our economy.

Pickens view is that unless things change, all nations -- attempting
to copy the American economic model of the past -- will be competing
with each other for fewer and fewer oil reserves.  He sees $50 to $100
per barrel oil becoming the norm, for example.  I see the same thing
for items like bauxite, iron ore, and such -- essential raw materials
required in the manufacturing process.

Thus simple living will become an economic necessity as things balance
out throughout the world,  At the same time developing nations become
more like the U.S., we no doubt will become more like them -- MY
words.  But this is not such a bad thing.  As I have said before here,
that hardly means that we'll be living in grass huts.  More like it,
we will be living much like we did in the Forties, Fifties or maybe
the Sixties, my guess. Ross Cannon

 0oo00o0o0o0o0o0o0o0o0o0o0o0oo0o00o0o0o0o0o0
The Equinox is here again, marking a brief time of balance on this
plane of existence.  We feel the passage of time with the colors of
fall, spring for our friends to the south. We feel an intuitive need to
pause and to reflect on where we are in our life's journey.

RossCannon


Get your name as your email address.
Includes spam protection, 1GB storage, no ads and more
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Re: [Biofuel] Cheap oil

2004-10-01 Thread Hakan Falk


Walt,

The oil crisis in the 70's was triggered by the Israeli-Arab war and an 
attempt by the Oil producing countries to effect the world in this.


Hakan


At 07:53 PM 9/30/2004, you wrote:

At 08:51 AM 9/30/04 -0500, Ross wrote:
I just encountered two articles at my library that strengthens my
belief that we are beginning to see the end of cheap oil NOW from how
we've always known it.

Good article with some interesting points, but I feel the need to 
quibble a bit.
The problem is that oil _is_ cheap, even at $50 a barrel because while a 
barrel of oil is real, the dollar is not.


The oil crisis of the '70s was triggered by Nixon's decision to 
remove the dollar's gold backing and OPEC's rational response to his 
decision. Now, we're facing a similar situation. The world is being 
flooded with dollar denominated debt, a tidal wave which is going to 
affect the dollar denominated value of all  commodities.


People talk about fifty dollar a barrel oil as if fifty 
dollars means something. It doesn't. Each dollar is just a drop in a 
vast sea of unsupported, unredeemable debt, and as foreign investors 
start to catch on, the dollar is going to continue to fall in value. In 
short, it isn't so much a matter of the cost of oil going up, but rather 
the value of the dollar going down.


Walt



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Re: [Biofuel] Cheap oil

2004-10-01 Thread Legal Eagle


- Original Message - 
From: Walt Patrick [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Thursday, September 30, 2004 1:53 PM
Subject: Re: [Biofuel] Cheap oil


 At 08:51 AM 9/30/04 -0500, Ross wrote:
  I just encountered two articles at my library that strengthens my
  belief that we are beginning to see the end of cheap oil NOW from how
  we've always known it.

 Good article with some interesting points, but I feel the need to quibble
 a bit.

Very good quibble :)
Luc

 The problem is that oil _is_ cheap, even at $50 a barrel because while a
 barrel of oil is real, the dollar is not.

 The oil crisis of the '70s was triggered by Nixon's decision to remove
 the dollar's gold backing and OPEC's rational response to his decision.
 Now, we're facing a similar situation. The world is being flooded with
 dollar denominated debt, a tidal wave which is going to affect the dollar
 denominated value of all  commodities.

 People talk about fifty dollar a barrel oil as if fifty dollars means
 something. It doesn't. Each dollar is just a drop in a vast sea of
 unsupported, unredeemable debt, and as foreign investors start to catch
on,
 the dollar is going to continue to fall in value. In short, it isn't so
 much a matter of the cost of oil going up, but rather the value of the
 dollar going down.

 Walt



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Re: [Biofuel] Cheap oil

2004-10-01 Thread Keith Addison




The oil crisis in the 70's was triggered by the Israeli-Arab war and 
an attempt by the Oil producing countries to effect the world in 
this.


Hakan


See:

The Seven Sisters -- The Great Oil Companies and the World They Made
http://journeytoforever.org/biofuel_library.html#7sisters

The Seven Sisters -- The Great Oil Companies and the World They Made, 
by Anthony Sampson, 1975 (out of print). The Seven Sisters (from a 
phrase first popularised by Italian oil tycoon Enrico Mattei): Exxon 
(Esso), Shell, BP, Gulf, Texaco, Mobil, Socal (Chevron) -- plus an 
eighth, the Compagnie Francaise Des PŽtroles (CFP-Total). We scanned 
chapters 8-14 of the book and posted them under the subtitle OPEC, 
Big Oil and you at the Biofuel mailing list, where they raised much 
interest. I was so interested in the story, I went out and ordered 
myself a copy, wrote one list member. This is great reading, and 
gives us a small glimpse into the control that big oil has over us. 
Thanks. Seven chapters full-text online.

See also: Who gets what from imported oil? Data from OPEC (Acrobat file, 36kb):
http://www.opec.org/NewsInfo/WhoGetsWhat/2001.pdf

Best wishes

Keith




At 07:53 PM 9/30/2004, you wrote:

At 08:51 AM 9/30/04 -0500, Ross wrote:
I just encountered two articles at my library that strengthens my
belief that we are beginning to see the end of cheap oil NOW from how
we've always known it.

  Good article with some interesting points, but I feel the 
need to quibble a bit.
The problem is that oil _is_ cheap, even at $50 a barrel because 
while a barrel of oil is real, the dollar is not.


  The oil crisis of the '70s was triggered by Nixon's 
decision to remove the dollar's gold backing and OPEC's rational 
response to his decision. Now, we're facing a similar situation. 
The world is being flooded with dollar denominated debt, a tidal 
wave which is going to affect the dollar denominated value of all 
commodities.


  People talk about fifty dollar a barrel oil as if fifty 
dollars means something. It doesn't. Each dollar is just a drop in 
a vast sea of unsupported, unredeemable debt, and as foreign 
investors start to catch on, the dollar is going to continue to 
fall in value. In short, it isn't so much a matter of the cost of 
oil going up, but rather the value of the dollar going down.


Walt



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Re: [Biofuel] Cheap oil

2004-10-01 Thread Legal Eagle


- Original Message - 
From: Keith Addison [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Thursday, September 30, 2004 11:58 PM
Subject: Re: [Biofuel] Cheap oil


 Walt,
 
 The oil crisis in the 70's was triggered by the Israeli-Arab war and
 an attempt by the Oil producing countries to effect the world in
 this.
 
 Hakan

 See:

 The Seven Sisters -- The Great Oil Companies and the World They Made
 http://journeytoforever.org/biofuel_library.html#7sisters

 The Seven Sisters -- The Great Oil Companies and the World They Made,
 by Anthony Sampson, 1975 (out of print). The Seven Sisters (from a
 phrase first popularised by Italian oil tycoon Enrico Mattei): Exxon
 (Esso), Shell, BP, Gulf, Texaco, Mobil, Socal (Chevron) -- plus an
 eighth, the Compagnie Francaise Des PŽtroles (CFP-Total). We scanned
 chapters 8-14 of the book and posted them under the subtitle OPEC,
 Big Oil and you at the Biofuel mailing list, where they raised much
 interest. I was so interested in the story, I went out and ordered
 myself a copy, wrote one list member. This is great reading, and
 gives us a small glimpse into the control that big oil has over us.
 Thanks. Seven chapters full-text online.
 See also: Who gets what from imported oil? Data from OPEC (Acrobat file,
36kb):
 http://www.opec.org/NewsInfo/WhoGetsWhat/2001.pdf

 Best wishes

 Keith

An equally interesting and revealing read is The Rockerfeller File
http://www.mega.nu:8080/ampp/gary_allen_rocker/index.html#metatop
Showing that due to anti-trust laws levelled at him, Heir Rocky was forced
to break up Standard Oil into the conglomerates we have with us today,
while, of course, retaining much of their control.

Luc

 
 At 07:53 PM 9/30/2004, you wrote:
 At 08:51 AM 9/30/04 -0500, Ross wrote:
  I just encountered two articles at my library that strengthens my
  belief that we are beginning to see the end of cheap oil NOW from how
  we've always known it.
 
Good article with some interesting points, but I feel the
 need to quibble a bit.
 The problem is that oil _is_ cheap, even at $50 a barrel because
 while a barrel of oil is real, the dollar is not.
 
The oil crisis of the '70s was triggered by Nixon's
 decision to remove the dollar's gold backing and OPEC's rational
 response to his decision. Now, we're facing a similar situation.
 The world is being flooded with dollar denominated debt, a tidal
 wave which is going to affect the dollar denominated value of all
 commodities.
 
People talk about fifty dollar a barrel oil as if fifty
 dollars means something. It doesn't. Each dollar is just a drop in
 a vast sea of unsupported, unredeemable debt, and as foreign
 investors start to catch on, the dollar is going to continue to
 fall in value. In short, it isn't so much a matter of the cost of
 oil going up, but rather the value of the dollar going down.
 
 Walt
 
 
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Re: [Biofuel] Cheap oil

2004-10-01 Thread bob allen


hump  in the process going from a net exporter to a net importer of 
crude oil. 


Hakan Falk wrote:



Walt,

The oil crisis in the 70's was triggered by the Israeli-Arab war and 
an attempt by the Oil producing countries to effect the world in this.


Hakan


At 07:53 PM 9/30/2004, you wrote:


At 08:51 AM 9/30/04 -0500, Ross wrote:
I just encountered two articles at my library that strengthens my
belief that we are beginning to see the end of cheap oil NOW from how
we've always known it.

Good article with some interesting points, but I feel the 
need to quibble a bit.
The problem is that oil _is_ cheap, even at $50 a barrel because 
while a barrel of oil is real, the dollar is not.


The oil crisis of the '70s was triggered by Nixon's 
decision to remove the dollar's gold backing and OPEC's rational 
response to his decision. Now, we're facing a similar situation. The 
world is being flooded with dollar denominated debt, a tidal wave 
which is going to affect the dollar denominated value of all  
commodities.


People talk about fifty dollar a barrel oil as if fifty 
dollars means something. It doesn't. Each dollar is just a drop in a 
vast sea of unsupported, unredeemable debt, and as foreign investors 
start to catch on, the dollar is going to continue to fall in value. 
In short, it isn't so much a matter of the cost of oil going up, but 
rather the value of the dollar going down.


Walt




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--
--
Bob Allen,http://ozarker.org/bob 
--

-
The modern conservative is engaged in one of Man's oldest exercises
in moral philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral
justification for selfishness  JKG 



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[Biofuel] Cheap oil

2004-09-30 Thread Ross Cannon

Global Capitalism and the end of Cheap Oil
 
I just encountered two articles at my library that strengthens my
belief that we are beginning to see the end of cheap oil NOW from how
we've always known it.  We won't have to wait 10 years.  One was an
article by T. Boone Pickens, the Texas oil mogol.  The other was an
article in the Kipplinger Newsletter, a newsletter printed monthly for
the business world.
 
The article in Kipplinger says that oil is skyrocketing for a number
of reasons, including the political destabilization of oil producing
regions throughout the world. (Remember Bush's argument that our
invasion of Iraq would help secure the Iraqi oil fields?  Well, the
terrorists are now targeting the oil industry as a strategy to cripple
our economy -- starting with Iraq.)   Another BIG factor is the
booming economic growth now taking place in India and China. 
Especially the booming manufacturing capability of China. 
 
Not only is oil affected (it's being bought up as fast as it is being
pumped -- OPEC seems unable to make up the difference anymore), but
valuable other irreplaceable resources are being sucked up by these
nations -- for example, American scrap iron.  
 
Add to that the fact that the international transport infrastructure
(trains, planes, ships, etc) is now being taxed to the hilt due to a
soaring amount of imports and exports (also reported by Kissinger) and
put it together, we see a significant impact on our economy.  
 
Pickens view is that unless things change, all nations -- attempting
to copy the American economic model of the past -- will be competing
with each other for fewer and fewer oil reserves.  He sees $50 to $100
per barrel oil becoming the norm, for example.  I see the same thing
for items like bauxite, iron ore, and such -- essential raw materials
required in the manufacturing process. 
 
Thus simple living will become an economic necessity as things balance
out throughout the world,  At the same time developing nations become
more like the U.S., we no doubt will become more like them -- MY
words.  But this is not such a bad thing.  As I have said before here,
that hardly means that we'll be living in grass huts.  More like it,
we will be living much like we did in the Forties, Fifties or maybe
the Sixties, my guess. Ross Cannon
   
 0oo00o0o0o0o0o0o0o0o0o0o0o0oo0o00o0o0o0o0o0
The Equinox is here again, marking a brief time of balance on this
plane of existence.  We feel the passage of time with the colors of 
fall, spring for our friends to the south. We feel an intuitive need to 
pause and to reflect on where we are in our life's journey. 

RossCannon


Get your name as your email address.
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