Re: [Biofuel] Peak Food

2008-02-20 Thread Keith Addison
Hi Chip

Keith Addison wrote:
  The Telegraph article is below.

  Goldman Sachs has been talking to Lester Brown, it's exactly his
  line, especially about China.

Haha. Don't think Goldman Sachs actually talks to anyone.

:-) No, I don't suppose they actually do.

More like
someone there read some of Brown's website. :)

Or wherever. He's sure tireless when it comes to getting himself 
widely published.

   It's about agrofuels, not biofuels. That said, it's hard to find an
  actual case of anyone actually starving because of agrofuels
  expansion. It's all just assumed, like all the projections Brown and
  others make. But it's very fashionable to blame biofuels
  (agrofuels) for whatever might stick, there's solid column-inches in
  media exposure to be gained, for one thing. Take a closer look and it
  vanishes. As quite a few recent posts show.

Agreed,
however, all that said, the prices of feedstocks, regardless of intended
use are going up, radically. Personally, I think this is a good thing,
but I fear that behind it all, is monsanto et al, just making a play
for a drastic increase in market share.

Yes.

   Land use for biofuels has shot up from 12m to more than 80m hectares
  worldwide over six years, says Goldman Sachs.

  Sounds dire eh?

  Brazil has 320m hectares [3.2m sq km] of arable land, only a fifth
  of which is cultivated. Of this, less than 4% is used for ethanol
  production ... This is not a choice between food and energy.
  (Brazil's president Luiz Lula)

  The FAO says the total world agricultural area is 5.0 billion
  hectares. So the 80m hectares worldwide under biofuels is 1.6% of the
  total. How can that account for food price rises in the last year
  variously touted as 10%, 17%, 20%, 43%, double?

My point.

  Retail food prices are indeed soaring worldwide. ExxonMobil's $40.6
  billion profits from rising oil prices point rather clearly at one
  cause - high oil costs, in a globalised food system that depends on
  fossil-fuel inputs at every stage, that plus corporate profit-taking
  by the food industry (or perhaps profiteering).

  The same causes are pushing all consumer prices up, not just food.
  Apparently world concrete prices are way up too, difficult to explain
  how it's caused by the evils of biofuels though.

  Biofuels or not, ag commodity prices probably aren't going to stop
  rising, nor will oil prices. It's already causing hardship,
  especially for poorer people, in the industrialised countries as well
  as the 3rd World.

  Grow your own. Go local.
  Best
  Keith

Egg-zactly!

This is, here in the west for certain, a good thing. As things go now,
where folks are able to access real high quality food products at
farmers markets and farm shops, one hears about people complaining about
the costs of 'real food'.

Yes, that's James's point too, and I agree. But the downside is the 
effect on those who can't afford real food - 40 million Americans 
live below the poverty line, for instance, including a high 
proportion of children. Genuine poverty, not just lazy won't-works 
after a free ride on the welfare system, as so often alleged (most 
odiously).

As one small farmer put it to a person
sniffing at the cost of his eggs compared to the supermarket variety,

sure, you can buy 3 times the eggs at the supermarket for what I'm
charging, but ONE of my eggs contains more nutrition than a dozen
of those white balls.

Exaggeration? perhaps, but sadly, perhaps not.

Definitely not. It's worse than that - previous post:

Donna Fezler of Grand Cypress Ranch did a funded, controlled study
of the nutritional value of grocery-store vs free-range eggs. She
had three groups of chicks, fed on free-choice non-medicated
commercial feed, with one group fed a supplement of cooked
free-range eggs twice a day, a second fed the same amount of
grocery-store eggs, and the third a control getting only the
free-choice feed.

The grocery store egg fed group ate more than any group by 28 days
and weighed the least ... the grocery eggs were actually negative
nutrition. The birds in that group had poor feed efficiency,
consuming the most feed and having the least weight gain. The
free-range egg fed birds were 22.4% heavier than the grocery egg fed
birds... There were residual effects of the grocery egg on the
chicks' development... There is an issue here: grocery store eggs
did not even provide the same nutrition as nothing at all with these
chicks.

See:
http://lists.ifas.ufl.edu/cgi-bin/wa.exe?A2=ind0010L=sanet-mgT=0F=S=P=11762

More here:
http://lists.ifas.ufl.edu/cgi-bin/wa.exe?A2=ind0402L=sanet-mgT=0F=S=P=14869

Also:

Salmonella levels over 5x higher in battery eggs than organic
http://www.naturalchoices.co.uk/Salmonella-levels-over-5x-higher?id_mot=7

Mercola just posted some useful comments:

The Multiple Benefits of Organic, Free-Range Eggs
http://articles.mercola.com/sites/articles/archive/2008/2/19/most-grocery-store-eggs-far-more-likely-to-be-infected.aspx

Meet Real 

Re: [Biofuel] Peak Food

2008-02-20 Thread Keith Addison
Great Keith - that's the reply I've been waiting for - and expecting.
We've all got a lot to thank you for.
Thank you!

You're most welcome James, thanks for your kind words.

James
ps. hope you don't get 2 of these

Only one. :-)

  One definite plus here where I am is that local produce prices are becoming
ever more competitive - without changing

Good point.

I wonder if that also applies to what unsubsidized farms in 3rd World 
countries can still manage to produce in competition with the 
artificially cheap, heavily subsidized commodities dumped on their 
markets by the rich countries now the rich-country struff is getting 
pricier. If that's quite what's happening...

Best

Keith


- Original Message -
From: Keith Addison [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: biofuel@sustainablelists.org
Sent: Tuesday, February 19, 2008 6:35 PM
Subject: Re: [Biofuel] Peak Food


  The Telegraph article is below.

  Goldman Sachs has been talking to Lester Brown, it's exactly his
  line, especially about China.

  It's about agrofuels, not biofuels. That said, it's hard to find an
  actual case of anyone actually starving because of agrofuels
  expansion. It's all just assumed, like all the projections Brown and
  others make. But it's very fashionable to blame biofuels
  (agrofuels) for whatever might stick, there's solid column-inches in
  media exposure to be gained, for one thing. Take a closer look and it
  vanishes. As quite a few recent posts show.

  Land use for biofuels has shot up from 12m to more than 80m hectares
  worldwide over six years, says Goldman Sachs.

  Sounds dire eh?

  Brazil has 320m hectares [3.2m sq km] of arable land, only a fifth
  of which is cultivated. Of this, less than 4% is used for ethanol
  production ... This is not a choice between food and energy.
  (Brazil's president Luiz Lula)

  The FAO says the total world agricultural area is 5.0 billion
  hectares. So the 80m hectares worldwide under biofuels is 1.6% of the
  total. How can that account for food price rises in the last year
  variously touted as 10%, 17%, 20%, 43%, double?

  Retail food prices are indeed soaring worldwide. ExxonMobil's $40.6
  billion profits from rising oil prices point rather clearly at one
  cause - high oil costs, in a globalised food system that depends on
  fossil-fuel inputs at every stage, that plus corporate profit-taking
  by the food industry (or perhaps profiteering).

  The same causes are pushing all consumer prices up, not just food.
  Apparently world concrete prices are way up too, difficult to explain
  how it's caused by the evils of biofuels though.

  Biofuels or not, ag commodity prices probably aren't going to stop
  rising, nor will oil prices. It's already causing hardship,
  especially for poorer people, in the industrialised countries as well
  as the 3rd World.

  Grow your own. Go local.

  Best

  Keith



 
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2008/02/07/cnoil107.xml

  Why the price of 'peak oil' is famine

  By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard International Business Editor

  Last Updated: 2:54am GMT 09/02/2008

  Vulnerable regions of the world face the risk of famine over the next
  three years as rising energy costs spill over into a food crunch,
  according to US investment bank Goldman Sachs.

  We've never been at a point in commodities where we are today, said
  Jeff Currie, the bank's commodity chief and closely watched oil guru.

  Sugar cane on a bullock cart in India - the commodity is popular as
  the basis of biofuel, as it is a cost-effective and cleaner
  alternative to oil

  Global oil output has been stagnant for four years, failing to keep
   up with rampant demand from Asia and the Mid-East. China's imports
  rose 14pc last year. Biofuels from grain, oil seed and sugar are
  plugging the gap, but drawing away food supplies at a time when the
  world is adding more than 70m mouths to feed a year.
  
  Markets are as tight as a drum and now the US has hit the stimulus
  button, said Mr Currie in his 2008 outlook. We have never seen this
  before when commodity prices were already at record highs. Over the
  next 18 to 36 months we are probably going into crisis mode across
  the commodity complex.

  The key is going to be agriculture. China is terrified of the
  current situation. It has real physical shortages, he said,
  referencing China still having memories of starvation in the 1960s
  seared in its collective mind.

  While the US housing crash poses some threat to the price of metals
  and energy, the effect has largely occurred already. The slide in
  crude prices over the past month may have been caused by funds
  liquidating derivatives contracts to cover other demands rather than
  by recession fears. Goldman Sachs forecasts that oil will be priced
  at $105 a barrel by the end of 2008.

  The current supercycle is a break with history because energy and
  food have converged in price and can increasingly be switched from
  one use

Re: [Biofuel] Peak Food

2008-02-19 Thread Keith Addison
The Telegraph article is below.

Goldman Sachs has been talking to Lester Brown, it's exactly his 
line, especially about China.

It's about agrofuels, not biofuels. That said, it's hard to find an 
actual case of anyone actually starving because of agrofuels 
expansion. It's all just assumed, like all the projections Brown and 
others make. But it's very fashionable to blame biofuels 
(agrofuels) for whatever might stick, there's solid column-inches in 
media exposure to be gained, for one thing. Take a closer look and it 
vanishes. As quite a few recent posts show.

Land use for biofuels has shot up from 12m to more than 80m hectares 
worldwide over six years, says Goldman Sachs.

Sounds dire eh?

Brazil has 320m hectares [3.2m sq km] of arable land, only a fifth 
of which is cultivated. Of this, less than 4% is used for ethanol 
production ... This is not a choice between food and energy. 
(Brazil's president Luiz Lula)

The FAO says the total world agricultural area is 5.0 billion 
hectares. So the 80m hectares worldwide under biofuels is 1.6% of the 
total. How can that account for food price rises in the last year 
variously touted as 10%, 17%, 20%, 43%, double?

Retail food prices are indeed soaring worldwide. ExxonMobil's $40.6 
billion profits from rising oil prices point rather clearly at one 
cause - high oil costs, in a globalised food system that depends on 
fossil-fuel inputs at every stage, that plus corporate profit-taking 
by the food industry (or perhaps profiteering).

The same causes are pushing all consumer prices up, not just food. 
Apparently world concrete prices are way up too, difficult to explain 
how it's caused by the evils of biofuels though.

Biofuels or not, ag commodity prices probably aren't going to stop 
rising, nor will oil prices. It's already causing hardship, 
especially for poorer people, in the industrialised countries as well 
as the 3rd World.

Grow your own. Go local.

Best

Keith



http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2008/02/07/cnoil107.xml

Why the price of 'peak oil' is famine

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard International Business Editor

Last Updated: 2:54am GMT 09/02/2008

Vulnerable regions of the world face the risk of famine over the next 
three years as rising energy costs spill over into a food crunch, 
according to US investment bank Goldman Sachs.

We've never been at a point in commodities where we are today, said 
Jeff Currie, the bank's commodity chief and closely watched oil guru.

Sugar cane on a bullock cart in India - the commodity is popular as 
the basis of biofuel, as it is a cost-effective and cleaner 
alternative to oil

Global oil output has been stagnant for four years, failing to keep 
up with rampant demand from Asia and the Mid-East. China's imports 
rose 14pc last year. Biofuels from grain, oil seed and sugar are 
plugging the gap, but drawing away food supplies at a time when the 
world is adding more than 70m mouths to feed a year.

Markets are as tight as a drum and now the US has hit the stimulus 
button, said Mr Currie in his 2008 outlook. We have never seen this 
before when commodity prices were already at record highs. Over the 
next 18 to 36 months we are probably going into crisis mode across 
the commodity complex.

The key is going to be agriculture. China is terrified of the 
current situation. It has real physical shortages, he said, 
referencing China still having memories of starvation in the 1960s 
seared in its collective mind.

While the US housing crash poses some threat to the price of metals 
and energy, the effect has largely occurred already. The slide in 
crude prices over the past month may have been caused by funds 
liquidating derivatives contracts to cover other demands rather than 
by recession fears. Goldman Sachs forecasts that oil will be priced 
at $105 a barrel by the end of 2008.

The current supercycle is a break with history because energy and 
food have converged in price and can increasingly be switched from 
one use to another.

Corn can be used for ethanol in cars and power plants, for plastics, 
as well as in baking tortillas. Natural gas can be made into 
fertiliser for food output. Peak Oil is morphing into Peak Food.

Land use for biofuels has shot up from 12m to more than 80m hectares 
worldwide over six years. Biofuel provides 3pc of global energy 
needs, which will rise to an estimated 10.6pc by 2030.

In a pure market, sugar cane would be the only viable biofuel with a 
cost of $35 a barrel (oil equivalent). The others are sugar beet 
($103), corn ($81), wheat ($145), rapeseed ($209), soybean ($232), 
cellulose ($305).

Subsidies drive the business. The US offers tax relief of $1 a gallon 
for biodiesel. The EU has a 10pc biofuel target by 2010.

The crop switch comes just as China and India make the leap to an 
animal-based diet, replicating the pattern seen in Japan and Korea, 
where people raised their protein intake nine-fold as they became 
rich. It takes 8.3 

Re: [Biofuel] Peak Food

2008-02-19 Thread James Machin
Great Keith - that's the reply I've been waiting for - and expecting.
We've all got a lot to thank you for.
Thank you!
James
ps. hope you don't get 2 of these
- Original Message - 
From: Keith Addison [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: biofuel@sustainablelists.org
Sent: Tuesday, February 19, 2008 6:35 PM
Subject: Re: [Biofuel] Peak Food


 The Telegraph article is below.

 Goldman Sachs has been talking to Lester Brown, it's exactly his
 line, especially about China.

 It's about agrofuels, not biofuels. That said, it's hard to find an
 actual case of anyone actually starving because of agrofuels
 expansion. It's all just assumed, like all the projections Brown and
 others make. But it's very fashionable to blame biofuels
 (agrofuels) for whatever might stick, there's solid column-inches in
 media exposure to be gained, for one thing. Take a closer look and it
 vanishes. As quite a few recent posts show.

 Land use for biofuels has shot up from 12m to more than 80m hectares
 worldwide over six years, says Goldman Sachs.

 Sounds dire eh?

 Brazil has 320m hectares [3.2m sq km] of arable land, only a fifth
 of which is cultivated. Of this, less than 4% is used for ethanol
 production ... This is not a choice between food and energy.
 (Brazil's president Luiz Lula)

 The FAO says the total world agricultural area is 5.0 billion
 hectares. So the 80m hectares worldwide under biofuels is 1.6% of the
 total. How can that account for food price rises in the last year
 variously touted as 10%, 17%, 20%, 43%, double?

 Retail food prices are indeed soaring worldwide. ExxonMobil's $40.6
 billion profits from rising oil prices point rather clearly at one
 cause - high oil costs, in a globalised food system that depends on
 fossil-fuel inputs at every stage, that plus corporate profit-taking
 by the food industry (or perhaps profiteering).

 The same causes are pushing all consumer prices up, not just food.
 Apparently world concrete prices are way up too, difficult to explain
 how it's caused by the evils of biofuels though.

 Biofuels or not, ag commodity prices probably aren't going to stop
 rising, nor will oil prices. It's already causing hardship,
 especially for poorer people, in the industrialised countries as well
 as the 3rd World.

 Grow your own. Go local.

 Best

 Keith



 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2008/02/07/cnoil107.xml

 Why the price of 'peak oil' is famine

 By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard International Business Editor

 Last Updated: 2:54am GMT 09/02/2008

 Vulnerable regions of the world face the risk of famine over the next
 three years as rising energy costs spill over into a food crunch,
 according to US investment bank Goldman Sachs.

 We've never been at a point in commodities where we are today, said
 Jeff Currie, the bank's commodity chief and closely watched oil guru.

 Sugar cane on a bullock cart in India - the commodity is popular as
 the basis of biofuel, as it is a cost-effective and cleaner
 alternative to oil

 Global oil output has been stagnant for four years, failing to keep
 up with rampant demand from Asia and the Mid-East. China's imports
 rose 14pc last year. Biofuels from grain, oil seed and sugar are
 plugging the gap, but drawing away food supplies at a time when the
 world is adding more than 70m mouths to feed a year.

 Markets are as tight as a drum and now the US has hit the stimulus
 button, said Mr Currie in his 2008 outlook. We have never seen this
 before when commodity prices were already at record highs. Over the
 next 18 to 36 months we are probably going into crisis mode across
 the commodity complex.

 The key is going to be agriculture. China is terrified of the
 current situation. It has real physical shortages, he said,
 referencing China still having memories of starvation in the 1960s
 seared in its collective mind.

 While the US housing crash poses some threat to the price of metals
 and energy, the effect has largely occurred already. The slide in
 crude prices over the past month may have been caused by funds
 liquidating derivatives contracts to cover other demands rather than
 by recession fears. Goldman Sachs forecasts that oil will be priced
 at $105 a barrel by the end of 2008.

 The current supercycle is a break with history because energy and
 food have converged in price and can increasingly be switched from
 one use to another.

 Corn can be used for ethanol in cars and power plants, for plastics,
 as well as in baking tortillas. Natural gas can be made into
 fertiliser for food output. Peak Oil is morphing into Peak Food.

 Land use for biofuels has shot up from 12m to more than 80m hectares
 worldwide over six years. Biofuel provides 3pc of global energy
 needs, which will rise to an estimated 10.6pc by 2030.

 In a pure market, sugar cane would be the only viable biofuel with a
 cost of $35 a barrel (oil equivalent). The others are sugar beet
 ($103), corn ($81), wheat ($145), rapeseed ($209), soybean ($232

Re: [Biofuel] Peak Food

2008-02-19 Thread James Machin
 One definite plus here where I am is that local produce prices are becoming 
ever more competitive - without changing
James 


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Re: [Biofuel] Peak Food

2008-02-19 Thread Chip Mefford
Keith Addison wrote:
 The Telegraph article is below.
 
 Goldman Sachs has been talking to Lester Brown, it's exactly his 
 line, especially about China.

Haha. Don't think Goldman Sachs actually talks to anyone. More like
someone there read some of Brown's website. :)


 It's about agrofuels, not biofuels. That said, it's hard to find an 
 actual case of anyone actually starving because of agrofuels 
 expansion. It's all just assumed, like all the projections Brown and 
 others make. But it's very fashionable to blame biofuels 
 (agrofuels) for whatever might stick, there's solid column-inches in 
 media exposure to be gained, for one thing. Take a closer look and it 
 vanishes. As quite a few recent posts show.

Agreed,
however, all that said, the prices of feedstocks, regardless of intended
use are going up, radically. Personally, I think this is a good thing,
but I fear that behind it all, is monsanto et al, just making a play
for a drastic increase in market share.

 Land use for biofuels has shot up from 12m to more than 80m hectares 
 worldwide over six years, says Goldman Sachs.
 
 Sounds dire eh?
 
 Brazil has 320m hectares [3.2m sq km] of arable land, only a fifth 
 of which is cultivated. Of this, less than 4% is used for ethanol 
 production ... This is not a choice between food and energy. 
 (Brazil's president Luiz Lula)
 
 The FAO says the total world agricultural area is 5.0 billion 
 hectares. So the 80m hectares worldwide under biofuels is 1.6% of the 
 total. How can that account for food price rises in the last year 
 variously touted as 10%, 17%, 20%, 43%, double?

My point.

 Retail food prices are indeed soaring worldwide. ExxonMobil's $40.6 
 billion profits from rising oil prices point rather clearly at one 
 cause - high oil costs, in a globalised food system that depends on 
 fossil-fuel inputs at every stage, that plus corporate profit-taking 
 by the food industry (or perhaps profiteering).
 
 The same causes are pushing all consumer prices up, not just food. 
 Apparently world concrete prices are way up too, difficult to explain 
 how it's caused by the evils of biofuels though.
 
 Biofuels or not, ag commodity prices probably aren't going to stop 
 rising, nor will oil prices. It's already causing hardship, 
 especially for poorer people, in the industrialised countries as well 
 as the 3rd World.
 
 Grow your own. Go local.
 Best
 Keith

Egg-zactly!

This is, here in the west for certain, a good thing. As things go now,
where folks are able to access real high quality food products at 
farmers markets and farm shops, one hears about people complaining about
the costs of 'real food'. As one small farmer put it to a person 
sniffing at the cost of his eggs compared to the supermarket variety,

sure, you can buy 3 times the eggs at the supermarket for what I'm
charging, but ONE of my eggs contains more nutrition than a dozen
of those white balls.

Exaggeration? perhaps, but sadly, perhaps not.

Seems that small(er) scale to micro scale farming is indeed
the answer. And the questions are really big.

Garbage in = Oncologist out.

Once folks start treating the small farmer with the
same respect as their oncologist, and the high quality
food itself with the same respect as their pharmaceuticals,
well, then you'll see that folks know what's really at
stake.

I'd love to go on and on about this, but I'll get around
to posting anything if I do.

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Re: [Biofuel] Peak Food

2008-02-19 Thread robert and benita
James Machin wrote:

 One definite plus here where I am is that local produce prices are becoming 
ever more competitive - without changing
James 
  


And what's really ridiculous about the whole concept of peak food 
is that even a SMALL garden enables people to grow more fresh fruit and 
vegetables than they can possibly eat.  We end up giving away a LOT of 
what we grow for that reason.  (Besides, I grew up eating brown rice and 
don't really care for potatoes.)

robert luis rabello
The Edge of Justice
The Long Journey
New Adventure for Your Mind
http://www.newadventure.ca

Ranger Supercharger Project Page
http://www.members.shaw.ca/rabello/


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Re: [Biofuel] Peak Food

2008-02-19 Thread doug
On Tue, 19 Feb 2008 06:11:23 James Machin wrote:
 The Goldman Sachs 'Outlook 2008' report claims that oil production has been
 flat for 4 years whilst demand has increased. They say that the gap has
 been plugged by biofuel production - land under bioF production up to 80
 million Ha. from  12 m Ha. 6 years ago - displacing food crops.
 They say that peak oil has morphed into peak food and predict widespread
 famin in 18  to 36 months.
 So, peak oil 4 years old, and we're passed peak food?
 Could be.
 I reckon we're also passed peak money too!

 Where will it all end

When we are all peaked!

regards Doug

 James


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[Biofuel] Peak Food

2008-02-18 Thread James Machin
The Goldman Sachs 'Outlook 2008' report claims that oil production has been 
flat for 4 years whilst demand has increased. They say that the gap has been 
plugged by biofuel production - land under bioF production up to 80 million 
Ha. from  12 m Ha. 6 years ago - displacing food crops.
They say that peak oil has morphed into peak food and predict widespread 
famin in 18  to 36 months.
So, peak oil 4 years old, and we're passed peak food?
Could be.
I reckon we're also passed peak money too!

Where will it all end

James 


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Re: [Biofuel] Peak Food

2008-02-18 Thread Zeke Yewdall
Do you have a link to the report, James?  I'd like to read it.

Z

On Feb 18, 2008 12:11 PM, James Machin [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 The Goldman Sachs 'Outlook 2008' report claims that oil production has been
 flat for 4 years whilst demand has increased. They say that the gap has been
 plugged by biofuel production - land under bioF production up to 80 million
 Ha. from  12 m Ha. 6 years ago - displacing food crops.
 They say that peak oil has morphed into peak food and predict widespread
 famin in 18  to 36 months.
 So, peak oil 4 years old, and we're passed peak food?
 Could be.
 I reckon we're also passed peak money too!

 Where will it all end

 James


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Re: [Biofuel] Peak Food

2008-02-18 Thread James Machin
 It appeared in the business section of the UK newspaper The Daily Telegraph 
on 7 Feb. You could try www.telegraph.co.uk

J

 Do you have a link to the report, James?  I'd like to read it.

 Z

 On Feb 18, 2008 12:11 PM, James Machin [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 The Goldman Sachs 'Outlook 2008' report claims that oil production has 
 been
 flat for 4 years whilst demand has increased. They say that the gap has 
 been
 plugged by biofuel production - land under bioF production up to 80 
 million
 Ha. from  12 m Ha. 6 years ago - displacing food crops.
 They say that peak oil has morphed into peak food and predict widespread
 famin in 18  to 36 months.
 So, peak oil 4 years old, and we're passed peak food?
 Could be.
 I reckon we're also passed peak money too!

 Where will it all end

 James


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Re: [Biofuel] Peak Food

2008-02-18 Thread Kirk McLoren
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-8545585184878490822q=future+mankindtotal=884start=0num=10so=0type=searchplindex=0

  He says it is planned. He has some good clips of Bush and entourage. 
  Some of it seems a bit over the top but who knows.
  Kirk
   
  
James Machin [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  The Goldman Sachs 'Outlook 2008' report claims that oil production has been 
flat for 4 years whilst demand has increased. They say that the gap has been 
plugged by biofuel production - land under bioF production up to 80 million 
Ha. from 12 m Ha. 6 years ago - displacing food crops.
They say that peak oil has morphed into peak food and predict widespread 
famin in 18 to 36 months.
So, peak oil 4 years old, and we're passed peak food?
Could be.
I reckon we're also passed peak money too!

Where will it all end

James 


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Re: [Biofuel] Peak Food

2008-02-18 Thread Erik Lane
Here's a text link to an article about the report:
http://business.smh.com.au/price-of-oil-is-famine-as-food-plugs-demand/20080208-1r43.html

As far as the video - I haven't watched more than about the first 10
minutes, but some of the claims seem a bit far-fetched, as you said. I hope
that it's no more than a spook story.

Erik

On Feb 18, 2008 12:59 PM, Kirk McLoren [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


 http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-8545585184878490822q=future+mankindtotal=884start=0num=10so=0type=searchplindex=0

  He says it is planned. He has some good clips of Bush and entourage.
  Some of it seems a bit over the top but who knows.
  Kirk


 James Machin [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  The Goldman Sachs 'Outlook 2008' report claims that oil production has
 been
 flat for 4 years whilst demand has increased. They say that the gap has
 been
 plugged by biofuel production - land under bioF production up to 80
 million
 Ha. from 12 m Ha. 6 years ago - displacing food crops.
 They say that peak oil has morphed into peak food and predict widespread
 famin in 18 to 36 months.
 So, peak oil 4 years old, and we're passed peak food?
 Could be.
 I reckon we're also passed peak money too!

 Where will it all end

 James


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