On Wed, Aug 08, 2007 at 10:36:06AM +0100, B. L. Krieger wrote: > don't quite understand that. countries like india or brazil have a > reproduction rate higher than sustainable for these countries. whereas in
For time being (are you sure about Brazil?). http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sub-replacement_fertility Elsewhere the birth rate is plummeting fast. While still above replacement (some 2.1...2.3 children/couple), the key is the rapidity of the change. > europe half the population will soon be older than 60, in india more than > half of the population will be younger than 20. so why not let more people > immigrate to the old, grey west? i am of course aware that this might cause The old grey west would just love it. But it would be an ill service to the countries, because the birth rate *will* plummet. Long-term, the birth rate will pick up again, because there are subpopulations with a very high fertility, though the total is stagnating. So below-replacement fertility is likely a transient phase. > changes in both societies. but changes of some sort will be unavoidable > anyway. -- Eugen* Leitl <a href="http://leitl.org";>leitl</a> http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE
