----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Walt Patrick" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Thursday, September 30, 2004 1:53 PM
Subject: Re: [Biofuel] Cheap oil


> At 08:51 AM 9/30/04 -0500, Ross wrote:
>  >I just encountered two articles at my library that strengthens my
>  >belief that we are beginning to see the end of cheap oil NOW from how
>  >we've always known it.
>
> Good article with some interesting points, but I feel the need to quibble
> a bit.

Very good "quibble" :)
Luc

> The problem is that oil _is_ cheap, even at $50 a barrel because while a
> barrel of oil is real, the dollar is not.
>
> The "oil crisis" of the '70s was triggered by Nixon's decision to remove
> the dollar's gold backing and OPEC's rational response to his decision.
> Now, we're facing a similar situation. The world is being flooded with
> dollar denominated debt, a tidal wave which is going to affect the dollar
> denominated "value" of all  commodities.
>
> People talk about "fifty dollar a barrel oil" as if "fifty dollars" means
> something. It doesn't. Each dollar is just a drop in a vast sea of
> unsupported, unredeemable debt, and as foreign investors start to catch
on,
> the dollar is going to continue to fall in value. In short, it isn't so
> much a matter of the cost of oil going up, but rather the value of the
> dollar going down.
>
> Walt
>
>
>
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