On Oct 27, 2012 1:37 AM, "Deepa Mohan" <[email protected]> wrote:
> I'd like to read some more on this. Anything and everything that I've > read have led me to only one intuitive idea...that probability is > 50%...something may happen or occur, or it might not. > > Nothing has, so far, been able to convince me otherwise. Do you have a six sided die? What do you think the chances are that you will roll a 1? It's pretty easy to demonstrate that it's 1/6 right? How about if you have a dartboard and a "random" dart that lands at a random point on a square dartboard. If you draw a line down the center of the square, the odds are the same that it will land in either side. What if you draw the line 1/3 of the way across the square, so that one side is twice as big (2/3 of the square) as the other (1/3 of the square?) what are the chances it will land on one side versus the other? -- Charles
