On Wed, Aug 08, 2007 at 12:13:16PM +0100, B. L. Krieger wrote:

> >the key is the rapidity of the change.
> 
> true, but still till these effects stop worldwide population growth new 
> factors will arise (continous age increase, alternative methods of 

It is not obvious SENS is going to work. It is also questionable
that primate biology can keep a person a century in the workplace.
Already 50-year olds are virtually unemployable in the modern
economy, while the official retirement age has been bumped up
to 67 years. It will be 70 soon, so how do you feed a large
fraction of your populace clothed, fed, and in good health?
The health cost explosion is not sustainable. Socities are already
cutting corners in health care, and soon this will become
massive. The result is a two-tier society, with a minimal level
of health care (somewhat below of that today) and virtually
unlimited health care for Richistan citizens.

> reproduction, etc.). policies would best aim for a slowing down of the 
> human world population. if at some point we end up having 'only' five 

Slowing down is good. Just not within 20-30 years. That will make most
of the developing world run into terrible problems, if you imagine
a pyramid suddenly collapsing to a christmas tree, and moving
upwards.

> billion people living around here it would not be that bad after all. also 
> we might find ouselves still contributing to the world economy at the age 
> of 80.

How? I'm 41, in good health, taking health supplements, and in
IT that's dinosaur age. Should I lose my current job I will have trouble
finding another, especially one I can feed my family with.
How young people today are supposed to finance a house and build
a family when starting from scratch is beyond me. For most it will
remain a dream.

-- 
Eugen* Leitl <a href="http://leitl.org";>leitl</a> http://leitl.org
______________________________________________________________
ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org
8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A  7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE

Reply via email to