Christopher Morrow wrote:
>
> On Thu, Mar 21, 2013 at 6:09 AM, Oleg Muravskiy <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>> Hi Christopher,
>> Christopher Morrow wrote:
>>>
>>> Comment 1 (also related with 44): I agree that ISPs may operate caches in 
>>> behalf end-users ASNs, but also I think that more than
>>> 1 cache may be operated by a single ISP. Imagine a global ASN operator with 
>>> routers in several places. Are they going to have
>>> just one master cache? Or are they have one or two (backup), and just in 
>>> one location? Considering this, even the 40k clients
>>> may be low as worse case IMHO. oops, so... we need to be clear in 
>>> terminology here there are at least: o publication points -
>>> places/machines AS Operators would make their authoritative information 
>>> available to the world.
>>
>> In our analysis we associate number of CAs in the global RPKI with the 
>> number of distinct IP resource holders.
>
> sure, and as a proxy for that 'AS Operator', it's not a 1:1 correlation to be 
> sure but it should be reasonably close, no?

Well, I don't see why resource holders should correlate to AS operators. 
Maybe... But see below.

>> You seem to associate publication points (that directly relate to CAs) with 
>> AS Operators. Since it's a second place where
>> publication points are associated with AS Operators (another is the "RPKI 
>> rsync Download Delay Modeling" presentation), I wonder
>> if I miss something?
>
> most likely you are not... I think I jump to 'CA == REPO == AS-Operator == 
> ASN allocated' because lacking any direct data
> otherwise it seems like a good estimation of numbers. Essentially each ASN 
> allocated is going to be a repository that needs to be
> gathered, right? If there are 10% more repositories due to EndSite 
> allocations without an ASN also allocated to them I think it's
> still in the ballpark to say "number of Repos == ASN allocation number". I 
> could be wrong. 

Ok, then I'll continue with mine line of thinking.
>From the RIR stats files that RIRs publish daily we could get the numbers of 
>distinct resource holders. They are:

AFRINIC  1310
APNIC    7957
ARIN    35380
LACNIC   4278

For the RIPE NCC you could not get this data from stats files, and the exact 
number is difficult to get because of our model of
provider-independent end users. But in our registry I could count that it is at 
least 28912.
That brings the total to77837.

Now, these are only the first level resource holders under RIRs. They all 
*must* have their own CAs in order to participate in RPKI.
However, many of these first-level resource holders are NIRs or LIRs, who 
distribute resources further down to their clients. They
could choose to manage their clients' RPKI objects within their single CA, but 
could also give their clients  own certificates,
creating next level of CA hierarchy. I find it difficult to estimate how many 
LIRs will do this, and for how many of their clients.
But for RIPE NCC I could see that the number of organisation objects in RIPE DB 
is 70746, and that should be the upper bound of the
number of CAs in our region. I don't have that number for other regions, and 
don't know if it's applicable in the same way,
especially where NIRs are present.

Hope that's clear and helps.


-- 
Oleg Muravskiy
RIPE NCC
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